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Analyst

Duffy Fischer

Goldman Sachs · covers Basic Materials

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q2 (8 quarters).

Questions
47on tracked calls
Challenge rate
6%3 of 47 questions
Companies
8questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 47 of 47 questions from 8 companies

APDAir Products13 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 13 challenging
APD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

when you brought that online, it was supposed to contribute about $1.35 of EPS per year. Is that still a good number?

Capital AllocationDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Eduardo said the contribution is in the ballpark, probably a little lower, but declined detail citing Aramco confidentiality; expects no financial impact from the incident. Melissa noted Jazan is a financing receivable that declines over time.

Calendar 2026 Q1

in the quarter, how much was the benefit from the reduced D&A for moving it out of the segment?

MarginCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Melissa quantified D&A benefit at approximately 1-1.5% and past-due collections also approximately 1-1.5% tailwind. Actively pursuing sale of those assets.

When do you think under 2 scenarios that your helium pricing stops being negative? One, if there's a fairly quick resolution with Qatar

PricingSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Eduardo expects helium pricing to bottom by fiscal year end. Signing longer-term agreements averaging 3 to 5 years as customers value supply reliability.

Calendar 2025 Q4

what was the benefit from moving them to for sale -- and then what's the expectation for kind of timing?

Capital AllocationGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Eduardo quantified 1% benefit from gasification assets held for sale. Sale process ongoing with offers received; expects completion within fiscal year.

could you just talk about how much the kind of continuing business is still down? And how much of a headwind do you think that will be kind of in Q2 and throughout the rest of the year?

Supply ChainPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Eduardo noted better-than-expected quarter driven by strong aerospace helium demand. Full year ~4% EPS headwind forecast unchanged. Working to increase volumes through new accounts especially in electronics.

Calendar 2025 Q3

What is your view on the helium industry going forward? Do you think we've stabilized at this point?

Supply ChainPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Eduardo expects further decline in FY2027 but at reduced pace, with that being the likely trough. Storage cavern investments by major players should help regulate market after BLM exit.

of that 11% growth underlying, can you break that out kind of new projects, price, efficiencies, how you deliver that?

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Eduardo broke out FY2026 growth as ~2-3% from new assets (Asia and Americas), with the balance split roughly half and half between price and productivity.

Calendar 2025 Q2

do you think this is still kind of a multiyear down cycle or can we stabilize as we get into 2026?

Supply ChainPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Eduardo debated structural vs cyclical change. BLM exit changed market dynamics, but major players installing storage caverns should help regulate. Expects further decline in FY2027 but possibly the lowest point.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Can you help size the earnings contribution from helium today? And basically, how you see that contribution progressing kind of out through your '26 to '29 period?

Supply ChainPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Eduardo explained helium is not a separate segment so specific P&L not available. Operating income from helium is still significantly higher than pre-COVID (2015-2018) despite recent declines.

Calendar 2024 Q4

you need the second-half to be about $1.50 per share better than the first half. Can you give us a walk

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Melissa cited seasonality, Uzbekistan return in Q3, pricing actions, volume capture, and productivity program execution as second-half drivers.

if you looked at the Americas excluding that one time sale of helium, what would price and volume have been in Q1?

Show response

Melissa gave qualitative rather than quantitative breakdown, noting strong non-helium pricing and strong hydrogen and merchant volumes.

Calendar 2024 Q3

Is that more an indication of just what's happening generally supply/demand is a little bit out of whack? Or is that still the hangover from helium prices falling

PricingSupply ChainTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Seifi acknowledged both supply-demand imbalance and Russian helium supply contributing to Asia price weakness.

none of that headcount is really running through the P&L in the EPS that you guys delivered last year. All of that is basically being capitalized?

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Melissa clarified vast majority is capitalized but some support costs flow through P&L. Noted 1,000 headcount reduction already taken through productivity actions.

