Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Good day and welcome to the NetApp Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Kris Newton, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Hi, everyone. Thanks for joining us. With me today are our CEO, George Kurian, and CFO, Wissam Jabre. This call is being webcast live and will be available for replay on our website at netapp.com.

During today's call, we will make forward-looking statements with respect to our financial outlook and future prospects, including, without limitation, our guidance for the first quarter and fiscal year 2026, our expectations regarding future revenue, profitability, and shareholder returns, and other growth initiatives and strategies. These statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties which may cause our actual results to differ materially. For more information, please refer to the documents we file from time to time with the SEC and on our website, including our most recent Form 10-Ks and Form 10-Q.

We disclaim any obligation to update our forward-looking statements and projections. During the call, all financial measures presented will be non-GAAP unless otherwise indicated. Reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP estimates are available on our website. I'll now turn the call over to George.

Thanks, Kris, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. Record revenue for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 was driven by strong growth and significant market share gains in all-flash storage, along with accelerating growth in our first-party and marketplace storage services. We achieved all-time highs for gross profit, operating profit, operating margin, and EPS in FY25, a clear indication of our ability to navigate a dynamic environment.

By relentlessly prioritizing our four growth opportunities and leveraging AI for increased efficiencies, we are able to invest in growth and expand our profitability metrics. In fiscal year 2025, we refreshed our entire systems portfolio, sharpened the focus of our cloud services, and positioned ourselves to lead in the enterprise AI market. I believe that we've now reached an inflection point where the growth of all-flash systems and public cloud services, reinforced by the ongoing development of the AI market, will drive sustained top-line growth. Five years ago, these areas accounted for less than half our total revenue.

Today, they represent over two-thirds. Looking ahead, we expect these growth drivers, along with our laser-focused prioritized investments and robust execution, to deliver more company records in FY26 and beyond. Organizations are turning to NetApp to help them with data-driven strategies to deliver competitive advantage and operational efficiencies. As the enterprise AI market evolves and expands, there is greater urgency to transform.

The demands of AI are complex and unrelenting. With massive volumes of data scattered across multiple silos, this fragmentation leads to difficult integrations, inefficiencies, and challenges in governance, security, and data protection. GenAI transformation has made it clear that legacy architectures are inadequate to serve these complex workloads. NetApp's unified data architecture, spanning any data type anywhere, enables customers to build an intelligent data infrastructure, delivering the required flexibility needed to overcome these barriers.

Our modern approach to hybrid multi-cloud infrastructure and data management empowers organizations to harness the full potential of their entire data estate simply, securely, and sustainably. We are expanding our installed base and reaching new customers with our AI-ready intelligent data infrastructure, which reduces cost and complexity by seamlessly bridging on-premises and cloud storage with unified control. The world's biggest cloud providers, as well as governments and leading companies, trust and rely on our technology. All-flash array annualized revenue run rate grew 14% from Q4 a year ago, to a record $4.1 billion.

In the fourth quarter, all-flash made up approximately two-thirds of hybrid cloud segment revenue, and 44% of systems in our installed base under active support contracts are all-flash. The rich data services of our all-flash unified data storage systems create a secure foundation for consolidating organizational data and accelerating AI-powered insights. As organizations seek to build future-proof, AI-ready infrastructure, they increasingly choose our solutions, driving our faster-than-market growth. In calendar 2024, we gained almost 300 basis points of all-flash market share, more than any other vendor as reported by IDC.

We are in the early stages of our entry into the dedicated block storage market, with plenty of headroom for continued growth. The breadth of our advanced data management helps organizations lower operational risk and enhance business continuity by keeping data available, protected, and secure. We are seeing accelerating growth from our block-optimized ASA systems as we displace competitors' legacy installations with our simple, powerful, scale-out all-flash block storage. Our momentum outpaced the market and resulted in almost 100 basis points of share gain in calendar 2024 per IDC.

Demonstrating the power of our comprehensive all-flash portfolio, we signed a deal in the fourth quarter with a leading life sciences company to replace a competitor's nearly 10-petabyte footprint. With NetApp, they can now meet diverse multi-protocol and price-performance requirements under a single operating environment, streamlining their data operations. To keep pace in an AI-driven world, companies must unlock the scale and agility of the public cloud. Only NetApp can help them achieve the required cost efficiency, cybersecurity, and AI readiness with services co-engineered with the major cloud providers.

We continue to expand the workloads we address in the cloud and enhance our alignment with our hyperscaler partners' go-to-market motions, broadening our opportunity and accelerating growth. Over the course of fiscal year 2025, we focused our public cloud services to emphasize our highly differentiated first-party and marketplace cloud storage services, closely complemented by intelligent data operational and workload services. This strategic focus continues to yield positive results. First-party and marketplace cloud storage services grew 44% year over year in the fourth quarter.

These services compose roughly 75% of public cloud segment revenue, which grew 22% from Q4 a year ago, excluding the recently divested Spark by NetApp Services. A SaaS provider needed high-performance multi-protocol storage to meet their cost optimization and resiliency requirements. In Q4, this new-to-NetApp customer chose to migrate to AWS FSx for NetApp ONTAP. FSxN helped the customer achieve a high-performance unified file and block environment with improved availability and resiliency for efficient and secure operations with a more cost-effective solution than alternatives.

Just as we have helped enterprises harness the power of hybrid cloud environments, we are now enabling them to accelerate their AI deployments and achieve faster time to value. As the market for enterprise AI evolves, customers are moving from proof of concepts to real-world deployments, driving the need to unify their data for business impact. Our secure, cloud-integrated, silo-free infrastructure positions us as a leader in this transformation. We power AI pipelines from data preparation to model training to production deployments on-premises and in the cloud.

