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Analyst

Jason Celino

KeyBanc Capital Markets · covers Technology

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
58on tracked calls
Challenge rate
12%7 of 58 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 58 of 58 questions from 7 companies

ADSKAutodesk14 questions · 8 reporting periods · 2 of 14 challenging
ADSK company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

what types of renewal activity or expansion activity you're seeing with some of your cohorts?

Guidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2027 Q2 →
Show response

Janesh described a tough year-on-year comp from the largest EBA renewal cohort concentrated in Q4, noting the prior full-year outlook already reflected these cohort dynamics and Q2 execution supported raising the billings outlook. Direct answer.

Calendar 2026 Q2

Did that original framework contemplate a strategic acquisition like this?

Show response

Janesh said the FY2029 margin framework already contemplated acquisitions and they intend to absorb MaintainX while staying true to margin goals. Direct.

Calendar 2026 Q1

a scenario in which AI actually works in architects and civil engineers become efficient and so efficient that these customers don't need to grow headcount

ChallengingCloud & AIDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Andrew outlined multi-level TAM expansion: task automation makes seats more valuable (fewer people, more projects), workflow automation monetizes project-level cross-disciplinary activity through consumption, systems automation reaches the owner's wallet expanding TAM into total project spend.

it's just when I look at the implied Q1 guide ex-currency, ex-model transition benefit, looks like it's deselling by 4 or 5 points

ChallengingRevenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Janesh attributed Q1 deceleration to two factors: near-term sales restructuring impact on billings flowing to Q1 revenue, and Q4 lapping an easier prior-year quarter. Underlying business momentum remains strong.

Calendar 2025 Q4

what type of behavior you've seen so far from, like, a renewal standpoint or if customers are willing to engage earlier

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Janesh said Q3 saw strong customer engagement with expected attach rates playing out. Q4 is largest quarter for EBA renewals plus large product subscription cohort, heavily weighted toward January. Momentum continuing nicely.

what was the inorganic contribution to that normalized number? I'm just trying to understand if there was some modest acceleration

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Janesh confirmed no unusual M&A contribution. Outperformance driven by upfront revenue, Autodesk store strength, and stronger billings linearity. Strong execution across the board.

Calendar 2025 Q3

should we think about it with like a high degree of confidence in the sense that a lot of the sales and marketing leverage is in your control

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Janesh emphasized the target is designed to be achievable under various growth conditions, with strong execution progress on S&M optimization and demonstrated operating leverage.

Help us understand what was the driver here? If there were any subtle improvements?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Andrew attributed strength to AEC (data centers, industrial buildings, infrastructure), strong EBA upfront revenue, Autodesk Store growth, and geographic strength in Middle East and India.

Calendar 2025 Q2

was there any cushion built in for macro or have those assumptions changed, you know, after these 90 days?

MacroeconomicGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Janesh said only two changes: USD depreciation (passed through) and greater macro uncertainty factored in. Core business assumptions unchanged from February.

that growth was 11%. Exiting last quarter, like for like, this metric was up 9%. It actually accelerated a little bit

Show response

Janesh cited AEC strength, EBA upfront revenue, Autodesk store growth as friction eased, and noted Q1 had an easier comp (~1pp) from acquisition timing.

Calendar 2025 Q1

does the revenue guide assume any extra conservatism just on potential of disruption

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Janesh confirmed guidance reflects risk from restructuring and CRO transition, with mitigation plans in place but prudent to factor disruption potential.

Is that still an opportunity for you for this year? And any details on how big of a cohort this might be

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Janesh confirmed both EBA and product subscription multiyear cohorts remain an opportunity for FY26 renewals, consistent with prior commentary.

Calendar 2024 Q4

now that you do have a CFO, do you have any thoughts on when you might hold the next Investor Day?

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Andrew said Janesh needs time to get settled after joining in December, ruling out a spring event but committing to revisiting timing.

some of us are unfamiliar with Janesh. Can you just tell us a little bit more about him and what he brings to Autodesk?

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Andrew gave extensive background on Janesh's experience at Elastic, VMware, Cisco, and PTC, emphasizing optimization at scale as the top priority.

SNPSSynopsys13 questions · 8 reporting periods · 2 of 13 challenging
SNPS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

how would you describe what's driving that incremental acceleration? Is it design start activity?

Revenue GrowthDemandCloud & AITranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Ghazi attributed EDA acceleration to chip complexity, advanced-package/3DIC, an AI tailwind and record hardware, and confirmed the 8%+ is organic.