LINLinde plc7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
LIN company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

the impact that you have seen on your business and on your customers from what is happening with the Strait Of Hormuz

Supply ChainMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Sanjiv detailed helium supply navigation and new contracts but said normalization would be slow, extending into early next year.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how do you see this supply shock playing out differently than what the Russian supply shock did and how long would the straight have to be closed

PricingSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

White detailed Q1 helium: roughly flat sales, pricing down a few percent YoY but rising post-conflict. Two distinct issues: Strait of Hormuz (Qatar, potential multi-year damage) and Russia (more political, Chinese market impact). Already securing long-term agreements.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Maybe if you could just go around the rest of the world. You talked a little bit about Europe and maybe about your end markets

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Sanjiv gave detailed global walk. US resilient with sales up across almost every end market. China merchant business grew above published IP. India strong across all end markets. Brazil standout in LatAm. Canada flat. ASEAN flat. Australia stabilizing. Management slightly more positive but guidance conservative.

Calendar 2025 Q3

could you take a peek into next year? You've got, obviously, the Q4 guide out. That is a baseline to springboard into '26

Guidance ReliabilityCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Sanjiv deferred detailed 2026 guidance to February after rigorous planning process in 2 weeks. Confirmed backlog is strong input for continued growth. Variable will be macro outlook.

Calendar 2025 Q2

could you take some time and just go geographically and by end markets kind of what you're seeing and what you expect to see in the back half of the year?

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Sanjiv gave detailed global walk: Americas flat to slightly up with US metals/chemicals positive, Europe continued softening with no catalyst, China mixed, India bright spot.

Calendar 2025 Q1

It was two years ago, you guys rolled out the slide where you talked about $50 billion of opportunity around clean energy

Capex InvestmentRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Sanjiv reaffirmed $8-10B near-term target, about halfway through. Differentiated blue hydrogen (primary focus, 45Q supported) from green hydrogen (5-7 years out).

Calendar 2024 Q4

Roughly, what is the leverage if IP is up or down 1%? How much EPS does that generally drive for you?

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Matt explained base volume tracking to IP, higher leverage in developing markets. Sanjiv gave detailed global walk: Americas low-single-digit, Europe softening, China flat, India growing.

SHWThe Sherwin-Williams Company7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
SHW company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you guys were up about $0.40 of EPS. And at the midpoint in the second half, you are up a little more than a dime.

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Meisenzahl attributed the narrower second-half increase to easier prior-year comps in the back half and the raw material ramp, not to demand.

Calendar 2026 Q1

going from kind of low single digits to low to mid, what is that based off of vis-à-vis spot prices

Cost PressureSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jim Jaye detailed pressure concentrated in solvents, resins, and petrochemical-based commodities. Noted TiO2 less impacted and over 80% of sales sourced in North America.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I just want to understand the margin implication of Suvenil coming in and the cost-cutting programs.

Show response

Ben guided to muted margin through Q3 2026 (similar to Q4 level) then normalization after Suvenil anniversary; ongoing integration costs expected.

Calendar 2025 Q3

The other 4 businesses all accelerated in the third quarter in their growth rate.

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Heidi attributed acceleration to differentiation and share gains in unprecedented environment, not delayed pricing rolling through.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Would you expect the pain from the lower operating rates to be evenly distributed between the two segments or you know, might we get kind of a disproportionate burden in CSB?

MarginSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Al confirmed Consumer Brands absorbs the production deficit in H2; costs get re-standardized in January with some flowing to Paint Stores and PCG; SHW maintaining factory headcount to preserve capabilities.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Just trying to understand a little bit better the interplay between the pricing, cadence this year and the cost cadence.

PricingCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Al said more price room to run but offsetting tariffs is volatile; price increases going in across other segments too to help offset total cost basket.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Question on price. So last year you asked for five in February. This year you asked for five in January.

Show response

Al said 2024 price effectiveness took longer than planned to reach typical rate; learned from that with more discipline and customer lead time; expects better first-half price effectiveness and some annualization tail from 2024.

PPGPPG Industries6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
PPG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

So when was peak sales for that business? And how much are we down from that peak sales period on a run rate basis?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Answered the mix question directly but deferred the specific peak quarter to IR follow-up.

Calendar 2026 Q1

when you anniversary Q2 revenue will be down about 10%, has that done anything structurally to the margin there?

