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Analyst
Krish Sankar
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).
- Questions
- 142on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 5%7 of 142 questions
- Companies
- 19questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 9with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 142 of 142 questions from 19 companies
TERTeradyne14 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 14 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Correct me if I am wrong, I think the general view is that Advantest is strong in insertion one.
Show response
Gregory cautioned that definitions of insertion two vary by customer and said loss and polarization tests cannot be done before the lens assembly is applied.
it is seems like test intensity of a CPU is only 25% better for GPU
Show response
Gregory agreed accelerators carry the highest test intensity but said the accelerator-to-CPU ratio matters and every fabbed wafer needs testing regardless of device type.
Calendar 2026 Q1
is it fair to assume that's a huge tailwind for your gross margin given those legacy eagle testers
Show response
Michelle pushed back on 'huge' characterization, noting year-on-year margins within 200 basis points and auto/industrial not the biggest portfolio driver. Greg added most product lines are converging toward similar margins.
How big is the market this year? Is it like tens of millions of dollars this year?
Show response
Greg estimated 2026 silicon photonics market at roughly $100M. Regarding ficonTEC, noted they have been part of Chinese corporation since 2021, press reports have been refuted, and no evidence of issues on the ground.
Calendar 2025 Q4
Is it because of conservatism? I'm just curious because given that mobile is less, I would expect no seasonality anymore
Show response
H1 weighting driven by major program timing, not just conservatism. Irons in the fire for H2 but insufficient visibility to forecast confidently. Strong backlog provides better fidelity than prior years.
What is the realistic market share expectation for this year? And how high can that go over the next 3 years or so?
Show response
Expects production qualification soon. No merchant GPU revenue in Q1. Material revenue in H2 2026 but single-digit share initially. Target 30-70% balance over time in competitive dual-source dynamic. Qualification process complex and expensive.
Calendar 2025 Q3
for hard disk drives, just some of the strength that you mentioned there from the cloud demand, I was just curious like for System Test, like are you expecting strong double-digit growth in that se...
Show response
HDD capacity addition is complex and capital-intensive. Uptick in orders but revenue impact primarily in 2026. Not expecting significant IST growth in Q4.
how much more expansion do you see in terms of the customer base from the larger CSPs and similarly for Tier 2 CSPs
Show response
VIP market highly concentrated at 2 customers. Hyperscalers exerting more supply chain control, moving from aggregator influence to direct decisions. Merchant GPU decisions made by specifier (chip company), not foundry. Questions asked by a colleague on behalf of Krish Sankar.
Calendar 2025 Q2
having the networking business help with the GPU side? Or was it more of a direct comparison and value proposition
Show response
Corrected that GPU is not yet a win. Existing customer relationships help reputation but hyperscalers and VIPs increasingly taking control of test strategy from design aggregators.
is there a way to size it in terms of the number of units you'll be shipping either in 2026 or longer term?
Show response
Declined to provide specific unit numbers. Delivering cobot arms and robotic software platform. End-of-arm tooling and vision done by end customer.
Calendar 2025 Q1
What are the dynamics you're seeing? It seems like you're really seeing pushouts, no pull-ins
Show response
Pull-ins are for end product chips using existing capacity, not incremental equipment. Pushouts concentrated in auto/industrial, not yet in mobile.
just a follow-up on the HPM wafer start win. Is this an existing HBM customer? Is it a new one?
Show response
New customer for HBM, no prior HBM3/3E relationship. Win is for post-stack wafer-level performance test of HBM4.
Calendar 2024 Q4
where do you think it could end up being this year in the context of your $4.9 billion SOC TAM?
Show response
Compute growing as share of SOC revenue, VIP TAM expected in $400-500M range for 2025 biased to high end. Mobile flattish, Auto/Industrial growing.
it looks like your revenues in '25 are going to grow about 15% from 2024 levels. A, is that right?
Show response
Confirmed 15% midpoint. Robotics outlook reduced to 10% growth while Semi Test view strengthened over past 90 days.
AAPLApple Inc.12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 12 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
do you think this is a chance for you to increase your share both in iPhone and Mac at the expense of competition
Show response
Cook confirmed market share gains in both iPhone (December) and Mac (full calendar year 2025) but declined to speculate about future competitive dynamics from memory scarcity.
does the Apple Foundation model evolve to a different layer in the AI software stack? How to think about it as you partner with third-party frontier models
Show response
Cook clarified the Google arrangement is a collaboration specifically powering personalized Siri, while Apple continues its own work alongside the partnership.
Calendar 2025 Q3
do you think that could change the consumer behavior on mobile app ecosystems or are you seeing any of that
Show response
Cook framed AI as an opportunity rather than a threat, highlighting developer adoption of on-device models as a way to add features to apps and benefit both developers and Apple.
Is there a way to quantify how much this is you left on the table because of those constraints
Show response
Cook clarified constraints were from demand forecasting rather than manufacturing capacity issues, confirming they could have sold more but declining to publicly estimate the magnitude.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Do you think -- do you see a scenario where the LLMs become a core part of your iOS or is the SLM the way to go
Show response
Cook acknowledged AI as one of the most profound technologies of our lifetime but explicitly declined to discuss commoditization dynamics to protect competitive strategy.
do you think there was any pull-in of iPhones in the June quarter that led to some of the upside? And how to think about channel inventory in June quarter
Show response
Cook confirmed channel inventory was reduced to the low end of targeted range, and Parekh reiterated the ~1 point pull-ahead estimate occurring in the April timeframe.