In the fourth quarter, our AI business grew fivefold year over year, again performing ahead of plan. We closed approximately 150 AI infrastructure and data lake modernization deals spanning multiple geographies, industries, and use cases. Over the course of FY25, we dramatically expanded our AI ecosystem, delivering innovations with NVIDIA, Domino, Dremio, the open platform for enterprise AI open source projects, and leading hyperscaler AI toolkits. We also introduced AI reference architectures with NVIDIA for AIDT, Cisco for FlexPod, Lenovo for AIPod, and most recently, Intel for AI Pod Mini.

In Q4, our high-performance ONTAP all-flash storage was certified for NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD, NVIDIA Cloud Partners, and NVIDIA certified systems. Building on a large installed base of unstructured data, we enable customers to gain intelligence from their data in place, making it ready and useful for production AI use cases without the need for migrations or changes to data operations. We are helping customers deploy AI inferencing in production today and expect FY '26 to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI storage, with the opportunity outstripping that of model training. In the quarter, a large Asian telco service provider selected NetApp as the foundation for its AI workloads.

The company needed to quickly stand up a cloud-based model training environment and, at the same time, build a larger model training cluster to support its plan to deliver Gen AI as a service. By leveraging NetApp solutions both on-premises and in their cloud, the customer optimized performance, cost, and scalability for both environments. This ensured seamless integration with their training pipelines, supporting current and future AI projects. Before turning to the details of the quarter, I want to share some observations about the environment as we enter fiscal year 2026. The global macroeconomic outlook faces mixed signals, with a general slowdown in growth, lingering inflation concerns, and a significantly higher level of uncertainty.

Looking ahead, we expect some increased spending caution, as well as ongoing friction in the US public sector and EMEA. We are incorporating an appropriate level of caution in our outlook due to these factors. Our fiscal year 2025 results demonstrate how the alignment of our solutions with key IT priorities, our focus, and the strength of our business model enables us to deliver strong performance in an uncertain environment. Additionally, the unfolding enterprise AI market is driving urgency amongst customers to modernize their data infrastructure, drive cloud transformations, and increase cyber resiliency.

We are currently negotiating sizable AI and data infrastructure modernization deals with multiple large enterprises, which we expect to close later in the year. This gives us confidence in our full-year outlook. We are starting FY2026 following a year of market share gains, armed with the strongest portfolio in the company's history, and a value proposition that addresses customers' top priorities. We plan to make prudent investments in R&D and sales capacity to drive ongoing innovation and capture additional market share.

Looking ahead, I am confident in our ability to capitalize on this significant opportunity and deliver more record results. Finally, I am happy to introduce Wissam Jabre, our new CFO. I am excited to have Wissam with his deep knowledge of our market and strong track record of value creation on the team. He has quickly integrated into NetApp and will be a key partner to me and the leadership team as we continue to execute on our visionary approach for our data-driven future.

Wissam, welcome.

Thank you, George, for the warm welcome. Good afternoon, everyone. Let me start by expressing my appreciation to George and the entire board for giving me this opportunity and to Mike for his help and transition during my onboarding. I am extremely excited about joining NetApp and look forward to partnering with George and the rest of the talented team as we continue to drive innovation at NetApp.

As George noted, we achieved all-time highs across a variety of financial metrics in fiscal year 2025. We refreshed our entire systems portfolio, honed our focus in cloud, and expect to see even more enterprise AI growth in fiscal year 2026. As a reminder, all numbers discussed are non-GAAP unless otherwise noted. Total revenue for Q4 came in slightly above the midpoint of our guidance range at $1.73 billion, up 4% year over year and up 6% sequentially. Q4 billings of $2.03 billion were up 12% year over year. This marks our sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year revenue and billings growth.

Q4 Hybrid Cloud revenue of $1.57 billion was up 3% year over year. Product revenue of $845 million was up 5% year over year. Support revenue of $625 million was flat year over year. Professional services revenue of $98 million was up 13% year over year, mainly driven by Keystone, our storage as a service offering.

Public cloud revenue of $164 million was up 8% year over year. Excluding the recently divested spot business, public cloud revenue grew 22% year over year, which is a better representation of the underlying growth rate of the segment. We exited fiscal year 2025 with $4.54 billion in deferred revenue, an increase of 7% year over year and 5% year over year in constant currency. Q4 remaining performance obligations were $4.97 billion, up approximately $500 million from Q1. Unbilled remaining performance obligations, which is a key indicator of future Keystone revenue growth, were approximately $430 million, up 23% quarter over quarter.

Q4 consolidated gross margin was 69.5%. Total hybrid cloud gross margin was 68.4%. Product gross margin was 55.4%. Our recurring support business continues to be highly profitable with a gross margin of 92.3%.

Public cloud gross margin was 79.3%, up 290 basis points sequentially and 11 percentage points year over year. Our public cloud business now operates towards the high end of the 75% to 80% long-term target range, and we remain confident in future tailwinds that can improve upon Q4's record margin. Operating expenses of $707 million were down 2% year over year and up 6% sequentially. Q4 highlighted the strength of our business model and disciplined execution with an operating margin of 28.6%, up 50 basis points year over year and representing the highest for a Q4 in the history of NetApp.

