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Analyst

Ken Zener

Seaport Research Partners · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q2 (8 quarters; questions recorded in 7).

Questions
19on tracked calls
Challenge rate
16%3 of 19 questions
Companies
3questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 19 of 19 questions from 3 companies

DHID. R. Horton13 questions · 7 reporting periods · 3 of 13 challenging
DHI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

What led to the modest beat that you guys had? Was it regional mix?

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Paul credited the gross margin beat mainly to stick and brick cost reductions and slightly lower incentives, not regional mix.

Calendar 2026 Q1

your lower land cost, I think you said it was up 4% year-over-year. Could you give us some context to that

Cost PressurePricingTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Romanowski said stick and brick savings from labor and materials expected to offset land increases in Q3 and Q4. Some land and lot reductions achieved but not widespread. Hansen noted lot cost increase moderated from 6% to 4% YoY.

did your teams tell you that you guys gained share? Or is that kind of just the demand environment

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Murray said hard to gauge share vs. market but anecdotally maybe some share gains. Will know more as peers report over the next 1.5 weeks.

Calendar 2025 Q4

demand is there amid very low job growth. For example, Dallas, you're familiar with, The job growth is around 30,000 year over year

ChallengingDemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Romanowski attributed demand to pent-up first-time buyers leaving apartments or parents' homes. Less reliant on job growth for household formation but acknowledged long-term job growth is essential.

What if it stays weak? Do you pull you know, have you tapped essentially your demand that was there not tied to JobThroak

ChallengingDemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Hansen emphasized first-time buyers are need-based and will buy if affordable. Nearly 20% using gift funds. The lower the price point, the more buyers available since first-time buyers need somewhere to live.

Calendar 2025 Q3

you said high single digits in the past. Are we in -- at the -- does the 120 bps increase now bring us into low double digits in terms of incentives

Show response

Hansen corrected the figure to 110bps and confirmed incentives remain in high single-digit percentage overall. Noted 10bps of the increase was from external broker commissions.

20% gross margin guidance, while it's down sequentially, it's actually kind of in the range, if you take the historical view of the industry, that's pretty normal

MarginMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Romanowski agreed job growth is critical for demand. Hansen said not ready to call a margin bottom but feels good about sustaining higher pretax margins than historical norms over the long term.

Calendar 2025 Q1

do you guys expect inventory units to be down year-over-year in 4Q

InventorySupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Inventory expected roughly flat YoY at fiscal year-end. Targeting turns better than 2x this year and next, leveraging compressed construction times.

how you think about the floor and pace that you're willing to cut take price to drive sales

Competitive DynamicsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Absorptions approaching pre-COVID norms. Community count growth offsets lower per-community pace. Balance of pace and margin maximizes returns.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Is there any reason we didn't necessarily see more dispersion of margins in your business because Florida, Texas, the West, they are all pretty similar

MarginGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Regional groupings aggregate enough markets to smooth out individual market variations. All markets focused on maximizing returns.

Could you give color around the margin spread between the 47% backlog closings and the 53% spec

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Could not provide spec vs backlog margin spread. Acknowledged pre-quarter sales at slightly higher margin than December exit rate.

Calendar 2024 Q3

do you still have confidence that your -- the gross margins can be structurally higher for you guys

ChallengingMarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Maintained long-term structurally higher margin thesis citing scale and lower leverage, while acknowledging short-term compression to maximize returns.

do you think part of the issue is on the slowing supply given the whole narrative of tight supply in terms of under construction

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management pivoted to lock-in effect limiting move-up buyers rather than directly addressing demand pull-forward concern.

PHMPulteGroup4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
PHM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

What % of buyers in Florida are from out of state? I combined my questions.

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management did not have the out-of-state figure but described how buyer mix varies by Florida market, citing continued momentum.

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you talk about the West? It is a broad area for you. But the gross margins which, you know, would have been higher to compensate for, you know, lower asset turns, it is lower

MarginGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Marshall attributed West margin pressure to high home prices, tech sector employment concerns, and post-COVID pricing surge. Colorado similar dynamics to Texas. Geographic diversification offsetting weakness.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you talk about perhaps the 8.9%, how that's distributed amongst the regions

PricingGeographic ExpansionLabor MarketTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Marshall confirmed lower incentives in strong markets (FL, SE, NE, MW) and higher in weaker ones (TX, West). Cautioned against over-indexing on one period of slower Texas job growth.

Calendar 2025 Q1

What do you think your 4Q year-end inventory units, are going to be relative to last year's 4Q? And how are your incentives different by segment?

Show response

Marshall expects year-end spec within 40-45% target range, lower than Q4 2024's 53%. Ossowski noted incentives vary by segment - financing for first-time, design options for Del Webb.

LENLennar2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
LEN company page →

Calendar 2025 Q1

if you guys can quantify the spread between what you saw in backlog and what became intra-quarter order closings in 1Q

Show response

Diane confirmed both backlog and sell-close margins are hovering around the 18% guidance level, with limited data only a couple of weeks into Q2.

on an incremental cash flow basis, where land is increasingly, if not a variable cost

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Diane and Stuart explained that while land cost is increasing as a variable, the efficiencies in construction costs, overhead absorption, and third-party capital more than offset. Stuart clarified it's not home-site-by-home-site optionality but shorter-duration land cycling.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
DHI D. R. Horton1323%3 of 13 questions
PHM PulteGroup40%none of 4 questions
LEN Lennar2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • DHI
    D. R. Horton · 13 questions
    23%3 of 13 questions
  • PHM
    PulteGroup · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • LEN
    Lennar · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q3250%1 of 2 questions1
2024 Q420%none of 2 questions1
2025 Q150%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q2No questions recorded——
2025 Q330%none of 3 questions2
2025 Q4367%2 of 3 questions2
2026 Q120%none of 2 questions1
2026 Q220%none of 2 questions2
  1. 2024 Q32 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q42 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
  3. 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  4. 2025 Q2No questions recorded
  5. 2025 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  6. 2025 Q43 questions · challenge rate 67% (2 of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  7. 2026 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
  8. 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Margin10
  • Demand6
  • Pricing4
  • Competitive Dynamics4
  • Geographic Expansion4
  • Macroeconomic3
  • Cost Pressure2
  • Inventory2
  • Labor Market1
  • Supply Chain1
Show all 12 topics
  • Capital Allocation1
  • Guidance Reliability1