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Analyst

Michael Griffin

Evercore ISI · covers Real Estate

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
54on tracked calls
Challenge rate
6%3 of 54 questions
Companies
10questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 54 of 54 questions from 10 companies

EXRExtra Space Storage12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 12 challenging
EXR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

curious if you can expand on the customer demand side of the equation. Has top of funnel improved at all?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Margolis answered plainly that demand is flat and credited supply reduction plus system optimization rather than a larger customer pool.

how we should think about those on either a cap rate or an unlevered IRR basis?

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Springer characterised broker pricing and the shift to proprietary pipelines but gave no cap rate or IRR for the closed deals.

Calendar 2026 Q1

can you maybe walk us through or if you can give us some color on expectations of cadence?

Show response

Jeff said first half has easier property tax comps; H2 will be harder comps but similar performance expected. Insurance (Q1 over 10%) renews end of May, favorable market expected, potentially flat or better. Weather-related items were only expense surprise in Q1.

what are the signals that you're looking at, that the team is looking at to say, "Hey, now is a good time to push rate over occupancy?"

PricingRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Joe reiterated algorithmic pricing: 2.8 million units priced nightly based on dozens of factors per unit type per building. Data scientists check for environmental factors algorithms may miss. Jeff added scale allows faster recalibration, significant advantage for large operators.

Calendar 2025 Q4

is kind of the regulatory onus more of a focus, a potential headwind as it relates to jurisdictions and municipalities

Show response

Joe contextualized NYC complaint: 117 complaints over 3 years across 60 properties with 100,000+ customers (0.1% rate). Will defend vigorously. Broader trend is disclosure legislation (welcomed by EXR) not price caps.

Does now feel like the right time to lean more into pricing?

PricingRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Joe rejected the framing entirely, pricing decisions are algorithmic at the unit-type level in every building every night. Not a macro lever that management turns.

Calendar 2025 Q3

where those move-in rates need to go before you start to adjust your ECRI program, right?

PricingRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Joe reframed: rising street rates actually expand ECRI headroom by bringing more customers into eligible pool. As rates declined, more customers became ineligible; now reversing.

give us a sense of the opportunity set within the transaction market? Are buyers and sellers more willing to come together on price?

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Joe distinguished open market (still too expensive) from relationship-driven off-market deals via JV partners, bridge loans (22% conversion rate by dollar), and 1,800+ managed properties creating proprietary pipeline.

Calendar 2025 Q2

do you really need that housing market to come back for people to kind of sound the all clear and get kind of performance and fundamentals accelerating

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Joe stated housing recovery not necessary but would accelerate slope. Plenty of demand exists; already reacquiring pricing power and believes company is past the trough.

I noticed that NYC and Chicago were maybe a little bit lighter, at least relative to maybe my expectations.

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jeff clarified NYC weakness is Northern NJ/Long Island (new supply), not boroughs. Chicago actually saw Q1-to-Q2 acceleration, positive trends there.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Can we get a sense? Is it you approaching your partner? I imagine you obviously own and probably manage these properties

Capital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Joe detailed both JV buyouts: partner-driven exits, 2019 venture (11 stores, $100M at 7.7% yield, $3.1M promote) and 2021 venture (16 stores, $55M at 7.4%, $4.2M promote).

the move-in volume year-over-year in the same store pool looked like it was down about 12%, a 165,000 units this quarter versus a 188,000 first quarter of last year.

Show response

Scott attributed to tough comp from strong prior year; emphasized occupancy and revenue growth are on track, which are the more important metrics.

PSAPublic Storage12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 12 challenging
PSA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how do you view expansion and acquisition opportunities internationally versus domestically?

Geographic ExpansionCapital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Boyle kept the US as the priority but named Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane as markets where the company is looking for platforms.

I think the revised midpoint implies about 3.5% growth in the back half of the year.

Cost PressureGuidance ReliabilityLabor MarketTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Fisher attributed the roughly 35bps increase entirely to incentive compensation from the PS4.0 rollout and flagged Q3 as the toughest expense comp.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how customer acquisition or marketing spend, leveraging data from Google or AI, has changed with PSNext

Innovation & R&DCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management described data-driven lifetime value estimation for dynamic pricing and targeted Google customer acquisition

were any related to the Welltower data science partnership, or were they already in the hopper?