EPS of $1.93 was $0.04 ahead of the midpoint of the guidance range and up 7% year over year, predominantly driven by lower operating expenses and an effective tax rate. In Q4, cash flow from operations was $675 million, and free cash flow was $640 million. These cash flow metrics were driven by higher collections and lower supply chain payments year over year. During the fourth quarter, we returned $355 million to shareholders through $250 million in share repurchases and $105 million in cash dividends.

Q4 diluted share count of 206 million was down 6 million shares or 3% year over year. We had approximately $350 million left on our current share repurchase authorization at the end of fiscal year 2025, and today, we are announcing an increase in that authorization by $1.1 billion. Before moving to guidance, let's review the results for the full fiscal year 2025. Revenue of $6.57 billion was up 5% year over year, and billings of $6.78 billion were up 8% year over year, both all-time company highs. Disciplined operational management also yielded all-time fiscal year highs for operating margin and EPS, demonstrating the effect of high operating leverage in our business model.

For fiscal year 2025, operating margin was 28.3%, up 150 basis points year over year, driven predominantly by flat operating expenses against the backdrop of 5% revenue growth. EPS grew 12% year over year, over twice the rate of revenue growth. Operating cash flow was $1.51 billion, and free cash flow was $1.34 billion. Both metrics were down low double digits percentage points year over year, due primarily to changes in working capital, including higher variable compensation payments and tax-related outflows.

Our balance sheet remains very healthy. We closed the year with $3.85 billion in cash and short-term investments, against $3.24 billion in total debt, for a net cash position of approximately $610 million. We intend to use $750 million of our cash to redeem the notes maturing in June. Inventory decreased in the quarter, and inventory turns increased to 12. Now turning to guidance, starting with fiscal year 2026. Let me underscore our confidence in our strategy and the strength of our position in addressing key customer priorities such as data infrastructure modernization, cloud transformation, AI innovation, and cyber resilience.

However, as George noted, the macro environment remains uncertain, with both cost and demand-related variables that could lower IT spending and make it challenging to forecast through the remainder of the year. As a result, we expect fiscal year 2026 total revenue to be in the range of $6.625 to $6.875 billion, which at the $6.75 billion midpoint reflects 3% growth year over year. Excluding the divested spot business from the comparison, our total revenue guidance implies 4% growth year over year. Spot generated around $95 million in revenue annually and accounted for a low teens percentage of public cloud segment revenue.

As a reminder, we expect the divestiture to impact reported public cloud and total revenue growth for fiscal year 2026. We expect fiscal year 2026 consolidated gross margin to be in the range of 71% to 72%. We expect operating margin of approximately 28.8% to 29.8%. We anticipate other income and expenses to be approximately negative $10 million for the year. We expect the tax rate in the range of 20% to 21%.

We expect EPS in the range of $7.6 to $7.9 for a midpoint of $7.75. We expect operating cash flow will move in line with net income as it has done historically. In fiscal year 2026, we intend to return up to 100% of free cash flow to shareholders in cash dividends and share buybacks. We also expect to reduce share count by low single-digit percentage points year over year. Now turning to Q1 guidance.

We expect revenue to range from $1.455 billion to $1.605 billion, which at $1.53 billion midpoint implies a decline of 1% year over year. Excluding the divested spot business from the year-ago comparison, our revenue guidance implies a 1% growth year over year. We expect Q1 consolidated gross margin to be in the range of 71% to 72% and operating margin to be in the range of 25% to 26%. EPS is expected to be in the range of $1.48 and $1.58, with a midpoint of $1.53. In closing, as I look forward to fiscal year 2026, I am confident in our strategy and execution capabilities as we are well-positioned to capture our expanding opportunities, increase profitability and free cash flow, and deliver sustainable long-term value to our shareholders.

I'll now turn the call over to Kris for Q&A.

Thanks, Wissam. Operator, let's begin the Q&A.

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your touch-tone phone. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then 2. At this time, we'll pause momentarily to assemble our roster.

First question today comes from Tim Long with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Thank you. Yeah, two quick ones, if I could. First, was hoping you could just touch on the guidance maybe Wissam for you. Looks like the Q1 is a little bit light of where folks were, but the full year is still kind of intact.

So George, you mentioned some big deals in the pipeline. Just curious how we're gonna see kind of acceleration of revenues and EPS growth through the year? What's kind of the level of visibility into that? And then second, I was hoping you could just touch on product gross margins kind of what kind of outlook there with NAND prices moving around?

And you know, macro and competition? What's kind of the outlook for product gross margin? Thank you.

Maybe I can start, and then Wissam can cover the second part of the question. Listen. We are coming into the year with a ton of momentum. We have been the fastest-growing all-flash player in the market.

We have outgrown our competition, including this quarter. In the all-flash market, we have gained share in the block storage market, and our cloud business, as you saw, has accelerated through the course of the year. So the setup for the year is very good. We have a degree of caution in Q1 related to certain parts of Europe, Middle East, Africa, especially some large countries where there's still public sector uncertainty, as well as some impact from the uncertainty on tariffs.

And in manufacturing-centered economies and then US public sector. We feel that the growth through the year is driven by both some large deals that we're working on for modern AI-powered infrastructure, the addition of sales capacity that we added towards the end of Q4 and are adding through the course of the first half of the year, as well as continued strength in cloud and our all-flash portfolio.

Yes. So when you look at the guidance for the year, the margins, obviously, are guided towards that where we would wanna be in the long term, but we are very comfortable with the transition. The few elements that will drive us get there are obviously, mix should be benefiting from the growth in cloud. And we would continue to also grow in flash, which typically has better margins.

