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Analyst
Lance Wilkes
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).
- Questions
- 29on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 0%none of 29 questions
- Companies
- 5questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 8with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 29 of 29 questions from 5 companies
CNCCentene Corporation7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Can you talk a little bit about your ICHRA business and in particular, kind of size the membership
Show response
London sized ICHRA and named the cost wins, ABA moderation and payment-integrity algorithms targeting AI up-coding in sepsis, before handing low utilizers to Asher.
Calendar 2026 Q1
Can you talk a little bit about kind of the net trend impact
Show response
Sarah noted lighter RFP year with only small number of larger states in or planning procurement. States aligning RFP processes (Indiana reprocuring entire program at once) and considering moving additional higher-acuity populations into managed care due to OB3 and budget pressure. Net trend initiatives around network, clinical programs, payment integrity, and fraud drive to 4.5% with strong pipeline for rest of year.
Calendar 2025 Q4
could you walk through Medicaid trends kinda 25 contrast with 26 in a couple different ways
Show response
Sarah noted continued low-level membership attrition pressuring trend, with behavioral health (50% of excess, ABA primary), home health/HCBS, and high-cost drugs as consistent drivers throughout 2025. Drew added inpatient trend looks good and TANF-only population excluding behavioral health shows normal historical trend, enabling targeted intervention. Competitive dynamics showing rate pressure impacting smaller nonprofit plans, potentially creating membership growth opportunities.
Calendar 2025 Q3
what sort of variability are you seeing across states in rates
Show response
Sarah noted consistent constructive rate dialogue for 18+ months with states integrating more recent data. State budget pressures create opportunity for managed care expansion as states look to carve in fee-for-service populations and optimize programs.
Calendar 2025 Q2
what's the strategy as you go into '26 and beyond to address kind of product structure and benefit structure to either reposition yourselves
Show response
Sarah emphasized margin over membership for 2026, thinking differently about product tiers and network partners. Also advocating for earlier demographic data availability and locking down policy changes before pricing deadlines.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Can you talk a little bit about what trend level you're seeing for specialty and how it differentiates between maybe PDP, MAPD, and Medicaid
Show response
Drew noted specialty pressure most acute in non-LI PDP from max OOP change to $2,000. Pharma pushing patients from assistance programs. Sarah noted Medicaid specialty costs will flow to rates.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Can you talk a little bit about pipeline and appeals process in the Medicaid space, and in addition to that, talking a little bit about what your strategic priorities
Show response
Sarah noted Texas protest working through legislature/courts, Georgia protest months away from feedback. ICHRA a key investment area. M&A surveillance ongoing.
ELVElevance Health7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Could you talk a little bit about the bidding posture you've got in ACA and MA for 2027
Show response
Felicia said 2027 ACA bidding mirrors 2026's disciplined, market-specific pricing for sustainable margin; she and Aimee reiterated disciplined, economics-based Medicaid exit criteria.
Calendar 2026 Q1
the progress you're making on the second blue bid sort of opportunity out there
Show response
Morgan noted second blue bid activity slightly lower in year 2 vs first year. Roughly 2 million members in pipeline broadly. National account renewal rates at 99.3%. Strong Carelon Rx cross-sell especially upmarket.
Calendar 2025 Q4
could you talk a little bit about rate outlook for 2026? And then could you help frame for us how we should be thinking about this on a go-forward basis
Show response
Felicia confirmed mid-single-digit composite rate increase in 2026, with January rates (about a third of premium) in line with expectations but still lagging trend. Rate discussions increasingly tied to broader program changes as states face budget challenges. Tightening cost management on behavioral health, ABA, and program integrity.
Calendar 2025 Q3
could you talk a little bit about how you're looking at that book, if there's a wide range of margins by state and contract? And what are your opportunities to exit any contracts
Show response
Felicia confirmed wide variability across 24+ markets, outlined multi-factor evaluation framework for potential exits but emphasized preference to remain. Pete reported strong progress on Kroger Specialty Pharmacy script migration on track for year-end, with plans for further diversification into external scripts in 2026.
Calendar 2025 Q2
if you could just talk a little bit about utilization you're seeing by category, inpatient, outpatient, et cetera, and then also differences by segment
Show response
Mark highlighted ACA ER utilization at nearly 2x commercial levels, with behavioral health and specialty pharmacy also elevated. PYD was approximately $40 million, nothing notable.
Calendar 2025 Q1
could you talk a little bit about the Carelon services really strong growth and in particular, could you talk to cross sales into the [Anthem] (ph) book of business
Show response
Pete detailed >60% Q1 growth in Carelon Services with balanced internal and external expansion. Specialty pharmacy migration from BioPlus and Kroger proceeding thoughtfully.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Could you talk a little bit about what you were seeing in terms of utilization? In particular, perhaps you could talk to what you're seeing in trends by product like, MA and commercial
Show response
Mark provided clear breakdown: Medicaid elevated but stable in behavioral health and inpatient, Medicare elevated but manageable in post-acute, commercial strong and priced for.
UNHUnitedHealth Group Incorporated7 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
Likewise, with the selling seasons in for national accounts and for PBM, how is that coming along?
Show response
Management described a very strong national accounts season and Optum Rx retention in the high 90s with new client wins tied to its transparency model.