M&AInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management confirmed post-quarter deals were pre-existing pipeline, not yet benefiting from Welltower partnership

Calendar 2025 Q4

What was the genesis behind this? Joe, maybe you went to the Board, maybe it came down from the Board

Capital AllocationInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Russell described PS4.0 as an organic outgrowth of ongoing strategic planning, similar to the 3.0 transition a decade ago. Emphasized continuous reinvention as PSA's DNA.

is there a worry that greater, I guess, regulatory oversight from these municipalities could preclude what has been this ECRI pricing strategy regime

Regulation PolicyPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Boyle emphasized working with trade associations to educate regulators on storage affordability, and noted PS4.0's customer focus includes improving the overall customer experience including pricing.

Calendar 2025 Q3

maybe just on the revised guidance, it seems like you're trending in the more favorable range, both on expenses being towards the low end and NOI being toward the high end

Guidance ReliabilityCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Boyle highlighted tough property tax comps and growing LA pricing restriction impact as Q4 headwinds.

I'm curious if you can give us any insight into whether new customer behavior has changed at all

Show response

Boyle redirected away from move-in rents specifically, emphasizing total revenue as the key metric including volumes, move-outs, and ECRIs.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Wondering if you can give us an update on July operating trends, maybe both from a rate and occupancy perspective

Show response

Tom provided July color: move-in rents down mid-single digits, occupancy gap down ~30bps. Back-half deceleration driven by LA restrictions accumulating, not demand weakening.

can you give us a sense of how the transaction market has been? What kind of buyers and sellers out there

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Joe reported national transaction volumes up 10-15% YoY. Still few larger portfolios. PSA unlocked off-market and one-off deals. Acquisitions concentrated mid to East Coast.

Calendar 2025 Q1

can you give us a little color on maybe what your expectations are, whether it's the housing market remains muted

MacroeconomicGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Tom noted lower end of guidance range captures macro weakness scenarios including softer demand, more move-outs, and softer ECRI contribution.

how much of this has been rolled out into the existing platform and then how we should think about incremental benefits from this

Cloud & AICost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Joe highlighted labor hours down ~12% in Q1 2025 with good runway for further optimization. Digital adoption at 85% of interactions is customer-directed.

FRTFederal Realty Investment Trust6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
FRT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

is it increased competition that you are seeing for some of these more operationally complex assets?

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Pressed on cap-rate compression from high-6% to low-6% deals. Management attributed it to more capital chasing retail and said returns still pencil above 8% IRR despite lower going-in yields.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I'm curious if you can give any color on the 2 deals announced year-to-date, the one at Kingstowne and Congressional.

M&AGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Kingstowne and Congressional acquisitions and pipeline mix

Calendar 2025 Q4

Maybe just turning to the investment pipeline. Don or maybe Jan, can you give us a sense of what deals in the hopper are looking like today?

M&AGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Investment pipeline outlook and acquisition targets for 2026

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you just talk about your thoughts on maybe the disconnect between those two types of properties?

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CIO explained larger centers command higher yields due to complexity and less institutional capital. FRT sees competitive advantage in leasing expertise and tenant relationships to earn superior risk-adjusted returns on these assets.

Calendar 2025 Q2

when those leases are going to get executed; and b, when they'll be commenced

Show response

COO outlined 3-quarter execution timeline with 12-month typical opening lag for box space, meaning rent commencements in fall 2026 and spring 2027.

Calendar 2025 Q1

on that non-comparable segment, can you give us a sense of maybe why those TIs are elevated?

Show response

CFO attributed elevated TIs to the Lifetime Fitness deal at Santana Row. CEO teased an unannounced companion deal he called one of the best ever done. Comparable pool TIs inside $20 were among the best results in a while.

KIMKimco Realty6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
KIM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Does it feel like we've hit sort of that widest spread between leased and economic occupancy?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Dave expects a steady SNO spread through the back half, compressing later as tenants open, and stressed cash-flow conversion and 20% to 25% anchor mark-to-market.

Calendar 2026 Q1

do you expect that to narrow to 200 bps by the end of the year?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jamieson outlined both leased and economic occupancy have room to run. 110bp below all-time high in anchor occupancy. Economic occupancy at 92.2% vs 94.5% high watermark. Goal is to see both grow rather than just compression. Flynn noted retention rates ticked up to all-time highs in Q1.

Calendar 2025 Q4

could this really get into 97%, 97.5%? And I imagine that would be driven more by the small shop leasing

Show response

Jamieson identified 110bp of anchor occupancy upside from all-time high representing $12-15M in potential SNO value. Chronic vacancy initiative targeting spaces vacant 3+ years yielding results. Normalized SNO spread historically around 180bp.

