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Analyst
John Barnidge
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).
- Questions
- 65on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 5%3 of 65 questions
- Companies
- 11questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 7with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 65 of 65 questions from 11 companies
AMPAmeriprise Financial10 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
what inning do you think we are in, in that initial transformation of the expense base to better position the organization to add additional AUM
Show response
Jim said in the later innings. Back-office transformation with State Street completing later this year. Front-end improvements using AI and offshore demographics are well advanced.
What does the consolidation opportunity look like for asset management in your opinion
Show response
Jim described AM as well-positioned with transformed platform, strong investment performance, and expanding product suite. Currently focused on organic state but sees consolidation opportunity over time.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Others with asset management businesses in life insurance have gone out and partnered with other asset managers
Show response
Jim noted Ameriprise launched its own interval fund and is pursuing other alternative space opportunities, some with partners and some organic. Market still early for many announced partnerships.
There's been a deceleration in inflows since the $11.1 billion high watermark in the fourth quarter
Show response
Jim acknowledged large team departures caused short-term outflow exceeding inflow. Highlighted a recent $1.7B recruit. Core organic productivity growth remains the primary driver.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Can you maybe talk about large client breakage in the quarter distribution environment
Show response
Jim cited Lionstone exit, LDI, and passive repositioning on institutional side. Retail gross sales up but April redemptions higher. Launching new ETFs and interval fund.
Can you maybe talk about how the company weighs adding human capital versus automating and AI?
Show response
Jim described continuous investment in AI dashboards, intelligent automation, and data analytics. Expense savings from transformation reinvested into growth capabilities.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Is there something a the typical retail investor needs to see from maybe a cost of living perspective
Show response
Jim outlined product strategy: active ETFs, SMA model delivery, upcoming interval fund with public/private markets, new hedge fund gaining traction.
In light of current macro distribution in the rate environment, do you have any updated views
Show response
Walter confirmed RPS earnings are solid and predictable. Strong sales (time-to-sale P&L impact) offset by investment strategy benefits. Book has good risk-adjusted returns.
Calendar 2024 Q4
can you talk about the alternative and product – private asset product portfolio
Show response
Jim acknowledged alternatives platform is at early stages in their channel. Added digital platform with due diligence but expected to remain small relative to ultra-high-net-worth.
should we expect a higher level of Long Term Care earnings to be borne out of Corporate?
Show response
Walter cited good trajectory from claims and rate increases, noted $61 million generated in 2024 as a positive. Declined to give exact run rate number.
AFLAflac9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
Can you talk about what you see as the total addressable market for these new products? And then within the context of Miraito and ability, do you need to reprice that?
Show response
Yoshizumi noted Tsumitasu attracting broader demographic including affluent older customers using discounted advanced premium option. Dan said Miraito had spectacular 2025 but expects sales to level off in 2026 while medical and Tsumitasu grow.
Can you maybe talk about the lower benefit ratio embedded in the guidance?
Show response
Max identified three drivers: (1) 130bp lower net premium ratio from Q3 2025 unlock (permanent), (2) lapse/reissue activity releasing reserves on older lower-reserve policies, (3) runoff of high-benefit-ratio WAYS savings block sold 2010-2016.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Given the comments about more of the broker distribution going into group products, how do you get larger in that? Can you talk about maybe efforts organically and potentially inorganically?
Show response
Virgil emphasized bundling VB with dental and lab products for unified broker experience. On inorganic, said building corporate development discipline but haven't seen attractive acquisition targets that would meaningfully move operations.
With the success and the growth of the buy-to-build initiatives, have we crossed over the period of investment and are now starting to yield some earnings from those efforts?
Show response
Virgil said lab has had profitable quarters but not consistently at scale. Dental needs more growth for profitability. Max clarified one business turned profitable in 2025 but two have not, and target profitability will take a few more years.
Calendar 2025 Q2
How do you think about the frequency with needing to refresh products now that you're trying to bundle products and solutions together?
Show response
Yoshizumi confirmed cancer refresh every 3 years and medical every 2 years, subject to FSA approval.