Calendar 2025 Q1
are the current smartphone specs or improved hardware and silicon specs good enough to meet future Edge LLM for inference? Or do you think you need somewhat of a whole new different kind of device
Show response
Cook described the current hybrid approach of on-device, Private Cloud Compute, and ChatGPT integration but did not directly address future hardware requirements.
How much is CapEx versus R&D? How much is going into like the Texas server? How much is going into maybe TSMC Arizona
Show response
Cook declined to provide the exact breakdown, saying it includes CapEx, OpEx, and COGS across multiple states and facilities including the Texas server factory.
Calendar 2024 Q4
how much more levels do you have on the product side to improve the gross margin? Or do you think with some of the more new AI-related devices, there's more upside
Show response
Parekh highlighted favorable Pro mix, favorable commodity environment, and customer trade-up trends as margin drivers, with FX headwinds contemplated in guidance.
Just wondering how much of that was driven by some of the Mac silicon innovation versus a replacement cycle for Macs
Show response
Cook acknowledged both factors, compelling M4 products driving double-digit upgrades and double-digit switchers, but could not break out the precise split.
Calendar 2024 Q3
does this new era of Apple Intelligence actually require Apple to invest more in R&D beyond your current 7% to 8%
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Luca said R&D intensity toward AI has increased a lot, partly via internal reallocation, but did not commit to a spend level beyond the current range.
do you think that, in the future, it could potentially have or benefit the services growth business
Show response
Tim declined to forecast the Services impact but said many developers will take advantage of the Apple Intelligence APIs, benefiting the ecosystem.
KLACKLA Corporation11 questions · 6 reporting periods · 2 of 11 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
one of the large foundry customers last week raised their CapEx. Part of it was due to equipment pricing going up
Show response
Acknowledged customer pricing conversations and pointed to new products as the pricing reset point, but gave no quantified pricing benefit.
When I look at your revenue over the quarter, it seems like your revenue as a percentage of WP is pretty consistent
Show response
Attributed the flat ratio to first-half lead-time constraints and clarified that semi process control outgrows the company, diluted by services.
Calendar 2026 Q1
will the incremental CPU demand actually benefit KLA or not as much
Show response
CEO said KLA is well positioned as driving yield from existing capacity is the fastest lever, with collaboration levels very high and broader participation lending to a robust leading-edge environment.
I was just wondering how much of it is actually true demand versus customers making sure that there's enough capacity
Show response
CEO emphasized these are significant investment commitments to open fabs, with discussions spanning not just tools but installation resources, applications support, and service teams.
Calendar 2025 Q3
A, is that true, still the case? And number 2 is, I think if I remember right, the advanced packaging share is about 50%
Show response
Bren confirmed N2 intensity improvement with share gains, noting KLA's advanced packaging share at about 6% versus 8% in front-end PC, indicating packaging PC intensity is still below front-end.
Would you consider introducing new tools for back-end packaging? Or are you going to use the front-end tool?
Show response
Rick explained customers pulled KLA into back-end with front-end tools due to yield failure costs, noting they are early innings with road map advantage over competitors coming from the back end.
Calendar 2025 Q1
can you meet non-U.S. demand from your non-U.S. manufacturing facilities and U.S. demand from the U.S.?
Show response
Bren acknowledged the global footprint but noted complete factory duplication would require significant investment and isn't feasible short-term.
Do you think the Process Control being an early cyclical, some of the early purchases for Arizona are done?
Show response
Bren clarified most KLA business with the leading customer is shipping to Taiwan, with Arizona a slow investment cycle at lower levels over a longer period.
Calendar 2024 Q4
how to think about your decline in China sales year-over-year on top of export controls in '25 versus '24?
Show response
Bren quantified China dropping from 41% of 2024 revenue to about 29% in 2025, translating to overall China business down approximately 20%.
when you look at your numbers compared to some of your peers over the last two quarters your China sales have been more resilient compared to your peers?
Show response
Bren explained process control has a more consistent investment profile than capacity-centric equipment, with higher adoption at fab openings and continuous lower-level investment.
Calendar 2024 Q3
You mentioned that China could go from 40% to 30% of sales next year, but dollar value remains the same.
Show response
Higgins characterized China as trending down in 2025, with dollar levels possibly flat to slightly lower -- hedged pending how the year plays out.
NTAPNetApp11 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 11 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
how much was the deal size and revenue dollars in the July versus April quarter?
Show response
George declined to quantify AI revenue, distinguishing the 350 AI-stack-specific deals from broad AI-driven modernization reflected across the business.
Calendar 2026 Q2
are you sole source in that win? How to think about the opportunity?
Show response
George described a top-5 US Neo Cloud expanding into high-performance enterprise AI use cases but declined to detail the environment.
Calendar 2026 Q1
where do you think we are in enterprise AI storage adoption cycle. It looks like last year, they were still going through pilot and data preparedness.
Show response
George quantified: ~60% of Q3 AI deals in data prep/readiness/lakes, ~40% in production training or inferencing. Regulated industries (healthcare, life sciences, public sector, manufacturing) most advanced with large-scale pilots progressing to production. Industry and use case dependent.
