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Analyst

Kevin Kopelman

TD Cowen · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
21on tracked calls
Challenge rate
5%1 of 21 questions
Companies
6questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 21 of 21 questions from 6 companies

BKNGBooking Holdings8 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 8 challenging
BKNG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Could you talk more about the testing you're doing on the AI-powered discovery experience on Booking.com?

Cloud & AIProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Glenn said it is very early with no data yet, expressing personal enthusiasm but stressing customer usage data will decide the outcome.

Calendar 2026 Q1

could you just clarify for the second quarter, how large you expect the impact to be there kind of on a like-for-like versus that 200 basis points you saw in the first quarter

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ewout provided specific quantification: ~3pp headwind in Q2, covering Middle East inbound/outbound, Europe-Asia corridors, and slightly lower ADRs. Direct and thorough response.

I was just going to follow up on the cautiousness, if you were seeing any broader kind of cautiousness behavior among your consumers outside of the region

ChallengingDemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Glenn pivoted to historical resilience narrative rather than directly addressing current consumer cautiousness signals. Ewout later provided more specific data about healthy markets outside the Middle East.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Could you talk about your B2B initiatives in the U.S. that you mentioned and maybe globally

Geographic ExpansionCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Glenn cited three consecutive quarters of US acceleration, winning B2B contracts, and improving B2C through better product. Ewout highlighted strong direct channel growth as a payoff of brand investments.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you comment on any trends you've seen in U.S. behavior, if any, as you move further away from what seem like peak macro concerns

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ewout described bifurcated US demand with high-end resilient but lower-end pressured, contrasted with strong European booking behavior and accelerating Asia growth.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how broadly and in what ways your suppliers are engaging with the Genius program, particularly with the Tier 2 and Tier 3 Geniuses

Competitive DynamicsProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Glenn described Genius as a three-way win that helps suppliers gain incremental demand without channel conflict, supplemented by mobile rates, geography rates, and data-driven targeting.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Could you give us your updated thoughts on your interest or lack of interest in larger M&A deals given recent activity in the space

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Glenn maintained the company's longstanding policy of not commenting on M&A activity.

you mentioned that you're expecting leverage this year. Could you give us more color there on the trends you're seeing

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ewout cited higher direct traffic, improved performance marketing ROIs, and strong social media channel economics particularly through Meta partnership.

ABNBAirbnb6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
ABNB company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Could you talk more about that 11% growth statistic that you called out for growth in first-time bookers?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Mertz attributed first-time booker acceleration to compounding product work plus Reserve Now Pay Later, with outsized growth in expansion markets and improvement in core markets.

Calendar 2025 Q4

What are some of the benefits you're seeing from that change? And could you see Airbnb moving all of its hosts over to that structure longer term?

Show response

Ellie explained migration from dual fee (3% host + variable guest) to single service fee for API-connected hosts in October. Many hosts didn't increase prices, so effective guest ADR came down, improving affordability and driving Q4 growth. Currently piloting further migration for individual hosts. Foundational move for dynamic pricing tools.

Calendar 2025 Q3

How are you thinking about that for 2026? Should we expect that those -- the focus for next year are the initiatives you've already been discussing today

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Brian described new testing paradigm: simultaneously testing half a dozen to a dozen businesses in pilot markets before deciding to scale. Services, experiences, and hotels each seen as multibillion-dollar opportunities. Luxury segment highlighted as fast-growing.

Calendar 2025 Q2

your first thinking on the 1 to 2 major product launches for 2026, key focus areas

Product LaunchMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Brian confirmed AI coming to app next year but declined to preview specifics. Ellie deferred 2026 margin guidance, noting continued new business investment plus core efficiencies.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Given FX, the guide seems to point to softer ADRs for Q2, how much of that is geo mix versus softening within the key regions

Show response

Ellie broke down ADR drivers: underlying price appreciation tailwind, dissipating FX headwind, and geo mix shift away from high-ADR North America. Euro exposure more limited than peers.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Could you give us an update on how you're thinking about advertising services in your priority list as you're rolling on new businesses?

Revenue GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Brian confirmed advertising is a billion-dollar opportunity but not the most perishable one. Not happening this year but on the horizon.

EXPEExpedia Group4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
EXPE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how you've seen U.S. and Mexico trips progress as we've gotten further away from the security incident that you called out last quarter?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Ariane Gorin said U.S. and Mexico travel has normalized. Derek Andersen attributed near-term B2B margin dynamics to partner promotional mix (larger partners active) and deliberate long-term investment in new lines of business, product capabilities, and partnerships across 70,000-plus partners.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how you think about incrementality, how you got comfortable, especially in the U.S. with the incrementality of that deal

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ariane framed each brand needing to stand on its own. B2B value prop creates a flywheel benefiting all brands. Consumer brand leaders focus on making direct customers more loyal through value-add and tier growth.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Could you touch on the key growth drivers in B2B and the latest trends you're seeing there?

Revenue GrowthGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ariane cited 30% Asia growth, geographic diversity, and share gains with existing partners. On rev share pressure from new entrants, team constantly iterating product to drive stickiness.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how you're thinking about share repurchases your philosophy there. And then with the re institution of the dividend

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Scott emphasized buybacks remain a priority with $3B+ remaining. On dividend, said let's start with 40 cents and see how things progress. Also noted room for M&A.

MARMarriott International1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
MAR company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you touch on how you would characterize current underlying leisure transient trends after you strip out any calendar changes?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Leeny called leisure the surprise outperformer. Demographics (wealth concentration in 55+ cohort) and experience-over-goods trends supporting demand. Booking window too short to predict more than 3 weeks ahead.

NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
NCLH company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Is Q1, should we be thinking of it as similar to Q4 or any other color you can basically give us

DemandGuidance ReliabilityPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CEO declined granularity, reiterating turnaround actions hit later 2027 and 2028, not Q1.

RCLRoyal Caribbean Group1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
RCL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Have you seen any consumer behavior change at all kind of reacting to the higher airfares in North America

DemandCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Michael noted slight impact from airfare spikes but global infrastructure provides offset as European customers book more when NA demand softens. Jason emphasized NA consumer health remains at highest levels seen, with some friction in travel experience temporarily affecting close-in bookings.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
BKNG Booking Holdings813%1 of 8 questions
ABNB Airbnb60%none of 6 questions
EXPE Expedia Group40%none of 4 questions
MAR Marriott International1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
RCL Royal Caribbean Group1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • BKNG
    Booking Holdings · 8 questions
    13%1 of 8 questions
  • ABNB
    Airbnb · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • EXPE
    Expedia Group · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • MAR
    Marriott International · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • NCLH
    Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • RCL
    Royal Caribbean Group · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q440%none of 4 questions3
2025 Q120%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q240%none of 4 questions4
2025 Q320%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q410%none of 1 question1
2026 Q1425%1 of 4 questions3
2026 Q240%none of 4 questions4
  1. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  3. 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q41 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  6. 2026 Q14 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  7. 2026 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand9
  • Product Launch5
  • Geographic Expansion4
  • Macroeconomic4
  • Competitive Dynamics4
  • Revenue Growth4
  • Pricing3
  • Margin2
  • Capital Allocation2
  • Cloud & AI1
Show all 14 topics
  • Guidance Reliability1
  • Cost Pressure1
  • Fx1
  • M&A1