Calendar 2026 Q2

Help me understand the strength in ANSYS and why you are seeing these mid-teens growth levels

Show response

Shelagh explained the seasonality mechanics: Ansys fiscal year was retooled to Synopsys calendar, making Q1 (old Ansys Q4) seasonally strongest. H2 moderation is mechanical profiling, not demand weakness.

Did you close, you know, any business earlier than expected or see some earlier, you know, drawdowns

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Sassine confirmed IP recovery reflects existing pipeline execution, not pull-forward. Shelagh added that title availability timing from resource redeployment to HPC supports H2 improvement.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I assume that because the divestiture hasn't closed yet, the ARC revenues are included in the sequential improvement that was discussed

Show response

CFO confirmed ARC revenues included until divestiture closes. Declined to provide ARC revenue size.

presumably, this was a core part of your portfolio before and should be well positioned for physical AI

ChallengingM&AInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO explained customers increasingly build own processor IP using Synopsys EDA/hardware tools. Greater growth opportunity in interface IP. GF is a good partner for ARC business.

Calendar 2025 Q4

The embedded organic growth rate in the 2026, you know, guide, I don't know if there's a way for us to, you know, understand what that might be

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CFO confirmed ~8% organic growth rate. Highlighted $110M divestiture headwind (~1.5pp) and muted IP growth. ANSYS at $2.9B midpoint growing double digits.

the operating margin EPS guide is pretty fabulous, you know, even when considering the extra dilution from the NVIDIA investment

Show response

CFO cited 10% workforce reduction largely completing in FY26, accelerating synergies. Margin expansion of ~12pp since 2020 demonstrating sustained focus.

Calendar 2025 Q3

IP historically has been up sequentially for the past two years in Q4. Maybe it's regular seasonality or maybe it was something more specific

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CEO expects transitional and muted IP year extending into FY26 due to China and foundry headwinds not disappearing quickly. Balancing with subsystem opportunities and other scaling actions.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Are you able to speak to the mix, you know, how much is software? How much is IP? And how much is hardware

Regulation PolicyRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO declined to break out regional revenue mix but stated it's similar to global mix. Standard non-disclosure on regional segment detail.

in 2019, when we had the original, you know, ban on Huawei, you know, there was no expense impact because I imagine whatever variable expenses you had were redeployed

ChallengingRegulation PolicyCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO said difficult to conceptualize variable expense impact given global operations. No changes to operations anywhere at this stage.

Calendar 2025 Q1

How should we view these versus the prior iterations. I'm just trying to wonder if we could see an air pocket in demand

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO dismissed air pocket concern, FPGA refresh cycles faster than custom chip. Customers buying prior gen plus new capacity. CFO clarified Q4 weighting is supply availability, not demand.

compared to 90 days ago when you initially set guidance, have your assumptions changed at all

Regulation PolicyGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO clarified planning assumptions unchanged, only the communication evolved from 'around corporate average' to 'below corporate average' for China.

Calendar 2024 Q4

it's coming in sequentially down from Q4. It sounds like you had a pretty strong hardware quarter for Q4, but maybe can you just explain kind of the seasonality

Show response

CFO attributed Q1 sequential decline to 8 fewer calendar days (~$80M impact) and IP lumpiness with Q1 FY24 being up 53% for IP.

TRMBTrimble Inc.9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 9 challenging
TRMB company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

when we look at your ARR performance as a whole, excluding Field Systems, how do you think that performed

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Rob framed the Field Systems ARR change as a discrete decision from strength and reaffirmed AECO ARR up 14% and T&L up 7%.

Calendar 2026 Q1

could this -- is this a table stakes kind of feature? How do you think the partnerships with the frontier models kind of evolve

Cloud & AIProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rob said expect more integrations across portfolio. Multiple paths: Claude-to-SketchUp, SketchUp AI (Vibe modeling within app), and Trimble Connect agentic platform. Proud of team's entrepreneurial spirit.

I'm curious if any of this was demand that was pulled forward might not be the right word, but maybe deals that closed earlier than expected

DemandTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rob confirmed zero pull forward. Two pillars of strength: civil construction continuing multi-year trend (showcased on 24 OEM booths at CONEXPO) and survey team delivering strong quarter off new platforms.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I wanted to ask about the Field Systems ARR growth. It's really impressive to see it accelerate to 20%

Subscriber GrowthRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Rob cited machine control as a service, automotive corrections, Catalyst positioning as a service, and software conversions driving growth. 2026 guide deceleration reflects natural lapping effect from early-stage conversions.

how you think the industry will ramp adoption of agentic and how that might compare with maybe other industries

Show response

Rob positioned Trimble platforms as the right place for agentic workflows given existing system of record status. Phil added SketchUp now includes AI agent credits as consumption-based monetization alongside tier-based approaches.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you maybe talk a little bit more about the government shutdown impact? I think you said the word contained

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Rob confirmed government shutdown impact quantified at single-digit millions in H2, correctly anticipated early in the year. Business has outperformed to contain it.