Has that changed now with the memory dynamics, i.e., commodity costs going up, you're raising prices, has that really changed the visibility time line?
Show response
George confirmed lead times not uniformly extending. Some specific components on certain configurations may have longer lead times. Working to qualify alternate silicon. Merchant silicon and multi-supplier strategy has managed prior supply chain situations successfully.
Calendar 2025 Q4
What is the average size of these deals? And also, where are we in the pilot to production journey for enterprises of AI?
Show response
George declined to share average deal size citing it would misrepresent the wide range. Life sciences most advanced in AI adoption; financial services, some manufacturing, and public sector also broadly adopting. Data lakes/prep are pre-deployment stage; fine-tuning/inferencing at various stages of PoC-to-production.
Can you just quantify how much did that grow last quarter, that services business?
Show response
Wissam confirmed 32% YoY growth for first-party and marketplace cloud storage services in Q2.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Your all-flash revenue growth has decelerated from double-digit to just 5% now. Is it pricing or demand or something else?
Show response
Wissam attributed all-flash deceleration to US public sector and EMEA softness (as anticipated). Product margin down 5.9pp YoY with >5pp from flash cost increases; remainder from mix (more high-performance flash than expected). Expects Q1 is the low point with return to mid-to-high 50% range.
can you give a sense of some of the architecture these customers are following? Are they buying more storage or more capacity?
Show response
George broke down 125+ AI wins: data lakes ~20% (flash + object archive), model training ~45% (fine-tuning, sovereign models, all-flash), RAG/agentic AI ~35% (remainder). Data lakes use mixed flash + object; training and RAG are predominantly all-flash.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Curious how to think about the other one-third dynamic on the hard drive side. Are you seeing weakening demand, or do you think that sector is in or that segment is in a secular decline?
Show response
George confirmed HDD segment in ongoing decline as high-performance and 10k drives transition to flash. Will asymptote to smaller number for backup/archival use cases where flash doesn't yet provide compelling value.
What is the implied product gross margin in it? And, also, what is your public sector exposure?
Show response
Wissam declined to guide product gross margin specifically but reiterated flat Q1 then gradual improvement. US public sector low teens of revenue, ~75-80% federal. Expects DOGE to wrap up soon and new spending bill to help.
Calendar 2025 Q1
where are we in the AI in the enterprise cycle? And along the same path, the focus on enhancements to storage grid
Show response
George confirmed early innings of enterprise AI with growing wins including AI-as-a-Service providers; Spot has ~$9M of cloud revenue in Q4 guide.
AMATApplied Materials10 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
does this give you some freedom on pricing or does it add more burden on expenses on setting up your capacity
Show response
Brice said large customers increasingly focus on scheduled delivery and specificity of orders, improving planning, but did not directly address pricing freedom.
Calendar 2026 Q2
Is it fair to assume '28 could be another growth year for WFE after impressive '26 and '27
Show response
Brice confirmed it's not too early to call 2028 a growth year, characterizing the trend as secular growth driven by AI as the headline workload.
do you expect 1 delta to be a big node and if so, could that slow down the depth and etch intensity in DRAM
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Gary outlined strong positions across 6F-squared, 4F-squared, and 3D DRAM, with 10 points of WFE share gained in DRAM over the last decade and materials intensity increasing going forward.
Calendar 2026 Q1
Is there a way to quantify or look at advanced packaging this year versus last year? How it looks?
Show response
Gary confirmed packaging is one of the highest growth businesses driven by HBM and 3D chiplet stacking where AMAT is #1, but did not provide specific revenue figures.
how has the view evolved over the last 3 months? Since 3 months ago, the consensus view was that China would be down in 2026
Show response
Gary acknowledged the view shifted from slightly down to flattish for both China and global ICAPS, while reaffirming AI-driven markets as the primary growth engine.
Calendar 2025 Q4
it feels like PVD is moving to ALD, on the CVD, CMP and etch side, besides the usual U.S. and Japanese competitors, there's increasing domestic China competition
Show response
Gary argued the competitive dynamic is overwhelmingly driven by trade restrictions (accessible China market more than doubled in restriction) not product displacement. Applied is #1 in process equipment for leading logic, DRAM, and advanced packaging with strong gate-all-around and backside power positions.
Calendar 2025 Q3
How much is the licensing amount you backed out of that? And if that comes through, how to think about the revenue upside
Show response
Brice said Q2 and Q4 are more indicative of expected China business levels for the year. No immediate upside even if licensing resolves since equipment would need to be built. Declined to quantify the licensing backlog amount but noted it's a large number.
Calendar 2025 Q2
how to think about your leadership product momentum over the next one year to three years, some of these shifts in competition
Show response
Gary emphasized deep customer engagements on gate-all-around, backside power, 4F-squared DRAM, and HBM. Brice described the BESI investment as extending a 5-year collaboration on die-to-wafer bonding critical for energy-efficient compute.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Can you talk a little bit about your IP market share and if you still feel confident in the 50% share gain
Show response
Gary directly addressed competitive concerns, noting 85% of gate-all-around epi steps are selective epi where Applied has tremendous strength and new innovations coming to market.
Calendar 2024 Q4
once you get past gate-all-around, go to backside power delivery or even 6F-squared DRAM, does that intensity come down
Show response
Gary emphasized value pricing extends across all upcoming inflections including backside power, 4F-squared, and 3D DRAM, not limited to gate-all-around.