The other thing I would say on margins so that we anticipate maybe the one of the questions that I'm sure will come up is when we think of product margin, would it say previously in last quarter that earnings call that Q4 would be the bottom. We're seeing Q1 to be more or less in line with Q4, but we anticipate improvement from there, gradual improvement into the rest of the fiscal year on a quarterly basis.

Okay. Thank you. Very helpful.

Thank you, Tim. Next question. Thanks, Tim. The next question comes from Samik Chatterjee with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Hi. Thank you for taking my question. Maybe, George, on the last earnings call, you had referred to some of the execution or sort of timing of deals that had slipped. And just curious if that's some continue to sort of what you see.

Is that something you're continuing to see, and is that really informing sort of the caution relative to the macro, or are you just sort of overall looking at the macro backdrop and the economic indicators? Are you a more proactive approach relative to what you're seeing? I just wanted to understand sort of the thought process there and what you're seeing with your customers, and I have a follow-up. Thank you.

I think it's more of the latter, Samik. We saw a strong Q4 where the majority of the deals that slipped out of Q3 we were able to close. And if you look at our Q3 to Q4 sequential number, it was above our typical trend driven by the strength of our execution. And overall, second half of the year, we had a strong growth rate relative to the first half of fiscal year 2025. We are seeing some evidence that you mentioned about just overall political instability, some of the GDP growth rates have come down.

Just the degree of caution in customers waiting for clarity on trade policy and other macroeconomic policies, particularly in Europe. And, of course, in the US public sector.

Got it. Got it. Got it. And for my follow-up, just in terms of public cloud revenues, if you can just share what was the Q4 performance ex spot, what was the underlying growth rate, and you did mention sort of the acceleration of the improvement in growth rates through the year.

Any color in terms of what expect as you go through fiscal 2026 in terms of growth rates and where you probably exit fiscal 2026 on an underlying basis, understanding that spot will not be in the numbers. Thank you.

Yeah. Public cloud in Q4, ex spot was up 22% year on year. And if you look at the full year, it was up 16% year on year. So we saw acceleration through the year.

As you can see, our first-party and marketplace cloud storage is growing at a very, very fast pace, north of 40%. And it's becoming a bigger and bigger part of the overall cloud business mix. And that will drive continued acceleration of that part of the business. You can offset as Wissam mentioned, spot was about $95 million.

And so that's the offset to the cloud revenue as you model for next year.

Got it. Thank you. Thanks for taking my questions.

Thank you, Samik. Next question. The next question comes from Wamsi Mohan with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

George, you noted in your prior answers that there were some large deals related to AI infrastructure. Can you just share some color on where these are? Are these at tier two CSPs or hyperscalers? And what's the potential contribution to growth from this? I will follow-up.

We work with a lot of the very largest cloud and enterprise providers. We have been working with some of them on data modernization transactions supporting building up enterprise AI cloud infrastructures. These are factored into the sequential ramp through the year of our FY26 outlook. And so we feel very good about our position in the unfolding enterprise market, as well as the strength of our full-year guide.

Okay. Thanks, George. As my follow-up, you noted a pretty cautious macro embedded in your first-quarter guide. Are you derating your full year beyond that also on sort of macro? And on tariffs, it sounded like you're embedding some caution related to demand from your customers who might be impacted by it. But do you have any direct impact from tariffs and could you just quantify if there was any?

Yeah. Within our FY '26 outlook, tariffs are about 40 to 60 basis points of our gross margin, so a small amount. And that's contemplated in the guide that we have given you. That is based on the current tariff situation, which is really the 10% baseline tariff and not the reciprocal tariffs.

We have a diverse supply chain. We have no exposure to China. Final assembly of our products, which confers kind of country of origin, is in Singapore, Hungary, Mexico, and the US. So it allows us to have a very small impact of tariffs to us.

And, also, the semiconductor exemption allows us to have a pretty small contribution of costs from tariffs. We see the primary impact of tariffs or really the uncertainty introduced by tariffs causing enterprises to slow down, particularly in the manufacturing segment in Europe.

Okay. Really helpful. Thank you so much.

Alright. Thank you, Wamsi. Next question? The next question comes from Meta Marshall with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Great. Thanks. Wanted to ask a couple of questions. You know, obviously, a lot of traction on the AI side.

You know, kind of earlier in the year, you had noted maybe some of these proof of concepts would start to become full-blown deployments kind of towards the end of the year or kind of into '26. Are you seeing a pull forward of that that's kind of leading to some of the strength or, you know, this is just kind of the beginning and we should see more later on? And then as a second question, given the strength you're seeing on the first-party and marketplace, you know, is some of that also driven by kind of some of these AI use cases? Or just kind of maturing of those offerings in general? Thanks.

On the first question, thank you for your question. On the first one, we see it as just ongoing unfolding of the enterprise AI market. As we said, inferencing and the use of AI tools to drive business advantage is the core of the opportunity in the enterprise, and 80% of the overall storage opportunity, and we have done very well in that. We think that fiscal year 2026 will continue to accelerate and expand that opportunity for us.

With regard to cloud, performing so strongly, yes, there are enterprise AI customers using our cloud footprints either because they want to do AI in the cloud or where they want to start their AI proof of concepts in the cloud. And we feel really good about that. Overall, the cloud business is performing very well, both due to strong technology differentiation and good execution. And as we have shared, we are expanding the range of not only enterprise application use cases but analytics and AI use cases.

And so I feel really pleased with the focus and the execution we've had in that part of our business this year.

Great. Thank you.

Thank you, Meta. Next question? The next question comes from David Vogt with UBS. Please go ahead.

