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Analyst

Bryan Burgmeier

Citigroup · covers Industrials, Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
28on tracked calls
Challenge rate
0%none of 28 questions
Companies
5questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 28 of 28 questions from 5 companies

RSGRepublic Services13 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 13 challenging
RSG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Are there any changes to your underlying assumptions for the core solid waste business

DemandCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CFO said price, volume and inflation are in line with initial expectations; the guidance raise was driven by fuel recovery fees, acquisitions and commodity prices.

Calendar 2026 Q1

are you expecting or forecasting any impact to EBITDA in 2Q from fuel? And then can you just help us frame maybe the margin impact

Cost PressurePricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO explained fuel recovery fee lags fuel expense by approximately 1 month, expects recovery to kick in Q2. Objective is to recover full cash impact including indirect costs like transportation and CapEx.

can you maybe just provide some details on how you're thinking about 2Q. I just want to be mindful of the wildfire comps, the fuel impacts, M&A integration

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO confirmed Q2 margins flat to slightly down year-over-year due to project-related landfill volume comps, but underlying business would have shown margin expansion excluding those volumes.

Calendar 2025 Q4

you could touch on your sort of inflation expectations across some of the major buckets, labor, maintenance, repair

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Brian guided to 3.5% overall cost inflation across buckets, implying 50-100bps price-cost spread with 4-4.5% yield on related revenue.

trying to gauge that sequential recovery maybe into '26

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jon noted longer sales cycles mean current pipeline wins surface in H2, plus historically low emergency response activity creates potential upside.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I think that's a little bit different than your Polymer Centers, is may be more of a reclaimer

M&AInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jon described it as a unique acquisition connecting to the West Coast Polymer Center and bottling value chain, with broader plastics M&A more likely in 2027+.

Should we continue to expect kind of those mid-single-digit declines in the top line or just the pipeline that you're mentioning

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jon believes ES has bottomed, with Q4 margin performance in the same range, before building up in 2026. A major prior-year ER job creates a tough Q4 comp.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how Republic has historically sort of mitigated the impact from higher wages? What that could sort of look like flowing through the P&L

Labor MarketMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jon emphasized wages already competitive with single-digit turnover in affected markets, framing the disruption as localized rather than systemic.

Are you able to share sort of what comprises the estimated impact that you forecasted

Labor MarketCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jon identified two main costs: additional labor from redeploying employees to cover disrupted areas, and customer credits in markets with protracted disruptions.

Calendar 2025 Q1

on one hand, leverage is still pretty low, but then on the other hand, the macro outlook is quite uncertain

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

John emphasized through-cycle M&A mindset with double-digit unlevered cash-on-cash return screens and permanent infrastructure assets.

Maybe what went better than you expected? It seems like it's maybe all-time high margins, and I guess we normally don't think about Q1

Show response

Brian attributed margin beat to price-cost spread plus favorable mix as construction softness removed lower-margin work while special waste volumes were strong.

Calendar 2024 Q4

is it fair to say there's almost another sort of leg up for this business since it's fully integrated

Show response

Jon confirmed ES growth trajectory intact, with M&A paused in 2024 to allow integration but resuming in 2025 with organic cross-sell opportunities.

was just wondering, Jon, if you could touch on the margin bridge year over year for 2025

Show response

Brian detailed headline ~30bps expansion masks ~60-70bps underlying strength after commodity headwinds, deal costs, and CNG credit non-renewal.

WMWaste Management10 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 10 challenging
WM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how did that compare to your original expectations? And are you assuming a step up or step down in the second half?

Labor MarketCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Morris confirmed labor inflation landed inside the planned 4% to 4.5% range and used it to frame sub-2% collection cost growth as outperformance.

Do you think we start to see some revenue growth in the third quarter after you lap those pricing actions?

Revenue GrowthPricingMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Morris said the revenue headwind is moderating and pricing is improving but did not commit to Healthcare revenue growth turning positive in the third quarter.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I thought that Footnote h seemed to say that maybe discussion on the 2027 financial targets would be put on hold for a little while

Guidance ReliabilityMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jim clarified Investor Day 2027 numbers were estimates, not detailed guidance. Hard to predict commodity prices 18-24 months out. Nothing concerning on 2027 horizon. Consistency of performance has been WM's strong suit.

can you give us an idea of maybe the level of margin expansion that you're looking for in collection and disposal this year

Show response

John confirmed 50bp same-store margin improvement target for C&D. Strong price-cost spread continuing to expand margins despite some noise from wildfires and landfill accretion.