Was it completely rolled out in totality by the end of 2Q '25 for all distribution that will be selling it?
Show response
Yoshizumi confirmed full distribution rollout by end of Q2 with March launch for associates and April for banks/Japan Post.
Calendar 2025 Q1
They continue to be present in both Japan and the U.S. We're further removed around the dislocation in individuals behavior. How should we be thinking about the waterfall or decay
Show response
Max explained Q3 unlock drives larger remeasurement gains while other quarters have smaller true-ups. Favorable claims trends in Japan continue long-term.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Ahead of the anticipated new cancer product launch. Should we expect more modest sales in the near term for that?
Show response
Dan acknowledged typical pre-launch sales dip followed by strong growth from new product excitement across distribution channels.
you talked about a failed implementation that was corrected. And how much of the market was dental and vision not present?
Show response
Virgil clarified dental was available in Q4 but service degradation earlier damaged broker trust. Seeing progress in January with regaining confidence.
GLGlobe Life9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
can you talk about exposure to software and how you see the portfolio impacted by AI along with any derisking activities
Show response
Minimal exposure: <$15M in alternatives to software, <2% fixed maturities in technology (mostly hardware/data services). ~$50M potentially AI-displaceable names with some moat protection. Long-duration investment philosophy naturally limits tech exposure. AI risk part of investment matrix for years.
Calendar 2025 Q3
the DOJ and SEC investigations have concluded. Is the EEOC investigation still ongoing? And what's your visibility into that
Show response
EEOC findings non-binding, no litigation filed. Courts have historically ruled AIL agents are properly classified as independent contractors. Company would vigorously defend if challenged.
Is there a portion of this cohort that more and more is in need of your products that will be secular in nature and more extended beyond just what we've seen in recent years?
Show response
Acknowledged secular demographic tailwind from growing retiree population. Med Sup has persistent demand from consumers valuing provider choice. Business ebbs and flows with MA competitive dynamics but long-term opportunity strong.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Do you think this will allow you to accelerate agent growth? Or maybe pursue opportunistic inorganic of other distribution channels.
Show response
Not capital-constrained today so no sales acceleration. Bermuda improves cash flow conversion timing (GAAP DAC deferral). Provides parent flexibility for M&A or shareholder returns.
Do you anticipate once that initial transaction establishes the infrastructure on the island, it will be a series of transactions that follow or one large one.
Show response
Series of transactions: initial small block to establish operations, then in-force blocks plus new business cessions over time to reach 25% of statutory reserves.
Calendar 2025 Q1
You talked about intention to have an opportunity to reduce commercial paper this year. Where do you intend to get it to?
Show response
Targeting $300-325M from current $410M, bringing debt-to-capital back to historical 3% level (25% total debt/capital at year-end).
Is the increase in health usage more frequency or severity-driven, I was reading about some human bandage fraud article
Show response
Primarily frequency-driven but specialty bandages add severity. Using AI and data analytics to identify potentially fraudulent claims. Working with CMS on mitigation.
Calendar 2024 Q4
how have first-year agents trended in January essentially, first quarter so far across those channels?
Show response
Management noted holiday seasonality is normal, Q2/Q3 typically see pickup. Starting strong for 2025 with high correlation between agent count and sales (8% CAGR each at AIL over 3 years).
I know you're doing some efforts to get a Bermuda platform up. Any update you can provide or any markers on the weigh station we should watch out for?
Show response
On track for midyear update. No specific details provided beyond timeline confirmation.
PRUPrudential Financial9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 9 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
does the impact from less sales volume actually compound and grow similar to how the runoff of the VA block compounds
Show response
Yanela broke down $150-180M: ~20% lost sales, ~20% higher surrenders, ~60% distribution force financial support (discretionary, tied to suspension period, doesn't carry over). Compounding less than VA runoff since distribution support is period-specific.
are you able to dimension the size of the businesses that are kind of like up for a review in international markets where you don't view yourself as a leader
Show response
Andy declined to dimension specific businesses but outlined strategic framework: large growing markets, differentiated capabilities, industry-leading returns. Japan by far predominant international business. Emerging markets focused on Brazil (record quarter) and Habitat pension business.