Great. Thanks, guys, for taking my questions. So one for George, one for Wissam. So George, I guess, you maybe help us understand I know the macro is uncertain, but you're exiting fiscal 2025 with your all-flash ARR growing double digits nicely.

North of $4 billion. So can you kind of walk through how you bridge '25 to '26 with that kind of backdrop? Should we assume fairly meaningful deceleration in the all-flash business in '26? And if not, then what's driving the more cautious tone?

I get the macro. And then on Wissam, just I'll give you both at the same time. Obviously, you talked about where public and your cloud, your hybrid and your public cloud gross margins are. So can you help us understand the ramp in the second half of the year on margins to kind of get to that full-year roughly 29% operating margins coming off of a relatively modest base in the first fiscal quarter of the year?

It would suggest that margins would be at least 30% in the back half, we're doing the math correctly. So I just want to kind of get a sense for how to think about it. Thanks.

I'll take your first question. I think if you look at the components of the FY26 guide, you know, support continues to be a low single digits number. It doesn't go down or go up materially. It just waterfalls off deferred revenue.

And as deferred revenue has grown this year, you should see support sort of stabilize and start to grow in FY26. Cloud should continue with the note of the headwind from the divestiture of Spark, the momentum in the rest of the cloud business should continue. We had professional services, which is powered by our Keystone storage as a service business, should continue at the same clip next year. And in product, if you look at the market data for all-flash, it has come down about 300 basis points. We are expecting to grow at or above the market.

There is a part of the business that is non-flash, which is probably less tied to customer spending priorities, which is where we have also indicated a degree of caution. So listen. We feel really good about our competitive position. Q4 was a strong print.

The full year was a strong result. We feel that it's important to be prudent in our outlook, just given the range of volatility that's going on.

Great. And, David, on the margins? Yes. And for the second question, so the way to think of it, look, without guiding quarter by quarter, the way to think of it is we expect obviously revenue to improve from here for the rest of the year.

And as you sort of work yourself down the P&L, gross margins, as I said, for products are expected to be flattish in Q1 and gradually improve for the rest of the year. Cloud, you know, we ended Q4 at almost the top range of the long-term target that we set ourselves. We expect that to sort of also improve from here into the fiscal year 2026. For the rest of the elements, you'd expect sort of roughly similar type of trends. So that gives you a good idea of how the gross margin should progress for the rest of the year.

The way we think of operating expenses is we obviously want to continue to invest in high ROI projects on the R&D side. We also want to continue to invest in sales capacity strategically to drive the top line. But the OpEx growth isn't expected to be faster than revenue growth. In fact, the way we think of it is OpEx growth should be at most half of the revenue growth.

And so that gives us the operating leverage. And, without really giving you the numbers for the quarters, I think it gets you mathematically to postpone the numbers that situation.

That's more than helpful. Thanks, Wissam. Thanks, George.

Alright. Thank you, David. Next question, please. The next question comes from Asiya Merchant with Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Excellent. Hi. This is Mike Cadiz for Asiya Merchant at Citi. So I'll give you my two questions at once.

So the first is on Keystone. Can you describe the tenor of the customer conversations they're having as it pertains to OpEx versus CapEx spending, especially given this uncertain macro environment? That's question one. And question two is, can you provide any color on product momentum following your significant validation, like NVIDIA SuperPOD that you did just earlier in March?

Thank you.

Yeah. I think, you know, Keystone has grown strongly. TCV sales of Keystone for fiscal year 2025 is at $224 million, up 54% year on year. So we feel good about the momentum of Keystone.

I would say there was nothing unusual in terms of customer behavior. There are use cases for which Keystone makes sense. And there are use cases for which capital purchases make sense. We are seeing a growing number of use cases for which Keystone is the preferred choice in our customers, and we're taking advantage of that.

With regard to the momentum, listen, our new product portfolio has done really well. It's ahead of our internal plan. And so we say we feel really good. We have seen some ONTAP SuperPOD wins soon after we got the certification.

And so you should see the acceleration and continued strength of that part of business this coming year.

Excellent. Thank you.

The next question comes from Param Singh with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

I do appreciate all the color you provided in terms of the gross reduction for the year. But it really seems contingent upon success with AI workloads. Right? And probably implied guidance is from, like, down 3-4% in product growth for the first quarter year over year and improving from there.

So I really want to understand, you know, what are some of the technical advantages that you have in addressing these AI workloads versus some of your competitors in the market? And why should any customer, you know, choose NetApp? And any kind of evidence you can provide that you are actually seeing that with customer growth right now?

Listen. I think, first of all, technologically, we have several advantages. We have a lot of proof points about the performance and scaling of our systems, as denoted by NVIDIA's SuperPOD, NVIDIA NC certification, and the ability to configure our systems as part of multiple reference architectures. The second is the strength of our data management, where we provide privacy, security, governance capabilities, in addition to a range of others, like multitenancy and others, that customers want in an enterprise AI platform.

And then uniquely, we have hybrid cloud integration. So we saw many clients wanting to use their enterprise data with some of the tools like Vertex or Bedrock that we have unique integrations with in the public cloud. So lots of technological advantages. Listen.

Had 150 customer wins this past quarter. Each of them had choices of multiple different vendors. And the level of penetration of AI into our installed base is really small right now. So we have a long road map to go, right, in terms of customer momentum and wins.

I will just note that listen. We have had a really strong year. We took 280 basis points of share in all-flash. A hundred basis points in addition in the block storage market.

Any degree of caution going into next year is not because of our competitive position. It's just being prudent about the amount of uncertainty in the economy.

