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Analyst
Joel Hurwitz
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).
- Questions
- 45on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 20%9 of 45 questions
- Companies
- 5questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 7with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 45 of 45 questions from 5 companies
METMetLife12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 12 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Any color on what's driving the reacceleration of PFO growth in Asia and the sustainability of that?
Show response
Oliver said Asia is primarily an AUM/retirement business, with growing FAS 60 and yen products (over 50% of sales) lifting PFO growth.
could you just provide some color on the nonmedical health experience in the quarter? How was dental and disability?
Show response
Tadros said the PFML run-in effect is behind them, disability incidence and recoveries are favorable, and dental seasonality points to a better H2 nonmedical health ratio.
Calendar 2026 Q1
can you just talk about what you're seeing from a competitive landscape across the various markets you play in
Show response
Ramy cited improved broad-based persistency, rate actions meeting expectations, strong core and voluntary sales, and double-digit voluntary product growth from re-enrollment strategy.
Can you maybe talk about the outlook for flows or provide some more color on the strong pipeline that you mentioned
Show response
John detailed the 1 MIM integration approach, proactive client/consultant outreach, and well-diversified pipeline. PineBridge added international footprint with 50% AUM outside U.S.
Calendar 2025 Q4
Did you guys see any increased surrender activity in Q4 thus far in Q1? And I guess, is there anything baked into your outlook for potentially higher surrenders
Show response
Lyndon Oliver confirmed Q4 surrenders slightly higher due to yen depreciation but full year 2025 surrenders below 2024 levels. 2026 guidance assumes surrenders return to long-term assumption.
you mentioned that you guys had tapped the US retail retirement space with low reinsurance. Can you just provide an update
Show response
Ramy Tadros explained MetLife entered US retail annuity market as institutional reinsurer, leveraging balance sheet strength, investment capability, and capital flexibility. Two flow reinsurance partnerships established within a year, adding to liability origination growth.
Calendar 2025 Q3
any color on the performance of the business this year and how third-party flows have been?
Show response
John McCallion noted muted H1 from market volatility and PineBridge announcement, but strong H2 flows. Over $630B total AUM with $200B+ third-party. Team working hard to educate external market ahead of standalone segment reporting next year.
any material changes to the assumption set there? We've seen a couple of players have some adverse incidence trends
Show response
John McCallion confirmed very modest $2M post-tax LTC assumption change with ADE in line with expectations. Ramy Tadros noted engagement on risk transfer opportunities but emphasized discipline, book is well managed, well capitalized, well reserved with successful rate action program. Price must be accretive to shareholder value.
Calendar 2025 Q2
The top line is running well ahead of your guidance. I guess, just what's fueling the better-than- expected growth again in '25?
Show response
Eric Clurfain provided comprehensive overview: largest life insurer in LatAm serving ~30M customers across 6 markets. Fastest-growing channel is third-party distribution through 100+ partners. Accelerator embedded insurance platform has issued ~$300M PFO and serves 5M customers since launch.
you guys had highlighted regional business growth. Can you just provide some more color on the growth you're seeing in that regional market
Show response
Ramy Tadros described competitive but rational market. Regional business particularly important contributor to 9% YTD sales growth given slower jumbo year. Competes on capabilities, experience, and broker relationships beyond price.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Other Asia sales were very strong in the quarter. Can you just unpack what you saw there? And then I guess with the increased geopolitical tensions. What are you seeing in April thus far?
Show response
Lyndon Oliver reported Asia sales up 10% overall. Japan seeing sequential FX product momentum with new single premium life product well received. Rest of Asia up 41% driven by new China bank partners and strong Korea face-to-face channels.
Can you unpack the nonmedical health loss experience in the quarter I get the seasonality, but was surprised to see it up a bit year-over-year?
Show response
Ramy Tadros confirmed dental in line with expectations after 1/1 repricing actions. Disability incidents on target with strong recoveries slightly ahead of expectations. Minor headwind from social security administration approval delays. Full year expected at midpoint of range.
PFGPrincipal Financial Group12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 2 of 12 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Can you just unpack what you saw on some of your other group businesses?
Show response
Amy detailed broad-based underwriting gains, disability driven by lower incidence, group life by lower frequency, guiding SBD below the range.
wanted to get your thoughts on potential further M&A for Principal
Show response
Deanna declined to comment on rumors, reiterated a high M&A bar and no interest in scale-only deals requiring a premium.
Calendar 2025 Q4
benefits to those sales? And then when I think about your overall businesses, sorry. Yeah. I was when I think about your overall businesses, you still have the, like, the legacy LifeBlock. Any pote...
Show response
Joel quantified Chile annuity at $65M revenue and $30M pretax earnings, expected Q3 2026 close. All divestiture impacts fully reflected in 2026 outlook. Capital from Chile to fund elevated buybacks and organic investment. Deanna confirmed legacy life divestiture not a top priority currently.
If it's $30 million pretax, right, that's all 10% ish of international, and you said it would be EPS accretive
Show response
Joel confirmed accretion post-close through redeployment of freed capital into elevated buybacks and higher-return organic opportunities. Capital deployment plan in 2026 takes this into account.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Any reason why you wouldn't really accelerate and lean into buybacks where the stock is at now?