ASMLASML Holding10 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
Is there a natural ceiling on your EV output, either due to pace at VDL or Carl Zeiss capacity?
Show response
Christophe cited footprint optimization, shorter cycle times and supplier work, and said Zeiss is not a bottleneck even beyond 30% growth in 2028.
On the value pricing, is this across the board? Is it for systems, services, spare parts, everything?
Show response
Roger said increases target the most critical high-volume tools and upgrade prices follow, but declined further detail on how it is applied.
do you worry that customers are pulling in orders or giving you bigger forecast just to secure a slot?
Show response
Christophe said ASML validates demand against customers' fab construction and release plans and believes it is not inflated.
Calendar 2026 Q2
is it fair to assume that gross margin next year should grow versus this year because if your mix is shifting
Show response
Roger declined to guide 2027 gross margin but confirmed the EUV mix effect will be more positive next year as D models phase out in favor of E and F.
Calendar 2025 Q2
what kind of bookings run rate should we assume you need to get in Q3 to get some conviction on calendar '26 as a growth year or not?
Show response
Roger refused to back into a 2026 bookings threshold, citing ASML's stance that lumpy bookings are not a good momentum signal and declining to indirectly guide 2026.
can you tell us a little bit of how much of the EUR 2.3 billion in EUV, how was it split between Logic and DRAM for EUV bookings?
Show response
Roger said EUV intake was multi-customer and Logic-skewed; on Deep UV he said ASML is virtually fully covered for 2025, with the balance of intake already building for 2026.
Calendar 2025 Q1
is China is still going to be around 25%, mid-20 percentage of sales this year. And any color on the composition of the backlog?
Show response
Roger bumped the China mix from low-20s to a little over 25% of total 2025 sales and said the China backlog composition is still roughly 20-25%.
What kind of bookings run rate should we expect in the current and the next quarter to see the growth? And if calendar '25 ends up in the upper end of the range, would calendar '26 still be a growt...
Show response
Roger reiterated 2026 as a growth year but declined to quantify required bookings, pointing to the already-significant portion of backlog pertaining to post-2025 shipments and reiterating that lumpy orders do not accurately reflect momentum.
Calendar 2024 Q4
the decline in China sales from 47% in September to 27% in December, is that all a function of digestion by Chinese customers?
Show response
Roger said export controls are a factor but the dominant driver is simply that the pre-2022 fill-rate backlog is now largely worked through, so the normalized low-20% run rate should be steady.
You kind of said that this year Logic would be up, but memory kind of flattish. On the Memory front you're more exposed to DRAM than NAND, and you keep hearing about HBM capacity increase.
Show response
Christophe said HBM is driving aggressive capacity additions for some DRAM customers while standard DRAM is only modestly recovering, which is why memory stays strong but not materially higher than 2024.
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LRCXLam Research10 questions · 8 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
is this a new norm for inventory management, or is this more supply chain being constrained on capacity?
Show response
Rejected the supply-constraint framing outright and cited the sequential inventory build alongside improved turns.
if you assume current level of volumes, is 50-plus % the right baseline for gross margins to assume?
Show response
Gave an explicit near-term gross margin range, one of the more specific forward answers on the call.
Calendar 2026 Q1
you folks gained share in PECVD quite a bit last year. I'm curious which vertical drove that PECVD share gain
Show response
Doug highlighted PECVD underfill in advanced packaging as an underappreciated contributor; Tim added NAND backside stress management via Vector DT as another growth driver.
the upgrade to the WFE numbers, the $135 billion going to $140 billion plus. Is there a way to segment
Show response
Doug reiterated the WFE upgrade was broad-based across all customer segments, driven by incrementally available clean room space rather than any single driver.
Calendar 2025 Q4
as your customers ramp up more onshore manufacturing, would it lead to you increasing shipments from your US specialties in California and Oregon rather than Malaysia
Show response
Doug listed global factories across Oregon, California, Ohio, Malaysia, Taiwan, Korea, and Austria, noting flexibility to adjust but feeling good about the current setup.
Calendar 2025 Q3
should we assume that there might be a quarter or two where your NAND orders or shipments drop off?
Show response
Doug acknowledged quarter-to-quarter variability in NAND but said overall trajectory toward the $40B opportunity has strengthened from a quarter ago.
Calendar 2025 Q2
If I heard you right, you said the multinationals grew relatively more in June versus March. If true, do you think was it because of potential for restrictions
Show response
Doug confirmed global multinationals in China grew over 90% Q/Q but declined to attribute a specific reason.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Doug, can you meet all of your non-US customer demand from your non-US manufacturing sites like Malaysia and Taiwan?
Show response
Doug declined to detail manufacturing specifics but noted the ability to adjust tool placement with enough lead time depending on the rules.
Calendar 2024 Q4
on China, what is kind of your visibility in terms of lead times? And also, can you help us quantify the impact
Show response
Doug quantified the impact at roughly $700 million of forecasted 2025 revenue, second-half weighted, with lead times unchanged.
Calendar 2024 Q3
I'm just trying to figure out what are the drivers for outperformance for Lam in calendar '25.
Show response
Management pointed to NAND technology upgrades plus advanced packaging, backside power, gate-all-around and dry photoresist as combined outperformance drivers.
