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Analyst
Mike Mueller
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).
- Questions
- 67on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 3%2 of 67 questions
- Companies
- 10questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 7with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 67 of 67 questions from 10 companies
EXRExtra Space Storage10 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
how much of a lift we need to see in street rates to kind of get you back to that level?
Show response
Margolis declined to isolate one variable, acknowledged an unsatisfactory answer, then pointed to a 3% to 4% historical range without a timeframe.
do you think you have the mathematical ability to kind of get back to a 3% same-store revenue number
Show response
Margolis answered directly that 3% is not reachable on the other levers alone, conceding the limit of the non-rate toolkit.
Calendar 2026 Q1
what do you think is a normal level of same-store revenue growth in a normal environment?
Show response
Jeff said long-term average in the 4s (includes some periods of suppressed development post-financial crisis). Sustainable long-term target is something above inflationary. Outside COVID years, not much volatility over 20+ year public company history.
Calendar 2025 Q4
Considering the balance is expected to be generally flat in '26, should we expect the balance to decline beyond '26?
Show response
Jeff explained flexibility: can sell more A-notes and retain only higher-yield mezz if volume is high, or retain both. Borrowers frequently exercise extensions. Many loans convert to acquisitions at/before maturity, serves as acquisition pipeline. Confident in maintaining balances at current levels.
Calendar 2025 Q3
how much can you typically raise the going-in yield just from taking the assets, putting them on the platform and kind of getting the expense efficiencies?
Show response
Joe explained variation: already-managed stores have optimized NOI (pure core purchase, use JVs). Third-party managed stores can see 150bp+ NOI increase depending on quality of prior operator.
Calendar 2025 Q2
do you have a sense if one of those categories is clearly ahead of the others in terms of seeing better demand?
Show response
Joe noted business customers aren't monolithic: large nationals stay longer and accept ECRI better, while small local businesses behave more like retail customers.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Do you have a sense as to what portion of, I guess, the bridge loans that you extend ultimately translate into some sort of acquisition?
Show response
Joe quantified conversion rate: 24% of bridge loan dollars convert to acquisitions. Noted it's lumpy/situational but a key proprietary pipeline benefit.
if a recession actually happens, can you talk about how you think you'd approach operating the portfolio to the playbook from the GFC?
Show response
Joe contrasted current capabilities vs 2009: better systems, more data, real-time reaction. In GFC, problem was vacates not demand; tried rate cuts that didn't work. Much more confident now.
Calendar 2024 Q4
can you talk a little bit about acquisition price, you know, a lot more on balance sheet activity compared to JP activity?
Show response
Joe explained cost of capital analysis favors JV structures currently; Q4 on-balance-sheet activity was driven by specific off-market structured opportunities and an embedded promote.
Going back to the comment about seeing a pickup in rental activity in the LSI portfolio, post moving back to one brand. What do you think is driving that?
Show response
Joe explained dual-brand theory didn't deliver sufficient SEO/maps improvement to justify $10M annual paid search cost. Single brand gets top digital positions across paid, maps, and organic.
DOCHealthpeak Properties8 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Was there anything out of the ordinary driving the weaker lapse rent spread in the quarter?
Show response
Brinker said one large 10-year Boston renewal at a lower rent drove the modest outpatient spread dip, with nothing to read into the quarter.
Calendar 2026 Q1
with the seemingly better view on lab occupancy, why didn't you update that same-store outlook?
Show response
Mueller asked why lab same-store guidance wasn't updated despite the improved occupancy outlook. Moses said they will evaluate segment updates over the course of the year. Brinker added they were forced to update senior housing segments because of Janus Living's own public guidance, and noted same-store is a 'terrible metric' they'd prefer to ignore.
Calendar 2025 Q4
What's embedded you guys use for AFFO CapEx and capitalized interest for 2026?
Show response
Moses said CapEx down from $600M in 2025 to just over $500M. Capitalized interest flat. No material change in AFFO CapEx vs 2025 run rate.
Calendar 2025 Q3
if your implied cap was 100, 125, 150 basis points lower, do you think you'd still be looking to monetize parts of the outpatient medical portfolio today?
