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Analyst

Peter Arment

Robert W. Baird · covers Industrials, Technology

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q2 (8 quarters).

Questions
56on tracked calls
Challenge rate
0%none of 56 questions
Companies
11questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 56 of 56 questions from 11 companies

TXTTextron11 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 11 challenging
TXT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

is there the ability to kind of give a finer point on when you think that productivity starts to flow through?

Labor MarketSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CEO declined an exact date but committed to a mid-to-late 2027 window for delivery improvement, citing 5-7 year workforce learning curves.

Calendar 2026 Q1

maybe just to give us a little -- the puts and takes you're thinking about for the year and just when you -- given your annual guidance

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Atherton said too early to revise guidance but will evaluate in H2 if strong performance continues. MV-75 expected flat year-over-year revenue. Acceleration funding depends on Army securing additional appropriations through its processes.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how should we be thinking about the MV-75 in the near and medium term just given the Army's push to accelerate this program

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Atherton said acceleration pulls entire program forward 2.5-3 years. EMD testing starts sooner, LRIP fills what would have been a two-year gap. Within months after aircraft #8, production continues with #9, #10. Full rate production within 5-6 years.

Calendar 2025 Q3

there was an announcement by the Army here recently regarding accelerating the fielding of the Version 2. Just how that would impact any the cost profile? Or does it change anything

Capex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Donnelly said near-term cost profile unchanged. MOSA architecture enables future variant buildout without affecting current basic aircraft work. Acceleration focuses on bringing LRIP forward.

you talked about the demand remains strong. Just maybe any highlights you would call out just regarding whether it's regionally or just in general on the biz jet market

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Donnelly said demand strong across entire portfolio with robust end market. Certification activity on M2, CJ3, and Ascend progressing well. Market and product portfolio in good position.

Calendar 2025 Q2

just talk about, I guess, the demand environment continue to have very good bookings and just what you're seeing in terms of customer interest in the new models

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Donnelly highlighted strong demand across portfolio with particular excitement for Gen2 M2, CJ3, and Ascend nearing certification.

could you maybe give us a little -- your thoughts around just kind of the margins at Aviation

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Donnelly confirmed Aviation margin progression exactly as planned. H1 below guide, H2 above. Strong jet and turboprop deliveries expected in back half.

Calendar 2025 Q1

now we've got a full-year CR. Any impacts from that on systems or any of the other businesses

Regulation PolicyRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Donnelly said CR amendments funded key programs like FLRAA and Ship-to-Shore at expected levels. RCV and FTUAS decisions expected later in year.

just the latest on Denali. I saw the GE engine, you know, certainly certified in February. How's the rest of the program going

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Donnelly said Denali is back in FAA certification queue now that engine is certified. Aircraft performance has been excellent.

Calendar 2024 Q4

maybe just if you want to highlight just what you're seeing on the demand environment, whether it's broad-based or any particular markets

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Donnelly highlighted broad-based demand with particular strength in CJ3/CJ4 from Gen3 announcements. Expects one-to-one book-to-bill.

your outlook for cash flow for the year, just given the earnings you're projecting, which is obviously a pretty nice snapback

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Donnelly explained Q4 cash was light due to Aviation inventory buildup from undelivered jets. Normal seasonal cadence expected in FY2025.

BAThe Boeing Company7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
BA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you're currently just started negotiations, as you mentioned, with SPEEA. How would you frame up the risk there?

Show response

CEO explicitly declined to predict the outcome mid-negotiation but confirmed contingency planning for a work stoppage is underway.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you maybe update us on your thinking on how this current certification phase and what milestones any investors should be kind of tracking

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ortberg identified TIA 4b as the next key milestone, noted GE engine fix not impacting flight test (periodic inspections allow continued flying). Long-term production target is 5 per month.

Calendar 2025 Q4

maybe you could just level set us on kind of 2026 delivery expectations for both the MAX and the 787 programs

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Malave guided 737 deliveries around 500 (building ~30 737-10s that won't deliver until 2027 upon certification). 787 expected 90-100. BCA total deliveries up approximately 10%.

Calendar 2025 Q3

could you talk a little bit more about the -- what's left for certification on the -7 and 10

Innovation & R&DRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ortberg said hardware and software modifications needed, then FAA certification of those steps. Anti-ice still critical path. More work on -10 than -7 but manageable. Still planning 2026 certification.