MUMicron Technology, Inc.10 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Is there a way to say, is the undersupply gonna be double what it is this year in 2027
Show response
Sanjay said 2027 stays tight and tightness continues beyond 2027, citing long capacity lead times and structurally strong AI demand.
On the floor pricing for the LTAs, you said about the prior peak.
Show response
Sanjay reiterated floor-price gross margins will be well beyond past-cycle peaks but declined to confirm specific per-gigabyte pricing.
Calendar 2026 Q1
How different is it from an LTA
Show response
Sanjay confirmed SCAs are multiyear (vs typical one-year LTAs), designed to bring stability and visibility across tight and loose industry environments, with robust provisions for both Micron and customers, but declined to give specifics on pricing or cancellation terms.
how to think about the sustainability of gross margins, especially as you bring more HBM4 into the mix
Show response
Mark declined to guide Q4 gross margin specifically but said tight market conditions beyond 2026 and structural supply constraints support sustained margin strength, with the caveat that incremental price gains have less effect at these high margin levels.
Calendar 2025 Q4
how to think about gross margins beyond the February, like into May
Show response
Mark committed to gross margin expansion beyond fiscal Q2 for both DRAM and NAND, while noting the pace will be more gradual than the Q1/Q2 jumps due to mathematical compression at high margin levels.
how to think about Micron Technology, Inc.'s HBM market share in that realm
Show response
Sanjay declined to specify Micron's HBM share target in the $100B 2028 TAM, reiterating the company will manage HBM/non-HBM mix around portfolio and customer strategy in the current tight-supply environment.
Calendar 2025 Q3
You also said that you have the offering of both your in-house base dial
Show response
Sanjay clarified that HBM4 uses Micron's in-house base die while HBM4e (a 2027 product with TSMC partnership) will offer both standard and customized base logic dies, with customized skus expected to carry higher gross margins.
I told them, Sanjay, you mentioned about getting sold out in HPM
Show response
Sanjay declined to quantify 2026 HBM supply but said Micron has front-end fungibility on one-beta wafers plus assembly-and-test capacity headroom, giving flexibility to manage HBM vs non-HBM mix with ROI in mind.
Calendar 2025 Q2
when you look into HBM4, given the double I/O count through silicon via, what kind of trade ratio
Show response
Sanjay said HBM4 trade ratio is greater than 3 (above HBM3E's ~3), HBM4E will be even higher, and declined to break out GPU vs ASIC HBM margin differences.
Calendar 2025 Q1
I'm just wondering how much of that is true end demand versus actually tariff-related pull-ins
Show response
Sanjay pointed to tight leading-edge DRAM supply, HBM trade ratio and consumer inventory normalization as real drivers, without quantifying tariff pull-in versus underlying demand.
PEverpure, Inc.7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
is there any correlation to NAND prices versus your hyperscaler wins?
Show response
Charlie confirmed NAND prices significantly affect the business; Rob declined to speculate on individual customers or future design-win timing.
Calendar 2026 Q2
where are we on the Enterprise AI adoption cycle? Is it imminent? Is it happening?
Show response
CEO said most enterprise AI purchasing is still in the cloud with little on-prem native buildout; sovereign clouds and titans do more on-prem, plus some high-end banking, automotive and pharma, but otherwise it is very low.
Calendar 2026 Q1
are hyperscale revenues included in that? And how much of the $700 million of sequential growth is from hyperscalers?
Show response
CFO said none of the RPO growth is from hyperscalers, hyperscaler revenue is recognized in product revenue (not ratable) and excluded from RPO.
Calendar 2025 Q4
is the rising NAND prices one of them catalyst solutions where the hyperscalers don't wanna deal with the volatility?
Show response
CEO said NAND-price volatility isn't a big driver of the hyperscaler model shift; different hyperscalers have different purchasing preferences, producing a more mixed/nuanced model with varying COGS.
Calendar 2025 Q3
how these engagements evolved over the last three months. Like, are we still in the first innings there
Show response
CTO said other-hyperscaler engagements are progressing well (co-engineering, not traditional sales) with testing and multiple POCs underway but still early stage; some phases may accelerate given Meta learnings.
Calendar 2025 Q1
On RPO, it looks like the RPO growth rate has declined from about 30% a year ago to 14% in the last quarter.
Show response
CFO attributed the RPO deceleration to lower Evergreen//One TCV this year, noting a record Q4 Evergreen//One performance (+20%) and growth built into FY26 guidance.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Is this based on the agreement in place? Or is that your estimate for how big this opportunity can scale?
Show response
Management said double-digit exabytes in CY2026 reflects customer coordination though sales are TBD; licensing is tied to shipped capacity.
RGTIRigetti Computing, Inc.7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
what's the annual QPU production capacity? And what kind of CapEx requirement should we expect
Show response
Management said the 150-millimeter Fremont fab has ample capacity; upgrades are about capability, not capacity.
Calendar 2026 Q1
Is this an on-chip qubit gate? Or is it a separate control chip? Is it ASIC or FPGA.
Show response
Management said error correction is done in the control-systems layer in ambient conditions, not on the quantum chip itself.
Calendar 2025 Q4
have the recent acquisition by your competitors kind of changed that decision-making thought process?
Show response
Management said Rigetti does not need a new fab for quantum advantage and questioned peers' CMOS-foundry acquisitions.
Calendar 2025 Q3
are they both complete systems that include dilution fridges and full control systems?
