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Analyst

Gary Mobley

StoneX · covers Technology

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).

Questions
55on tracked calls
Challenge rate
5%3 of 55 questions
Companies
10questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right. See how we grade analysts on earnings-call questions.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 55 of 55 questions from 10 companies

MPWRMonolithic Power Systems14 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 14 challenging
MPWR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

I just want to confirm that the distribution inventory is still within that normal 5- to 8-week range.

InventorySupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Balow said channel inventory is at the lean end of the range and internal inventory days fell as revenue ramped without limiting the business.

So should we think about that in terms of the revenue velocity exiting fiscal year '27?

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Balow said capacity is kept ahead of demand but declined to translate it into a 2027 revenue ramp.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how much content you have in these 800-gig optical modules and I assume maybe of rack switches

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Tony confirmed module-level content in optical modules (higher value than discrete) and multiple power opportunities across switches, NIC cards, and other rack components, but declined to give dollar content.

Is it still lean relative to where you would normally place your distribution inventory and then as well, maybe if you can talk about the sort of inflationary relating pricing trends

Show response

Channel lean through 2025 into 2026, implying end-market pull. On pricing, selective increases where input costs rose or customers requested expedited supply chains, targeting margin profile maintenance.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Maybe if you can give us a sense of what drove that. Was that just share gains

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Bernie attributed 26% growth despite enterprise data decline to best technology and services across all end markets, a reflection of decades-long diversified strategy execution.

would you say the shape of the year is a little more linear less dependent on the second half?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Bernie confirmed first half is more secure than previously expected but second half still has variables to be shaped. Noted need to distinguish real demand from potential double ordering.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you confirm whether bookings continue to improve sequentially and what are the seasonal considerations

Show response

Bernie acknowledged limited Q1 visibility while pointing to normal drivers for enterprise data and automotive. Michael noted MPS builds inventory ahead of demand due to short customer lead times.

What was the trend sequentially for the September quarter?

InventorySupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Bernie reported flat channel inventory days QoQ, interpreting this as servicing real demand in a quick-turns business environment.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Typically, Q4 might be down, what, mid-single-digit percent sequentially? How do you see it shaping up this year?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Michael dismissed seasonal patterns. Bernie described Q4 outlook as flattish, noting MPS has not actually fulfilled a seasonal down in recent history.

can you remind us what sort of annual revenue you could support with your internal and external capacity?

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Bernie confirmed $4B capacity with 50% geographic balance. Ordering patterns are atypically short-term for a cyclical recovery, not building 1.4-1.5x book-to-bill ratios.

Calendar 2025 Q1

have you seen any sort of uptick in customer order lead times? And related, has that improved your visibility

DemandSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Bernie noted stable lead times with lean channel inventory. MPS holds below its 180-200 day inventory target, with internal inventory at what Michael called unhealthy low levels.

can you give us a sense of how big your business now is in China relative to local indigenous consumption?

Geographic ExpansionCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Michael described a balanced global manufacturing approach with capacity inside and outside China, but declined to give specific China revenue percentages.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Are there any greater than ten percent customers in fiscal year 2024? And if you can't name the customer

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Bernie confirmed two direct distributor customers and one indirect customer above 10% threshold for full year, consistent with 10-Q disclosures.

how big in revenue terms could that be, and if this fiscal year 2026 time frame?

Innovation & R&DProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Michael framed new product categories as multi-billion dollar opportunities collectively but declined to commit to a specific revenue timeline.

ONON Semiconductor14 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 14 challenging
ON company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

how should we sort of think about the incremental gross margin on each dollar of revenue from here on out?

Show response

Asked by Gaurav Saini on behalf of Gary Mobley. Thad laid out the bridge to 53%: about 450 basis points from utilization, 225 basis points from Fab Right, 400 basis points from mix and new products, plus some pricing.

How should we sort of think about the revenue from vertical GaN, EPP and Treo as these new sort of layers of revenue

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Asked by Gaurav Saini on behalf of Gary Mobley. Hassane sequenced the ramps (Treo now, vertical GaN in 2027, EPP later) but gave no revenue sizing for any of them.