Show response
Brinker differentiated: noncore asset sales would proceed regardless. Core asset recaps (retaining economic interest) would not happen if stock price were more favorable.
Calendar 2025 Q2
based on what you're seeing, do you think that's been playing out? And do you think you're any closer to hitting the pivot point to really getting closer to deployment again?
Show response
Brinker confirmed the thesis of stepping back is playing out. Regular inbound from lenders and equity investors seeking Healthpeak's help with distressed situations. Opportunity set growing.
Calendar 2025 Q1
it looks like ad rents may have helped your MOB growth this quarter, both sequentially and year-over-year. Was that the case?
Show response
Mark Theine confirmed ~$1M ad rent in Q1, a 50bps impact on same-store. Brinker pegged CCRC upside at 300-400bps from current 86% occupancy.
Calendar 2024 Q4
what sort of development starts are you expecting for this year out of outpatient medical?
Show response
Brinker outlined $200-300M of potential outpatient starts, highly pre-leased with strong health systems, possibly 5-7 projects.
what sort of guidelines or how are you thinking about what the mix of incremental debt investments should, could be or should be relative to just kind of outright acquisitions?
Show response
Brinker noted mix skews toward loans given bid-ask spread, sellers haven't fully capitulated. Loans offer compelling risk-adjusted returns.
PSAPublic Storage8 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 8 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
was more of that improvement into June driven by kind of what’s going on this year as opposed to
Show response
Boyle said pricing and promotion strategy was similar to last June, so the improvement is not comp-driven, while cautioning months will stay uneven.
I know you talked about acquisitions quite a bit, but are you seeing any significant opportunities in Canada already?
Show response
Boyle deferred, saying integration and team building come first, while promising news on international opportunities over the next several years.
Calendar 2026 Q1
are you looking at it largely as a lending business to make money in, or does there need to be an angle
Show response
Management confirmed both return and strategic pipeline value, with lending at $150M growing to $500M-$1B over time with discipline
Calendar 2025 Q3
any changes in terms of the pushback from customers on ECRI or ECRI levels in general?
Show response
Boyle reported no shifts in customer pushback, vacates down, price sensitivity consistent with expectations and modeling.
can you talk a little bit about how different were the, I guess, the move-in rent comparisons to the year-over-year comps in those markets
Show response
Boyle confirmed stronger markets have better move-in trends plus good existing customer behavior, but didn't provide specific numbers.
Calendar 2025 Q2
when you have digital rentals versus in-person or from call centers, do you generally get the same amount of customer data
Show response
Joe and Tom confirmed all channels provide robust data, with digital interactions actually yielding more data opportunities.
Calendar 2025 Q1
you talked about the lowest move-in rents you've seen since 2013. And kind of tie it to development economics today
Show response
Tom stated PSA is not lowering the 8% target development yield despite challenges. National buying platforms, in-house team, and balance sheet provide differentiated ability.
Calendar 2024 Q4
are the headwinds in the forecast coming only from lower ECRI potential, are you not able to have kind of a normal seasonal lift in move-in rates
Show response
Tom confirmed ECRIs are the primary driver of the LA impact, not move-in rents. Move-in rents in LA were slightly better than company average before restrictions.
VTRVentas8 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
you had the biggest year-over-year occupancy gas and rev growth in the markets that you classified as other markets
Show response
Hutchens attributed the outperformance to independent living product concentration in the other markets bucket.
in the research portfolio, there's some chunky occupancy loss in the quarter
Show response
Probst quantified the impact and said Q2 research occupancy should reflect the balance of the year.
Calendar 2026 Q1
what are your current thoughts on where your AL and IL occupancy should be able to max out over time
Show response
Justin expects both IL and AL to surpass previous industry highs, with occupancies well into the 90% range. Goal of zero lost revenue days.
Calendar 2025 Q4
can you give us more color on the decision to exclude noncash stock comp going forward from NFFO
Show response
Probst said aligning with healthcare REIT market standard for comparability. $0.08 impact in both 2025 and 2026, no effect on YoY growth rate. Cash G&A in low $150M range.