Show response
Joel confirmed $350M buybacks in first half, $225M in Q3, with Q4 expected even further elevated. Strong free capital flow conversion while still investing in business. Deanna emphasized balanced and disciplined approach delivering consistent growing returns over time.
any early outlook on how 1/1 renewals and new business is shaping up?
Show response
Amy highlighted earnings up 28%, margins expanding 330bp as the intended tradeoff with slower growth. Seeing more attractive opportunities at 1/1 and winning against bids. Technology investments bearing fruit in late 2025 and into 2026. Moving closer to low end of guided range.
Calendar 2025 Q2
I think in the prepared remarks, Joel mentioned that growth is expected to pick up in the second half of this year. Just curious what you're seeing that gives you confidence in that
Show response
Amy acknowledged full-year premium growth will fall short of 6-9% guided range but expects improvement in second half. Brokers seeing higher competitor dental renewals are turning back to Principal bundle. Overall loss ratio at low end supports attractive bundled pricing.
It looks like in investment management, you're selling another one of your boutiques with with Post Advisor Group for sale
Show response
Deanna confirmed Post AUM is larger than past divestitures but earnings impact immaterial. Kamal explained Post overlapped with strong existing high yield capability in PGFI. No impact to medium-term asset management revenue growth or pretax margin targets. Expected to close by end of 2025.
Calendar 2025 Q1
can you just provide some more color on sort of how much flexibility you have on the expense side and what you've sort of taken thus far in Q2?
Show response
Joel cited examples: delayed hiring, consulting spend, certain travel. Demonstrated by 40bp margin improvement. Committed to responsibly aligning expense with revenue.
you have the 9% to 12% EPS growth target. How do you feel about that just given the current macro backdrop?
Show response
Joel provided detailed macro sensitivity framework, noted expense management actions underway. Acknowledged uncertainty but maintained guidance path exists.
Calendar 2024 Q4
What are you expecting for '25? And just any more color on variable investment income expectations and performance fees in Investment Management for the year?
Show response
Kamal cited 32% increase in CRE equity transactions and nearly $1.9B of private capital deployed in Q4. Joel confirmed VII expected to improve in 2025 with real estate weighted to H2.
Could you provide some more color on just the level of stabilization you saw with participant withdrawals?
Show response
Chris gave very detailed breakdown: record WSRS retention, lower participant withdrawal rate, VA lapse to RILA conversion dynamics. Flagged 1 large Q1 outflow of $2.3B.
AFLAflac10 questions · 5 reporting periods · 4 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Can you just provide some more color on the cross-sell there at this time?
Show response
Yoshizumi said Tsumitasu attracts younger, asset-accumulating customers and that concurrent cancer and medical sales are now well above the initially planned 25%.
Can you just elaborate on how significant those inflation pressures are on your expense base?
Show response
Max Broden said Japan inflation near 3% plus a shrinking revenue base makes expense management harder, yet the team lowered the expense ratio, with Morimoto flagging Middle East energy risk.
Calendar 2026 Q1
Should we think that the earnings impact is similar to that premium impact over time? Or is there another way we should you thinking about earnings impact from that deal?
Show response
Max disclosed mid-single-digit millions negative Q1 impact, expected to persist for a couple quarters then approach zero as policies reach paid-up status.
Are you seeing pressure from other states? And just how should we think about a potential impact to top line earnings in the U.S.?
Show response
Virgil directly denied any material regulatory pressure beyond the one reported state incident, expressing confidence in forward outlook.
Calendar 2025 Q4
you had said that the uplift from the USP was 18 points. I think the last time you disclosed it a couple of quarters ago, it was 30 points
Show response
Max attributed USP decline from 30 to 18 points directly to higher yen interest rates reducing the parameter's impact.
Virgil, can you just talk about what you saw in terms of sales in the quarters? And I guess, any color on how the group life and disability and dental sales were versus expectations?
Show response
Virgil detailed buy-to-build as 20% of $1.6B total US sales. Life/disability up 11.3%, network dental up 48.8%, direct-to-consumer up 10.5%. Earned premium growth of 4% in Q4 and 2.9-3% for year.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Can you just provide some more color on how the cancer sales trended in the quarter? And then how demand is for the new Tsumitasu repriced product?
Show response
Yoshizumi detailed Miraito's unique features including flexible design, children's plans, and premium waiver. Confirmed Tsumitasu showing solid growth from September repricing. Dan added he visited 29 regional banks and 4 shinkin banks, noting over 50% of Tsumitasu buyers are in 30s-40s vs 40% target.
It looks like dental and group sales were very good, but your core voluntary product sales were down quite a bit year-over-year. Just can you talk about what you're seeing across your product offer...
Show response
Virgil attributed individual product pressure to broker shift toward group products but highlighted 8% conversion increase, 16% productivity gain, 24% lab growth, 40% dental growth for 9 months, and winning state of Maine PFML contract.
