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Analyst

Doug Harned

Bernstein · covers Industrials

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
71on tracked calls
Challenge rate
20%14 of 71 questions
Companies
10questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 71 of 71 questions from 10 companies

GDGeneral Dynamics12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 12 challenging
GD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how do you think of having that portfolio of aircraft with commonality?

Product LaunchPricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Phebe addressed portfolio strategy and learning-curve benefits but declined the pricing element, as is longstanding practice.

When you go forward, how do you see growth now across geographies?

Geographic ExpansionRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Phebe quantified the outlook: double-digit growth at European Land Systems and OTS carrying the group to high-single-digit growth.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how do you see this as sort of getting on the way to the goal of, say, 2 deliveries per year for Virginia class

Show response

Danny confirmed production rates up significantly but declined to share specific rates or exact timing for reaching 2 Virginia + 1 Columbia per year target.

can you separate what items led to that growth, such as sort of mix pricing, throughput improvement, additional labor funding

Revenue GrowthSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Danny attributed marine growth primarily to throughput improvement in both labor and material, not pricing or milestones.

Calendar 2025 Q4

the revenues are great. You know, clearly, it appears your throughput's going way up. You know, the Navy has been pushing so long to get throughput up, get back to the two Virginia class per year rate

Supply ChainCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Confirmed throughput is up with improved efficiency and retention at Electric Boat, but supply chain remains the gating factor, particularly sole-source suppliers with capacity bottlenecks

the backlog story was really strong, and clearly, European demand is very high. And our assumption would be that that kind of demand growth would continue. When you look at the scale of the backlog...

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Indicated 2026 will be largely planning and engineering R&D work on European awards, with revenue growth accelerating in 2027 when production begins, citing smooth transition path with resources and personnel in place

Calendar 2025 Q3

do you expect to be doing more investment there? And could this be beyond just ground vehicles into other areas?

Capex InvestmentGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Confirmed existing European facilities sufficient for current growth, emphasized discipline of sticking to core competencies in tactical bridges and combat vehicles

Can you talk a little bit about what has driven those? Have those been related to design changes, supply chain, labor

Supply ChainProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Identified supply chain fragility from low-rate to quintuple production as primary delay driver, cited government funding improvements and training investments showing results

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you talk about the increased funding, both that and what we may see in the '26 budget, and how you can get that to translate into higher throughput

MarginCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Linked margin improvement to supply chain stabilization, cited productivity improvements on deck plates and complementary funding for training, wages, and productivity

the big increase you saw in revenues in Q2, that's unusual to see that large of a jump there

Show response

Attributed 22% revenue growth to construction volume mix of 60% Virginia-class and 40% Columbia-class, characterized as timing plus increasing shipyard performance

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you comment a little bit about how you're seeing the trajectory ahead on vehicles, both U.S. and international?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Affirmed strong demand for wheeled and tracked vehicles with FMS as a significant driver, noted Stryker underfunding in FY2025

does the responsibility then go to you to resolve a very complex infrastructure problem?

Supply ChainCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Corrected premise that GD infrastructure is the problem, pointed to industrial supply chain with Navy and Congress proactively funding improvements

NOCNorthrop Grumman10 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
NOC company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

the center of services committee has talked about now a an IOC sort of at the 2033. This this has continued to push out, and I know a lot of this is related to Air Force infrastructure

Product LaunchGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Warden working with Air Force to accelerate timelines vs Nunn-McCurdy breach schedule. Program remains in development for several years with production transition later in decade. No impact on current 2-3 year guidance window.

the the margin guidance, the load of mid single digit. Digit guidance for this year was a little lower than I think many of us expected

MarginProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Crews explained AS margin pressure from B-21 at 0% margin and TACOMO development work driving growth, while higher-margin mature production (F-35, E-2D) flat. Long-term path to 10% remains intact as LRIP exits and development shifts to production.

