Start 30 days free, no card. Full Pro access for a month, then decide. Start free

Back to analysts list

Analyst

Richard Clarke

Bernstein · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
15on tracked calls
Challenge rate
13%2 of 15 questions
Companies
4questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 15 of 15 questions from 4 companies

ABNBAirbnb7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 2 of 7 challenging
ABNB company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I’d just love to understand the sort of ultimate ambition from all the ancillary products you’re rolling out.

Show response

Chesky framed a phased expansion (one-stop travel, then living, then connection) and said M&A stays opportunistic with a bias to grow organically.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I guess you talked about expanding take rate. I assume that this partnership comes at a bit of a cost

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ellie confirmed the Delta rev share won't hurt take rate. Brian said loyalty and flights are both on the table but no announcements yet.

Calendar 2025 Q4

why do you think those AI platforms couldn't launch a short-term rental platform over time?

ChallengingCloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Brian argued Airbnb's moat includes 18 years of platform building, $100B+ payments, verified identity, messaging, insurance, exclusive inventory. Chatbot traffic converts at higher rate than Google. Models are commoditizing so specialization in travel wins. Open to working with AI platforms.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Just what percentage of the acceleration in the U.S. has come from that? Any early signs of what cancellation rates might look like on those bookings

Innovation & R&DDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Ellie said RNPL offered to US domestic guests on flexible/moderate cancellation policies with 70% adoption. Cancellations increase but net impact is clearly positive lift to net bookings. Extensively tested before launch.

Calendar 2025 Q2

What is the size of the headwind you're expecting in Q3 maybe from the events, the Paris Olympics

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ellie detailed how Q3 2024 accelerated from soft July through strong exit, creating hard comps. Q4 may decel. Latin America took ~200bps business share from North America.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Is it delayed booking windows? Is it higher cancellation rates, shorter trips, trading down, some nature of what you're actually seeing?

ChallengingDemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ellie detailed bifurcation: higher-income travelers stable, softness in longer lead-time bookings. No trading down or shorter trips observed. Similar to summer 2024 lead-time shift.

Calendar 2024 Q4

are you leaning into those operators? Are you or are you confident you can kind of control the AI flow through the Airbnb, Inc. platform?

Cloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Brian outlined differentiated approach: starting with customer service rather than trip planning, then graduating AI agent to become travel/living concierge. Models commoditizing benefits platforms.

MARMarriott International6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
MAR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Qualitatively, have you seen any improvement since the cease fire? How are kind of full year booking trends there?

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jen provided detailed quarter-by-quarter guidance: Q2 ~50% RevPAR decline in Middle East, improving sequentially through Q3/Q4 but continuing impact through year-end.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Would you have expected credit card spending to have accelerated or is the acceleration up to sort of 35% growth all to do with the royalty changes?

Revenue GrowthRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Leeny confirmed underlying card spending growing high single digits on top of royalty rate increase. Capitol Hill discussions on interest rate caps have not measurably impacted credit card deal negotiations.

Calendar 2025 Q3

making your hotel discoverable, bookable through ChatGPT and other platforms. Do you see that as an opportunity?

Innovation & R&DCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Tony confirmed optimizing content for GenAI services. Channel strategy designed for broad reach across traditional and emerging channels including generative and agentic AI.

Calendar 2025 Q2

your commitment to the residential business and how you're feeling about the long-term outlook in continuing to pursue that opportunity

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Leeny doubled down on residential commitment. Now expects fees down 30% this year (better than prior 50% estimate). High-return fees typically associated with adjacent hotels.

Calendar 2024 Q4

at your CMD, you guided to non-RevPAR fees growing 12% across 2024 and 2025. Where do you actually expect that to come out

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Leeny identified the three main drivers but did not give a specific aggregate number versus the CMD 12% target.

RevPAR plus net unit growth is 7.5%. It sounds like you're going to grow the non-RevPAR fees a bit above that, but you're getting to gross fee growth of only around 5%

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Leeny attributed the gap to FX headwinds ($25M), residential branding fees declining ~50% due to timing, and flat IMF from China weakness and U.S. renovations.

HLTHilton Worldwide1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
HLT company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

the the first partners into those AI agents have been the online travel agencies booking TripAdvisor, etcetera. Are you talking to those agents

Cloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Nassetta emphasized commitment to direct customer relationships; will work directly with AI players but not through intermediaries. Investing heavily in AI across the guest journey.

NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
NCLH company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

anything one-off in why costs start growing again in Q4 and maybe how we should think about therefore the exit rates

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CFO attributed the Q4 cost uptick to timing and new marketing spend, with nothing structural carrying into 2027.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
ABNB Airbnb729%2 of 7 questions
MAR Marriott International60%none of 6 questions
HLT Hilton Worldwide1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • ABNB
    Airbnb · 7 questions
    29%2 of 7 questions
  • MAR
    Marriott International · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • HLT
    Hilton Worldwide · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • NCLH
    Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q440%none of 4 questions3
2025 Q11100%1 of 1 question1
2025 Q220%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q320%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q4250%1 of 2 questions2
2026 Q120%none of 2 questions2
2026 Q220%none of 2 questions2
  1. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q11 question · challenge rate 100% (1 of 1 question) · 1 company
  3. 2025 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  4. 2025 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q42 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  6. 2026 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  7. 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Revenue Growth5
  • Competitive Dynamics4
  • Demand4
  • Cloud & AI4
  • Margin2
  • Macroeconomic2
  • Innovation & R&D2
  • Guidance Reliability2
  • Product Launch1
  • M&A1
Show all 13 topics
  • Cost Pressure1
  • Regulation Policy1
  • Geographic Expansion1