Got it. No. Thanks, George. That's really helpful. If I could just follow-up on that, you know, some of the wins that you talked about. As I think longer term, in 2026, fiscal and beyond, what are some of the applications that customers are talking about within AI inferencing where they feel, you know, NetApp is best positioned to go and have a high win rate?

I think broadly speaking, there's sort of three different use cases where we are doing really well. One is the need to modernize your data infrastructure so that you can bring it to AI models. These are in the form of new analytics environments like data lakes, or, you know, high-performance analytics applications that are proprietary to certain clients. The second is AI centers of excellence.

These could be, like, the very large Asian telecommunications provider that's building a national AI center of excellence, or it could be a large enterprise that's building an AI factory for sharing across all their departments. And there are reference architectures together with NVIDIA, for example, the de facto motions. We've done really well there. And then the third is cloud, you know, sort of service providers that want to host inferencing environments for enterprises where our combination of our installed base plus hybrid cloud capabilities allows us to do really well.

So more to come. We will share more updates as we go through the year. We have a super exciting R&D innovation pipeline. And we will invite you to come to Insight to watch us.

Thank you, George. Much appreciated.

Thank you, Param. Next question? The next question comes from Krish Sankar with TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

Hi, thanks for taking my question. This is nice to hear from you again. I have two questions. Number one, George, I think you mentioned AFA about two-thirds of hybrid cloud revenues. Curious how to think about the other one-third dynamic on the hard drive side. Are you seeing weakening demand, or do you think that sector is in or that segment is in a secular decline? And then I had a follow-up.

The two-thirds was all-flash arrays. They have two-thirds of hybrid cloud revenue. And a bit higher in terms of their product revenue given, you know, the all-flash is primarily point of sale and is a little bit less contribution from the renewals business of maintenance. I think the second is the hard drive segment has declined a good amount over the course of the last few years.

As tranches of the hard drive segment have been replaced by flash. So, you know, high-performance drives and now 10k drives are going through the transition. We expect that it will stabilize over the course of time to a smaller number as hard drives become used for use cases like backup and archival, where today, does not provide a compelling value proposition. And so it'll continue to decline from here, but it will, you know, asymptote to a smaller number soon enough.

Got it. Got it. And then the question for Wissam, a two-part question. One is on the gross margin guide. 70-72% for FY '26. What is the implied product gross margin in it?

And, also, what is your public sector exposure? Last time you guys mentioned about it, I think US was probably 10 to 12 and global a little more than that. Can you just talk a little bit about your public sector exposure and the dynamics there with Doji and everything and also the product gross margin? Thank you.

Yeah. Hey, Krish. Let me start with the product gross margin. Look, we don't typically guide for fiscal year down to that level.

So what I would tell you though is I would repeat the same comments I made a little bit earlier. You know, the way we think of product margin is in Q1, it's expected to be flattish to Q4, and then we expect it to improve gradually on a quarterly basis for the rest of the year. So that should hopefully give you enough to sort of model it. For public sector, US public sector is in the low teens percentage of our business, of which federal is around 75 to 80% depending on the quarter.

You know, we don't break out global public sector. With regard to, you know, our view of that, we see the, you know, we are seeing Doji hopefully wrapping up soon and, you know, a new spending bill getting authorized, which should help us in the public sector going forward.

Thanks, George. Thanks, Wissam.

Thanks, Krish. Next question? The next question comes from Mehdi Hosseini with SIG. Please go ahead.

Thanks for taking my question. George, I wanna just go back to the all-flash array and get your updated view on how this cycle could be the same as prior cycle or is it any different? And for context, given your reported April, the all-flash array had a 12% CAGR from FY23 through FY25. Would you expect FY26 to carry on with the same momentum, or are we gonna have kind of a deceleration before growth accelerates into FY27?

Listen, as a percentage of the business, all-flash arrays should continue to pick up. I think there is a transition from 10k HDDs to all-flash that is probably in the third or fourth inning of a nine-inning ballgame. Right? So plenty of runway.

The pace at which that transition happens is driven by two things. One is new environments that get stood up. These are priority environments like analytics or, you know, cybersecurity or particularly AI, which contribute to the mix of all-flash continuing to grow because those are predominantly all-flash environments. And then the second is the tech refresh or the infrastructure modernization part.

That will be paid by, you know, GDP outlook.

So is there any way you can kind of quantify how each one of these contributors or each growth vectors line up, is the last one, the upgrade, meaningful enough? And that's what the GDP sensitivity is. And I'm just trying to separate secular growth opportunities from more of a GDP-sensitive bucket.

Listen. I think I'm not gonna break it out, specifically. I think as we said, our outlook for next year implies that we continue to gain share or at least stay at the market all-flash array. And if you look at, you know, public benchmarks for all-flash arrays, like IDC, they're in the 9%, down from around 12%.

So there's a slowing down a little bit given some of the concerns, and I think we'll be able to at least do that.

Great. Thanks for details.

Thanks, Mehdi. Next question. The next question comes from Steven Fox with Fox Advisors. Please go ahead.

Hi. Good afternoon. Two questions if I could real quick. One, how do we think about the pressure included in your margin guidance from passing through higher cost input material costs for the year?

I know you're passing them through, but I assume it's a margin rate pressure. And then secondly, George, if I could just push back a little bit on the guidance because I'm kind of confused given some of the momentum you've seen. And since it seems like you're concerned about some targeted areas, public and industrial Europe, how can you put in perspective how big those pieces of sort of the macro are to your business relative to the AI growth you're seeing in the other incrementals you're seeing in market share? I'm just it's confusing to me that we're talking about 3% year-over-year growth.

