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Sentiment · FY2026 Q1
| Analyst | Firm | Questions | ChallengePercentage of questions scored as challenging — where the analyst pushed back, pressed for specifics, or questioned management's assumptions. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Kelly | Wells Fargo | 9 | 22% |
| Matt Boss | JPMorgan | 9 | 0% |
| Mike Lasser | UBS | 9 | 44% |
| Rupesh Parikh | Oppenheimer | 8 | 13% |
| Seth Sigman | Barclays | 8 | 25% |
| John Heinbockel | Guggenheim | 8 | 0% |
| Paul Lejuez | Citigroup | 5 | 0% |
| Scot Ciccarelli | Truist Securities | 5 | 20% |
| Zhihan Ma | Bernstein | 4 | 0% |
| Chuck Grom | Gordon Haskett | 4 | 25% |
| Firm | Analysts | Questions | ChallengePercentage of questions scored as challenging — where the analyst pushed back, pressed for specifics, or questioned management's assumptions. |
|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | 1 | 9 | 44% |
| Oppenheimer | 2 | 9 | 11% |
| Wells Fargo | 1 | 9 | 22% |
| JPMorgan | 1 |
| 9 |
| 0% |
| Guggenheim | 1 | 8 | 0% |
| Barclays | 1 | 8 | 25% |
| Citigroup | 1 | 5 | 0% |
| Gordon Haskett | 2 | 5 | 20% |
Dollar Tree opened fiscal 2026 with accelerating execution: continuing-operations net sales rose 7.2% to $5 billion on a 3.5% comparable-sales gain led by a 4.5% increase in average ticket, even as traffic slipped 1% against an earlier Easter calendar. Margins drove the story, with gross margin expanding 120 basis points on lower shrink, freight favorability and higher merchandise margin, lifting adjusted operating income 22% and adjusted EPS 38% to $1.74, above the high end of guidance (GAAP diluted EPS was $1.76, with the prior-year base inflated by non-recurring items). Multi-price expansion continued to broaden the assortment into everyday categories, where consumables comped 3.2% and discretionary 3.9%. Management raised its full-year adjusted EPS outlook to $6.70 to $7.10 while holding the net sales and comp ranges, choosing to bank the first-quarter upside against higher second-half fuel costs tied to the Middle East conflict and continued tariff uncertainty.
Demand | Margin | Pricing | Revenue Growth | Cost Pressure | Trade Tariffs | Product Launch | Competitive Dynamics | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024Q3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2024Q4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 2025Q1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2025Q2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 2025Q3 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 2025Q4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026Q1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| '24Q3 | '24Q4 | '25Q1 | '25Q2 | '25Q3 | '25Q4 | '26Q1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demand | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Margin | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Pricing | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | |
| Revenue Growth | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Cost Pressure | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Trade Tariffs | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Product Launch | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Competitive Dynamics | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Company | Score | Trend | Rev YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
DLTR Dollar Tree | 8 | +7.2% | |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 7 | +11.6% | |
| DG Dollar General | 8 | +5.9% | |
| TGT Target Corporation | 9 | +6.7% | |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | 6 | +7.3% |