Show response
Asked by an associate (Steven, labelled 'Kinney Chin' in the transcript) on behalf of Krish Sankar. Management said both Novera orders are complete systems including fridges and controls, with future upgrades adding revenue.
Calendar 2025 Q2
I want to get your view on kind of current valuations on quantum assets currently? And is M&A an important part
Show response
Steven (associate, on for Krish Sankar) asked about current quantum-asset valuations and whether M&A is important. Management said it sees no M&A targets that would accelerate the roadmap and views itself in the technology leadership camp.
Calendar 2025 Q1
is like a high teens million OpEx run rates goal the right number to be thinking about, or is this low 20s level the more
Show response
Asked by an associate (Steven Silverman) on behalf of Krish Sankar. The CFO attributed elevated Q1 OpEx to FICA and spot bonuses and expected a modest reduction, without giving a run-rate target.
Calendar 2024 Q4
should we assume that, that rate of scaling can continue in future years as well?
Show response
Asked by an associate (Steven Silverman) on behalf of Krish Sankar. Management laid out the chiplet tiling roadmap: 36-qubit by mid-2025, then 100-plus qubits by year-end.
SWKSSkyworks Solutions7 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
your data center revenues is still under $100 million and your auto revenues are probably like $250 million a year
Show response
Philip Carter confirmed data center under $100M and auto ~$250M annually. Data center growing faster than auto. Strong design win traction and good bookings momentum in both segments.
what is your total China revenues roughly this year?
Show response
Philip Carter confirmed China total revenue less than $200M annually with handset less than $20M. Minimal exposure reflecting deliberate strategy to focus on premium and profitable segments.
Calendar 2025 Q2
how solid is the visibility of your largest customer versus Android compared to, let's say, 3 months ago?
Show response
Phil confirmed strong visibility across both iOS and Android. Book-to-bill above 1, low channel inventories. No material difference in visibility between the two platforms.
how do you think about OpEx into next year like -- or I should say, OpEx this year relative to pursuing opportunities in 2026?
Show response
Phil committed to disciplined OpEx management. Past increases were targeted R&D investments. Any modest future increases will be focused on core R&D. Expects nominal OpEx growth rates going forward.
in terms of the auto business, can you say how big the auto business is today? Is it mid-single- digit percentage, 10 percentage?
Show response
Raji quantified auto at ~$60M/quarter, up significantly YoY. Highlighted wins at BYD, Nissan, Ford across 5G telematics, infotainment, power isolation. Long design cycles provide durable revenue visibility.
Calendar 2024 Q3
historically how long has the growth inflection lasted for a Wi-Fi upgrade cycle and how to think about how this profile would be versus prior cycles?
Show response
Liam listed design wins (Motorola, Logitech, Charter, Mercedes-Benz) but did not directly answer how long the upgrade cycle typically lasts historically.
when you look at the December quarter compared to history, how was the demand linearity trending? And what is that implies on March quarter's seasonality?
Show response
Confirmed normal seasonality: mobile down in March, broad markets expected to continue modest sequential growth. Only guides one quarter at a time.
HPQHP Inc.6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
is Windows 11 refresh still a big driver there?
Show response
CFO said roughly 70% of the Windows 11 refresh is complete and still driving SMB demand, increasingly augmented by rising demand for AI PCs, edge AI and agentic workloads.
does that include a lot of AI workstations? And what's sort of the attach rate of discrete AI accelerators within that AI PC mix?
Show response
Interim CEO said the target refers to AI PCs excluding workstations, with attach rates similar to the rest of the PC business, plus incremental solution opportunities; PS head noted AI PCs were 46% of mix and are expected to reach 60%-70% in 2027.
Calendar 2026 Q1
is there a way to quantify it? Is it low teens, high teens, down 20%? And any specific segment which will decline more than the others
Show response
Karen confirmed double-digit unit decline without further specifics. Ketan noted revenue growth still expected through Win 11 momentum, AIPC mix shift (35% and rising), and pricing actions driving revenue TAM expansion despite unit decline.
I want to find out if you can quantify, what is the memory cost impact in Jan quarter? What is baked in terms of the memory cost increase in April and fiscal year
Show response
Karen declined to quantify net memory impact but noted memory costs up ~100% sequentially, BOM share rising from 15-18% to roughly 35% for year. Ketan Patel (PS head) outlined mitigation playbook across supply management, cost actions, and demand shaping.
Calendar 2024 Q4
what exactly is the definition of AI PC? Does it have a higher silicon content like NPU, CPU memory
Show response
Enrique explained IDC definition (NPU built-in) for the 15% figure, HP's next-gen AI PCs require 40+ TOPS NPU, AI companion, enhanced security.
if you look at most forecasts, memory, DRAM and NAND, which is a big part of your commodity cost is expected to decline in calendar Q1
Show response
Enrique noted commodity pressure through H1 FY25, mitigation from repricing, lower-cost component qualification, and SKU consolidation in H2.
STXSeagate Technology Holdings6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
are you just increasing capacity per unit or are you actually increasing the units of Head capacity
Show response
Mosley emphasized aerial density focus over unit volume growth. Adding more capacity per spindle nets more exabytes than adding units. Romano pointed to Mozaic 5 at 50TB qualifying late calendar 2027.