Calendar 2025 Q3

is that funding that you expect would go more to Air Force, I'm probably using the wrong language here, but logistics building out

DemandCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Warden expects funding to flow to both government entities (Army Corps of Engineers, etc.) and the industry team for their respective work scopes.

as the timing for IOC has moved back, how does that affect your thinking and when you would be going into production mode

Product LaunchGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Warden highlighted Stage 2 motor test completion and launch support CDR. New silo construction decision (not re-using Minuteman III). Rebaseline in progress.

Calendar 2025 Q2

you had a really strong quarter for margins as you described, really, really good performance. But when you look at the guidance increase for the year, it's pretty small

ChallengingMarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Crews explained the operational strength was partially offset by higher effective tax rate from R&D credit limitations in the reconciliation bill.

There are big additions in funding for B-21 and Sentinel. What we're trying to understand is if you look at that very strong funding profile

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Warden said reconciliation spending front-loaded, with B-21 $4.5B, Sentinel $2B, and E-2D $1.5B providing tailwinds starting as early as this year.

Calendar 2025 Q1

the changes that you're talking about and the costs that are coming through. Should we expect any impact in the next nineteen airplanes

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Warden confirmed NTE units expected profitable. Process change costs won't extend to NTE and should positively impact production capability. Material cost risk could affect NTE profitability.

You've talked about IVCS and ten billion dollar potential international demand. Can you talk about how that's proceeding

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Warden outlined US Army fielding including Guam, Poland expansion to near-range, dozen countries in pipeline, and IBCS role in Golden Dome response.

Calendar 2024 Q4

the Rocket Motors has been a big issue kind of industry wide. Clearly, you have your own capability there. How do you see the Rocket Motor portion

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Warden confirmed capacity expansion through late 2026, with demand expected to consume all capacity from both stockpile replenishment and new weapons.

you've made a number of changes there. Kathy, could you describe what we should think of as Defense Systems sort of the theme there?

Competitive DynamicsCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Warden explained DS now centers on strategic deterrence, weapons, and missile defense after divesting training and moving sustainment to AS.

BAThe Boeing Company8 questions · 7 reporting periods · 2 of 8 challenging
BA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

at what point do you expect the supply chain challenges to become more difficult as you go through those rate breaks?

Supply ChainMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CEO named 52 to 57 as the harder stretch and wings as the internal watch item; CFO tied margin recovery to pricing drag rolling off and mix.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you say anything about Spirit on this as you integrate?

Show response

Ortberg expressed satisfaction with Spirit integration, noting quality improvements from Spirit enabling quality gains at Boeing. Malave confirmed biweekly functional team meetings tracking well.

I'd like to see what you can say about the process and time line to get to 47 and 52

Revenue GrowthSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ortberg outlined clear 42→47 (this summer) path leveraging inventory buffer. 47→52 requires North Line activation, FAA authorization, new hiring, and supply chain alignment as inventory buffer burns down.

Calendar 2025 Q4

what are the hardest breaks to get to and, you know, what are the biggest challenges

ChallengingSupply ChainCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ortberg said 42 to 47 should be manageable with inventory buffer, but 47 to 52 requires supply chain harmony. Spirit needs capacity investment, acquisition gives Boeing more control. Seats remain 787 constraint.

Calendar 2025 Q3

what needs to be done to go to 12 to 14 a month? And then the investment you're discussing today is that related to the 10 a month

Capex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ortberg said doubling Charleston manufacturing footprint for rates in the teens, not needed for rate 10. Targeting 2028 for expanded facility utilization.

Calendar 2025 Q2

that seems like a very ambitious target given Boeing hasn't really done that in the past. It's been more 9- to 12-month type intervals

ChallengingSupply ChainCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ortberg cited fourth Everett line for Dash-10 and large inventory buffer as confidence factors. Supply chain generally at higher rates already. Will prioritize stability over speed.