Calendar 2026 Q1

At what point do you need to take up your capital intensity above the 5% level

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Trent said no CapEx change expected, mid-single-digit for foreseeable future including 2027. Full utilization at low 90s needs 25-30% higher revenue. Significant capacity headroom exists. Investment already made in prior years.

How pervasive are those pressures? Or asked differently, how pervasive are your pricing adjustments

Show response

El-Khoury said pricing environment better than expected. Passing commodity and energy costs to customers. Surgical pricing on constrained technologies. Trent said pricing impact will show in margin in H2.

Calendar 2025 Q4

maybe if you can share with us a few more specifics on the forward-looking revenue KPIs

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

El-Khoury said book-to-bill trending up, walking into quarter with less turns needed, more expedites than 90 days ago. Strong signals for stabilization but no replenishment yet.

Do you feel like you've built out, you know, rebuilt the product portfolio to the degree you hope

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

El-Khoury said yes, 40V to 1200V native coverage including single 1200V GaN-on-GaN device. Combined with Treo smart drivers for complete portfolio. GaN with integrated drivers covered by Treo.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Is there any change from that outlook?

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Trent confirmed no change from prior outlook. $45M exited in Q3, $55M remaining in Q4. 5% of 2025 revenue won't repeat in 2026.

How do you think that impacts sort of a pricing reset as we transition to the next calendar year?

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

El-Khoury said ON expects normal pricing behavior for 2026. If competitor pricing changes benefit ON, it would be upside. Monitoring the dynamic situation.

Calendar 2025 Q2

How much of a headwind is it for fiscal year '25?

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Trent said $200M exits in 2025 with $100M year-to-date. Overcalled exit pace historically so $100M pushed into 2026. On track through Q2.

I was hoping you can give us an update on the East Fishkill bring up sort of where you're at

Capex InvestmentProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

El-Khoury said EFI power products qualified and shipping, image sensors on track, Treo at 5M units. Margin impact driven by overall utilization, not EFI-specific.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if you could just establish a little more context in terms of what market share position you're coming from

Competitive DynamicsProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

El-Khoury said SiC wins in China are performance-driven, not pricing. Competition is global peers, not local Chinese suppliers. Trench SiC launching 2026.

OPEX could trend down maybe another $5 million per quarter off that $292.5 million base that you're guiding to

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Trent confirmed $5M additional OpEx savings per quarter in Q3 and Q4 from restructuring actions.

Calendar 2024 Q4

any update on your internal sourcing of raw and epi wafers, whether that be internal or external?

Supply ChainInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

El-Khoury said both internal and external supply qualified including 200mm and 350-micron substrates. Full flexibility to balance mix based on geopolitical environment.

if you could talk about pricing trends for some of the core products. I presume you just went through annual price negotiations.

Show response

El-Khoury said no traditional annual price resets occurring. Efficiency gains shared with customers on new products, but no demand-driven price cuts on proprietary products.

CDNSCadence Design Systems8 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
CDNS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

So my question is, you know, what is driving the strong backlog, the strong bookings?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Wall credited healthy design activity, expanded engagements and add-on deals rather than the renewal calendar, with Q4 still to come.

Calendar 2026 Q2

One thing that stands out is what appears to be a, about a 55% increase in your bookings in the first half of the year

DemandRevenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Wall confirmed the low renewal year and credited add-on strength and structural demand drivers, without decomposing the bookings figure.

Calendar 2026 Q1

was the strong bookings in the first quarter a reflection of some add-on sales

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Wall confirmed 2026 is a light renewal year but said these tend to be strongest growth years due to add-on activity. Q1 booking strength was broad-based across all business lines.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I believe there's been an effort to move your SD&A customers into 1-year license terms. And if I'm not mistaken, that's been an impediment to growth

Show response

John Wall confirmed BETA deliberately moved to annual subscriptions in 2025, impacting YoY comparisons. SD&A was 16% of revenue in 2025. Hexagon annualized revenue about $200M, likely ~$150M if closing by end Q1. Not in current 2026 guide.