Show response

Knavish confirmed no massive restructuring needed from refinish decline. Expects outstanding operating leverage on snapback in H2. Go-forward: low single-digit revenue growth business driven by expanded TAM (digital tools, Moonwalk, Allied products giving bigger target beyond just coatings), share gains, and value capture. Industry volume structurally minus 1 to minus 2 but PPG will outperform. Excellent EBITDA and cash generation machine.

Calendar 2025 Q3

What are their margins like today? Obviously, they're lower than the segment because refinish is so high. But relative to, let's say, the company average

MarginCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Knavish revealed aerospace is nicely above Performance Coatings segment average (like refinish), implying PMC and traffic are below. Aerospace elevated spending expected for a couple more years; PMC shorter. Morales emphasized both are mid-to-long cycle businesses positioning on the front end of growth curve.

Calendar 2025 Q2

your raw materials seem to be a little bit more inflationary than peers

ChallengingCost PressureFxTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Knavish cited 2 differentiators: Mexico purchasing (FX-driven dollar-denominated raw material costs) and epoxy exposure (pre-April tariff-driven inflation). Morales added that Mexico business can price through that inflation, so bottom-line impact is limited.

Calendar 2025 Q1

If you look at the last 4 years, you were kind of down mid single digits, up mid single digits, down low single digits, up low single digits. So that business seems to have gotten much more volatil...

PricingDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Knavish firmly stated lumpiness doesn't impair pricing due to total value proposition around body shop productivity. Attributed volatility to 2-step distribution model with independent distributors managing their own cash flows. On lower collision claims, noted PPG's best-in-class productivity tools and allied products (double-digit CAGR) offset industry headwinds.

Calendar 2024 Q4

can you help us kind of with the shape the year-over-year either EPS or EBIT, whichever way you want to look at it

Guidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Knavish confirmed H1 behind, H2 ahead. Lopez provided recast quarterly EPS for 2023 and 2024 to help analysts model the new segment structure.

CTVACorteva5 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 5 challenging
CTVA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

How much working capital are you willing to put out this year relative to last year?

Show response

David noted SG&A up ~$100M in Q1 with about 25% from bad debt. Credit managed strategically customer-by-customer, leveraging industry-leading barter program.

You are holding your expectation for corn acres flat, but nitrogen is what has really ripped in the last couple months

ChallengingDemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Judd explained LatAm safrinha is double-cropped after soy, not a corn-or-soy choice. Flat safrinha reflects a pause in multi-year expansion, and a million-acre shift would be less impactful than in NA.

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you just go by your major crops on Seed in major geographies where you saw either market share gains

Competitive DynamicsGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Judd confirmed share gains in North America corn and soy, mid-single-digit share gains in Brazil summer and safrinha, nice recovery in India rainy corn, and share gains in EMEA sunflower and corn. Positive impact in almost all regions. E3 on soybeans was not part of Bayer discussions.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I was hoping you could give me a view on how you did market share-wise in the northern hemisphere on the big crops

Competitive DynamicsGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Judd confirmed share gains in both corn and soy, with soy share gains exceeding corn. Conkesta at 8-10% in 2025, targeting double digits in 2026, potentially 1/3 of Brazil soy market by 2030.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if you're pitching this to the seed multipliers down there, you could look -- is the efficacy against bugs better with your product

Competitive DynamicsProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Judd said both technologies are competitive. Shift to multipliers expands penetration faster than branded-only. Growers want choice and multipliers want another option for their customers.

DOWDow Inc.5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
DOW company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how much volume did you sell relative to what you had available in Q2? Are you constrained on volume to sell more?

Supply ChainInventoryTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Carter said planned cracker maintenance constrained volume and Dow deliberately held back some volume to maximize margins; the low-cost Terneuzen 3 restart aids H2.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I believe Sadara is up for its debt midyear this year. So can you just give us some details about operationally how Sadara is looking

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Fitterling said Sadara running safely, no cash payments to lenders expected in 2026, ample liquidity through facilities. Strategic review with Aramco to complete in 2026. Still sees $1B uplift from Alberta at maturity.