Calendar 2025 Q3

would you say there's more confidence on the retailer side that they need to execute on their growth objectives?

DemandTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jamieson reported Q4 quarter-to-date GLA 30% higher year-over-year. Retailer confidence unchanged through tariff period. Over 25 active grocery redevelopment projects. Already discussing 2027 pipeline. Small shop occupancy at 92.5% with room to run.

Calendar 2025 Q2

for maybe some of those regional local players, not necessarily mom-and-pops but small businesses that might have more uncertainty kind of projecting out their financials amid the tariff situation,...

DemandTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Cooper reported healthy demand across all tenant sizes. Over 75% of trailing 4-quarter deals service-related. QSR activity up 30-40% with Shake Shack, Raising Cane's, In-N-Out, Chick-fil-A expanding. Flynn noted 155 small shop deals vs typical 115 run rate.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Can you give us a sense of how you would justify maybe assigning a lease versus saying, hey, we're going to take it back and try to lease it out

Competitive DynamicsCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Flynn outlined decision criteria: complement to center merchandising mix, economics of recapture vs assignment, opportunity to combine with adjacent space for grocery, and long-term site value.

REGRegency Centers5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 5 challenging
REG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

do you have a sense has either grocer health or the outlook changed at all or occupancy cost stable?

ChallengingDemandMacroeconomicCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Palmer answered the health question head-on and framed grocery competitiveness as a long-running constant, though she did not address occupancy cost specifically.

Calendar 2026 Q1

has anything changed in terms of leverage for anchor leases?

Show response

Alan: 90% of new shop leasing at 3%+ steps, 25% at 4%+. Anchor leverage improving via work letters and TIs but not dramatic shift in embedded steps. Pipeline includes Publix, PGA Superstore, TESO Life (first Virginia project), Ross, TJX, Burlington, Ulta. Lisa noted pricing power will grow as occupancy approaches peak.

Calendar 2025 Q4

could this maybe translate into whether it's shorter options that you're negotiating, maybe embedding some rent escalators?

Show response

Alan identified 50 bps runway to anchor peak. Pipeline includes PGA Superstore, Arhaus, Pottery Barn, Total Wine. Leverage includes lower capital contributions and work letters. Emphasized quality selection as primary lever.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how are you all able to make the math pencil? Is it the land basis? Is it the proximity to population areas

Capex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Nick cited relationships (decades with top grocers), capital readiness, and deep pro forma expertise. Projects like Stonebridge and Jordan Ranch already 90%+ leased pre-anchor opening.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how quickly do you think you can realize that mark to market within the center? And then what are you looking at on sort of a stabilized cap rate basis

Show response

Nick confirmed comfortable going-in yield with high single-digit IRR target over 10-year hold, with additional mark-to-market opportunities beyond that period.

SPGSimon Property Group5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
SPG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

as those leases are coming due, are you signing leases in the 70s, mid-70s

Show response

Eli cautioned that not all expiring $60-$65 inline leases reset to $78 because many strong tenants renew in the mid-single digits, but pointed to the positive trajectory of new lease signings and merchandise mix upgrades.

Calendar 2026 Q1

if you can give us maybe some color on whether it's new or renewal lease spreads and maybe how that compares

Show response

Renewals holding at mid-single-digit increases. New deals 20-25% above last year, with new business brands outperforming by another 10%+. Could push occupancy to 97%+ but focused on NOI growth.

Calendar 2025 Q4

just maybe give us a sense where your head is at from expectations from a tenant credit perspective

CreditTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

David said tariff pressure is real, especially for smaller retailers. Catalyst losing couple hundred million EBITDA. Some bankruptcies surfaced in 2026 but kept guidance range. More cautious.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Is this you all proactively looking to get ahead of leases that might expire in a year or 2 and upgrade the credit quality

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

David highlighted Meta, Google, Netflix, Pop Mart, Formula 1, new Apple stores, and high-end restaurants. Brian confirmed 30% is new leases reflecting merchandising mix improvement and unabated demand.

Calendar 2025 Q2

for maybe some of those smaller tenants, maybe those mom-and-pop local concepts, are you still seeing strong demand from those as well

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

David said mom-and-pop segment beating their plans despite earlier tariff concerns. More optimistic than last quarter but still watching closely.