I would love to get more granularity on some of the strengths. Perhaps maybe you could break it down in the different segments, the A, the E, the C and the O

Subscriber GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Rob broke down each segment above $230M ARR. BIM and Engineering Solutions were standout performers. ProjectSight expanding into Europe and Australia. Viewpoint ERP continues as strong TC1 anchor tenant.

Calendar 2024 Q4

related to tariffs, it sounds like you are not modeling any financial impact. Is it because you don't know

ChallengingTrade TariffsMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Phil explained software centricity limits tariff exposure, operations team has contingency plans, and they see no material financial impact based on current information.

how you're thinking about the current macro environment. There's pushes and pulls

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Rob provided detailed geographic and vertical color, noting data centers and energy performing well, Southeast U.S. outperforming, and customers hiring as a tech adoption catalyst.

CDNSCadence Design Systems7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
CDNS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

can you speak to the type of demand activity you are seeing for hardware? I did notice that inventory ticked up nicely

DemandInventorySupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Wall tied the inventory build to hardware strength and confirmed the constraint is supply, not demand.

Calendar 2026 Q1

the operating margin guide is coming down by a little bit. Curious if -- like what are the main drivers of that

Show response

Wall explained Hexagon D&E has 5-10% margins, adds $160M revenue but $0.28 EPS dilution due to financing costs. Expected accretive in 2027.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I know you have a slate of new exciting titles coming out, but I just wanted to ask how that translates to pipeline?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Anirudh said IP starting backlog is strong. Opportunities with newer foundries beyond traditional TSMC business. Should be a strong year for IP in 2026.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Last quarter, I think you mentioned the second half having good renewal opportunity with some of your large customers. With the uptick in backlog, I imagine some of that strength was from some of t...

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Anirudh said AI infrastructure build-out accelerating is the primary driver. Working with all Mag 7s plus merchant silicon. John Wall added mix is healthy across all business lines with multiyear recurring arrangements.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what do you think China growth could have been if those restrictions never happened, like if we never had those 6 weeks?

Geographic ExpansionTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

John Wall declined to quantify hypothetical impact. Took comfort that restrictions came and went. Upgraded China from flat to slightly up for year.

Calendar 2025 Q1

when we think about the foundational IP market, just curious why hasn't this been a bigger focus in the past and what's changed to make this opportunity more attractive?

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Anirudh said foundation IP is more critical now due to software interaction, foundry buildout globally, and portfolio gaps. Arm Artisan has great product history.

Calendar 2024 Q4

the $1.2 billion of sequential improvement, that's like the biggest we've ever seen, much higher than kind of what I think some of us were expecting

ChallengingDemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

John Wall explained Q4 was strong renewal quarter with backlog duration at high end of 2.4-2.6 year range. Expect some backlog burn in H1 2025.

PTCPTC Inc.7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
PTC company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

So how do you see AI affecting like underlying engineering headcount growth?

Cloud & AILabor MarketTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Barua pivoted to AI as an accelerant of PTC usage and cited tripling Onshape API calls, but did not address engineering headcount directly.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Did you see any deals, you know, from the Q2 pipeline closed earlier in Q1? Or are you expecting more of the deals in Q2 to also have this bigger deferred component

Guidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Barua attributed Q2 net new ARR guide to deal structuring assumptions, not demand weakness. Said Q2 will be another quarter of building deferred ARR toward a durable multiyear growth engine.

Calendar 2025 Q3

the $1 billion free cash flow guidance, is there any way to know how much of a [ OBBA ] benefit you're expected to see next fiscal year

Show response

Talvitie confirmed Section 174 tailwind is in the $1B FCF number but said final decision on which of 3 implementation options to use is not due until later in the fiscal year. Noted it is offset by incremental CapEx for R&D facility move.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I was a little surprised you didn't mention any old BVA benefit. It may just be timing related and might be more of a next year tailwind

Show response

Talvitie confirmed BVA tax benefit will be a FY2026 tailwind reducing cash tax increases below prior expectations. Details to come with FY2026 guidance.

Calendar 2025 Q1

one of your competitors talked about seeing some positives in deal activity at the end of March but then things kind of normalized in April

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Barua dismissed competitor's characterization and reframed around PTC's own results: solid Q2 with competitive displacements, strong pipeline entering Q3. Guidance adjustment is about prudence around post-April 4 uncertainty, not observed demand destruction.

Calendar 2024 Q4

have you seen any changes to the competitive environment? Any changes to your win rates?