Calendar 2025 Q3

given that $600 million revenue or $600 million delta in your backlog, how much of that was a function of the inclusion of China backlog versus the prior quarter?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Anirudh confirmed ~$150M (25%) of backlog growth was China catch-up from Q2 to Q3. Remaining $450M was organic growth strength across the business. John Wall confirmed.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I want to confirm that the June quarter ending backlog excludes China

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

John Wall confirmed China bookings excluded from Q2 backlog. Expects record year-end backlog with book-to-bill greater than 1. Q3 and Q4 bookings to exceed revenue.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is more and more tools that you sell like simulation, synthesis, place and route, et cetera, run on generation-based compute and running GPU-based servers

Show response

Anirudh described three-layer compute stack. Offering both traditional licensing and cloud SaaS. Cadence OnCloud packages hardware and software together.

Calendar 2024 Q4

your OpEx guide or your operating margin guide seems to imply the opposite directional change for non-GAAP OpEx

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

John Wall explained merit cycle moved from July to January. Profitability will now improve sequentially through the year (Q1<Q2<Q3<Q4).

SNPSSynopsys8 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
SNPS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

Was that a large deal because it is accelerated compute, runs an accelerated compute versus CPU-based compute?

Revenue GrowthCloud & AIPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Ghazi said Synopsys captures the full value and uplift of GPU-accelerated Ansys simulation (10-60x CFD speedups), with NVIDIA benefiting on the GPU hardware.

Calendar 2026 Q2

have you seen sort of resurgence in that customer base from a renewal activity perspective

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Sassine differentiated between AI-related design starts (growing strongly) and industrial/automotive (revenue improving but design starts still fairly muted). Physical AI sensors/actuators showing early excitement.

When would you expect the first phase of that $400 million in revenue synergies, you know, post acquisition

Show response

Sassine confirmed FY2027 start for semiconductor multiphysics revenue synergies, with $400M base target on track. Physical AI and digital twin thesis accelerating confidence beyond initial plan.

Calendar 2026 Q1

the RPOs are down modestly on a sequential basis. And it's clear that the fourth quarter of last year was a strong bookings quarter

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO characterized RPO decline as normal ebb and flow after strong Q4 bookings. $11.3B backlog gives strong confidence in customer demand visibility.

how do you see the product cycle of ZeBu and HAPS-200 playing out for the balance of the year in comparison to last year

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed strong demand trajectory continuing with ZeBu, HAPS, and EP family addressing complexity of software-defined, configurable systems. Technology differentiation leading the market.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what is the pricing benefit? And do you feel like you're pricing that product correctly

Show response

CEO cited 15x+ speedup for Proteus OPC product on GPU. Pricing based on customer TCO benefit with meaningful price delta. No downside expected given complexity growth.

do you have any supply chain constraint considerations, whether it be from your chip partners or from your EMS partners

Supply ChainProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CFO confirmed no supply chain constraints. Would like more inventory now but can fulfill demand. Supply situation improves into Q4, driving heavy Q4 weighting.

Calendar 2024 Q4

it looks like you're bringing a lot more down to the operating income line than you did last year for each incremental revenue dollar despite the slowdown

Show response

CFO attributed margin expansion to multiyear leverage initiatives including AI adoption, software modernization, and digital transformation.

NXPINXP Semiconductors4 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
NXPI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

should we think about the endpoint or I guess, the milestone for 2027 is about $15.4 billion in revenue?

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jeff Palmer confirmed need to adjust for MEMS divestiture but standing behind 6-10% total company CAGR targets. Design wins going into production increase clarity.

I was hoping that you can give us an update on the integration of Kinara, Aviva, TTTech, how that's progressing

M&AInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rafael gave detailed updates: TTTech redeployed for S32 CoreRide (sampling Q3), Aviva Links has customer awards for production in 2028, Kinara has $1B+ sales funnel with 30+ POCs and revenue expected H2 2027/2028.

