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Analyst

Lee Horowitz

Deutsche Bank · covers Consumer Cyclical, Technology, Communication Services

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2025 Q4 (5 quarters).

Questions
30on tracked calls
Challenge rate
13%4 of 30 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
5with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 30 of 30 questions from 7 companies

BKNGBooking Holdings6 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
BKNG company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

where do you see the greatest economic uplift for bookings from these technologies in terms of how you expect them to change consumer behavior

Cloud & AIInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Glenn declined to reveal specific product rollout timelines, but Ewout cited measurable early signals across engagement, conversion, cancellation rates, and customer satisfaction.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how do you contextualize this particular risk? And what tools do you think you have at your disposal to maybe mitigate this kind of disruption

ChallengingCloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Glenn drew parallels to the Google disintermediation threat that never materialized, cited mid-60% direct booking mix, Genius program value (30%+ Level 2/3 travelers), and the complexity of travel execution.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Are you guys seeing that as a market that maybe you lean in even more than you planned previously just given that this could be an opportunity

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Glenn confirmed they would lean into any macro weakness, citing 16 consecutive quarters of faster alt-accom growth than the market leader and $900M positive EBITDA during pandemic year.

where do you potentially see high watermarks for direct mix over time? And how does generative AI perhaps impact that

Show response

Glenn declined to quantify a ceiling for direct mix, noting it will never reach 100% but multiple agentic AI partners could actually increase supply of customer channels and lower acquisition costs.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how do you contextualize the risks associated with perhaps greater competition from agentic platforms

Cloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Glenn acknowledged the disintermediation concern, cited 25 years of adapting to threats, and emphasized proprietary data and partnerships with AI players.

where are you seeing the biggest contributions to your sort of consistent teens growth rate in our alternative accommodations business

Geographic ExpansionCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ewout confirmed broad-based strength across all regions, attributing growth to combined listing proposition and traveler preference.

EBAYeBay6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
EBAY company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

the delta to the U.S. is quite wide right now. Is this all meant to be due to the macro environment and just the overall consumer backdrop

MacroeconomicGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jamie attributed the gap predominantly to the macro environment: UK with low consumer confidence and elevated inflation, Germany with declining consumer confidence and no real GDP growth expected, plus idiosyncratic challenges in German auto and manufacturing sectors.

Maybe if you could help us better understand the opportunity you see here a bit more

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jamie described expanding adoption beyond collectibles into luxury watches, jewelry, handbags and pre-loved apparel, noting the community-driven nature of eBay Live where authentic sellers connect with enthusiast buyers, with features like autocharge and combined shipping reducing friction.

Calendar 2025 Q1

contextualizing the risks to advertising revenue going forward in a world where China tariffs stay remained above 50%

Trade TariffsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Steve emphasized the global diversity of the ad platform and its multiple product levers, noting the current environment is contemplated in their full-year commentary.

how are you guys thinking about what may happen to that piece of the business through any broader macro softness

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Jamie noted current trading card growth is driven by sold item growth not ASP inflation, making it more sustainable than the 2021 ASP-driven surge.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Any more details you could provide as it relates to just the specifics of how it works?

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Jamie declined to comment on specific economics but characterized the partnership as more than buying ads, noting it is still early days and gradually scaling.

what you're thinking about in terms of focus category growth next year? Should that continue to improve?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management confirmed continued focus category momentum with plans to go deeper in fashion and expand to new categories like vehicles.

EXPEExpedia Group6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
EXPE company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

as you think about your 2026 outlook, can you comment at all if it assumes your B2C business accelerates relative to 5% you delivered this year?

Guidance ReliabilityCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ariane emphasized travel's high-stakes nature as competitive moat: proprietary reviews (70% of travelers check), servicing excellence (1-3 min call answer during storms/shutdown). Scott declined BU-level guide but said no material shift expected between business units.

Calendar 2025 Q3

do you expect to be able to sustain that into next year, presumably you do given the margin commentary.

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Scott emphasized agility, ready to lean in if conversion improves, and ready to continue productivity gains. Ariane detailed brand-by-brand momentum: Vrbo promotion suite (20% of bookings), Hotels.com fastest growth in 2+ years, Expedia record attach.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what has evolved in your business over the last year or so to sort of reach that elusive goal?

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ariane outlined flywheel of better product driving more direct traffic, higher conversion, better retention. Sharper brand value propositions make marketing more effective.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how has sort of the return you've gotten on loyalty writ large evolved during your time? Are you getting the kind of repeat behavior

Competitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ariane affirmed loyalty is important. Explained tuning OneKey by brand and geography. Removed Blue tier always-on earn on Vrbo due to insufficient repeat behavior justification.

the updated guidance perhaps suggested your B2C business could perhaps go negative this year.

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Scott acknowledged B2C will be pressured but not hugely negative. Ariane added pricing pressure from negative ADRs and lower air ticket prices contributes to the outlook.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you maybe help us understand if you expect to get marketing leverage in twenty five? Is that an input to that fifty bps margin?