Again this year. Thanks.

Maybe I can take the second part of your question and Wissam will take the first part. With regard to the outlook for next year, you know, just remember that the revenue guide has a headwind of about a point from the divestiture of the spot business. So if you look at it ex spot, it's about 4%. Compared to this year's performance of about 5%.

I think if you look at our business, the two segments we talked about where we have concerns are US public sector, which again is about low teens percentage of our business, where federal is about 75 to 80% of the business. So we have some concerns about just clarity of when budgets get approved, what will be the impact of Doji and other things. Right? And then EMEA, which is a decent chunk of our overall business, where some countries, particularly the larger ones, are awaiting clarity on export-related tariffs.

They have, you know, in some countries, the government has but hasn't deployed budgets yet. And so there's just a degree of caution there. We feel that our momentum is strong. We have less visibility into the timing and resolution path of some of these geopolitical situations.

And it's important for us to be prudent of our guidance given those circumstances. I'll turn it over to Wissam to answer the second part of your question.

Yeah. Thanks, George. So with respect to input cost, Steve, when our guidance basically reflects all the information we have now. And so as George mentioned a little bit earlier, we do have around 40 to 60 basis points impact to gross margin.

But this is also an evolved area, right, when you think of tariffs. We do have a very agile, resilient, and diverse supply chain. And so we will continue to work throughout the year to mitigate to the extent we can. Hopefully improve from here.

And that's one thing. The other thing, you know, as it is an evolving situation, you know, if there's any changes in that area, let's say, the trade policies and other types of then, obviously, we will be updating as well. But for now, that's how we're thinking of the input cost. It's all reflected in our guide as within that 71 to 72% margin.

Okay. Thank you.

Thank you, Steven. Next question? The next question comes from Jason Ader with William Blair. Please go ahead.

Yes. Thank you. Good afternoon. Just two questions.

First, Wissam, could you give us a sense of the upside opportunity for cloud gross margins from here? You're at 79% now. Where do you think that might get to? And then my second question is really just on the impact of the Broadcom acquisition of VMware.

Any positive or negative impacts that you guys have seen from, you know, the disruption caused by the licensing changes at VMware?

Yeah. Thanks for the question. So with respect to the opportunity on the cloud gross margin, look, we've been in the long-term range for the last couple of quarters. Q3 and Q4 of 2025. Then that range, just to remind everybody, was 75 to 80%.

We expect that, you know, we should be seeing improvement from here. So for the rest of the fiscal year '26, we anticipate gradual improvement on a quarterly basis. But we're not yet ready to sort of come out and on an earnings call and come up with a new target range. But there's definitely opportunity for improvement from here.

Albeit on a gradual pace.

With regard to the Broadcom acquisition, sort of two or three things, right, that we see. The first one is there's a greater degree of caution about hyper-converged infrastructure, which has caused some of the hyper-converged vendors to now work with external storage providers. Second, we have, you know, and continue to expand the range of alternative hypervisors that we support. We support a broad range and we'll continue to expand that range to give customers choice.

And the third is in select customers, there have been replatforming exercises, which is part of our success in block storage, for example, where they might have a hyper-converged solution or a legacy disk-based solution. And as they think about optimizing their VMware state, they will choose to, you know, kind of replatform onto NetApp on-prem. We've also seen good growth with our VMware service, for example, Azure VMware service in the public cloud.

Does it make sense, George, for you to partner with the hyper-converged vendors?

We will partner with whoever our customers feel it's a good choice for us to make. We will partner with them via ongoing discussions with a broad range of solutions. Right? And that has been our track record.

Thank you.

Thank you, Jason. Next question. The next question comes from Simon Leopold with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Thank you. I wanted to see if you could describe a little bit the linearity in the quarter and then into May. I guess what I'm trying to get a better understanding of is did the behaviors that are creating your concerns actually moderate when tariffs were delayed in May versus what you saw when they were first announced in April? And then my follow-up is, how are you thinking about the section 232 reviews on semiconductors?

What are your expectations for the impact of that? Thank you.

Listen. I think that if you looked at linearity, I note that in Europe, in the quarter, it was typical for a Q4. We had the unusual experience of having Easter week in the last week of our quarter and, you know, with the passing of the whole, that was a unique situation. We had planned for that. And so we had worked hard to get the vast majority of our European business in early ahead of that.

And so we were planful to deal with that. I think that, you know, the caution that we saw did not materially contribute to linearity. It just contributed to our view of the pipeline where deals that were, you know, sort of larger deals got broken up into smaller transactions or we had to go through more procurement cycles of approval. Something that you typically see when there's uncertainty.

And the section 232 review on semiconductors?

Listen. We are under a semiconductor exemption. I am not an expert to predict what the administration will do.

Thank you.

Thank you, Simon. Next question. The next question comes from Ananda Baruah with Loop Capital. Please go ahead.

Yes, guys. Thanks for taking the question. Just one for me, George, you may have covered some of this context in all of the public cloud context sheets that you've given us. But just GenAI, right, in hyperscale, as those builds grow, as things like Jet AI video continue, well, continue begin to really become prominent, does that like, how does that impact, you know, sort of the value of your software?

And if that really amplifies that whole dynamic. Just sort of hyperscale data centers, GenAI adoption, and video just because I know it's very compute-intensive. How might that and it requires a lot of storage. How might that impact your software business there?

Thanks.

Yeah. Listen, I think thanks for the question. Listen. I think that we see a lot of clients wanting to use their data with a broad range of tools.

