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Analyst

Lizzie Dove

Goldman Sachs · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).

Questions
56on tracked calls
Challenge rate
5%3 of 56 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 56 of 56 questions from 7 companies

CCLCarnival9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
CCL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

realize scale benefits and whatnot, that there'll be decelerating cost growth throughout the period

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Josh said cost efficiencies are being pulled forward ahead of the PROPEL algorithm, with specific 2027 cost guidance to come later.

is there a desire over the longer term to kind of do more and expand further with any of those destinations?

Capex InvestmentGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Josh signaled a potential Phase 2 for Celebration Key (currently maxed on land build) and incremental improvements at Isla Tropicale and RelaxAway, calling specifics premature.

Calendar 2026 Q2

could you maybe elaborate a little more on Caribbean trends? How would you characterize the kind of backdrop

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management said Caribbean booking trends held steady through the conflict, with capacity growth elsewhere already baked into planning.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Anything you can share it just participation rate, spend rate, what you are seeing on uplift

Product LaunchPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Weinstein confirmed ticket premium, onboard revenue, and fuel consumption all tracking as planned. Celebrated 1 millionth guest. Declined to quantify specifics.

Can you maybe talk more about what you think is driving that same-ship yield growth from here?

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Weinstein attributed growth to improved revenue management, performance marketing, clearer brand messaging, and the enduring price-to-experience gap versus land alternatives.

Calendar 2025 Q3

you do have one of your peers mainly, I suppose, like trying to get more active in that space over the next few years. How does that impact or does it impact how you think of your go-to-market there?

Competitive DynamicsGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Weinstein acknowledged more competition in Galveston but emphasized Carnival's loyal Texas base, diversified portfolio (Caribbean ~33%, Europe ~30%, Alaska approaching double digits), and long-term commitment.

Do you evaluate when you're thinking about building new ships versus, you know, maybe expanding that type of retrofitting type program to the other brands?

Capex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Weinstein confirmed another brand is actively pursuing a similar midlife refurbishment program, viewing retrofits like new builds in terms of return evaluation.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Curious just what you've been seeing there, how much the kind of consumer reception has been to the marketing you put around that

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Weinstein confirmed Celebration Key is seeing expected premiums and everything is proceeding exactly on track for the July opening.

Obviously, the last few weeks, we've had mixed commentary from other know, cruise companies about luxury. Curious just to zoom in on that.

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Weinstein reported no concerning luxury trends, with both Seaborn and Cunard making great progress.

LVSLas Vegas Sands9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
LVS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how much of it you think is kind of macro or consumer driven, you know, to the extent there was also maybe some

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management attributed the softness to hold and World Cup but did not quantify the macro-versus-execution split.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Is this an appropriate kind of quarterly run rate? Or how do you think about capital returns more broadly longer term

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Patrick said Q1 was an opportunistic ramp but the direction of meaningful share repurchases will continue as an important part of the return of capital strategy.

how do you think about your ability to kind of keep improving on that, especially as the comps get a little tougher

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Grant said revenue growth drives margin improvement over time despite near-term cost increases from service investments. Reinvestment levels showing sequential stabilization.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how far you are in terms of rolling that out in Macao, anything that's kind of different structurally

Innovation & R&DRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Grant confirmed progressively more side wagers being introduced in Macao with rising participation, though levels remain below Singapore.

How do you think about the pacing to get back there and kind of time line and what needs to happen

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Patrick said trajectory is heading in the right direction with revenue growth and better market positioning, though Q4 EBITDA results were below target.

Calendar 2025 Q3

whether you are versus Macao seeing that kind of high-end -- higher-end Chinese customer visiting Singapore at the expense of Macao and what do you think that might continue

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Patrick declined to discuss current quarter trends and characterized Macao and Singapore as separate markets with different catchment areas.

how should we think about the long term? Like is this sustainable? Can it, on a holder, just a basis grow next year

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Rob said sustainability is not in question, it's a duopoly with government support. The question is how high it can go, potentially $3B+. He noted being consistently wrong on the conservative side.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Curious, timing of that, how much more reinvestment kind of promotions are needed to get there and more so just the cadence to get there

Revenue GrowthCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Grant said Londoner is already near $800M annualized in early innings, with exceptional slot/ETG performance surpassing 2019 levels.

what you've seen from other players and how the competitive environment has evolved? Whether they've responded with same level of promotionality

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Grant said competition remains intense with no signs of easing, but market GGR acceleration helps everyone. LVS reinvestment is biased toward high-end segments.

NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
NCLH company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

could you maybe elaborate on how you're thinking about the setup for 2027 on the Net Yield side?

Revenue GrowthDemandPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management gave a directional back-half-2027 acceleration but declined specific booking levels or price.

Calendar 2026 Q1

if we could just touch on what's going on in the Caribbean right now and what you're seeing there.

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO conceded the large Caribbean deployment shift lacked the right tools and marketing, but said island marketing has just launched and should help demand.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how are you defining what is strategically core versus maybe non-core within the brand portfolio

Capital AllocationCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Chidze firmly stated all three brands are core, seeing the fastest path to value creation through execution improvement rather than portfolio changes.

Calendar 2025 Q3

what is the kind of strategy to kind of absorb that capacity in Caribbean

Competitive DynamicsGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Sommer outlined brand repositioning plus GSC investments as the absorption strategy, noting marketing spend has been increased not cut.

there has been a lot of focus on the Caribbean and whether there is kind of more of a promotional environment

Competitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Sommer dismissed concerns about unusual Caribbean promotional pressure, calling the current environment normal.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how are you thinking about then as you get into 2026, the setup, especially potential ROI yield benefit from Great Stirrup Cay

Revenue GrowthGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Sommer emphasized profitability optimization over yield, noting Caribbean drives better margins even at slightly lower absolute ticket prices.

As you think about looking to the extra $100 million that you're targeting next year

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Kempa described a broad-based, methodical approach to savings across the entire P&L while protecting guest experience.

Calendar 2024 Q4

wondering if you could go a bit deeper and just talk about the different brands

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Sommer provided brand-level color noting NCL outperforming while luxury brands slightly slower, with strong Europe and Alaska demand.

how much of that is a pull forward versus just actual kind of overachievement of those cost savings

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management confirmed some acceleration but maintained the $300M+ target has further runway in 2025-2026.

MARMarriott International8 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
MAR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I’m curious kind of how you’re thinking about the rest of the year in terms of group versus business and leisure.

Show response

Mason expects all segments up for the full year with leisure leading and group pace up about 5%; Capuano stayed bullish on 2027 on broad-based rate and demand strength.

Calendar 2026 Q1

your latest thinking in terms of percent of that, that might come from conversions and new builds

Geographic ExpansionCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Tony highlighted portfolio conversion efforts alongside asset-level conversions. Mid-scale already at 500-hotel mark. Jen confirmed 4.5-5% net rooms growth maintained; Middle East only 4% of expected openings.

Calendar 2025 Q4

any more details you can share and just what you're seeing, whether in booking windows, leisure, business transient groups

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Leeny expects all three segments up low single digits in 2026. Group pace up 6% for 2026. Booking window steady at 22 days. K-shaped consumer trend continuing with luxury leading and lower-end weakness.

Calendar 2025 Q3

if you have any kind of appetite for whether it's kind of small tuck-in M&A or partnerships similar to kind of citizenM

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Tony reiterated deliberate approach: M&A only for geographic gaps with slow organic growth or brand architecture gaps that are better filled by acquisition than organic launch.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I'm curious specifically just around China and what you're seeing there. It feels like so far, the development trends have kind of defied the mixed RevPAR outlook

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Leeny noted 70% of H1 2025 China signings in select service brands. Rooms growth in Greater China in high single digits. Tony added H1 signings up almost 20% year-over-year.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Curious if we could just get like a status update there? Where you're at with the rollout? When that might start to kind of hit?

Innovation & R&DCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Tony described deep testing phase with rollout to select brands in H2 2025. 5,000 GMs in Nashville saw prototypes with extraordinary enthusiasm about efficiency and merchandising potential.

Maybe too early to ask, but are you expecting that to rebound in 2026 to some degree?