Calendar 2025 Q1

can you describe how you and others are interacting with Washington to get around get out of this tariff environment and what are you hearing back

Trade TariffsRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ortberg detailed extensive daily engagement with administration. Confident in eventual negotiated agreements but cannot predict timing. Working to ensure China doesn't derail recovery.

Calendar 2024 Q4

when you look beyond the 38 a month to 42 and subsequent rate breaks, how are you thinking about what you need to get done

Supply ChainLabor MarketTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ortberg said people resources are not the concern; supply chain readiness is the key risk. CEO-level engagement with suppliers ensuring they invest in capacity for future rates.

TXTTextron8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
TXT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

is this something that is a sort of a step change upward in that goal?

Show response

CEO characterised it as an intensification of existing make-buy practice, using spars as the named critical component.

do you see the issues basically supply chain and some of the internal labor issues as if you could resolve those quickly

Supply ChainLabor MarketTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CEO reaffirmed the 200-unit equilibrium goal and demand support for it, but gave no timeline for closing the gap.

Calendar 2026 Q1

can you give us a sense at all of kind of the timing and scale of potential new opportunities over the next few years

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Atherton said Flight School Next decision within 90 days, representing a 25-year opportunity. H1 and V-22 sustainment with nacelle improvement and structural upgrade programs. Bell 525 certification expected to drive commercial growth toward end of decade.

what do you see as the underlying differentiated capabilities there and the types of programs that you see you're best positioned for as you look longer term

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Atherton highlighted Sentinel as key Tier 1 supplier to Northrop Grumman scaling into production. ARV and XM-30 ground vehicle competitions to be decided in 2-3 years, expects to win position on one or both. These underpin Systems' multi-year growth trajectory.

Calendar 2025 Q3

the mix of deliveries across business jets, it's been pretty stable over the last 2 years. I mean I would have expected more of a shift toward the Latitude and Longitude

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Donnelly said mix is currently more capacity-constrained than demand-driven. End market demand stable across portfolio. New product launches like CJ4 Gen2 and CJ3 Gen2 create order spikes in specific segments.

how would you characterize demand mix in terms of corporate versus high net worth individuals? Have you seen any shift there

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Donnelly said no demand shift between corporate and high net worth despite macro noise. Long lead times of 18-24 months have a muting effect on short-term uncertainty. Demand remarkably stable across all segments.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Where are you directing that? Is that connected at all to MV25? Or is that on the commercial side

Innovation & R&DCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Donnelly said commercial R&D focused on 525 completion, military R&D on high-speed VTOL/DARPA SPRINT. MV-75 now fully contracted under EMD.

could you describe your discussions with corporate customers? Because on one hand, they've got uncertainty in this environment, this tariff environment on when to make capital investments

DemandTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Donnelly said net environment is positive. Corporate world healthy, flying strong, aftermarket robust. Customers are flying and buying.

HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries7 questions · 5 reporting periods · 6 of 7 challenging
HII company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

took guidance up by a pretty large amount, $500 million, quarter-over-quarter, how much of that was due to this new award

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Stiehle said the raise was driven mostly by run rates at both yards and execution confidence, not the award, citing quarterly shipbuilding growth of 18%, 19.6%, 9.7% and 15.8%.

Calendar 2025 Q4

When you look at it from a shipbuilding standpoint, do you need more? Or are you in already a good position given the large amount of funding that's come in?

ChallengingCapex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Kastner confirmed additional capital is required at Newport News for both submarine and carrier throughput ramp. Plans to partner with Navy on funding. Distributed shipbuilding expansion also requires investment.

your margins are still pretty low. You know, Tom, you mentioned the two negative EACs on the CVN program. But when you look across the programs at Newport News, my assumption is you're working hard...

ChallengingMarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Stiehle explained Newport News margins are suppressed by advanced procurement material on contracts with restricted margins. As contracts are definitized and new awards come with incentives, margins will ramp. Pre-COVID portfolio working off through 2027.