Calendar 2025 Q3
As the 80-plus population surges, do you expect to see a widening of performance between AL memory care and the younger population IL portfolio
Show response
Cafaro said AL and IL resident ages are relatively consistent, so both benefit from growing 80+ population. IL can skew slightly younger, which is a benefit. Broad-based demand expected across both.
Calendar 2025 Q2
how does that compare when you're talking about RevPOR growth when you're comparing IL versus AL. Is that dynamic kind of similar as well
Show response
Hutchens explained IL lacks care component so no releasing spread drag from acuity turnover. Move-in rent trends good in IL. US IL portfolio at 84% with significant volume upside.
Calendar 2024 Q4
On the four new developments that are underway. Guess first for the atrium project that's 100% leased, that's being completed this year. Why is the stabilization in 2027
Show response
Cafaro explained two Charlotte buildings at 80% preleased (one 100%, other 60%) with consolidation driving the 2027 stabilization; other projects have significant preleasing.
what are the high-level thoughts on entry fee communities today
Show response
Hutchens acknowledged entry fee communities have a place and should benefit from demographics, but Ventas remains rental-focused with strong growth outlook.
KIMKimco Realty7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Should we think of anything that you develop in terms of resi or mixed use as being a higher priority sale
Show response
Ross stressed optionality on each project (JV, ground lease, or sale) and monetizing when cap rates are aggressive, such as the Milton at a 4.9% cap.
Calendar 2026 Q1
about how many years out do you think it is until you're back to a normalized lease-economic spread?
Show response
Jamieson expects economic compression toward normalized levels starting in 2027 but both leased and economic occupancy trending up. Record leased occupancy at 96.3% with anchor upside of 110bp. Healthy spread fuels future cash flow growth pipeline.
Calendar 2025 Q4
Is this more of a function of the specific near-term pipelines you are seeing today?
Show response
Cooper explained proactive strategy of selling ground leases at 5% caps with sub-1% CAGR and reinvesting at higher yields with 200bp more growth. Not dependent on market opening but on Kimco's proprietary deal flow from JV and structured programs.
Calendar 2025 Q3
What's the total expected development dollars that you could see yourself investing in '26 and '27?
Show response
Jamieson confirmed ground-up retail is small and opportunistic with pre-executed leases. Priority on repositioning and grocery-anchored redevelopment at double-digit returns. Multifamily activation uses CapEx-light preferred equity JV structure.
Calendar 2025 Q2
how much of the guidance increase was driven by the higher same-store outlook versus the onetime accounting item
Show response
Cohen confirmed more than half of guidance increase is operational from portfolio performance, SNO pipeline commencements, and JOANN/Party City backfills coming online. One-time accounting benefit was $0.01 per share.
Calendar 2025 Q1
where do you think you could end the year? What does guidance baked-in for ending the year on a physical occupancy basis?
Show response
Cohen quantified Joann's impact at 68bp occupancy dip. No specific year-end occupancy guidance embedded. Flynn noted goal to exceed prior all-time high through robust demand on both anchor and small shop.
Calendar 2024 Q4
how do you size up the credits versus other national and local options? And in the past, have you had any meaningful bad debts from that category?
Show response
Cohen described medical tenants as sticky with de minimis bad debt due to high build-out investment. Flynn added push from urgent care, pediatric urgent care, and off-site hospital facilities.
WELLWelltower7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
For the portfolio that you own today, how long should we think about a time frame to fully implement wbs?
Show response
Mitra gave a concrete deployment cadence and an approximate three-year horizon beyond this year's pace.
Calendar 2026 Q1
Can you talk about an example or 2 of steering clear from a big transaction that didn't sit well with you
Show response
Mitra shared Barchester as an example of deal discipline, walked away twice before eventually closing when pricing and structure aligned. Noted team walks away from 90% of deals seen, always communicating reasons respectfully to maintain relationships.
Calendar 2025 Q4
Is the capital in the debt fund going to be focused on assets that Welltower would ultimately like to own? Or do you just see it as an in-and-out lending vehicle?
Show response
Nikhil confirmed debt fund is simple first-mortgage acquisition financing on cash-flowing assets with strong sponsors, not loan-to-own; Shankh noted creative credit structures remain on balance sheet.