Calendar 2025 Q3

your guide for Q4, what are you baking in for ethane pricing doing in the U.S.? How much of that $0.05 do you have baked in

Cost PressurePricingTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Fitterling said $0.04 ethane in guide, assets will run hard in Americas. Gas moved by weather; production strong. Wildcard is whether ethane gets into US-China trade negotiation.

Calendar 2025 Q2

can you just talk about on the anticompetitive stuff which product chains are being most impacted there?

Competitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Fitterling cited polyurethanes, chlorine, aromatics, and starting in PE. Brazil/LatAm taking action, Europe on EVs. Carter confirmed all July price increase baked into Q3 guide.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how much release do you think you can get on a full-year basis from working capital this year?

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Working capital expected to be $300-400M use of cash in 2025. Other assets/liabilities line down $900M YoY primarily from long-term tax payables and audit reassessments.

Show 2 more companies
MOSMosaic Company (The)3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
MOS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

for this crop year, what's your best estimate for how much below normal phosphate application was for North America

DemandSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Wang estimated North America application down close to 15% last year and a further ~20% cut this year, over 30% below normal. Brazil forecast down 30% at nutrient level, with yield impacts already emerging.

Calendar 2026 Q1

What's going to be the cost impact of running the phosphate segment at the lower operating rates in Q2

Cost PressureCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Luciano revealed pre-curtailment trajectory was approaching $90/ton (below Investor Day target range). With curtailments, H2 likely $105-$110 range. Even with curtailments, cost per ton declining due to New Wales post-turnaround improvement. Confirmed $300-$500M working capital release still expected with production curtailments offsetting higher raw material inventory values. Q2 costs between current level and H2 target.

Calendar 2025 Q4

do you think you'll be able to price for that higher sulfur as we go through this planting season

PricingCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Bodine acknowledged pass-through limitations but viewed stripping margins above $300 as constructive given mid-cost-curve positioning. Wang noted US DAP prices stable while international market seeing price increases with India and China government subsidies. International DAP netback currently at premium to NOLA. Mosaic can pivot exports to capture international pricing.

LYBLyondellBasell1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
LYB company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

How high do you think that needs to go to balance supply/demand

Show response

Peter argued PE demand is resilient in inflationary scenarios since packaging demand holds even in recession, consumers eat at home more, requiring more packaging. PE remains lowest cost alternative vs other materials which also get more expensive. Kim noted PP is $0.60 below 2021 pricing with significant upside and 70%+ of PP market impacted. Called PP the sleeping giant.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
APD Air Products130%none of 13 questions
LIN Linde plc70%none of 7 questions
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company714%1 of 7 questions
PPG PPG Industries617%1 of 6 questions
CTVA Corteva520%1 of 5 questions
DOW Dow Inc.50%none of 5 questions
MOS Mosaic Company (The)30%none of 3 questions
LYB LyondellBasell1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • APD
    Air Products · 13 questions
    0%none of 13 questions
  • LIN
    Linde plc · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • SHW
    The Sherwin-Williams Company · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions
  • PPG
    PPG Industries · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions
  • CTVA
    Corteva · 5 questions
    20%1 of 5 questions
  • DOW
    Dow Inc. · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • MOS
    Mosaic Company (The) · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • LYB
    LyondellBasell · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q320%none of 2 questions1
2024 Q460%none of 6 questions5
2025 Q150%none of 5 questions5
2025 Q2520%1 of 5 questions5
2025 Q370%none of 7 questions6
2025 Q470%none of 7 questions6
2026 Q1911%1 of 9 questions7
2026 Q2617%1 of 6 questions6
  1. 2024 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  3. 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  4. 2025 Q25 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  5. 2025 Q37 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  6. 2025 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  7. 2026 Q19 questions · challenge rate 11% (1 of 9 questions) · 7 companies
  8. 2026 Q26 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 6 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Pricing15
  • Supply Chain12
  • Demand11
  • Margin8
  • Cost Pressure8
  • Capital Allocation6
  • Competitive Dynamics6
  • Macroeconomic4
  • Revenue Growth4
  • Guidance Reliability4
Show all 18 topics
  • Geographic Expansion4
  • Capex Investment4
  • Inventory1
  • Credit1
  • M&A1
  • Fx1
  • Product Launch1
  • Regulation Policy1