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Barua differentiated PTC's focus on Windchill+Codebeamer PLM nerve center vs competitors' manufacturing focus. Said PTC extends PLM data to factory floor rather than competing in MES.

Calendar 2024 Q3

you technically said double digits for ARR growth. Now if I look at the guide, technically, it's single digits

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Talvitie gave concise, direct answer attributing guidance haircut entirely to go-to-market transformation risk rather than demand deterioration.

IOTSamsara Inc.4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
IOT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

has this been upticking on a percentage basis over the last quarter? Like would there be anything mathematically

Revenue GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2027 Q2 →
Show response

Dominic said the mix has been consistently above 20% and depends on strong core products too. Direct.

Calendar 2026 Q2

how might the recent Supreme Court ruling on broker liability benefits Samsara?

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Sanjit said the ruling heightens road-safety focus, a net positive for Samsara whose larger-fleet customers already invest heavily in safety.

Calendar 2026 Q1

maybe refresh us on how you're thinking about SBC as a whole and its trajectory.

MarginCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Dominic answered directly: SBC treated as a real cost, down to 20% in FY '26 and expected below that in FY '27 with continued leverage.

how many of these are powered by like AI-type models? Or can they be powered by kind of the same models.

Innovation & R&DCloud & AITranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Sanjit answered directly: detections span LLMs and time-series models, expanding beyond safety to weather, road and asset-health models.

Show 1 more company
TEAMAtlassian4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
TEAM company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

curious to hear how the migration activity is going, you know, DC to cloud, if you are able to quantify how much that benefit was for the quarter

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Joe confirmed mid-to-high single-digit migration contribution to cloud growth in Q2. Full year expectation maintained at mid-to-high single-digit contribution.

Calendar 2025 Q2

when we think about some of the investment priorities this year, maybe can you just outline a few of them?

MarginCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Joe outlined investments in sales/marketing and R&D against Enterprise, Cloud AI, and System of Work. Mike noted sales hiring ahead of forecast. FY27 25%+ non-GAAP operating margin target reaffirmed. Framework balances dropping outperformance to bottom line vs reinvesting.

Calendar 2024 Q4

what is holding them back from the cloud at the moment?

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Mike explained migration is a 'when not if' question. Large customers with 50-100 DC instances need multi-year migration projects. Hybrid ELAs driving billings outperformance.

Calendar 2024 Q3

did you see any deals that maybe had slipped closed in Q1? Or was there any dynamic of maybe closing some deals

Revenue GrowthPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Joe confirmed deal timing was not a factor in Q1 and described healthy deal flow. Emphasized disciplined, long-term approach to deal economics.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
ADSK Autodesk1414%2 of 14 questions
SNPS Synopsys1315%2 of 13 questions
TRMB Trimble Inc.911%1 of 9 questions
CDNS Cadence Design Systems714%1 of 7 questions
PTC PTC Inc.714%1 of 7 questions
IOT Samsara Inc.40%none of 4 questions
TEAM Atlassian40%none of 4 questions
  • ADSK
    Autodesk · 14 questions
    14%2 of 14 questions
  • SNPS
    Synopsys · 13 questions
    15%2 of 13 questions
  • TRMB
    Trimble Inc. · 9 questions
    11%1 of 9 questions
  • CDNS
    Cadence Design Systems · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions
  • PTC
    PTC Inc. · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions
  • IOT
    Samsara Inc. · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • TEAM
    Atlassian · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q3250%1 of 2 questions2
2024 Q4825%2 of 8 questions6
2025 Q160%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q2714%1 of 7 questions5
2025 Q370%none of 7 questions5
2025 Q490%none of 9 questions6
2026 Q1933%3 of 9 questions5
2026 Q270%none of 7 questions6
2026 Q330%none of 3 questions3
  1. 2024 Q32 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  2. 2024 Q48 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  3. 2025 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q27 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 5 companies
  5. 2025 Q37 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2025 Q49 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 6 companies
  7. 2026 Q19 questions · challenge rate 33% (3 of 9 questions) · 5 companies
  8. 2026 Q27 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  9. 2026 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Revenue Growth24
  • Demand19
  • Guidance Reliability11
  • Margin8
  • Cloud & AI8
  • M&A7
  • Regulation Policy5
  • Product Launch4
  • Competitive Dynamics4
  • Macroeconomic3
Show all 21 topics
  • Trade Tariffs3
  • Capital Allocation2
  • Innovation & R&D2
  • Subscriber Growth2
  • Pricing2
  • Labor Market1
  • Inventory1
  • Supply Chain1
  • Capex Investment1
  • Geographic Expansion1
  • Cost Pressure1