Calendar 2025 Q3

What do you think maybe it takes to make flexible plastic recycling work at scale? Do you think we need EPR legislation

Innovation & R&DRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Tara clarified WM proved the technology works but market economics don't support it yet. Requires broader minimum content legislation with teeth plus CPG companies willing to pay premium over virgin. Fee-for-service recycling model is different from manufacturing PCR product.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Is that sort of back on the table for this year? Or should we think about margins being maybe closer to flattish year-on-year, similar to 2Q

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Devina expects 110bp full-year C&D margin expansion, with H2 moderation from landfill volume mix. Healthcare Solutions drag lessening by 10-20bp in H2.

Are we still kind of maybe looking in the range of 50 basis points of growth year-on-year

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

John confirmed volume guidance maintained at 0.25%-0.75% midpoint despite Q1 headwinds and Q2 wildfire/franchise dynamics.

Calendar 2025 Q1

It just seems like the spread maybe between core price and yield is widening a little bit

PricingRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

John attributed the wider conversion gap to California wildfire volume in special waste and softer industrial business, but noted sequential improvement.

I was wondering if you could shed a little bit more light on your outlook for 2Q

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Devina detailed 100bp base business margin expansion (50bp price-cost + 20bp recycling + 30bp overcoming fuel credit headwind). Q3 expected strongest margin quarter.

Calendar 2024 Q4

do you think the earning sensitivity will kind of scale with earnings growth or do you think the new earnings will rely maybe more on processing fees

Innovation & R&DMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Devina explained automation savings are commodity-independent, processing fee floors limit downside, and price premiums from cleaner output add further insulation.

BALLBall Corporation2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
BALL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

maybe some reports like energy shortages or material shortages. Just curious if that region has been impacted at all by what's going on in the Middle East

Supply ChainGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rabbitt confirmed no material disruptions in India. Plants running at capacity with recently added capacity at one plant and announced additions at the second. Imports still required as industry cannot fulfill all demand locally.

Curious if there's any impact to Ball from sort of the latest changes announced early last month, specifically just thinking about covering some of the derivative products

Trade TariffsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Lewis described recent tariff derivative changes as de minimis with slight positive for filled beverage imports. Section 232 remains the primary aluminum cost driver.

IPInternational Paper2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
IP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

if you could maybe share some high-level thoughts on sort of the supply-demand outlook in Europe. I think we've seen some closure announcements, maybe higher energy prices kind of pressure -- high-...

Supply ChainCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

European demand about 1 point softer than expected but still positive. Consumer hesitancy from inflation and Middle East conflict uncertainty. Fourth quartile European producers very likely under cash cost, seeing temporary shutdowns, furloughs, some closures. Capacity slowly coming out but no mass pivot expected. EUR100 price increase worth ~$300M annualized will overcome short-term energy squeeze.

Just curious if there was any change in demand kind of throughout the quarter into April, just following the kind of cost spike that took place in March

Show response

No major demand change through Q1 into April. January US pop-up was inventory snapback from Q4 drawdown, now normalized. US market down 0.3% in Q1, expected basically flat for Q2 and balance of year. IP will outpace market by about 2 points. Europe expecting 0.5-1 point of market growth. IP slightly behind EMEA market in Q1 as they held on price.

AVYAvery Dennison1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
AVY company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

does Avery ship a meaningful amount of products from Canada and Mexico in or out of the United States?

Trade TariffsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CEO detailed limited direct exposure, regional procurement model, global network flexibility, and specific China/Mexico dynamics.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
RSG Republic Services130%none of 13 questions
WM Waste Management100%none of 10 questions
BALL Ball Corporation2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
IP International Paper2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
AVY Avery Dennison1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • RSG
    Republic Services · 13 questions
    0%none of 13 questions
  • WM
    Waste Management · 10 questions
    0%none of 10 questions
  • BALL
    Ball Corporation · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • IP
    International Paper · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • AVY
    Avery Dennison · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q440%none of 4 questions3
2025 Q140%none of 4 questions2
2025 Q240%none of 4 questions2
2025 Q330%none of 3 questions2
2025 Q440%none of 4 questions2
2026 Q160%none of 6 questions3
2026 Q230%none of 3 questions2
  1. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q14 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  3. 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  4. 2025 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  6. 2026 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  7. 2026 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Margin11
  • Pricing7
  • Guidance Reliability7
  • Demand6
  • Cost Pressure5
  • Labor Market3
  • Supply Chain3
  • M&A3
  • Innovation & R&D3
  • Revenue Growth2
Show all 16 topics
  • Trade Tariffs2
  • Geographic Expansion1
  • Competitive Dynamics1
  • Macroeconomic1
  • Regulation Policy1
  • Capital Allocation1