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Scott declined to break out margin components. On Vrbo growth outlook, Ariane expressed conviction in differentiated value proposition but declined brand-level directional guidance.

ABNBAirbnb4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
ABNB company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you give us a sense of how Reserve now, pay later cancellations have been pacing relative to your expectations

Innovation & R&DRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ellie said RNPL cancellation curves tracking close to test expectations. Aggregate nominal cancellation rate increase is approximately 1% (from ~16% to ~17%). RNPL lengthening lead times and modestly increasing ADR. Brian said AI search is live to small percent of traffic now, will design ad units around new AI search paradigm.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Can you maybe unpack that a bit more as to what sort of the incremental investment plan looks like for 2026?

Capex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ellie said 2025 was heaviest investment year for launch, 2026 will have continued investment but less heavy with revenue scaling. Brian said every incremental business will be more efficient to launch. Core business not remotely mature, for every 1 home guest, 9 stay in hotels.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how do you think about perhaps leaning into that slowness to take some more share to take advantage of a weaker market to pick-up share

Competitive DynamicsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ellie confirmed significant flexibility to reallocate marketing spend monthly between channels and markets based on efficiency signals.

Calendar 2024 Q4

can you maybe help us unpack why the success you are seeing in some of these regions is not necessarily pulling up the overall growth rate

ChallengingGeographic ExpansionMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ellie explained brand marketing is fixed cost per market, not variable like performance marketing. Core market spend grows slower than revenue, freeing budget for expansion markets.

DASHDoorDash4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
DASH company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

where do you see sort of the natural adjacencies that you can build on top of once you've sort of rolled out this new software service stack

Innovation & R&DProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Tony outlined three missions: bring everything in the city to consumers (retail, fulfillment services, autonomy), build merchant software (Storefront, SevenRooms, Drive), and drive in-store traffic (Going Out, reservations).

Calendar 2025 Q3

how should we be thinking about the payback period?

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Tony said payback bar unchanged, just more projects found product-market fit. Ravi confirmed discipline: investments must improve retention/frequency and drive FCF/IRR. Software payback shorter; tech stack drives feature velocity.

Calendar 2025 Q2

can you maybe update us on the state of your retail business? Any indications on the pace of growth here

Product LaunchMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Tony said retail is a sizable business growing super fast but still a baby as a product. May be the leader in third-party retail. Compared current state to where grocery was in 2021.

how do you see that product perhaps changing the unit economics of your business over time?

Cloud & AIInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Tony said drone partnerships (Google Wing and others) are exciting. Vehicle is only 20% of complexity; end-to-end system is key. More to share later.

CARTMaplebear Inc.2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 1 of 2 challenging
CART company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

any update on what the CPG ad environment looks like today versus what you had mentioned before?

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Directly addressed the CPG uncertainty (tariffs, regulation) and framed large-brand pullback as an opening for emerging brands to gain share.

Calendar 2025 Q1

A couple on just pricing gaps and price parity online relative to in-store

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Reiterated price-parity retailers grow faster; strategies are increasingly granular, with Instacart advising retailers on market-share trade-offs.

Show 1 more company
CVNACarvana Co.2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
CVNA company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

how are you thinking about how that supply growth may be met via demand? And do you see any reason why the relationship you have seen

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

13-year history shows demand follows supply buildout. 1.6% used car / 1% total car market share means effectively entire market remains addressable.

your competition has clearly talked about pushing on some price in the 4Q. Did reaction to that in any way impact retail GPU?

Competitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Retail GPU story is about shipping cost passback, depreciation variation, and reconditioning costs, not competitive pricing pressure. Fragmented market behaves predictably.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
BKNG Booking Holdings617%1 of 6 questions
EBAY eBay60%none of 6 questions
EXPE Expedia Group617%1 of 6 questions
ABNB Airbnb425%1 of 4 questions
DASH DoorDash40%none of 4 questions
CART Maplebear Inc.2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
CVNA Carvana Co.2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • BKNG
    Booking Holdings · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions
  • EBAY
    eBay · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • EXPE
    Expedia Group · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions
  • ABNB
    Airbnb · 4 questions
    25%1 of 4 questions
  • DASH
    DoorDash · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • CART
    Maplebear Inc. · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • CVNA
    Carvana Co. · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q4617%1 of 6 questions4
2025 Q1813%1 of 8 questions5
2025 Q2617%1 of 6 questions4
2025 Q3425%1 of 4 questions4
2025 Q460%none of 6 questions5
  1. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  2. 2025 Q18 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  3. 2025 Q26 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q34 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  5. 2025 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Competitive Dynamics13
  • Margin7
  • Cloud & AI6
  • Demand6
  • Innovation & R&D5
  • Revenue Growth5
  • Pricing3
  • Product Launch3
  • Macroeconomic3
  • Geographic Expansion3
Show all 14 topics
  • Guidance Reliability2
  • Capex Investment2
  • Capital Allocation1
  • Trade Tariffs1