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Analyst

Nitin Kumar

Mizuho Securities · covers Energy

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
29on tracked calls
Challenge rate
7%2 of 29 questions
Companies
9questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 29 of 29 questions from 9 companies

OXYOccidental Petroleum8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 2 of 8 challenging
OXY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

could you talk through the ratability and progression of the cash flow inflection?

Capital AllocationGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Sunil detailed the timing: roughly $2 billion of the $4 billion of savings achieved by 2027, front-half weighted.

How are you thinking about growth right now for '27 and maybe longer term?

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Richard reaffirmed a free-cash-flow bias near term; any growth would be measured and efficiency-led.

Calendar 2026 Q1

One of your peers talked about increased nonoperated activity in the Delaware Basin

Competitive DynamicsCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Richard confirmed no disruption from competitor activity. Highlighted strong core production improvements of over 9 thousand barrels per day on total year, with Permian growing and time-to-market optimization within plan.

A lot of your peers have formulaic return-of-cash programs in place. You are still talking about opportunistic buybacks

ChallengingCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Richard explained preference for flexibility over formulaic approach, citing ability to move through uncertainties. Noted that consistent through-cycle buybacks support dividend growth over time.

Calendar 2025 Q4

What catches my eye is the sub-30 bucket. How much of that is unconventional? Because we hear a lot about shale inventory depth and exhaustion

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Hollub explained US unconventional represents almost half of total resource base. Secondary benches now providing as much value as primary. Average resource breakeven about $38 per barrel with 84% of total resource base below $50.

Could you help us understand why the reluctance to go down that path? You have a lot of room on the cash return side

ChallengingCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Mathew outlined: principal debt at $15B on track to $14.3B with tender. Long-term target $10B without set timeframe. Expect better macro visibility in H2 2026. Preferred equity redemption in August 2029 when callable without $4/share trigger. 8% dividend increase is foundational priority.

Calendar 2025 Q2

as I think about rolling those savings, could you talk about how Lower 48 spending might trend in 2026, given the efficiencies you're seeing

Capex InvestmentCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Hollub confirmed $550M lower non-E&P spend in 2026. Jackson noted $200M below original plan YTD from drilling efficiency and infrastructure optimization. Near-optimized activity levels focused on maintaining efficiency rather than targeting growth.

what would be a good, steady sort of run rate for the Gulf of America, let's say, in '26 and '27 from a production standpoint

Revenue GrowthGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Dillon described transition to biennial turnarounds and strong exit rate expected. More detail on 2026 plan coming later this year. Constraints from pipeline issues and vessel delays now resolved.

CTRACoterra6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
CTRA company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

Should we expect that these new volumes will be really met by sort of a reallocation of in-basin?

Show response

Blake Sirgo confirmed CPV deal is reallocation from in-basin Waha pricing to power strip pricing. Mission is diversification and price enhancement, not just adding volume commitments.

how do you see the trajectory sort of beyond fourth quarter? Do you expect a bit more ratable oil volumes in 2026?

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Tom Jorden acknowledged Q4 will be a flush with Q1 2026 not up from Q4, but emphasized annual upward trend matters more than quarter-to-quarter fluctuations. Focus is on consistently growing free cash flow.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how long do you think this weak environment could continue between the demand that has been destroyed a little bit and then the supply that's coming on.

MacroeconomicTrade TariffsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Tom Jorden offered a candid macro view, noting the White House wants low oil prices, OPEC actions may be coordinated with Middle East policy, and Coterra is battening down the hatches. Emphasized the redirect to gas is a strength.

If commodity prices do weaken from here, how do you prioritize between buybacks and debt reduction?

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Shane Young was emphatic that debt repayment is the 2025 priority, citing 2024's 90% and 2023's 76% cash return to shareholders as enabled by historically low leverage.

Calendar 2024 Q4

when do you expect to get to sort of a run rate in the Marcellus where you're holding somewhere about 2 BCF a day flat?

Capex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Tom Jorden explained restart arrests decline and puts them on growth trajectory, with 2 BCF/d achievable by mid-2026 to 2027 at above-maintenance capital levels.

Some of your peers and partners have talked about power generation and supplying power for data centers out of the Permian. You have some capacity.

Capex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Blake Sirgo confirmed active engagement with combined cycle plants and behind-the-meter data center solutions, noting Coterra is well-positioned with molecules across multiple basins.

CVXChevron Corporation4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
CVX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Are you seeing any evidence of demand destruction as things remain tight. What's your view on the cracks here?

Show response

Wirth cited tight middle distillates, restocking, Russian outages, and no obvious structural demand destruction. Direct and nuanced.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Given the events in the last eight weeks, any change to the pecking order of those priorities

Capex InvestmentGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Wirth said exploration priorities unchanged, longer-cycle activity not affected by short-term disruption. Increased financial commitment to exploration, using new technologies for cycle time and success.

Calendar 2025 Q2

You talked about EURs in the Gulf of America being 9% above what you expected. Could you maybe talk a little bit about what you're seeing there?

Innovation & R&DRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Nelson credited staged development and base asset leverage: waterflood, subsea pumping, well stimulation. Tahiti reached nameplate twice across 4 development stages. 80% of Hess leases within tieback range.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Could you break that $2 billion to $3 billion between your upstream and downstream a little bit?

