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Sentiment · FY2026 Q1
| Analyst | Firm | Questions | ChallengePercentage of questions scored as challenging — where the analyst pushed back, pressed for specifics, or questioned management's assumptions. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Lasser | UBS | 13 | 62% |
| Simeon Gutman | Morgan Stanley | 10 | 50% |
| Rupesh Parikh | Oppenheimer | 7 | 0% |
| Corey Tarlowe | Jefferies | 7 | 14% |
| Kate McShane | Goldman Sachs | 6 | 0% |
| Chris Horvers | JPMorgan | 6 | 17% |
| Joe Feldman | Telsey Advisory Group | 5 | 0% |
| Spencer Hanus | Wolfe Research | 3 | 0% |
| Mike Baker | D.A. Davidson | 2 | 100% |
| Karen Short | Melius Research | 2 | 0% |
| Firm | Analysts | Questions | ChallengePercentage of questions scored as challenging — where the analyst pushed back, pressed for specifics, or questioned management's assumptions. |
|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | 1 | 13 | 62% |
| Morgan Stanley | 1 | 10 | 50% |
| Oppenheimer | 1 | 7 | 0% |
| Jefferies | 1 |
| 7 |
| 14% |
| Goldman Sachs | 1 | 6 | 0% |
| JPMorgan | 1 | 6 | 17% |
| Telsey Advisory Group | 1 | 5 | 0% |
| Wolfe Research | 1 | 3 | 0% |
Target delivered a strong Q1 with net sales of $25.4 billion (+6.7% YOY) and 5.6% comp growth driven by a 4.4% traffic increase, with strength across all six merchandise categories and both stores and digital channels. Merchandising newness drove standout results--baby comp trends accelerated more than 5 percentage points after 2,000 new items launched, wellness grew double digits, and new food items sold 50% above prior assortment--while gross margin expanded 80 basis points on supply chain productivity and lower markdowns. Management raised full-year revenue guidance by 2 percentage points (to ~4% growth) and moved EPS expectations to near the high end of the prior range, though cautioned that Q1 benefited from the easiest prior-year comparison and declining consumer sentiment creates near-term uncertainty.
Guidance Reliability | Competitive Dynamics | Margin | Revenue Growth | Demand | Capex Investment | Pricing | Cost Pressure | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024Q3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 2024Q4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 2025Q1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 2025Q2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 2025Q3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2025Q4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 2026Q1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| '24Q3 | '24Q4 | '25Q1 | '25Q2 | '25Q3 | '25Q4 | '26Q1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guidance Reliability | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Competitive Dynamics | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| Margin | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| Revenue Growth | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
| Demand | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Capex Investment | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| Pricing | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ||
| Cost Pressure | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Company | Score | Trend | Rev YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
TGT Target Corporation | 9 | +6.7% | |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 7 | +11.6% | |
| DG Dollar General | 8 | +5.9% | |
| DLTR Dollar Tree | 8 | +7.2% | |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | 6 | +7.3% |