Calendar 2025 Q3
can you just give a sense as to the overall initial blended yield on the $14 billion and maybe parameters for how wide the range was between the different components?
Show response
Nikhil declined to disclose specific yields before transaction closing, only noting activity is similar to recent years.
Calendar 2025 Q2
does the pace of occupancy gains increase or decrease materially once a property crosses 90%?
Show response
Explained that in rising demand with less inventory, lease-up pace can be easier but depends on unit mix; focus remains on total revenue growth not just occupancy.
Calendar 2025 Q1
what portion of it is stabilized or close to it? And how is RevPOR growth in those assets been compared to the 6% average
Show response
Shankh broke down RevPOR by occupancy: 90%+ cohort at 7%+ growth (about 50% of portfolio), below 80% roughly flat to 1-2% growth.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Can you talk about how long to stabilize the properties upon completion. And is that trending faster or slower
Show response
McHugh noted development is focused on active adult and outpatient medical, with active adult lease-up around 12-18 months and OM essentially 100% pre-leased.
Show 4 more companies
FRTFederal Realty Investment Trust6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
how do you think the annual spend is going to trend over the next 3 to 5 years compared to where you are this year?
Show response
Asked how redevelopment spend trends over 3-5 years and whether a pivot up is near. Management sees $400 to $500 million of projects that could start over the next 12 to 24 months, subject to return discipline.
Calendar 2026 Q1
I know it was a small sale at just $10 million, but can you talk about selling Courthouse Center in Rockville considering it's part of critical mass and scale that you kind of built up over decades...
Show response
Courthouse Center sale rationale given Rockville critical mass
Calendar 2025 Q4
I think you mentioned you had another $400 million to $500 million of non-peripheral residential left that you could sell to fund acquisitions.
Show response
Capital sourcing beyond residential monetization for acquisitions
Calendar 2025 Q2
how broad are the opportunities that you're looking at in the new markets?
Show response
CIO confirmed several handfuls of viable markets. Targets 4-5 acquisitions per year, largely larger assets. Would follow up in each market with supplementary grocery-anchored or smaller centers.
Calendar 2025 Q1
if the consumer really hits a wall, what segments of the portfolio do you think you see the impact first
Show response
CEO pushed back on segment-level analysis, noting restaurants performed best post-GFC due to operator quality and low occupancy costs. Affluent consumer base provides disproportionate resilience.
Calendar 2024 Q4
with the two new development announcements,
Show response
CEO said not yet a full pivot but a start to the development cycle. Economics work where land is already owned and contractor margins are compressed. Expects a couple more projects later in the year.
REGRegency Centers6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Is that something you have been pursuing for a while and maybe could not get a plan before
Show response
Wibbenmeyer confirmed a multi-year site plan process with the master plan owner; Palmer added that the Whole Foods relationship was essential to the project happening.
Calendar 2025 Q4
The Crystal Brook acquisition going right into redevelopment is interesting. Can you talk a little bit about what's the scope of that project?
Show response
Mike explained the classification: acquired redev treated as development pipeline from day 1 due to cash flow profile. Nick: acquired underutilized Long Island property for $30M, investing ~$30M more, anchored by Whole Foods, targeting 7%+ stabilized return. Follows Holbrook success.
Calendar 2025 Q3
what's prompting you to talk about '26 this early?
Show response
Mike pushed back, noting this is a consistent practice established pre-COVID. Emphasized pride in transparency and forward-looking visibility.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Do you think that's about where the mix is going to stay for the next 3 to 5 years? And how deep is the redev pipeline?
Show response
Nick indicated the mix will shift toward ground-up as occupancy climbs, though redevelopment remains a core ongoing business.
Calendar 2025 Q1
is it just conservatism given the world or is there some known kind of chunky fallout coming down the pike soon?
Show response
Mike explained Q1 was expected to be light, with the credit loss profile being a first-half to second-half story. Full year 75-100 bps maintained.
Calendar 2024 Q4
At 94.1% leased, can you squeeze any more occupancy out of the small shops, or is that essentially full?