Calendar 2025 Q4
how much of the gross margin upside is driven by pricing? How much is driven by product mix? How much is driven by cost reduction
Show response
Romano declined to break out individual contributions but confirmed pricing, mix, and cost are all contributing positively and interrelated. HAMR mix rising but specific percentage not disclosed.
Calendar 2025 Q3
I'm wondering if you're rethinking your pricing strategy for HAMR i.e., can you increase it further?
Show response
Mosley indicated pricing will adjust slowly over time as demand develops. Romano noted only the first customer received a slightly lower price for helping with initial qualification.
Calendar 2024 Q4
is it fair to assume, as the nearline grows, the gross margin should improve quarter-over-quarter through the rest of calendar 2025
Show response
Romano confirmed confidence in continued sequential gross margin improvement driven by mix, pricing strategy, cost efficiency, and HAMR ramp in second half of calendar 2025.
Of the 126 exabyte nearline you shipped in December, how much went to surveillance?
Show response
Romano disclosed surveillance accounted for roughly 4-5 exabytes of nearline shipments per quarter.
Calendar 2024 Q3
Historically, you're more in the mid-40s, but last few quarters, it's kind of dipped down to 30% to high 30% range
Show response
Pressed on the market-share decline; Dave reframed share as an outcome of the build-to-order strategy, and Gianluca said the pricing environment continues to improve each quarter.
ARMArm Holdings5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
what is your assumption on when we get to 1:1? And do you expect the CPU to GPU ratio to cross 1:1?
Show response
Rene reframed from chip count to core count. GPUs are reticle-limited while CPU core counts could double or quadruple. Dedicated CPU racks for Agentic orchestration will shift ratios significantly.
Calendar 2025 Q4
how to think about Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares' IP penetration rates or percentage rate in AI data center semis today, and where do you think that evolves over the next three to fiv...
Show response
Rene described a multi-year evolution where CPU workloads expand at the expense of GPUs as inference goes agentic. Custom CPU-based solutions for prefill and decode will proliferate. AI compute will also migrate to smaller form factors in physical AI and edge devices, all of which are Arm-based.
Calendar 2025 Q3
how do you see chip demand and token generation playing out and its implication for Arm
Show response
Rene described the training-to-inference shift as an enormous trend for Arm. Meta partnership is enabling scalable software between cloud and edge. Battery-level AI compute is Arm's unique domain.
Calendar 2024 Q4
just wanted to follow-up on the ACV. You mentioned the growth decel
Show response
Jason explained ACV has a ~7% annual escalator baseline from ATA deals, with AI/CSS upside pushing it to mid-teens recently. Majority of future growth will come from royalties, not licensing.
Calendar 2024 Q3
It seems like the smartphone mix is shifting towards the entity there in the Android market.
Show response
Rene cited strong local-brand growth (Xiaomi, Oppo, Vivo) and said the premium/flagship market in China is all v9, with the transition moving into the midrange.
DELLDell Technologies5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
is there a way to think about what is the mix of x86 versus Arm? And does it matter to you
Show response
Clarke said traditional servers are x86 today, GPU systems skew toward Arm, and he is optimistic about Vera for future advanced workloads.
Calendar 2026 Q1
is there a way to break down your AI server orders between enterprise, neo clouds, and sovereign?
Show response
David declined to share specific breakdown but Jeff noted over 4,000 customers, record enterprise revenue quarter, and enterprise as fastest-growing portion of five-quarter pipeline.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Can you talk a little bit about the AI server mix? How much is liquid cooled versus air cooled? How much is ARM-based CPU architecture?
Show response
Jeff confirmed DLC bias in backlog for large deployments. Yvonne explained the $5B AI revenue raise offset by ~$1B reduction in CSG/traditional server/storage expectations.
Calendar 2025 Q2
do you think some of these private storage companies which have higher nodes are kinda eating share from the legacy storage companies?
Show response
Jeff emphasized training and inference as separate opportunities, cited enterprise use cases like their digital service assistant, and highlighted Project Lightning parallel file system.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Is there a way to look at it and say how much was the attach rate you saw for your storage or services business
Show response
Jeff did not quantify attach rates but gave extensive strategic answer on storage opportunity including three-tier architecture, PowerScale platform, and Project Lightning parallel file system for AI.
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited4 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
does it matter whether it's -- that demand is coming through a GPU or an ASIC?
Show response
C.C. Wei said GPU or ASIC makes no difference to TSMC since both use leading-edge technologies and TSMC supports all types.
how much 1 gigawatt of AI data center capacity could translate in terms of wafer demand or revenue for TSMC?
Show response
C.C. Wei cited a customer's ~$50 billion per gigawatt investment but declined to quantify TSMC's wafer content, noting it varies by project and involves many chips.
Calendar 2025 Q1
what is the capacity installed in Japan today? And how do you think about the revenue contribution this year from Japan?
Show response
Wendell gave direct figures: the Japan fab ramps to 40,000 capacity, with 2025 revenue contribution not significant relative to the whole company.
what is your visibility on second half revenues and also N2 demand for wafers into next year?
Show response
Wendell deferred second-half color as too early given tariff uncertainty; C.C. Wei said N2 demand is very strong with tape-outs exceeding expectations.
QBTSD-Wave Quantum Inc.3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
can you give us a little more color on for the initial applications that you used on the annealing systems, what that translates to for future opportunities today?