Calendar 2025 Q2

You had a big quarter for shipbuilding in Q2 revenues. And you're looking at 20% better throughput this year, you're getting -- should be getting some money from the Block V award. But your guide f...

ChallengingRevenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Kastner explained most throughput improvements (wages, outsourcing to 2M hours, Charleston) are back-half weighted. Noted potential upside if all throughput commitments are met.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how to take that money and convert it into a plan that can address what you -- say, on the Virginia-class U, Electric Boat and the whole infrastructure needs to happen

ChallengingCapex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Kastner described the FY24 two-boat contract as a thoughtful product of multi-year Navy-shipbuilder collaboration with targeted investments in wages, workforce development, and submarine build rate acceleration.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how much of that would you attribute to inflation versus other operational challenges if you're, you know, looking back at that 9% to 10% projected level

ChallengingMarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Kastner acknowledged inflation's broad impact across cost structure but couldn't give a specific number, noting it affects workforce experience, supply chain efficiency, and long-term contracts.

do you still see it as possible to get back to those 9% to 10% type margin levels that have been more traditional, or are we living in a different world now

ChallengingMarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Kastner expressed strong confidence citing post-Katrina Ingalls turnaround precedent, noting the Navy customer is receptive to fair margins and Congress added $5.7B in anomaly funding.

GEGE Aerospace6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
GE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

an airline that is in difficult financial straits and cannot do an overhaul versus simply reductions in flying hours that could take some dollars out of LTSAs

MacroeconomicCreditTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Culp acknowledged the range of scenarios without tethering to one, emphasized backlog resilience and increased customer risk monitoring, but did not quantify specific LTSA or credit risk exposure.

Calendar 2025 Q4

CFM56 and GE90 are very mature engines. Is this turnaround time improvement for both internal and third-party shop visits

Supply ChainMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Larry said turnaround time improvement is internally oriented, driven by 40% supplier input improvement and FLIGHT DECK standard work. Priority suppliers delivering at 90%+ to commitments takes noise out. Shows up in more completed shop visits (top line) and productivity unlock (margins).

Calendar 2025 Q3

what gives you confidence in that because you're still in the very early days of PRSVs

ChallengingMarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Larry cited supply base improvements, durability kit field performance, and cost reductions from productivity. Rahul added 30% YoY internal LEAP shop visit growth expected to continue, external channel up 2x, repair technology investments, and durability kit getting LEAP-1A to CFM56 levels.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I wanted to make sure to clarify when you said LEAP services profitability should be comparable to overall service profitability or specifically the CFM56

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Rahul clarified LEAP margins target overall service margin levels, not CFM56 specifically. Cited LEAP-1A durability now at CFM56 levels and 60-70% of GE90/GEnx fleets under profitable long-term service agreements as confidence basis.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if you can comment some on the interactions that you've had or perhaps others in the industry have had with the administration

Trade TariffsRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Larry confirmed direct engagement with senior officials including the President, advocating for the $75B trade surplus and zero-tariff regime since 1979.

Calendar 2024 Q4

when you talk about low double-digit to mid-teens next year, that's a little better than you were talking about before

Revenue GrowthSupply ChainTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Larry acknowledged broad-based demand, noted supply chain is the constraint not demand, and said upside is possible if execution improves.

Show 4 more companies
HWMHowmet Aerospace6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
HWM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how quickly can one respond to demand in terms of sort of signing a deal and then actually delivering products on that

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

John said committed investments deliver 2026-2027 growth, but brand-new gigawatt-scale IGT capacity carries roughly two-year lead times, arriving 2028-2030.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I'd like to understand sort of how your thinking has evolved when you look ahead over the next 5 years with engine products

DemandCapex InvestmentCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Plant gave comprehensive 5-year view: commercial aero backlogs extend beyond 2030, defense expanding into missiles/drones, gas turbine thinking shifted from cyclical to structural growth. 3 of 4 large turbine OEM agreements completed.

you just reached a record EBITDA margin of 34%. In [ branding ] products. Are you near a ceiling with this?