Show response
Alan affirmed there is still upside in shop occupancy despite record 94.1%, with teams focused on maximizing leasing in the current demand environment.
SPGSimon Property Group6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Can you talk about how you're thinking about those maturities in the cash today
Show response
Brian said Simon is active across global capital markets, including two recent European deals and potential yen funding, and reiterated the year's roughly $0.25-$0.30 interest headwind, of which about $0.10 is realized with $0.20 to go.
Calendar 2026 Q1
How much of an impact did the buyout have -- TRG buy out on your operating stats like the year-over-year sales comps
Show response
Eli declined to break out TRG impact on sales metrics, stating the 18 domestic TRG assets are fully integrated Simon assets and tracked as such.
Calendar 2025 Q4
are your JV partners looking to invest more with you? Or are we more likely to see you buy them out
Show response
David said partner-by-partner dynamic, no rush to get out or get in. Largely status quo. Depends on how long held and individual fund dynamics.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Do you think you'll be unencumbering a number of those assets over time
Show response
Brian confirmed plan to unencumber TRG assets using unsecured capital over time. Comfortable with current portfolio composition but will evaluate frequently.
Calendar 2025 Q1
would your recent sales trends be materially different, either positively or negatively if you look at things on an NOI-weighted basis
Show response
David confirmed NOI-weighted sales would be up; Brian said top 100 assets up about 1.5%. Development split 60% retail, 40% mixed use. $500M is SPG's share only.
Calendar 2024 Q4
if you have something comparable quality in the US, how would you imagine the pricing would compare to what you were in for in Italy
Show response
David artfully indicated European properties tend to have higher cap rates than comparable US assets, which factors into acquisition calculus.
PLDPrologis1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
For GIC and La Caisse. Can you give some color on how you determine what developments will be done in those ventures versus on your balance sheet?
Show response
Tim referenced long-standing allocation policy without specifics, suggested analysts focus on PLD share of development volumes as the economically meaningful metric.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| EXR Extra Space Storage | 10 | 10%1 of 10 questions |
| DOC Healthpeak Properties | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions |
| PSA Public Storage | 8 | 13%1 of 8 questions |
| VTR Ventas | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions |
| KIM Kimco Realty | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
| WELL Welltower | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
| FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| REG Regency Centers | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| SPG Simon Property Group | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| PLD Prologis | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- EXRExtra Space Storage · 10 questions10%1 of 10 questions
- DOCHealthpeak Properties · 8 questions0%none of 8 questions
- PSAPublic Storage · 8 questions13%1 of 8 questions
- VTRVentas · 8 questions0%none of 8 questions
- KIMKimco Realty · 7 questions0%none of 7 questions
- WELLWelltower · 7 questions0%none of 7 questions
- FRTFederal Realty Investment Trust · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- REGRegency Centers · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- SPGSimon Property Group · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- PLDPrologis · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 12 | 0%none of 12 questions | 9 |
| 2025 Q1 | 9 | 11%1 of 9 questions | 8 |
| 2025 Q2 | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions | 8 |
| 2025 Q3 | 9 | 0%none of 9 questions | 8 |
| 2025 Q4 | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions | 8 |
| 2026 Q1 | 9 | 0%none of 9 questions | 9 |
| 2026 Q2 | 12 | 8%1 of 12 questions | 9 |
- 2024 Q412 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 12 questions) · 9 companies
- 2025 Q19 questions · challenge rate 11% (1 of 9 questions) · 8 companies
- 2025 Q28 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 8 companies
- 2025 Q39 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 8 companies
- 2025 Q48 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 8 companies
- 2026 Q19 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 9 companies
- 2026 Q212 questions · challenge rate 8% (1 of 12 questions) · 9 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Capital Allocation20
- Revenue Growth16
- Capex Investment15
- M&A15
- Demand15
- Pricing12
- Credit5
- Guidance Reliability5
- Geographic Expansion4
- Competitive Dynamics3
Show all 17 topics
- Macroeconomic3
- Margin2
- Innovation & R&D2
- Subscriber Growth2
- Cost Pressure1
- Cloud & AI1
- Regulation Policy1