Calendar 2025 Q2

maybe we could talk a little bit about maybe the longer-term framework, how you're thinking on rates

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ortberg confirmed 787 KPIs green at 7/month with Charleston expansion for future growth. MAX at 38 with one KPI below threshold on rework; rate increases in 5/month steps no earlier than 6 months apart.

Calendar 2025 Q1

when you get to 38 and obviously you're the FAA is reviewing the KPIs with you how do we think about that when you're moving beyond rate 42 or rate 47

Regulation PolicySupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

FAA has daily digital dashboard access to KPIs. Same approval process for each rate break. First break likely takes longest. Minimum six months between breaks.

Calendar 2024 Q4

maybe if you could walk us through a little bit on the free cash flow dynamics for 2025

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management confirmed ~$5B outflow estimate, detailed first-half negative/second-half positive profile, and explained BCA/BDS/BGS cash flow contributions.

RTXRTX Corporation7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
RTX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

give us an update on the latest status with all your framework agreements

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Calio said framework talks are productive and ongoing but declined specifics; tied progress to bipartisan support for higher 2027 defense spending.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how we're thinking about the impact when you're thinking about CapEx that you've had to put in place, and then how should we think about potentially margins long term?

Capex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Calio noted framework agreements enable bundling, scale economies, and production efficiencies on mature programs but declined specifics since negotiations are ongoing.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I guess I'd want to start with the GTF fleet management plan. It's year three here, and your financial and technical outlook has remained on track the entire time.

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Calio confirmed financial and technical outlook on track. MRO output up 26% FY, 39% in Q4 with 16% TAT reduction. Heavier shop visits up 40% YoY. Expects similar MRO output growth in 2026.

Calendar 2025 Q3

How should we think about that as this kind of continues to see growth accelerate but you've got higher international mix?

MarginGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Calio highlighted $8B of Q3 orders in effectors with mature processes yielding productivity. International backlog at 44%, top 3 programs are international. Mitchill noted $75M YTD productivity.

Calendar 2025 Q2

How do we think about the longer-term production output there as we see a big ramp

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Calio said Patriot could be deployed from inventory for Golden Dome with backfill orders. LTAMDS delivered ~6 units to US Army with plans for more over next decade.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Are we seeing the ReArm Europe effort as a big opportunity for Raytheon or does it change any of the timing of awards that you were looking at?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Calio confirmed European defense spending as clear opportunity, highlighted battle-tested products and strong co-production partnerships. Expects book-to-bill of 1.0 or more.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how are you thinking with how Raytheon is aligned in terms of any replenishing stockpiles and how you see kind of that playing out for you?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Calio highlighted strong demand across regions: US replenishment, Europe IADS, Asia-Pac naval munitions. NATO countries increasing defense spend.

NOCNorthrop Grumman6 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
NOC company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how do you handicap kind of the cost growth from here? I mean, would you characterize it

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Kathy said independent resources scrubbed the EAC assumptions and, with added resources and customer alignment, she is confident in an executable plan though qualification is not done.

Calendar 2026 Q1

on the color on international—if we could click into that a little bit. You were up 20% in 2025. A lot has changed in the last few months

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Warden acknowledged Middle East urgency pulling opportunities forward but tempered expectations, noting international has longer cycles and acceleration largely impacts beyond 2026.

Can you talk about opportunities in the counter-drone area? We have seen a lot of focus on lower-cost solutions. How do we think about Northrop Grumman Corporation’s position

Competitive DynamicsProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Warden highlighted FADC2 and IBCS as counter-drone connectors, expects international contribution greater than domestic in counter-UAS.

Calendar 2025 Q3

there's also a lot of defense sort of tech upstarts or space tech upstarts. Just how those kind of those upstarts are factoring into kind of your plans

Competitive DynamicsProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Warden said Northrop is ahead of new entrants who need time to build capacity and get qualified. Focus on providing optionality for DOD and prime contractors.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Northrop won a really nice contract in December, $3.5 billion for, I think, the fall-on for the E-6 Mercury program. Can you talk a little bit about that win

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Warden confirmed protest period passed, work started. Contract includes 3 EMD units, 3 test options, and 6 LRIP aircraft. ~$350M first-year revenue.

there's been a lot of discussions and back and forth of whether NGAD and CCA and how that's going to be reshaped. How is Norfolk thinking about the opportunity

Competitive DynamicsProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Warden noted strong positioning from B-21 experience but said nothing is in the forecast given timing uncertainty. Contributing to Air Force program through mission systems.