Show response

Plant declined to predict future margins, citing 1,500+ new engine hires in 2026 as near-term drag. Sees opportunity for flow-style gas turbine production improving yields toward end of decade.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how does that depend on getting long-term agreements in place such as with Mitsubishi? And basically, where do you stand on this process?

Cloud & AIDemandMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Plant confirmed IGT margins match aerospace. Agreements now in place with three of four major turbine OEMs. Aero derivative turbines becoming significant for data center power.

Calendar 2025 Q1

In Q4, you had good margins in Fastening Systems and Engineered Structures. This quarter, they're even much better.

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Plant gave detailed example of process control improvements in forging metals, furnace temperature, and chemical composition yielding 10-15% production increase with major scrap reduction.

Calendar 2024 Q4

you came up with EBITDA margins of 28% roughly. I mean, this has kind of been a big step up

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Plant gave a thorough explanation attributing margins to productivity, commercial discipline, and upcoming wide body mix tailwinds. Confirmed margins haven't peaked yet.

LHXL3Harris5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 5 challenging
LHX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you talk about how you're looking at your own R&D investment going forward

Innovation & R&DCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO outlined 2.5-3% company-funded R&D plus $1B+ CRAD contracts and Shield capital investments, totaling about 10% of revenue. Noted new Falcon 5 radio coming with high data rate capability.

Calendar 2025 Q4

when you look at tranche three, there are three of your peers also on there

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Kubasik emphasized speed and scale advantages with 200K+ sqft of new manufacturing. Supply chain cited as key challenge. DOW expected to favor companies with existing capacity.

Calendar 2025 Q2

can you give us a picture of what the major pieces of that were and how that breaks down by segment

Show response

All segments above 1.0 book-to-bill: AR ~2.0, SAS close behind, IMS and CS 1.1-1.3. Strong orders across solid rocket motors, space propulsion, FAA, ISR, and international comms.

Calendar 2025 Q1

are we gonna see these negative impacts, I guess, on margins and see that dissipate, as we head into 2026-2027?

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Bedingfield confirmed tens of millions in negative EACs on classified programs, expected to be resolved in 2025 or early 2026. SDA business profitability improving tranche by tranche.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Where is this going to – where is the potential in margin expansion here? Because it seems like you've got a lot of the ingredients in place

MarginProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Both Kubasik and Bedingfield addressed CS margin sustainability, citing software waveform upgrades and C2/C3 systems as growth drivers.

RTXRTX Corporation5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
RTX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

How do you see this higher demand today in terms of what the shape of that trajectory can look like

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Calio said scaling munitions output hinges on the supply chain; multiyear framework orders would give suppliers the visibility to invest ahead of rates.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how should we think about the longer term margin at Pratt? Because on one hand, you have that benefit, but as AOGs start coming back, you may have two other effects

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Calio confirmed V2500 shop visits staying ~800 with low retirements and strong content growth. GTF aftermarket margin expansion key, aided by durability improvements, GTFA certification, and hot section plus retrofit entering MRO in 2026. Mitchill noted GTF fleet now as large as installed V2500 fleet.

Calendar 2025 Q3

are you kind of where you want to be already? Or can we see more upside from here on margins as you go forward

Show response

Calio noted $50B reconciliation funding for Golden Dome and munitions not yet in backlog. Supply chain health is the key constraint to converting demand into further margin upside.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you talk about how you see this trajectory going forward, given that one of the issues had been on performance on some fixed price development programs

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Mitchill attributed margin improvement to favorable international mix with FMS/DCS up ~$500M. Foreign backlog composition up 2 points YoY. New bids contemplate current cost structure.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Can you comment on the timing in which we should see that backlog flow into revenues?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Mitchill noted core Raytheon land/air defense up strong double-digits, offset by expected lower development program volume. Calio highlighted co-production partnerships as competitive advantage in Europe.