Cost PressureCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CFO detailed three focus areas: asset sales (some savings in 2025), changing how work is done (standardization), and technology (robotics, drones, AI). Profile: $1.5-2B in 2025, full $2-3B by 2026.

COPConocoPhillips3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
COP company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

what's your view of WCS spreads given that you're seeing some of this other heavier crew from other parts of the world hitting the Gulf Coast

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Andy O'Brien noted Pad 2 refiners structurally reliant on Canadian heavy with limited alternatives. Gulf Coast can process heavy but incremental Venezuelan barrels will be absorbed by global demand growth of ~1M bbl/d. No material impact expected on Canadian heavy.

Calendar 2025 Q2

where do you see the M&A landscape right now, particularly in Lower 48

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ryan Lance acknowledged continued industry consolidation but emphasized COP's full plate with organic plans and internal cost initiatives making the M&A bar very high.

Calendar 2025 Q1

You mentioned that you hit some critical milestones at Willow. I'd love to hear a little bit more about that

Show response

Kirk Johnson detailed 50% civil scope completion, 80 miles of pipeline, horizontal directional drill under waterway, and construction camp opening enabling year-round work.

EOGEOG Resources2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
EOG company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

How would you characterize the productivity of the Delaware program this year versus last year?

Revenue GrowthInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Jeff explained productivity varies by well mix and area but all targets deliver comparable returns at bottom-cycle prices. Improvements in shallow Leonard/Bone Spring targets through lower cost and better productivity.

could Bahrain be the same scale or bigger over the years?

Geographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ezra confirmed strong exploration conviction and partnership alignment with Bapco but declined to compare directly to Trinidad scale. Emphasized returns must be competitive with domestic portfolio.

EQTEQT Corporation2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
EQT company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

How do you think of the balance sheet beyond '26

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jeremy reiterated $5B max debt with net debt falling below; comfortable holding several billion in cash for opportunistic cyclical buybacks, top shareholders encouraged this approach.

is there a way for you to quantify what is your ROE on this growth CapEx or anticipated ROE on this growth CapEx

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Toby pegged infrastructure growth project FCF yield at 20-30%, noting it pales versus upstream Marcellus at $3.50-$4 gas but demand must be established first.

Show 3 more companies
EXEExpand Energy2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
EXE company page →

Calendar 2025 Q1

could you maybe talk a little bit about what do you think the chances are of that pipeline being built? What might the timeline or the commitment required look like

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Dan noted it's early days for Constitution Pipeline while Williams works on specifics. Confirmed active discussions with power and datacenter demand producers in Appalachia.

what is the cadence of the deferred TILs, the DUCs? And then at what point do you expect to start seeing the spending on the productive capacity for 2026

Show response

Josh outlined Q1 seasonally lower, Q2 step-up with DUC drawdown, second half sees $300M productive capacity spend with eighth rig added in July. Exiting 7.2 Bcfe/day at ~$3B total CapEx.

VLOValero Energy1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
VLO company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

Just maybe some thoughts on what do you see the mid-cycle or sort of at least 12-month view on some of these spreads

Supply ChainMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Gary acknowledged current differentials are inside mid-cycle with continued widening expected, while Greg identified Latin American grades as the swing barrels likely to be displaced first.

XOMExxonMobil1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
XOM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Could you give us a little bit of an update on the power opportunities in the Gulf Coast

Cloud & AICapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Darren clarified XOM not interested in utility business but in leveraging unique end-to-end CCS value chain for low-emissions power. In discussions with multiple hyperscalers. Challenge remains that market often doesn't reward emissions reductions.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
OXY Occidental Petroleum825%2 of 8 questions
CTRA Coterra60%none of 6 questions
CVX Chevron Corporation40%none of 4 questions
COP ConocoPhillips30%none of 3 questions
EOG EOG Resources2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
EQT EQT Corporation2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
EXE Expand Energy2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
VLO Valero Energy1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
XOM ExxonMobil1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • OXY
    Occidental Petroleum · 8 questions
    25%2 of 8 questions
  • CTRA
    Coterra · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • CVX
    Chevron Corporation · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • COP
    ConocoPhillips · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • EOG
    EOG Resources · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • EQT
    EQT Corporation · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • EXE
    Expand Energy · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • VLO
    Valero Energy · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • XOM
    ExxonMobil · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q450%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q150%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q260%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q310%none of 1 question1
2025 Q4520%1 of 5 questions3
2026 Q1425%1 of 4 questions3
2026 Q230%none of 3 questions2
  1. 2024 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  3. 2025 Q26 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  5. 2025 Q45 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  6. 2026 Q14 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  7. 2026 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Capex Investment10
  • Capital Allocation8
  • Competitive Dynamics5
  • Revenue Growth5
  • Pricing4
  • Demand3
  • Geographic Expansion3
  • Guidance Reliability2
  • Supply Chain2
  • Macroeconomic2
Show all 15 topics
  • Innovation & R&D2
  • Cost Pressure2
  • Cloud & AI1
  • M&A1
  • Trade Tariffs1