GDGeneral Dynamics5 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
GD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

maybe if you could give some comments on just any impacts you've seen out of the Middle East, whether it's affecting Gulfstream

DemandSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Danny detailed slowed Middle East aerospace orders and potential Israel supply chain risk for G280 completions, but noted strong U.S. demand continues. Defense demand impact still too early to quantify.

Just wondering when you're expecting that to be awarded and then also going back to Rob's question earlier on the supply chain

Show response

Danny reported excellent progress, all major modules received, key milestone expected by year-end, on path to deliver first boat by end of 2028.

Calendar 2025 Q3

does that provide pressure on kind of where production is? Or do you need to take rates up?

Product LaunchCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Confirmed rates will increase in regular order driven by backlog and demand, expects year-over-year production growth for the next couple of years

could you give us the latest on where things stand on construction for the first Columbia class

Product LaunchSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Disclosed first Columbia about 60% complete by year-end with all major modules at Groton ready for assembly, working to move schedule to the left with improving supply chain

Calendar 2025 Q1

Technology Segment had a really good bookings quarter, kind of bucking the trend of the industry

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Jason Aiken confirmed active engagement with government on cost savings, noted GDIT delivers mission-driven solutions not just consulting, acknowledged some solicitation sluggishness

LDOSLeidos5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
LDOS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Is this something that you expect to continue at this higher rate just given the investment opportunities that you kind of laid out in terms of your long-term strategy

Show response

Bell confirmed elevated CapEx is finite, possibly with overhang into early next year but not perpetual. SES JV formed specifically to avoid Leidos bearing the capital intensity of that growth. Focus on being diligent about when and where capital is deployed with clear triggers.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Just kind of the sustainability. Obviously, the record examinations volume, obviously, being a part of that all

Show response

Cage emphasized differentiation through innovation, efficiency, and quality metrics. Bell added technology insertion enabling better, faster, cheaper exams for sustained profitability.

Calendar 2025 Q2

whether that was something that could have an impact on your business or is not an impact to your business

Competitive DynamicsCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Bell downplayed the competitive threat, noting the IDIQ is just the start and Leidos has differentiated trusted mission AI capabilities. Emphasized trusted AI deployment as a key calling card for customers.

Calendar 2025 Q1

on some of your larger contracts like NGEN and just thinking under like the current contracting environment

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Bell directly quantified DOGE impact as negligible, in the very low 1% range, and highlighted offsetting opportunity in Defense Enclave Services expansion. Cage addressed Health & Civil backlog, noting VBA recompete and upcoming MHS Genesis sole-source.

Calendar 2024 Q4

How do you think about when you look at your other national security segments and defense about opportunities to grow your fixed price mix

MarginRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Bell expressed eagerness for outcome-based contracting across all segments, citing proven track record of cost reductions for customers and profitability for shareholders. Cage noted some progress in digital modernization.

Show 5 more companies
LHXL3Harris5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
LHX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

maybe you could just give us a little color on like how L3 is protected on the downside if there are changes

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed framework agreements include protections for quantity changes and program cancellations. Noted bipartisan support and potential 10-year reconciliation funding.

Calendar 2025 Q4

How do we think about the total opportunity? Or can you quantify what Golden Dome looks like for L3Harris

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Kubasik outlined three Golden Dome components: SBI (merchant supplier approach), satellite architecture (strong position from SDA wins), and interceptors under THAAD/PAC-3 umbrella.

Calendar 2025 Q3

whether you're seeing more teaming operations. I know that there's a lot of talk around they want countries in Europe want their own indigenous capabilities

Geographic ExpansionCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Kubasik noted localized production across key countries, flexibility as prime/sub/merchant supplier. International approaching 25% of revenue from 22%.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I was wondering if you could just give us an update on how the contracts are performing there

DemandInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Kubasik confirmed T0 in orbit, T1/T2 progressing well. SDA T3 RFP accelerated from 2026 to 2025 award timeline. LHX confident based on cost and delivery performance.

Calendar 2024 Q4

you wrote a letter to the DOGE leaders just before the inauguration, and you recommended for I think policy recommendations

Show response

Kubasik gave a detailed, optimistic view of DOGE reform potential, highlighting industry-wide enthusiasm for reducing bureaucracy.

HWMHowmet Aerospace3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
HWM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

What's the best way to think about the time line for synergies for the CAM acquisition?