Calendar 2025 Q3
How meaningful do you envision it? And are there other partnerships that could be added beyond Partners Group
Show response
Andy explained complementary capabilities: Partners brings primary PE, PRU brings credit and real estate. Partnerships are an important growth tool. Dai-ichi partnership also progressing. Expect more partnership-based growth going forward.
with the Board approving the ESR, what is the opportunity for Prismic as you see it in the coming year
Show response
Yanela confirmed Prismic remains important tool. Active pipeline includes balance sheet optimization, new business financing, and third-party blocks. New: first forward flow transaction for U.S. retail fixed annuities launched (small quantities initially).
Calendar 2025 Q2
How do you view 401(k) retirement reform and PRUs positioning to benefit from that with the one PGIM unified structure
Show response
Andy cited two reform focus areas: lifetime income solutions as DC plan defaults and expanding access to alternatives in retirement plans. Pioneered 'active income' insurance overlay on separately managed accounts. Expanding retail vehicles to ETFs and SMAs.
where does inorganic fit within that to leverage that scale even further
Show response
Andy confirmed organic growth is job #1 and recent changes unlock additional opportunity. M&A can be accelerant but not required. Interested in capability bolt-ons to larger scale opportunities, especially globalizing and building credit/alternatives/real assets positions.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Where do you sit with the opportunity for interval funds for PGIM
Show response
Andy confirmed PGIM is already launching interval funds combining public and private capabilities, expanding both institutionally and on retail side. Referenced J-curve timeline for asset flows and results.
Where does inorganic sit within that
Show response
Andy cited DeerPath Capital acquisition as example of complementary inorganic deployment. High bar for inorganic capital, leaning into higher growth and capital-efficient areas.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Is that going to be the main consumer of that 0% to 10% of M&A, or does there remain interest in high-growth emerging markets
Show response
Charlie confirmed focus on organic growth with selective M&A interest in PGIM, emerging markets, and distribution capabilities.
PFGPrincipal Financial Group8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
where there isn't a natural synergy for investment management within the Principal Asset Management umbrella being kind of the focus area for that?
Show response
Deanna noted separation into IM and IP allowing IM to focus on global growth. Recent divestitures focused on nonsynergistic pension assets. Remaining IP businesses considered strategic with ability to contribute to IM growth through cross-selling and relationship leverage.
how do you think about exposure to software within that and how do you think about the AI impacts on the pricing dynamic
Show response
Joel noted software exposure under 1% of general account with deals underwritten on cash flow basis. Amy cited SMB well-being index showing AI seen as growth driver by small businesses. Own block data shows no negative staffing impact. Almost all SMBs expect wages to stay stable or increase.
Calendar 2025 Q3
What does that make you think about the consolidation in 401(k) more broadly given the leading position the company has?
Show response
Chris noted industry consolidating from approximately 40 recordkeepers toward single digits over next 10 years. Principal as #3 player expects to be a real beneficiary. Focused on organic growth rather than large transactions. Deanna emphasized revenue growth focus over flow metrics.
do you have any visibility into whether that relationship fee rate enhancing versus the blended fee rate at Principal Asset Management
Show response
Kamal explained Barings partnership expands private market expertise with Barings handling origination and Principal handling portfolio management and underwriting. Joel noted 95% of general account managed internally with partnerships augmenting capabilities.
Calendar 2025 Q2
It becoming a bit more of a competitive environment, or are there fewer maybe pension partners coming to market given the market dislocation that occurred in April?
Show response
Chris acknowledged more competitors entering PRT market but Principal generates significant business from existing DB client conversions. Historical range maintained. Disciplined on returns with capital deployed elsewhere if targets not met.
It's different between segments, and then any visibility into the third on that?
Show response
Joel noted 50% of alts portfolio in real estate with no transaction activity in Q2. Highly appreciated real estate assets with gains not recognized until sale. Office leasing picking up. Full year VII expected below long-term run rate but improving in second half.