Show response
Steven stood in for Krish Sankar. Baratz said only annealing delivers commercial production value today and that a per-network 'operations' count does not apply to annealing.
Calendar 2026 Q1
can you give some color on the composition of the backlog on RPO? How much is commercial, et cetera?
Show response
Markovich said the backlog is roughly 50-50 commercial versus research, including the $20M FAU system sale and the enterprise QCaaS deal.
Calendar 2025 Q4
Kind of wondering how you are looking at risk mitigation.
Show response
Baratz said dual-rail is not made at SkyWater, and D-Wave fabricates its own Josephson junctions; he is skeptical of the IonQ-SkyWater deal and pursuing alternate fab.
SNDKSandisk Corporation2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
is that the right way to think about it, data centers is a 300-plus exabyte market this year going to mid-400
Show response
CEO confirmed high 300s exabyte estimate for data center in 2026, building on 130% YoY growth in 2024 and high teens in 2025, with mid-40s percent growth in 2026.
is there a way to figure out how much of that is related to AI data center and neocloud versus traditional cloud?
Show response
CEO confirmed data center revenue growth is majority AI-driven, though did not provide a specific percentage split.
WDCWestern Digital2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
would that slow down because most are under LTA? Or do you think there's still flexibility
Show response
Irving said LTA repricing occurs through the year as contracts kick in, with more rapid increases in non-nearline.
Calendar 2024 Q3
you said Flash revenue should grow, while bit shipment should be up mid-single-digits. So what does it mean for ASPs?
Show response
Asked about Flash ASP implications of the Q2 guide; management pointed to flat blended pricing and a modest cost headwind, direct.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| TER Teradyne | 14 | 0%none of 14 questions |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | 12 | 0%none of 12 questions |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | 11 | 18%2 of 11 questions |
| NTAP NetApp | 11 | 9%1 of 11 questions |
| AMAT Applied Materials | 10 | 0%none of 10 questions |
| ASML ASML Holding | 10 | 10%1 of 10 questions |
| LRCX Lam Research | 10 | 10%1 of 10 questions |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | 10 | 10%1 of 10 questions |
| P Everpure, Inc. | 7 | 14%1 of 7 questions |
| RGTI Rigetti Computing, Inc. | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
- TERTeradyne · 14 questions0%none of 14 questions
- AAPLApple Inc. · 12 questions0%none of 12 questions
- KLACKLA Corporation · 11 questions18%2 of 11 questions
- NTAPNetApp · 11 questions9%1 of 11 questions
- AMATApplied Materials · 10 questions0%none of 10 questions
- ASMLASML Holding · 10 questions10%1 of 10 questions
- LRCXLam Research · 10 questions10%1 of 10 questions
- MUMicron Technology, Inc. · 10 questions10%1 of 10 questions
- PEverpure, Inc. · 7 questions14%1 of 7 questions
- RGTIRigetti Computing, Inc. · 7 questions0%none of 7 questions
Show all 19 companies
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| SWKS Skyworks Solutions | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
| HPQ HP Inc. | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| STX Seagate Technology Holdings | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| ARM Arm Holdings | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions |
| DELL Dell Technologies | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| SNDK Sandisk Corporation | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| WDC Western Digital | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- SWKSSkyworks Solutions · 7 questions0%none of 7 questions
- HPQHP Inc. · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- STXSeagate Technology Holdings · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- ARMArm Holdings · 5 questions0%none of 5 questions
- DELLDell Technologies · 5 questions0%none of 5 questions
- TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- QBTSD-Wave Quantum Inc. · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- SNDKSandisk Corporation · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- WDCWestern Digital · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q3 | 9 | 0%none of 9 questions | 7 |
| 2024 Q4 | 18 | 6%1 of 18 questions | 12 |
| 2025 Q1 | 16 | 13%2 of 16 questions | 11 |
| 2025 Q2 | 16 | 0%none of 16 questions | 10 |
| 2025 Q3 | 21 | 5%1 of 21 questions | 14 |
| 2025 Q4 | 15 | 0%none of 15 questions | 11 |
| 2026 Q1 | 22 | 5%1 of 22 questions | 14 |
| 2026 Q2 | 17 | 12%2 of 17 questions | 12 |
| 2026 Q3 | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions | 5 |
- 2024 Q39 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 7 companies
- 2024 Q418 questions · challenge rate 6% (1 of 18 questions) · 12 companies
- 2025 Q116 questions · challenge rate 13% (2 of 16 questions) · 11 companies
- 2025 Q216 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 16 questions) · 10 companies
- 2025 Q321 questions · challenge rate 5% (1 of 21 questions) · 14 companies
- 2025 Q415 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 15 questions) · 11 companies
- 2026 Q122 questions · challenge rate 5% (1 of 22 questions) · 14 companies
- 2026 Q217 questions · challenge rate 12% (2 of 17 questions) · 12 companies
- 2026 Q38 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 5 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand60
- Cloud & AI37
- Competitive Dynamics36
- Revenue Growth32
- Innovation & R&D25
- Margin19
- Pricing18
- Supply Chain17
- Capex Investment11
- Trade Tariffs9
Show all 19 topics
- Guidance Reliability8
- Product Launch7
- Regulation Policy6
- Cost Pressure5
- Geographic Expansion4
- Subscriber Growth2
- Inventory1
- M&A1
- Macroeconomic1