Calendar 2025 Q4

what's the impact to gross margin and OpEx

Show response

Bill said MEMS sale involved ~100 people and was below corporate margins, roughly 10-20bps gross margin improvement. Corporate restructuring made room for new acquisition headcount.

for the fiscal year '26 commentary about being on target, is that with respect to 6% to 10% growth or that 2027 destination for revenue

Show response

Rafael acknowledged the 2027 endpoint target, expressed confidence in accelerating through next 2 years after H1 2025 digestion, but declined to guide the specific annual cadence.

IONQIonQ, Inc.2 questions · 1 reporting period · 2 of 2 challenging
IONQ company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Prior to you closing the acquisition, I believe the consensus revenue view was about $610 million.

ChallengingM&ARevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Singh said IonQ's ~$120 million of SkyWater spend becomes intercompany revenue to eliminate; hasn't reviewed SkyWater's numbers post-close yet.

help me reconcile what's changed in the last 90 days? Is it more contribution from some of the acquisitions

ChallengingRevenue GrowthM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Singh said organic (mainly computing) grew 132% and drove the upside, with all product lines contributing.

Show 4 more companies
SWKSSkyworks Solutions2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 1 of 2 challenging
SWKS company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

you still stand behind those revenue forecasts outlined in the S-4 filing? For 2026 and 2027

ChallengingRevenue GrowthM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Phil declined to comment specifically on S-4 revenue projections but reiterated strong bullishness on the combination. Expressed commitment to closing and impatience to get it done.

Calendar 2025 Q1

do you feel any differently today versus what you communicated last quarter with respect to your blended content

Competitive DynamicsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Phil emphasized performance-driven approach. Blended content for upcoming phone unchanged from prior quarter. Utilization varies by factory; ample capacity exists for future growth without new spending.

ARMArm Holdings1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
ARM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

But what about the demand pipeline for the out years, fiscal year '29 through '31?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Rene declined to update out-year figures but said the $100 billion CPU TAM cited in March may have been conservative, with peers now citing up to $200 billion.

QBTSD-Wave Quantum Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
QBTS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you expect to deliver somewhere between two and three annealing systems per year

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Operator introduced Gary Mobley as Benchmark; canonical firm is StoneX. Markovich cited $20M-$40M system pricing, site selection as the gating factor, and roughly two-quarter revenue recognition.

RGTIRigetti Computing, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
RGTI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

What's the prospect for renewal funding -- renewal of the funding for that work and potentially some sort of reengagement

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management pointed to the UK's multiyear ProQure initiative as the path for continued NQCC engagement and investment.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems140%none of 14 questions
ON ON Semiconductor140%none of 14 questions
CDNS Cadence Design Systems80%none of 8 questions
SNPS Synopsys80%none of 8 questions
NXPI NXP Semiconductors40%none of 4 questions
IONQ IonQ, Inc.2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
SWKS Skyworks Solutions2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
ARM Arm Holdings1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • MPWR
    Monolithic Power Systems · 14 questions
    0%none of 14 questions
  • ON
    ON Semiconductor · 14 questions
    0%none of 14 questions
  • CDNS
    Cadence Design Systems · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • SNPS
    Synopsys · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • NXPI
    NXP Semiconductors · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • IONQ
    IonQ, Inc. · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • SWKS
    Skyworks Solutions · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • ARM
    Arm Holdings · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • QBTS
    D-Wave Quantum Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • RGTI
    Rigetti Computing, Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q460%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q160%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q270%none of 7 questions4
2025 Q350%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q4813%1 of 8 questions5
2026 Q190%none of 9 questions5
2026 Q2825%2 of 8 questions6
2026 Q360%none of 6 questions4
  1. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  2. 2025 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  3. 2025 Q27 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q35 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q48 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2026 Q19 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 5 companies
  7. 2026 Q28 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  8. 2026 Q36 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Revenue Growth22
  • Demand18
  • Competitive Dynamics11
  • Margin8
  • M&A8
  • Product Launch7
  • Pricing7
  • Supply Chain6
  • Innovation & R&D5
  • Inventory3
Show all 16 topics
  • Capex Investment3
  • Cloud & AI3
  • Guidance Reliability3
  • Geographic Expansion2
  • Cost Pressure2
  • Regulation Policy1