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Leeny confirmed residential branding fees expected to rebound in 2026. Fees are lumpy based on project completion timing; down ~$40M this year but growing long-term.

Calendar 2024 Q4

if you can just expand on your comments around international RevPAR being higher than the U.S. You mentioned China would be flat

Revenue GrowthGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Leeny linked international strength to GDP growth (India), cross-border travel from strong dollar, and outperformance in Europe and Japan.

WYNNWynn Resorts8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
WYNN company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how we should kind of think about the cadence of the ramp there.

Geographic ExpansionRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Dove asked about the ramp cadence at Wynn Al Marjan; management said it will open all amenities at once, with no phased opening, and stands by its projections.

if you've heard whether these other projects are kind of keeping pace with that and on a kind of similar time line?

Geographic ExpansionCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Dove asked whether other Ras Al Khaimah projects are keeping pace; management called it a mixed bag but stressed its underwriting relies on Wynn's own room base.

Calendar 2026 Q1

could you put a finer point on that, what you're seeing on that luxury consumer, and how you're outperforming in Vegas?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

All three operating leverage levers performing well into Q2. Brian added market share gains in Jan/Feb/Mar, group pace exceeding 2025, luxury retail up YoY/QoQ from high watermarks, ADR growth showing no resistance to price.

how this kind of influences the ramp profile or if anything has changed in terms of some of the targets or the moving pieces around the targets that you put out in December?

Geographic ExpansionMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management gave strategic-level defense of UAE thesis: track record of navigating conflicts, security credibility reinforced, tourism fundamentals unchanged. Not revisiting any prior financial estimates. Conviction in project unchanged. Too early for bull/bear case.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how you think about just margin expansion, whether that's possible at some point in Vegas or if there's still a bit of a kind of normalization to go there?

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Management reiterated they don't manage to margin targets. Strategy is to top-tick revenue via gaming share and ADR while being judicious on OpEx. Won't provide margin guidance or forward margin outlook.

Anything that you could share there on just how you're thinking about it, particularly in the second half once you kind of fully start the renovations

Capex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Management pushed back on $50M EBITDA impact estimate as 'a little high.' Mitigation through staging floors during lowest demand periods and recapturing in rate. Brian confirmed starting mid-May, 6 floors at a time, 12-month process spanning into 2027.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how do you think about ways that you can set yourselves up for that early 2027 launch for success?

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Management described multi-pronged approach: Mayfair acquisition, casino hosting leads on staff, event presence across Europe/India/Middle East, nightlife partnerships, and a luxury-focused brand campaign.

once people are in the hotels, are they spending in the same way? What are you seeing on the food and beverage

Show response

Management reported no diminishment in willingness to spend at tables and slots. Holding rate in a market where rates have dropped. Fine dining average check stable.

HLTHilton Worldwide7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 2 of 7 challenging
HLT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

You talked last quarter about the C-shaped economy and the convergence between the chain scales

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Nassetta gave the specific midscale swing and tied it to infrastructure and AI investment spending reaching middle-income travelers.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how do you think about what the kind of real opportunity set here is, long term, both obviously on the OpEx side

Cloud & AIInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Nassetta outlined three AI buckets: operational efficiency for owners, distribution partnerships with Google/OpenAI/Anthropic, and guest experience customization. Emphasized modern cloud-based tech stack as enabler.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Anything you'd share on how this evolves and the outlook for that over time, I guess, on the credit card side of things

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jacobs confirmed non-RevPAR fees will continue growing above algorithm driven by credit card, timeshare, and purchasing business. Declined to share detailed credit card contract terms but emphasized fantastic program with strong economics.

Calendar 2025 Q3

it'd helpful just to get like a pulse check on the key money side of things, like what you're seeing in terms of key money per room, the competitive environment

Capital AllocationCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jacobs said 85-90% of key money goes to full-service and luxury; still under 10% of deals overall use any key money. $150-200M annual run rate unchanged. Nassetta added brand performance advantage allows development teams to resist competitive key money pressure.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I'm curious what your appetite is today and on the go forward into doing more of these and whether that kind of 6% to 7% unit growth that you're kind of talking about, if that's organic

M&AGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Nassetta confirmed 6-7% NUG is entirely organic; focus is on internal brand building rather than acquisitions. SLH now viewed as organic; NoMad and Graduate performing well but no active M&A pursuit.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I just wanted to kind of zoom in a little bit on what the drivers or what was assumed in the kind of lowering of the EBITDA outlook

ChallengingRevenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Jacobs confirmed EBITDA reduction entirely driven by RevPAR outlook change; Investor Day model structure unchanged. Nassetta added they're still delivering algorithm when combining NUG + same-store.