Calendar 2024 Q4
for Japan, you guided to the pretax margin to be at the low end of the range, which is below where I was
Show response
Max clearly explained floating rate income headwind from SOFR cuts and interest rate swap dynamics affecting NII outlook.
On US sales, Virgil, can you just provide some more color on what you are seeing in the competitive environment that's impacting your sales?
Show response
Virgil gave comprehensive answer citing tough Q4 2023 comp, deliberate underwriting discipline, and dental platform recovery challenges. Transparent about 33% dental decline.
PRUPrudential Financial7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 2 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Can you just unpack the drivers of the better-than-expected impact in the quarter
Show response
Del Frias detailed POJ costs of $105M this quarter (down from $130M in Q1), ~$70M related to LP compensation with better-than-expected surrenders, but said it was premature to lower the $525-575M full-year range because impacts are non-linear and compound.
how big of an earnings contributor do you think this business can become for PRU
Show response
Sullivan defended Group as a highly cash-generative, capital-light business growing low single digits, citing accelerated Premier segment growth and diversification into disability, absence and supplemental health as evidence of down-market traction.
Calendar 2026 Q1
going back to Gibraltar sales, I heard you say no issues on any of the POJ issues carrying over to Life Consultants
Show response
Sullivan attributed lower Life Consultant sales to intentional incentive program changes for efficiency, not POJ-related issues. Does not expect longer-term growth inhibition.
Any more color on the expected benefits that you expect to emerge next year
Show response
Del Frias referenced $135M restructuring charge yielding $150M run-rate savings in 2027, separate from ongoing investment benefits. Did not quantify investment-driven benefits specifically.
Calendar 2025 Q4
what's the impact to your cash flow from international? And does that drive any impact to your overall capital deployment outlook
Show response
Yanela cited multiple cash flow sources: POJ, Gibraltar, PGFL, PICA (reinsured U.S. dollar business), and Gibraltar Re in Bermuda. Not overly reliant on any single vehicle. No expected impact to capital deployment plans or shareholder distributions.
Calendar 2025 Q1
are you seeing any sort of impact just given the legal case out there
Show response
Andy said no litigation impact through Q1 but expects 2025 market size to normalize from robust 2024 due to macro volatility. Cited $3 trillion in untransacted pension assets and 105% funded status as long-term tailwinds.
institutional retirement earnings have contracted a bit despite the really strong PRT activity last year. Just any color on what's going on in institutional
Show response
Yanela walked through three offsets masking $25M spread benefit: $50M annual expense reallocation, lower spread income on cash from 100bp short-term rate reduction, and accounting methodology refinement reclassifying derivatives from operating to non-operating.
GLGlobe Life4 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
it sounds like Evri was like a 4-point drag in the quarter. How much of a drag has that business been
Show response
Kalmbach put the Evri underwriting loss at roughly $10 million first half ($7 million in Q2), with only $3-4 million expected in the back half, implying about a 2-point full-year UA margin drag.
Do you think that is cost of living pressures emerging there with your targeted consumer?
Show response
Darden attributed soft AIL life sales to agent count rather than the economy, citing rising per-sale premiums as a sign of consumer health and Q2 sequential agent growth.
Calendar 2025 Q3
does that factor in any expectation for remeasurement gains?
Show response
Yes, 2026 guidance assumes continued favorable mortality generating remeasurement gains vs newly-set assumptions. Focus on obligation ratios and normalized margins (41%+) rather than raw remeasurement dollar amounts.
the $600 million to $700 million is above the $500 million to $600 million run rate you mentioned a few quarters ago. I guess, what's the driver of the increase there?
Show response
Prior $500-600M was post-dividend (for buybacks only); $600-700M is total excess FCF. Apples-to-apples is consistent (~$515-615M after $85M dividends). Sustainable from improving mortality, health margins, and favorable investment yields.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| MET MetLife | 12 | 8%1 of 12 questions |
| PFG Principal Financial Group | 12 | 17%2 of 12 questions |
| AFL Aflac | 10 | 40%4 of 10 questions |
| PRU Prudential Financial | 7 | 29%2 of 7 questions |
| GL Globe Life | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q1 | 6 | 33%2 of 6 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q2 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q3 | 8 | 25%2 of 8 questions | 4 |
| 2025 Q4 | 7 | 29%2 of 7 questions | 4 |
| 2026 Q1 | 6 | 17%1 of 6 questions | 3 |
| 2026 Q2 | 10 | 10%1 of 10 questions | 5 |
- 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q16 questions · challenge rate 33% (2 of 6 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q38 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 4 companies
- 2025 Q47 questions · challenge rate 29% (2 of 7 questions) · 4 companies
- 2026 Q16 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 3 companies
- 2026 Q210 questions · challenge rate 10% (1 of 10 questions) · 5 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Revenue Growth15
- Margin12
- Demand12
- Competitive Dynamics8
- Capital Allocation7
- M&A6
- Regulation Policy6
- Cost Pressure5
- Product Launch3
- Macroeconomic3
Show all 15 topics
- Geographic Expansion3
- Pricing2
- Guidance Reliability2
- Labor Market1
- Capex Investment1