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Analyst

Damian Karas

UBS · covers Industrials, Technology

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2025 Q3 (4 quarters).

Questions
27on tracked calls
Challenge rate
7%2 of 27 questions
Companies
5questioned at least once
Reporting periods
4with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 27 of 27 questions from 5 companies

TDYTeledyne Technologies8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 8 challenging
TDY company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

where do you suspect kind of growth could line up in 2026 if the current conditions kind of remain?

MacroeconomicGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Bullish on 2026. European defense growing (5,100 European employees, $500M European defense revenue). Nano drone cumulative $500M by end of 2026. Machine vision recovering with lower cost structure. T&M recovering. Power generation providing tailwind.

Could you just perhaps elaborate on that? What do you think is driving the improvement? And have you been seeing those trends continue into the fourth quarter?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

MV cameras +11%, sensors +5%, scientific cameras slightly down (export issues). Net +3.4%. DALSA/e2v stabilized after cost restructuring. FLIR Defense hitting every milestone. Positive about entire DI segment.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Would you maybe be able to elaborate a little bit? Was there any pricing or business mix factors, productivity?

Show response

Legacy A&D margins strong with excellent execution. Acquired companies (Micropac, Qioptiq) improving sequentially each quarter per standard playbook. 47 acquisitions ex-FLIR compressed from 9x to 3.4x EBITDA through margin improvement.

The book-to-bill is strong. I think this is the second quarter of 1.1 book-to-bill or higher. But yet you still really only have, I think, modest organic sales growth factored into the second half.

ChallengingDemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

FLIR strong but DALSA/e2v still recovering from downturn. Cost restructuring underway. Book-to-bill looks good partly because base revenue is lower. Longer-cycle DI growth more of a Q4/early 2026 event.

Calendar 2025 Q1

have you taken any price actions so far or made any adjustments in your supply chain to offset some of this cost inflation that you expect to creep in?

Trade TariffsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Multi-pronged approach: DoD exemptions for Canadian unmanned vehicles, USMCA analysis, location optimization for assembly, and pricing pass-through. Inventory buffer delays cost impact. Volume grew 2.3% in Q1 even with some pricing actions already taken.

Have you actually started seeing any slowdown in Digital Imaging and Instrumentation over, say, the last month since all this tariff news and the tit-for-tat started? Or are you just kind of derisk...

DemandTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Some existing weakness in T&M and China exports, but the 1% GDP assumption is largely precautionary. Acknowledged uncertainty in sizing the impact.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Could you maybe give us updated thinking about potential policy implications? There's the question of tariffs in China and Mexico. And the US government is certainly an important customer of yours ...

Trade TariffsRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Tariff impact estimated <half of 2022's $100M supply chain cost. Will offset through pricing and efficiency. DOGE favors Teledyne: purchase order business, unmanned platforms, standard products vs customized solutions.

I was wondering if you can maybe just give us a little bit better sense for the order trends that you've been seeing? Are there any areas that have maybe picked up more meaningfully than you had ex...

Show response

Overall 1.04. Instruments 1.12 (marine 1.23, environmental 1.09, T&M ~0.95-0.99). FLIR 1.03, legacy DI 0.97. A&D 0.96, ES 1.16. Camera book-to-bill positive for 3 quarters. Machine sensor recovery expected H2 2025.

AOSA. O. Smith6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
AOS company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

it feels like you've been underperforming and maybe experiencing greater headwinds than the broader industry

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsMacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
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Steve gave a candid assessment: local competitors have improved, online channels are growing (a headwind for premium positioning), and shifts in how consumers buy are challenging the traditional distribution model.

Could you give us a sense relative to last year where the volumes came in that you shipped?

Show response

Chuck detailed industry tracking similar to last year with 53/47 front/back cadence expected. AOS performance slightly below industry due to production smoothing, expected to recover in H2.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if like on the tankless side of tariffs might actually present an opportunity to kind of accelerate your position in North American tankless

Product LaunchTrade TariffsCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Chuck confirmed premium condensing tankless already producing in Juarez with two more products planned this year. Kevin noted this acceleration was always the plan, tariffs just accelerated the timeline.

have you your 6% to 8%. Is this kind of like already executed like a round of increases?

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Chuck confirmed pricing is announced and in market. Acknowledged this tariff-driven pricing is a different dynamic than past steel-driven increases given varied competitor exposures.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I was wondering if perhaps you saw a fall off of in North American water heater shipments in December

Show response

Kevin avoided directly confirming December weakness, instead framing it as a back-half timing issue against record 2023 comps.

so you did see positive pricing in North American water heaters in the fourth quarter, or was that comment more of a full year comment?

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Chuck confirmed positive pricing across all categories in 2024 as planned. Acknowledged some situational discounting but nothing out of the ordinary.