LMTLockheed Martin4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 3 of 4 challenging
LMT company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

how do you get comfortable about that seven-year ramp that the support will be there? And if I can extend it a little bit, do you see the opportunities on some of the other MFC programs that you ha...

ChallengingDemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jim cited two confidence builders: seven-year authorization already advancing in Congress for 4-5 missile systems, and make-whole provisions in framework agreements that remediate ROI and cash flow if procurement strategy changes mid-term.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how do we get comfortable that those issues are behind you? What have you done across those businesses so we can get pretty confident that this growth trajectory can be executed

ChallengingCost PressureMarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jim described program-by-program risk reduction: Sikorsky charges taken to clear legacy risk, MFC past key test points, Aero classified 'drowned in talent' with chief engineer assigned. Emphasized no more must-win programs.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is this a business that we could foresee having an extended high single-digit growth rate over the next few years, given that backlog?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Evan confirmed strong ramp on JASSM/LRASM to 1,100 by 2027, PAC-3, GMLRS. Jim mapped high-growth lines through end of decade including PRISM ($5B IDIQ), FBM (double-digit CAGR), and NGI.

Calendar 2024 Q4

if we should see some reductions in quantities in the U.S. are you still very confident you're going to be able to continue with that 156 level?

ChallengingDemandRegulation PolicyCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Jim cited China's J-20 production exceeding 100/year, Israeli Air Force 5th-gen success, F-35 fleet age above 25 years requiring recapitalization, and manned-unmanned teaming capability.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
GD General Dynamics120%none of 12 questions
NOC Northrop Grumman1010%1 of 10 questions
BA The Boeing Company825%2 of 8 questions
TXT Textron80%none of 8 questions
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries786%6 of 7 questions
GE GE Aerospace617%1 of 6 questions
HWM Howmet Aerospace60%none of 6 questions
LHX L3Harris520%1 of 5 questions
RTX RTX Corporation50%none of 5 questions
LMT Lockheed Martin475%3 of 4 questions
  • GD
    General Dynamics · 12 questions
    0%none of 12 questions
  • NOC
    Northrop Grumman · 10 questions
    10%1 of 10 questions
  • BA
    The Boeing Company · 8 questions
    25%2 of 8 questions
  • TXT
    Textron · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • HII
    Huntington Ingalls Industries · 7 questions
    86%6 of 7 questions
  • GE
    GE Aerospace · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions
  • HWM
    Howmet Aerospace · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • LHX
    L3Harris · 5 questions
    20%1 of 5 questions
  • RTX
    RTX Corporation · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • LMT
    Lockheed Martin · 4 questions
    75%3 of 4 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q41127%3 of 11 questions8
2025 Q1911%1 of 9 questions8
2025 Q21225%3 of 12 questions9
2025 Q31020%2 of 10 questions7
2025 Q41338%5 of 13 questions9
2026 Q180%none of 8 questions5
2026 Q280%none of 8 questions6
  1. 2024 Q411 questions · challenge rate 27% (3 of 11 questions) · 8 companies
  2. 2025 Q19 questions · challenge rate 11% (1 of 9 questions) · 8 companies
  3. 2025 Q212 questions · challenge rate 25% (3 of 12 questions) · 9 companies
  4. 2025 Q310 questions · challenge rate 20% (2 of 10 questions) · 7 companies
  5. 2025 Q413 questions · challenge rate 38% (5 of 13 questions) · 9 companies
  6. 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  7. 2026 Q28 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand24
  • Margin20
  • Supply Chain16
  • Revenue Growth12
  • Capex Investment12
  • Competitive Dynamics11
  • Guidance Reliability10
  • Product Launch8
  • Geographic Expansion6
  • Regulation Policy4
Show all 20 topics
  • Cost Pressure3
  • Trade Tariffs3
  • Labor Market2
  • Macroeconomic2
  • Innovation & R&D2
  • Cloud & AI2
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  • Pricing1
  • M&A1
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