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Analyst

Andres Sheppard

Cantor Fitzgerald · covers Industrials, Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
40on tracked calls
Challenge rate
0%none of 40 questions
Companies
5questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 40 of 40 questions from 5 companies

LCIDLucid Group, Inc.12 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 12 challenging
LCID company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

what are the milestones that are left regarding the completion of the Saudi plant?

Capex InvestmentProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Napoli distinguished factory readiness (in Lucid's control, on track by year-end) from supplier/infrastructure elements outside its control, declining a firm date.

Calendar 2026 Q1

do you foresee any bottlenecks or any issues to the time line for the construction there?

Capex InvestmentSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Winterhoff said M2 construction never stopped, a few equipment-arrival delays were mitigated, with an update due at Q2.

just to be clear, you'll give us an update in Q2 regarding the production guidance as well as the CapEx guidance.

Guidance ReliabilityCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Winterhoff said Midsize start-of-production timing is also under the guidance suspension but the 2027 ramp is unchanged.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how are you thinking about capital needs and maybe cash burn between now and then?

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Boussaid said the $4.6B liquidity into 1H 2027 approximates cash burn but declined a specific guide, deferring detail to Investor Day.

how should we think about the unit mix for that guidance for this year between Air, Gravity, possibly some midsize?

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Winterhoff said Gravity will be the majority of 2026 production/deliveries, with no meaningful Midsize and only small robotaxi numbers this year.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how the contract with the government of Saudi Arabia, the one up for 50,000 plus, another option for 50,000.

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Winterhoff said deliveries to Saudi Arabia are already underway and will rise in 2026 with Gravity, with the big step-up coming with Midsize.

I'm curious if you can maybe refresh us on near-term capital needs.

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Boussaid clarified the convert maturity and the DDTL are separate; the convert will be refinanced under a plan.

Calendar 2025 Q2

as the macro worsens if you're expecting any changes to initial ASPs once it's available.

Show response

Winterhoff said there is no plan or expectation for Midsize ASP to change, viewing softer EV demand as a temporary phase.

can you just remind us the plans regarding the 2026 convertible that's coming up?

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Boussaid said the plan to refinance in coming quarters is unchanged, targeting late 2025 or early 2026 while watching market conditions.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how should we think about the breakdown between the Sedans and the Gravity, both in terms of maybe production

Show response

Winterhoff said Air sales stay roughly steady with growth coming from Gravity; Boussaid added ASPs should improve into 2H as Gravity mix rises.

can you remind us again kind of the plan to address the convertible bonds maturing in 2026?

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Boussaid declined to specify timing, emphasizing an opportunistic approach after the successful convert transaction.

Calendar 2024 Q4

what does the path to profitable gross margins look like from a timeline perspective?

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Dhingra pointed to scale (20,000 vs 9,000 production) and cost transformation for significant margin improvement but gave no precise range or timeline.

ACHRArcher Aviation Inc.10 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 10 challenging
ACHR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

what are the key synergies that investors should be aware of?

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Adam laid out a portfolio strategy: the defense side offers faster paths to revenue and cash flow that can fund the larger but slower-to-scale civil air-taxi business, reduce burn and minimize dilution, enhanced by the Wisk, Insitu and SkyGrid capabilities.

how are you thinking about commercialization of Thunder and Halo and how might those be complementary to Midnight?

Show response

Adam said Archer builds the base Halo platform, which Anduril missionizes for defense (Thunder), while Halo also serves civil customers (search and rescue, offshore energy, e.g. Marubeni); the goal is a low-cost, scalable platform reusing Midnight technology.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm curious if we can get an update on piloted transition flight. Any updates there? Or when should we be targeting it?

Innovation & R&DProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Benjamin Lyon confirmed the piloted VTOL campaign is expanding rapidly and guided piloted transition and EIPP operations to the second half of the year, noting the hover regime was cleared faster than any prior phase.

But how should we think about defense and autonomy for Archer going forward?

Innovation & R&DProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Tom Muniz answered directly: Archer is building a clean-sheet hybrid aircraft with Anduril for a distinct dual-use mission with specific payload, speed, range and cost targets, targeting large defense down-selects this year.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how are you thinking about those projects? Like what would you call a success?

Regulation PolicyProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Adam framed eIPP success as an industry-wide win, many aircraft flying across multiple cities to build public acceptance, hoping California, Texas and Florida are picked but stressing no single city determines success.

Calendar 2025 Q3

help us flush out your latest vision for commercialization in the UAE and through your Launch Edition.

Geographic ExpansionRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Adam detailed the UAE Launch Edition, initial 7-figure cash payments, and 2026 revenue recognition, with UAE certification targeted as early as Q3 2026.

Calendar 2025 Q2

curious if you can just remind us your vision for commercialization in the UAE, kind of how do you see that unfolding?

Geographic ExpansionRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Adam detailed the UAE ramp: signed agreements, first Midnight delivered in June, hot-weather flight testing, pilot training with Etihad and infrastructure prep. Direct.

Calendar 2025 Q1

You've mentioned now that Ethiopian Airlines will be maybe its second customer.

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Adam confirmed broad international interest but deferred specifics, saying Archer will have more to report in the coming months and quarters.

why don't we touch on launching in the UAE by year-end? Just curious if you can help share your vision

Geographic ExpansionProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Adam described a low-level, point-to-point operation with a handful of aircraft; Tom added the GCAA cert pathway overlaps existing FAA work. Substantive.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how do you see your test flights ramping up throughout the year on a larger scale?

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Adam said first piloted flight is the near-term goal with multiple aircraft entering test later in the year, but gave no dates.

LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.10 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 10 challenging
LUNR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I think it's roughly about 10% or so of the total LTV contracts that have been awarded.

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Framed LTV as a $4.5B/10-year, 3-vendor award slowed by the lack of heavy-cargo landers; building a heavier Nova variant. Direct.

what are the milestones left between now and the launch window? And how confident are we in that Q1 '27 launch window?

Show response

Walked through remaining tests (engine hot fire, laser sensor suite) and the October Delta FRR gating a Q1 2027 launch; direct.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how owning an additional ground station changes your ability to deliver the end-to-end space data services

M&AGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Altemus said Goonhilly/COMSAT add up to 44 dishes reaching 2 million kilometers and let the company lead a global ground segment; direct.

what capabilities differentiated the combined Intuitive machines and Lanteris platform and the selection process

Competitive DynamicsM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Altemus credited combined KinetX precision, the 1300 Series bus and satellite-servicing/robotics for the Andromeda win; direct.

Calendar 2025 Q4

at a high level, what are the things that Intuitive Machines, Inc. can do now that maybe it could not do previously?

M&AInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Altemus answered the capabilities half broadly (satellite buses, data-relay reuse, PPE repackaging) and reiterated the LTV award feels imminent.

Calendar 2025 Q3

could help explain what this means for SDA and Golden Dome opportunities now as a combined company

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Anand (on for Andres) asked about SDA/Golden Dome; Steve said the 300 Series fits the proliferated-LEO tracking layer and the combined offering is unique versus other vendors.

what other news and opportunities do you expect to pursue and unlock?

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Steve said he is most excited about integrating the businesses and building a new space prime that disrupts the sector with commercial, agile, affordable solutions.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I saw the news from Secretary Duffy and NASA looking to get a nuclear reactor on the moon

Innovation & R&DRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Steve said IM is one of three teams developing fission surface power (a 40-kilowatt reactor) and framed it as part of the infrastructure-services pillar and a race with China.

Calendar 2025 Q1

elaborate a bit on the IM-2 milestones that you expect to recognize in Q2, including the success payment

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Steve quantified about $14 million of constrained IM-2 success payments, expecting roughly half to close in Q2 and some into Q3.

Calendar 2024 Q4

maybe you could elaborate a little bit further on some of the data that you were able to procure from the IM-2 mission

Innovation & R&DProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Steve described Nokia Bell Labs' payload as a full success, validating space-hardened cellular network technology on the lunar surface.

RKLBRocket Lab USA, Inc.7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
RKLB company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how are you thinking about ASPs going forward?

Show response

Spice said Neutron was brought to market at a $50-55 million ASP with no significant early discounting, and given the supply-demand backdrop there is more upside to ASPs than downside across Neutron, Electron and HASTE.

Calendar 2026 Q1

what are the key items that are pending that investors and ourselves should be tracking

Show response

Beck said the key visible milestones are large vehicle sections going on test stands; customers already trust Neutron before first flight.

Calendar 2025 Q4

does this include the 40% of revenue from SDA Tranche II 10% of maybe the Tranche III?

Show response

Spice said all SDA contracts, including the unrecognized Tranche III award, sit in backlog, with several Neutron flights also reflected.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you remind us the revenue recognition associated with the FDA tranche two award.

Show response

Spice confirmed the SDA tranche 2 recognition shape (10/40/40/10) is on track, with tranche 3 timing delayed by the shutdown.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what does the revenue recognition look like for the SDA tranche 2 awards, both for this year and for next year?

Show response

Spice sized SDA tranche 2 contribution at roughly $150 million to $200 million in 2025, with a similar figure in 2026.

Calendar 2025 Q1

with the international space budgets growing, how do you expect this can benefit Rocket Lab?

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Beck sees international benefit primarily from Europe, with Japan already Electron's second-biggest market.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how confident are you in launching this year? And as we look into 2026, how should we think about the revenue mix

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Beck expressed confidence in a 2025 launch; Spice detailed a remix toward launch as Neutron scales in 2026.

RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
RIVN company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

do you expect any changes to ASPs, particularly off the R2 line?

PricingProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

RJ said a heavier van mix will lower the blended ASP in the second half, while R1 ASP is trending positively on Quad and Tri-Motor take rates, and R2 variant mix will be managed to preserve a healthy ASP.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
LCID Lucid Group, Inc.120%none of 12 questions
ACHR Archer Aviation Inc.100%none of 10 questions
LUNR Intuitive Machines, Inc.100%none of 10 questions
RKLB Rocket Lab USA, Inc.70%none of 7 questions
RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • LCID
    Lucid Group, Inc. · 12 questions
    0%none of 12 questions
  • ACHR
    Archer Aviation Inc. · 10 questions
    0%none of 10 questions
  • LUNR
    Intuitive Machines, Inc. · 10 questions
    0%none of 10 questions
  • RKLB
    Rocket Lab USA, Inc. · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • RIVN
    Rivian Automotive, Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q440%none of 4 questions4
2025 Q160%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q260%none of 6 questions5
2025 Q360%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q450%none of 5 questions4
2026 Q170%none of 7 questions4
2026 Q260%none of 6 questions4
  1. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  2. 2025 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  3. 2025 Q26 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  4. 2025 Q36 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  5. 2025 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  6. 2026 Q17 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  7. 2026 Q26 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Product Launch13
  • Demand8
  • Geographic Expansion7
  • Revenue Growth7
  • Innovation & R&D6
  • M&A5
  • Competitive Dynamics4
  • Pricing4
  • Guidance Reliability4
  • Capital Allocation4
Show all 15 topics
  • Credit4
  • Capex Investment3
  • Regulation Policy2
  • Supply Chain1
  • Margin1