Show response

John said CAM's integration thesis is intact with clear line of sight to synergies beginning in H2 2026 but the majority landing in 2027, keeping blended fasteners margin near 30%.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Can you maybe give us a little more color on like kind of where you are in the automation journey and for engines

Innovation & R&DMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Plant said automation paused in favor of capacity buildout in 2025-2026. New Whitehall plant showcasing digital thread and AI/machine learning next month. Full automation catch-up expected in 2028-2029.

Calendar 2025 Q2

in some of your plants, you're producing more parts today than you were, say, in 2019 and you're doing it with a lot less people

Labor MarketMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Plant said three of four divisions have solid productivity. Engine segment temporarily weighed by 1,500-1,800 new hires in 18 months. Automation paused in favor of capacity buildout.

LMTLockheed Martin3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
LMT company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

have you guys quantified what you think that opportunity is?

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jim said can't quantify until architecture, sites, and threat scenarios are defined by government. Expects new backlog record by year-end even without Golden Dome contracts.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Have you quantified the opportunity for Lockheed Martin and when we would expect it to hit you know, from a from a backlog perspective

DemandCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jim noted no Golden Dome contracts yet but architecture discussions underway and counter-UAS being developed. Evan expects new backlog record by year-end and strong cash from F-35 Lot 18/19 award in Q3.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how are you thinking about the opportunities to grow backlog in 2025 and any international kind of awards that you're kind of pursuits that you would highlight?

Revenue GrowthDemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Jay cited Lot 19 ($10B), JASSM/LRASM multiyear (multi-billions), F-35 sustainment, CH-53K Lot 9, and Türkiye F-16 among backlog growth drivers.

TDGTransDigm Group3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
TDG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

any comments on freight and historically how that market channel has done

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Joel said freight is a smaller submarket that lagged the most but still grew double-digits, with distributor bookings up even as POS slowed a bit.

Calendar 2025 Q1

purchase orders were running about 50% of kind of the rate 38 target at Boeing. Maybe you could just give us an update

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Mike said Boeing MAX orders running around 30/month rate across the portfolio with puts and takes across operating units. Component-specific inventory positions vary.

Calendar 2024 Q3

the guide implies that, that's going to be closer to 3% of sales

Show response

Sarah explained CapEx increase driven by new operating unit infrastructure and productivity projects including cobots and robots at attractive price points.

RKLBRocket Lab USA, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
RKLB company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

I think you've previously talked about the demand for around 30 flights a year. I was wondering if that still kind of holds

Show response

Beck said Electron demand has upward bias beyond 30 flights, driven by Golden Dome, HASTE, and commercial growth.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
TXT Textron110%none of 11 questions
BA The Boeing Company70%none of 7 questions
RTX RTX Corporation70%none of 7 questions
NOC Northrop Grumman60%none of 6 questions
GD General Dynamics50%none of 5 questions
LDOS Leidos50%none of 5 questions
LHX L3Harris50%none of 5 questions
HWM Howmet Aerospace30%none of 3 questions
LMT Lockheed Martin30%none of 3 questions
TDG TransDigm Group30%none of 3 questions
  • TXT
    Textron · 11 questions
    0%none of 11 questions
  • BA
    The Boeing Company · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • RTX
    RTX Corporation · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • NOC
    Northrop Grumman · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • GD
    General Dynamics · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • LDOS
    Leidos · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • LHX
    L3Harris · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • HWM
    Howmet Aerospace · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • LMT
    Lockheed Martin · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • TDG
    TransDigm Group · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
Show all 11 companies
CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
RKLB Rocket Lab USA, Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • RKLB
    Rocket Lab USA, Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q310%none of 1 question1
2024 Q490%none of 9 questions7
2025 Q180%none of 8 questions7
2025 Q270%none of 7 questions6
2025 Q3110%none of 11 questions9
2025 Q450%none of 5 questions5
2026 Q1100%none of 10 questions8
2026 Q250%none of 5 questions5
  1. 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q49 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 7 companies
  3. 2025 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 7 companies
  4. 2025 Q27 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  5. 2025 Q311 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 11 questions) · 9 companies
  6. 2025 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  7. 2026 Q110 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 10 questions) · 8 companies
  8. 2026 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand25
  • Margin12
  • Product Launch11
  • Regulation Policy10
  • Revenue Growth8
  • Capex Investment8
  • Supply Chain7
  • Geographic Expansion6
  • Competitive Dynamics6
  • Innovation & R&D5
Show all 15 topics
  • Labor Market3
  • Capital Allocation3
  • M&A1
  • Cost Pressure1
  • Cloud & AI1