LIILennox International6 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
LII company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

when the dust settles on 2025, where do you think you'll be in terms of the emergency replacement market share

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO disclosed emergency replacement grew nearly 100% in Q3 and now represents 5% of BCS revenue. Expects multiple years of continued growth with full seasonal readiness for 2026.

what's your sense on when those inventory levels will be more normalized? Is that gonna happen kinda sooner rather than later

Show response

CEO explained contractors had built multi-week inventory buffers during COVID that they're now shedding as industry lead times improved to 1-2 days. Destocking took management by surprise but reflects improved supply chain.

Calendar 2025 Q2

could you maybe share some of the early feedback you've gotten from your dealers on the water heater business? And what's a reasonable expectation for the pace

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO said dealer feedback is very positive. Product launches Q1 2026 with meaningful growth in 2027. Major acceleration expected in 2029 when electric water heaters over 35 gallons must be heat pump based.

are you still expecting to more or less give back all of the share gains from last year? Or has your view changed at all there

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO acknowledged some share was likely given back in Q2 due to canister shortages but expressed satisfaction with overall position. Not banking on keeping all share but expects to retain some.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Could you just maybe talk a little bit about how your pricing actions have been aligning with what you're seeing from your peers

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed pricing actions are in a tight range with competitors. Lennox has a competitive advantage on mini-splits sourced from Korea rather than China via Samsung JV.

Calendar 2024 Q4

the free cash flow guidance. So cash flow obviously came in a good bit better than you had expected in 2024

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
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CFO explained FCF conversion at 85% midpoint is below the 90% historical target due to inventory reinvestment and elevated CapEx, expecting a return to 90%+ in 2026.

ZBRAZebra Technologies5 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
ZBRA company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

any particular reason why you think some orders might have come in earlier in the second half? Anything to do with tariffs

Show response

Burns attributed earlier orders to customers needing product to meet peak season demand, not tariff-driven pull-forward. E-commerce and retail drove earlier ordering. Characterized it as timing, not pull-in. Full year delivering nearly 6% organic growth and 17% EPS growth as expected.

I was wondering if you could maybe speak a little bit to the large project funnel, what you're seeing out there, what conversations you're having

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Burns said demand trajectory is consistent with prior quarter. Customers maintaining CapEx and executing planned projects but not accelerating future ones due to macro and trade policy uncertainty. Some spreading purchases over multiple quarters. Uneven demand across verticals and geographies.

Calendar 2025 Q2

is that kind of Zebra's internal assessment? Or are you maybe hearing that in your dialogue with customers

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
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Winters said customers haven't directly flagged the tax bill yet. Benefits around R&D deductibility and 100% first-year CapEx deduction need time to be assessed and allocated. Could lead to more capital purchases in H2 but it's early.

Could you talk about how their business cyclicality has compared with Zebra historically? And I think you're moving into a little bit more of a competitive space

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Burns noted Elo has more balanced quarterly seasonality versus Zebra's Q4-heavy pattern. Different competitors in a fragmented market. Elo is a North America leader with expansion opportunity via Zebra's global reach. Revenue and cost synergies expected.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if you think that any of that might be related to, you know, some pull forward of demand, you know, maybe customers trying to tie up some loose ends

DemandTrade TariffsInventoryTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Burns denied pull-forward behavior. Winters added that distributors have no incentive to pre-buy since ZBRA adjusts existing inventory pricing when increases take effect.

PNRPentair2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
PNR company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

John, I think I heard you say pool pricing kind of has been holding up. Could you guys just confirm that you didn't see any sequential decrease in pricing in the full segment?

Show response

CEO confirmed prices held with no challenges. Did not implement incremental increase for potential China tariff bump. Q3 price was bumping against a large prior-year price increase comp.

you got three points of price overall. Could you just talk about, you know, was there much variation in that? Across residential and commercial versus industrial?

PricingRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO confirmed price reading out across all three Flow sub-segments. Industrial growth driven by food & beverage and sustainable gas on easier compares with improved operational performance enabling top-line pursuit.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
TDY Teledyne Technologies813%1 of 8 questions
AOS A. O. Smith617%1 of 6 questions
LII Lennox International60%none of 6 questions
ZBRA Zebra Technologies50%none of 5 questions
PNR Pentair2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • TDY
    Teledyne Technologies · 8 questions
    13%1 of 8 questions
  • AOS
    A. O. Smith · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions
  • LII
    Lennox International · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • ZBRA
    Zebra Technologies · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • PNR
    Pentair · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q450%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q160%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q2825%2 of 8 questions4
2025 Q380%none of 8 questions4
  1. 2024 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  3. 2025 Q28 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q38 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 4 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand13
  • Competitive Dynamics9
  • Pricing6
  • Trade Tariffs6
  • Revenue Growth5
  • Inventory4
  • Macroeconomic4
  • M&A2
  • Guidance Reliability1
  • Margin1
Show all 13 topics
  • Product Launch1
  • Capital Allocation1
  • Regulation Policy1