Calendar 2024 Q4
So the Hong Kong change and then the YRT in the quarter kind of show a perpetual focus on improvement here. How much further derisking do you see
Show response
Deanna emphasized current portfolio is well-positioned but will continue to evaluate. Strategic review already led to sizable changes; future pivots where growth isn't materializing.
can you talk about how much exposure or non exposure? You have to government nonprofit or government contracting in your businesses?
Show response
Chris noted Principal not a large player in governmental retirement. Amy confirmed Specialty Benefits has no government market presence at all.
AIZAssurant7 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
what you're seeing from a claims inflation perspective in both the auto and the home business sort of ex cats
Show response
Meier called auto claims inflation stable versus CPI and housing well positioned, with Demmings citing rate actions in auto and the housing inflation guard (average insured values up 5%) as offsets.
have you seen changes in even small ones and frequency of late?
Show response
Meier reported nothing significant on frequency, noting continued progress on claims experience across vehicle service contracts and the GAP program.
Calendar 2025 Q4
Can you talk about AI, how you're incorporating that in your business, not just to drive greater margin
Show response
Demmings and Meier cited AI in premium tech support, dealer sales, device care center robotics, and personalized product targeting.
can you remind us on a per-share basis how much favorable reserve development helped earnings in '25
Show response
Meier quantified 2025 PYD at $113M and said the $130M combined headwind (PYD + home warranty investment) is what underlying growth overcomes.
is that $140 million a new level we should be thinking about
Show response
Meier framed $140M as 2026-specific and growing thereafter if more clients are added; long-term agreement beyond typical 3-5 year deals.
Calendar 2025 Q1
first question is about tariffs. I believe '25 guidance now assumes impact from tariffs. What rang
Show response
Demmings declined to quantify a dollar impact but confirmed tariffs-through-year assumption and framed impact as manageable; Meier detailed parts share math for Auto.
about the expense ratio in the quarter. Are you able to identify by how much that expense ratio was
Show response
Demmings normalized expense ratio to flat YoY: $11M higher reinsurance = 110bps, remainder from cat claims handling.
Show 5 more companies
CINFCincinnati Financial4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
There was a very small change in the past pre-2024. I presume that is pretty much all casualty at this point
Show response
Sewell downplayed the $16M unfavorable pre-2024 development, saying it was spread across multiple accident years with nothing standing out.
a statement in your 10-Q that was sort of a qualifier for the reiteration of your long-term combined ratio goals
Show response
Spray said nothing to read into the 10-Q qualifier beyond acknowledgment that rate pressure may affect near-term results. Long-term target unchanged.
Calendar 2025 Q4
I want a little bit on the commercial competition question that Mike asked
Show response
Spray confirmed softening remains tilted toward larger accounts and large property specifically but acknowledged middle market has gotten more competitive too.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Could you take Mike's question and insert general liability instead of commercial auto
Show response
Spray acknowledged legal system abuse as an industry headwind but pointed to favorable development across accident years 2020+ on an all-lines basis for casualty as well.
APOApollo Global Management3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
If we can go back to software, dig into that a little bit more could be interesting. Maybe is it private equity, credit, both?
Show response
Zelter framed the opportunity across equity, hybrid, and credit as companies need capital with growth plans disrupted by software repricing. Noted valuation gap from 15-20x revenue to 12-16x earnings creates opportunity.
Calendar 2025 Q3
do you think this open capital markets environment and those companies moving from the private bucket to the public market will cause a natural inflow
Show response
Zelter argued private and public IG coexist, companies will use both. Cited Amazon, Google, Meta, Oracle jumbo IG issuances happening alongside record Apollo origination quarter.
Calendar 2025 Q2
They've remained muted and below historic levels. With markets activity beginning to pick up broadly, are you expecting an inflection point later this year?
Show response
Zelter noted Fund IX at 0.7 DPI vs industry 0.2, Fund X at 0.2 vs industry 0. Rowan tempered expectations, emphasizing purchase price discipline gives more exit optionality regardless of market timing.
KKRKKR3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
Can you maybe talk about how large the sports business within that framework would be? Does that assume any changes in ownership limits by leagues domestically?