Could you talk a little bit about how you are approaching growth in 2027, in particular in Medicare Advantage
Show response
Bobby Hunter deferred formal membership guidance but pointed to an expanded footprint and growth focus on D-SNP, C-SNP and high-value HMO plans.
Calendar 2026 Q2
Could you just talk a little about where you're seeing margins for your capitated or value-based care portion
Show response
Krista detailed care management, operating discipline and 2027 payer contracting progress, confirming margins are slightly ahead of plan.
Calendar 2025 Q3
what's the medical cost trends you're seeing this year and next? And given the pressures on employers, what are some of the strategies they're looking at
Show response
Schumacher confirmed commercial trends approximately 11% for both 2025 and 2026. With 50% of January insured business resolved, encouraged by persistency and rate yield. Surest continues capturing share with robust 2027 pipeline. Employers increasingly combining medical and Rx benefits through Optum Rx integration.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Can you talk a little bit about the management process and strategic review process that you've undertaken with the company
Show response
Hemsley described much more intensive monthly business-by-business reviews covering financials, operating metrics, external stakeholder relationships, and remediation progress. Far-reaching changes to people across entire enterprise. New tone and expectation setting with faster decision-making. Will continue drilling down through 2026 planning process.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Could you talk a little bit about the first quarter MLR impacts and maybe breaking out the impacts that were driven by the premium increases
Show response
Rex confirmed no one-time favorable items in Q1 and no impact from preauthorization changes. IRA-driven Part D seasonality change about 90 basis points impact in quarter. V28 Medicare funding reductions roughly 60 basis points. Wellness visits in certain populations at 2x year-ago levels driving follow-on specialty care.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Can you talk a little bit about what you perceive to be the major sources of dissatisfaction in those sorts of measures
Show response
Witty identified claims processing friction as key dissatisfaction driver. Said 85%+ of held-up claims are administrative not clinical. Cited UHC app visits up 66%, digital engagement up a third, phone calls down 10%. Committed to standardized real-time processing across industry.
HUMHumana5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
the trend differences you see fee-for-service contracting versus some of the positive things you're seeing
Show response
Gave the directional trend difference but declined to break out CenterWell subsegment performance beyond noting de novos remain in the J curve.
Calendar 2026 Q1
are those things that are being done sort of within each of the units? Or are you setting up kind of flex corporate staff
Show response
James described transformation office stood up ~17 months ago with mix of external hires and internal transfers. Dual role: tracking initiative progress with escalation, and providing surge resources (analytical horsepower, execution capacity). Primary change ownership stays with business units. George added transformation office helps keep eyes on 5-year horizon.
Calendar 2025 Q4
what's the impact to MLR, if any, of, of any changes to value-based care financial terms or carve outs
Show response
George confirmed no change in value-based provider financial performance or margin proportions. Took back Part D risk from VBC partners in 2025; provided Stars headwind support in 2026. Celeste said 90% of incremental investments were in medical costs.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Could you talk to some of the margin characteristics and long-term margin targets you've got? In particular, in Medicaid
Show response
George explained duals deliver outsized margins from year 1 unlike traditional Medicaid J-curve. Growing into Michigan HIDE, Illinois, South Carolina. James mentioned emerging direct-to-employer pharmacy opportunity.
Calendar 2025 Q1
could you talk a little bit about, how the individual businesses within CenterWell are performing relative to your 25 and long term kind of target margin
Show response
Celeste detailed CenterWell by segment: Home in line, PCO and Pharmacy ahead. Revenue growth from patient growth and favorable PPD.
HCAHCA Healthcare3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
Could you talk a little bit about compensation ratio and labor supply and talking a little on overall, how you're managing that so well
Show response
Mike noted contract labor at 4.3% approaching pre-pandemic 4.1-4.2%. Wage inflation in line with expectations. Physician costs still elevated at ~10% YoY increase but as expected. Clinical labor market pretty stable.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Can you talk a little bit about how you're seeing the downstream impacts from the pressure on the managed care organizations both in the quarter and the outlook
Show response
Mike detailed respiratory volumes in line with prior year Q1. Patient balances up slightly more than historical mid-single-digit increases, influenced by exchange growth. Exchange collectability lower but not material impact.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Could you talk a little bit about the progress on labor and labor you've been making? In particular, talking to the pace of hirings in like nurse and support staff
Show response
Mike provided detailed labor metrics: contract labor down 8%, at 4.5% of SWD. Wage inflation stable. Galen College enrollment growing. On Medicaid margins, noted total Medicaid reimbursement still short of covering cost of care.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| CNC Centene Corporation | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
| ELV Elevance Health | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
| UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
| HUM Humana | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions |
| HCA HCA Healthcare | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 4 |
| 2025 Q1 | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions | 5 |
| 2025 Q2 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 4 |
| 2025 Q3 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 4 |
| 2025 Q4 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 3 |
| 2026 Q1 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 3 |
| 2026 Q2 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 4 |
| 2026 Q3 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 1 |
- 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
- 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
- 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
- 2025 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
- 2025 Q43 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
- 2026 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
- 2026 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
- 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Cost Pressure13
- Competitive Dynamics12
- Demand6
- Margin6
- Pricing4
- Innovation & R&D3
- Regulation Policy3
- Subscriber Growth2
- Labor Market2
- Revenue Growth2
Show all 15 topics
- Product Launch1
- Capital Allocation1
- Geographic Expansion1
- Guidance Reliability1
- M&A1