Show 4 more companies
PLDPrologis3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
PLD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

is this more kind of pent-up demand, maybe customers have been dragging their feet over the past couple of quarters

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Letter cited record leasing and absorption; Caton broke demand into e-commerce, advanced manufacturing and supply-chain reconfiguration.

Calendar 2026 Q1

is there a worry we've heard things in the news around data center development opportunities around the country, getting shelved the local municipalities pushing back. Is that a risk for this pipel...

Capex InvestmentRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Dan expressed strong confidence in pipeline, citing 2 starts, 1.3GW under LOI, and 3 years of business visibility, directly addressing regulatory risk concern.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Wondering if you can dive a little bit deeper into your assumption around market rent growth

Show response

Caton provided full fundamental forecast for 2026. Market vacancies poised to improve with net absorption expected to approach 200 million square feet in 2026 versus 155 last year. Deliveries on pace to be 185 million to 180 million square feet down from 200 million last year. Vacancies at 7.4% at end of last year expected toward 7.1 to 7.2% by end of this year. Markets advancing at different rates with positive rent growth in aggregate expected to emerge in more clear way over course of year.

AREAlexandria Real Estate Equities2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
ARE company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

do you need to see a greater increase in capital flows to the more start-up type tenants that could go from 5,000 to 50,000 square feet in order to see the cadence of leasing pickup

Show response

Hallie contextualized that private biotech is only 9% of ARR, noting strong dry powder exists at venture firms but deployment remains cautious amid macro uncertainty.

given the move we've seen in the 10-year, and I guess, it's anybody's guess whether or not the new administration's policies will be inflationary

CreditCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Peter confirmed confidence in achieving Investor Day disposition cap rate targets despite rising rates.

CBRECBRE Group2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
CBRE company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

does the Turner & Townsend growth run rate of 20% makes sense for that business

Show response

Bob set expectations at mid-teens combined growth, noting Turner & Townsend tilts toward faster-growing sectors like data centers and infrastructure.

it seems like industrial leasing, at least this past quarter, was flat sequentially

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Bob explained the countercyclical strategy of investing when others retreat, positioning development to harvest when supply is constrained.

BXPBXP, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 1 of 1 challenging
BXP company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

do you really need to see demand accelerate in that market for vacant space and thinking about, 680 Folsom, 535 Mission

ChallengingDemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Doug confirmed all regions must contribute. Rod detailed amenity-driven strategy at Embarcadero Center and 680 Folsom with new amenity centers, noting San Francisco had positive net absorption in Q4 for the first time in a long period.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
EXR Extra Space Storage128%1 of 12 questions
PSA Public Storage120%none of 12 questions
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust60%none of 6 questions
KIM Kimco Realty60%none of 6 questions
REG Regency Centers520%1 of 5 questions
SPG Simon Property Group50%none of 5 questions
PLD Prologis30%none of 3 questions
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
CBRE CBRE Group2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
BXP BXP, Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • EXR
    Extra Space Storage · 12 questions
    8%1 of 12 questions
  • PSA
    Public Storage · 12 questions
    0%none of 12 questions
  • FRT
    Federal Realty Investment Trust · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • KIM
    Kimco Realty · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • REG
    Regency Centers · 5 questions
    20%1 of 5 questions
  • SPG
    Simon Property Group · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • PLD
    Prologis · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • ARE
    Alexandria Real Estate Equities · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • CBRE
    CBRE Group · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • BXP
    BXP, Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q4520%1 of 5 questions3
2025 Q1714%1 of 7 questions5
2025 Q270%none of 7 questions5
2025 Q380%none of 8 questions6
2025 Q490%none of 9 questions7
2026 Q190%none of 9 questions7
2026 Q2911%1 of 9 questions7
  1. 2024 Q45 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q17 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 5 companies
  3. 2025 Q27 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 5 companies
  4. 2025 Q38 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  5. 2025 Q49 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 7 companies
  6. 2026 Q19 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 7 companies
  7. 2026 Q29 questions · challenge rate 11% (1 of 9 questions) · 7 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand25
  • Pricing14
  • M&A12
  • Competitive Dynamics11
  • Capital Allocation8
  • Revenue Growth7
  • Geographic Expansion4
  • Cost Pressure4
  • Guidance Reliability3
  • Macroeconomic3
Show all 17 topics
  • Capex Investment3
  • Regulation Policy3
  • Innovation & R&D3
  • Credit3
  • Trade Tariffs3
  • Labor Market1
  • Cloud & AI1