Show response
Rob declined specific targets across sports/GP solutions/secondaries but emphasized cross-platform opportunities: stadium financing, sports-adjacent real estate, capital structure work. Scott confirmed growth expectations not dependent on any league rule changes.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Is this an opportunity for enhancing your relationships and broaden out the tentacles, which the organization touches within broader life insurance?
Show response
Scott confirmed life insurer partnerships scaling across infrastructure, RE equity, and specific transactions globally (U.S., Europe, Asia). Rob added reinsurance as big additional opportunity overseen by dedicated insurance client team.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Can you talk about the opportunity presented for the company from potential 401(k) retirement reform and how meaningful this could be?
Show response
Craig framed as giving similarly-situated people similar options (teachers at 30% alts vs dentists at 0%). Target date funds (60%+ of flows) likely entry point. Scott noted Capital Group is top-5 target date fund manager.
AIGAmerican International Group2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2024 Q4
are we at a point where there are aspirational areas of business that AIG is not in that you would be looking for either on organic or inorganic basis?
Show response
Zaffino confirmed divestiture program largely complete. On M&A, stressed discipline, must be 'compelling' and accretive to ROE. Emphasized organic growth capability and strategic/financial flexibility.
Do you have any thoughts on the regulatory environment? Clearly lots of, as my grandmother would say, interesting things happening in California from a regulatory perspective
Show response
Zaffino discussed state-by-state regulatory complexity, compared California to Japan (dual-peril exposure), noted modeling is flawed for tail events above $40B, called for industry-regulator reset.
LMNDLemonade, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
How do you think about the target for premiums to surplus at that time and do you think you can operate at greater leverage
Show response
About $250M held as regulatory surplus, described as relatively capital-light. Captive structures and reinsurance enable minimal surplus requirements. EBITDA breakeven timeline unchanged for nearly 4 years.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| AMP Ameriprise Financial | 10 | 10%1 of 10 questions |
| AFL Aflac | 9 | 0%none of 9 questions |
| GL Globe Life | 9 | 0%none of 9 questions |
| PRU Prudential Financial | 9 | 11%1 of 9 questions |
| PFG Principal Financial Group | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions |
| AIZ Assurant | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions |
| APO Apollo Global Management | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| KKR KKR | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| AIG American International Group | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- AMPAmeriprise Financial · 10 questions10%1 of 10 questions
- AFLAflac · 9 questions0%none of 9 questions
- GLGlobe Life · 9 questions0%none of 9 questions
- PRUPrudential Financial · 9 questions11%1 of 9 questions
- PFGPrincipal Financial Group · 8 questions0%none of 8 questions
- AIZAssurant · 7 questions0%none of 7 questions
- CINFCincinnati Financial · 4 questions25%1 of 4 questions
- APOApollo Global Management · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- KKRKKR · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- AIGAmerican International Group · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 11 | 0%none of 11 questions | 6 |
| 2025 Q1 | 9 | 0%none of 9 questions | 5 |
| 2025 Q2 | 12 | 0%none of 12 questions | 7 |
| 2025 Q3 | 13 | 8%1 of 13 questions | 8 |
| 2025 Q4 | 16 | 6%1 of 16 questions | 10 |
| 2026 Q1 | 2 | 50%1 of 2 questions | 1 |
| 2026 Q2 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 1 |
- 2024 Q411 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 11 questions) · 6 companies
- 2025 Q19 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 5 companies
- 2025 Q212 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 12 questions) · 7 companies
- 2025 Q313 questions · challenge rate 8% (1 of 13 questions) · 8 companies
- 2025 Q416 questions · challenge rate 6% (1 of 16 questions) · 10 companies
- 2026 Q12 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 1 company
- 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Competitive Dynamics19
- Demand14
- Margin13
- Product Launch13
- Capital Allocation11
- Innovation & R&D8
- M&A8
- Cost Pressure7
- Regulation Policy7
- Macroeconomic3
Show all 20 topics
- Guidance Reliability3
- Revenue Growth3
- Credit3
- Pricing2
- Subscriber Growth2
- Capex Investment1
- Labor Market1
- Geographic Expansion1
- Cloud & AI1
- Trade Tariffs1