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Analyst
John Tumazos
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters; questions recorded in 6).
- Questions
- 14on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 7%1 of 14 questions
- Companies
- 3questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 6with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 14 of 14 questions from 3 companies
STLDSteel Dynamics7 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Is there enough scrap aluminum to build a second 650,000 ton Columbus Rolling Complex
Show response
Management said a big steel mill or a second 650k-ton aluminum mill isn't near-term, favoring smaller high-ROIC value-add niche projects.
Calendar 2025 Q4
What are finished applications on a car for hot rolled aluminum
Show response
Mark clarified no direct hot band automotive application, hot band gets converted by others since STLD doesn't yet have full downstream capability including CASH line. First CASH (Continuous Anneal Surface Hardening) line due operational end of Q1 2026. Currently supplying hot band to industry to help with supply challenges while accelerating qualifications.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Could you explain the $27 drop in scrap cost given that the steel business is strong
Show response
Mark attributed scrap decline to normal supply-demand dynamics, called $27 more noise than directional signal. Scrap segregation technologies creating greater optionality of flow. New projects incorporating captive iron solutions so production growth does not proportionally increase scrap demand. Declined to provide aluminum realization or cost assumptions citing product grade complexity, but confirmed advertised returns are more than achievable.
Calendar 2025 Q2
what are the dimensions of qualification or the theaters the customer scrutinizes
Show response
Mark explained 3000 series covers industrial and can grades, 5000 is heat treated, 6000 principally automotive. Qualification process similar to steel with ISO and automotive quality criteria. Can sheet requires very high cleanliness given thin gauge at pressure.
Calendar 2025 Q1
When you balance out the input-output analysis, are the current economics better, the same, or worse than for your original business plan
Show response
Mark confirmed economics largely intact, a wash except for Mexico slab tariff impact, which is incremental this year due to ramp-up volumes. Does not believe current tariff regime will persist beyond this year.
What are the aluminum rolling mills of thirty-year or younger vintage? Good competitors that you'll be competing with
Show response
Mark expressed confidence that no close competitors exist given STLD's technology, scale, efficiency, recycled content advantage, and performance-driven culture. Over forty years since a meaningful high-tech aluminum expansion in North America.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Could you give us some color contrasting the lightning blitzkrieg startup for the aluminum versus Sinton
Show response
Mark explained Sinton used pioneering caster technology with higher risk, while aluminum uses proven SMS equipment deployed broadly in Asia. Aluminum's batch process design with multiple units provides redundancy unlike Sinton's continuous process.
SCCOSouthern Copper Corporation4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
How much was the impact when Obrador wanted to halt the open pits in Mexico? Did that delay it?
Show response
Said existing concessions including open-pit ones insulated the company, citing El Pilar moving forward with all permitting in place.
Please explain the delays in engineering and permitting and why it takes so long.
Show response
Attributed the El Pilar timeline to an in-depth technical review of copper recoveries plus permit renewals now completed and Board approval received.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Could you explain in a little more detail the ability of Southern Copper to hold the cash cost at $0.77
Show response
CFO credited company culture of cost discipline, continuous facility investment, strategic supplier relationships, and Buenavista zinc contribution.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Could you give us a little more precision on the timetable, please, for the El Pilar Deep Leach Project in Sonora and Tia Maria in Peru?
Show response
Jacob provided specific timelines: Tia Maria testing Q2 2027, full speed Q4 2027; El Pilar build-up completion end of 2027, production in 2028.
FCXFreeport-McMoRan3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
Will you put a cement plug into that 300-meter column to stabilize it?
Show response
Mark Johnson confirmed 15-meter reinforced concrete plugs with considerable safety factor designed against 300m hydrostatic pressure. To mine PB1C in future, would need to remove plugs and mine through them to re-access the area.
Is the engineering and safety decision that you want to wait for at least a 12-month seasonal precipitation cycle to be sure that the plug and pumps work exactly as intended?
Show response
Mark Johnson clarified PB1S timeline driven by physical chute repairs, not precipitation observation. PB1C has additional mitigation requirements around the 300-meter mud column. Surface mud techniques will be assessed during repair period.
Calendar 2025 Q2
explain some of the hurdles in engineering the Bagdad expansion
Show response
Quirk said constraint is execution risk in inflationary environment, not engineering. Autonomous trucks and housing investments de-risk the project. Lone Star vision is Morenci-scale with both leach and concentrate.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| STLD Steel Dynamics | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corporation | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q1 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q2 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q3 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q4 | 1 | 0%none of 1 question | 1 |
| 2026 Q1 | No questions recorded | — | — |
| 2026 Q2 | 3 | 33%1 of 3 questions | 2 |
- 2024 Q42 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q41 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
- 2026 Q1No questions recorded
- 2026 Q23 questions · challenge rate 33% (1 of 3 questions) · 2 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Capex Investment5
- Product Launch4
- Innovation & R&D4
- Supply Chain3
- Regulation Policy2
- Cost Pressure2
- Competitive Dynamics2
- Trade Tariffs1
- Margin1