You know, the hyperscalers are obviously one of the set of tool chains that they want to use. And so we have a unique position to bring enterprise data to the hyperscaler platform. And because of our flexibility in doing so, more and more people are choosing us. So we had a few different wins this quarter.

I'll talk about a gaming company that is building an AI-powered ultra-realistic game development environment, and they wanted to have a mix of on-prem and public cloud because their developers operate in different parts of the world and all of that. And we were chosen because of our hybrid use cases. With regard to the growth of data related to AI, you know, the inferencing use cases start to generate a lot of data. First, from vectorization of data, where when you take text or video and then convert it into these granular numerical representations of that, you can get much, much larger amounts of data that are created.

And then the second is multimodal datasets obviously get richer and richer, and so you will see data growth. It's early, so I don't want to predict the outcome there. But if you look at the proof of concepts that we have going on with clients, there is clear indication of data growth in those proof of concepts.

That's great. I appreciate it. Thanks.

Thank you, Ananda. Next question. The next question comes from Nehal Chokshi with North Capital Markets.

Yes. Thank you. I want to got a couple questions. First is the 150 AI wins in the quarter. I believe that's up from a hundred last quarter, and it sounds like 30 from a year ago. Have you seen your AI win rate go up, or is this just a reflection of the increase in deal flow AI deal flow?

I think, first of all, the five x number that we are talking up that we mentioned in the call is related to revenue and dollars, not customers. That being said, your comment about acceleration approximately a hundred wins is accurate. We feel very good about our competitive position. Our win rates are very, very strong.

And I think what we are pushing our sales teams to do is to engage in more and more opportunities. Clearly, the range of tools that we have made available to them to compete is much larger. Right? We have a fully refreshed all-flash storage portfolio.

We've got certification across a broad range of technologies. We've got integrated reference, full-stack architectures, and we have a growing amount of AI integration both with, you know, application providers as well as with hyperscaler providers and with NVIDIA's tool chain. So we want more deals to compete in because our win rate is really high. And we are giving our sales teams a lot more tools to compete.

Okay. Great. Thank you. And then other question here is for Wissam. I'm not sure if you talked about it, but you just discuss what was the FX impact in the quarter? And was your expectations for fiscal year 2026?

Yeah. Sure. So for Q4, the FX impact was minimal. It's up sub 1%, so it's not worth mentioning. And for the fiscal year 2026, it's reflected in the guidance. So we typically, you know, use the predominant FX rates, let's say, for where we when we project. And so we'll be talking about it more as the year progresses, I would say. When we start seeing actuals.

So I believe that should be at least about a hundred basis point positive tailwind. Is that correct?

No. Sorry. With respect I'm what I said with respect to Q4 is that the impact is much less than a hundred basis points. So it's like de minimis. That's why I didn't want to I didn't mention it. But I did not give any numbers for FY '26.

Yeah. I guess I was I was referring for a respect to fiscal year 2026. Given current rates, there should be at least 100 basis point positive impact. Is that not correct?

Look, if this is your calculation, that's that that I mean, I won't comment on that.

Okay. Thank you.

You're welcome. Next question. The last question today will come from Lou Miscioscia with Daiwa. Please go ahead.

Okay. Thanks for fitting me in and in essence of time, I'll keep it to just one question. You know, George, you had talked gosh, going back a while ago, maybe a year, that was gonna take time for AI to really ramp up. And, obviously, you've given full-year guidance for this year.

But do you think that as we get to the following year, I'm not really looking for guidance with inference really starting to ramp, enterprise is starting to buy AI servers that will get a step function of growth for storage due to AI. Let's base it maybe say, you know, calendar '26, either first half or second half or something.

Listen. What we said is that we believe the real value of AI if it is to grow at the rate that it's growing, has to deliver business impact to organizations. Right? And I think that business impact really comes from the use of tool chain for inferencing and reasoning models and agentic AI.

I think the overall AI market has been in the hey. We gotta get the large language models, which I think are, like, enabling tools ready. And we are now starting to see some of those tools get implemented in use cases for the enterprise. Of course, you know that some of those use cases are more mature than others.

Think what we have seen in our business is the first phase of the enterprise is getting ready to use AI, which is hey. I gotta get my data infrastructure in a good place. I wanna unify my data. I wanna catalog it.

I wanna know lineage. I want to have privacy control. We are seeing that. It's in the early phases of the large enterprise, and we see that, you know, expanding quarter by quarter.

There are more enterprises engaged in those discussions with us. With regard to how it plays out, it really depends on the business value and impact that these use cases have on the enterprise. Obviously, if they are transformative business value, there will be super rapid adoption, and you can see that, you know, over the next twelve to eighteen months. But I'm not the expert on the business value.

Right? We gotta wait and see what our clients tell us about the impact on that.

Okay. Thank you. Good luck, and then we'll you.

Thank you so much. Thank you, Lou. I'll turn it over to George for some closing comments.

Thank you to our customers, partners, employees, and investors for your continued support. Fiscal year 2025 marked many all-time highs. All-flash, public cloud, Keystone, support and total revenue, gross and operating profit, operating margin, net income, and EPS. I believe we've reached an inflection point where the growth of all-flash systems and public cloud services, bolstered by the ongoing development of the enterprise AI market, will drive sustained growth.

We are entering FY '26 following a year of market share gain equipped with the strongest portfolio in the company's history, and a clear alignment of our value proposition with customer needs. Looking forward, we believe our focus and strong execution will lead to even more company records in FY '26 and beyond.

The call has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.