Calendar 2024 Q4

at Alice last week, there was a lot of talk around cost pressures in the industry. Particularly on, you know, the insurance side, the wage side

ChallengingCost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Jacobs highlighted disciplined cost structure with G&A guide below 2019 levels despite six years of inflation; continuing to find operational efficiencies for owners.

Show 1 more company
RCLRoyal Caribbean Group6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
RCL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how do you think about whether this is setting up to be potentially an above algo year?

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Jason pushed back on the easy-comps framing, cited 2027 tailwinds (Legend, new destinations, River) but said it is too early to set a yield handle.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Could you maybe share some more details on the cadence of that ramp

Geographic ExpansionCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Michael Bayley confirmed soft opening Q4 2027 with full opening in 2028. Environmental issues resolved. Texas market is larger than Florida with lower cruise penetration, representing a major growth opportunity.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Could you maybe share a little more in terms of how you're thinking about that net yield cadence for the year

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Naftali explained H1 yield lower than H2 due to dry dock timing with more premium hardware in Q2 dry docks, Royal Beach Club ramp-up, deployment mix, and new ship delivery timing. More Silversea ships in dry dock year-over-year also affects high-yield comps.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I just wanted to ask about the Caribbean. There's been a lot of talk about whether there's oversupply in the region as people move more capacity there

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jason acknowledged increased Caribbean supply and slightly more promotional activity but said differentiated assets including ships and destinations keep guests in the RCL ecosystem, with guests paying up for the experience.

Calendar 2025 Q1

has there been any difference in terms of like the type of bookings, whether that's like Europe versus U.S. itineraries or different brands

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Jason reported no material differences across products, brands, or demographics. Noted slight softness from Canada but immaterial. Consumer trading toward value favoring cruise.

any color you can share of like the contribution of new ship premiums versus like-for-like pricing

Revenue GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Naftali confirmed roughly 50/50 split between new hardware and like-for-like throughout the year, except Q3 where Star of the Seas timing makes it mostly like-for-like.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
CCL Carnival90%none of 9 questions
LVS Las Vegas Sands90%none of 9 questions
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings90%none of 9 questions
MAR Marriott International80%none of 8 questions
WYNN Wynn Resorts80%none of 8 questions
HLT Hilton Worldwide729%2 of 7 questions
RCL Royal Caribbean Group617%1 of 6 questions
  • CCL
    Carnival · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • LVS
    Las Vegas Sands · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • NCLH
    Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • MAR
    Marriott International · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • WYNN
    Wynn Resorts · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • HLT
    Hilton Worldwide · 7 questions
    29%2 of 7 questions
  • RCL
    Royal Caribbean Group · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q4425%1 of 4 questions3
2025 Q1714%1 of 7 questions4
2025 Q280%none of 8 questions5
2025 Q3911%1 of 9 questions6
2025 Q4100%none of 10 questions7
2026 Q180%none of 8 questions6
2026 Q280%none of 8 questions7
2026 Q320%none of 2 questions1
  1. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q17 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  3. 2025 Q28 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  4. 2025 Q39 questions · challenge rate 11% (1 of 9 questions) · 6 companies
  5. 2025 Q410 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 10 questions) · 7 companies
  6. 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  7. 2026 Q28 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 7 companies
  8. 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand18
  • Competitive Dynamics16
  • Revenue Growth16
  • Geographic Expansion14
  • Margin8
  • Capex Investment6
  • Pricing6
  • Macroeconomic5
  • Cost Pressure4
  • Guidance Reliability4
Show all 15 topics
  • Capital Allocation4
  • Innovation & R&D3
  • Product Launch3
  • M&A2
  • Cloud & AI1