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Analyst

Samad Samana

Jefferies · covers Industrials, Technology

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q2 (8 quarters).

Questions
42on tracked calls
Challenge rate
7%3 of 42 questions
Companies
5questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 42 of 42 questions from 5 companies

PAYXPaychex13 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 13 challenging
PAYX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

If I think about some of the assumptions around unit growth versus pricing contribution versus new bookings?

PricingGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Schrader said client base is roughly flat with revenue-per-client growth split about evenly between pricing and share of wallet; direct.

Calendar 2026 Q1

You had mentioned recently that maybe the initial land per client was a little bit smaller than historical or fewer add-on modules at the point of sale. I am curious if you have seen that trend cha...

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Management addressed Module attach rate trends and PEO vertical exposure.

Can you remind us what the kind of vertical exposure inside of the PEO business is broadly speaking versus, let us call it, white collar, blue collar?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Follow-up on Module attach rate trends and PEO vertical exposure.

Calendar 2025 Q4

in terms of pricing inside the install base on renewals, are you seeing any either is it kind of a similar consistent pricing environment

Show response

Gibson: install-base pricing realization on plan and still higher than pre-pandemic levels. Added product capabilities to support price increases. Payroll business sustaining value realization. Softness is in new client acquisition revenue per client, not in existing base renewals.

is it the underlying variables in the model that made you think the lower end is better for us or is it more about to be at because of what you're seeing in the business?

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Schrader: investor feedback did NOT drive the guidance change. Driven by actual business trends, MS revenue per client softer than plan, and agency drag on PEO & Insurance category. PEO itself exceeded expectations (high single-digit growth). PEO went from 3% in Q1 to 6% in Q2 and will accelerate further as MPP anniversaries.

Calendar 2025 Q3

If we think about the contribution in the quarter, it implies, essentially, let's call it, you know, around 7-8% growth for Paycor recurring revenue. Which is a pretty material slowdown than what P...

ChallengingRevenue GrowthM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management addressed Paycor recurring revenue growth slowdown and Management Solutions organic growth cadence.

it gets you to somewhere close to about 4% organic growth for the Management Solutions revenue in the quarter. Which, you know, again, it's a slightly easier comp.

Show response

Follow-up on Paycor recurring revenue growth slowdown and Management Solutions organic growth cadence.

Calendar 2025 Q2

any insights you can provide on maybe what percentage of Paycor's sales and marketing organization you guys were able to retain versus are you thinking more about hiring on that side?

Revenue GrowthM&AGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Follow-up on Paycor FY26 revenue contribution assumptions and sales retention.

the 12% to 13% contribution for fiscal '26 implies kind of around $700 million at the midpoint for Management Solutions contribution. And then if I think about what Paycor was on track to do in ter...

Revenue GrowthM&AGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Management addressed Paycor FY26 revenue contribution assumptions and sales retention.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if we think about the implied management solutions growth rate, for F4Q excluding Paycor is that a fair way to think about what the starting point for growth for management solutions should be for ...

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Schrader deferred to Q4 for category-level FY2026 guidance. Said MS ex-Paycor has opportunity from client base, product attachment, and pricing. Gibson emphasized integration complexity will make clean segment reporting challenging going forward.

was there anything from a if I exclude the acquisition-related expenses, one percent growth is pretty low. Obviously, it's a big reflection of the productivity of the organization

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Schrader confirmed nothing unusual in expense timing. 1% expense growth (ex-acquisition costs) was in line with plan. No expenses shifted between quarters or deferred in anticipation of close.

Calendar 2024 Q3

what you saw in this most recent quarter from a discounting perspective and the need, the frequency and magnitude that you're having to discount

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Gibson said pricing/discounting environment is more stable than prior quarters. Noted that industry profitability pressures are driving rationality.

could you just remind us how the monetization works there? And what type of contribution you've embedded into the fiscal '25 outlook?

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Schrader confirmed Perks contribution is not material in FY25. Monetization is via payroll deduction from employee sign-ups during onboarding.

ADPADP12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 12 challenging
ADP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

How are you thinking about the different components of the portfolio in that FY 2027 guidance?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Named the contributing areas (retirement services, insurance services, ESHRO) and said the FY2027 assumption is a repeat of the broad-based mix.

How was that in fiscal 2026? And are you able to capture that?

PricingGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Fully quantified: came in a little north of 130 basis points versus the roughly 100 basis points framed at Investor Day, with FY2027 assumed similar.

Calendar 2025 Q3

particularly on Employer Services, if I think about some of the underlying pieces, it feels like there is a little bit of a downtick, whether that's pays per control

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityLabor MarketTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Peter explained multiple small offsetting factors: PPC narrowed lower, but client fund interest lifted by balances and FX slightly favorable. Q2 will have extra processing day and SUI timing headwinds to grow over.

update us on what the backdrop looks like in terms of deal cycles just looks like? And then how are you thinking about just time to close

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Maria said demand is relatively stable with no meaningful changes in deal cycles in Q1. Pipeline aging from FY25 continued but is now the normal pre-pandemic pattern.

Calendar 2025 Q2

if you think about where the quarter shook out, how does that maybe compare to what you were thinking at the time of the Analyst Day

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Peter acknowledged Q4 bookings were below internal expectations but emphasized Investor Day was focused on medium-term 3-4 year targets, not individual quarters. Drew no trend linkage between Q4 finish and medium-term objectives.

Help us think about distribution, though, and how much better is the sales organization at selling? And then how are you thinking about indirect distribution there

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Maria described expanding Lyric into global MNC space, partnerships with ERP players and system integrators. Said too early to quantify FY26 distribution impact but plans to continue evolving distribution and uptake.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how should we think about maybe ADP's own hiring plans? Are you guys going to still track to maybe what you anticipated in terms of headcount growth

Labor MarketCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Don confirmed no changes to ADP hiring plans; entering budgeting cycle next week at full speed. Would slow hiring if conditions deteriorate but no current signals warranting changes.

How much of that's from existing customers that are converting over to it versus gaining share from competitors

Product LaunchCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Maria confirmed pipeline is both upgrades and new logos without disclosing split; noted strong CHRO receptivity and market validation of Lyric as the most modern HCM technology available.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Is that going to be referrals between the two organizations? Is there co-development on the product

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Maria confirmed current referral structure with plans for deep product integration; Run will be embedded in Clover and vice versa. Also positioned as beginning of broader ecosystem strategy alongside banks and accountant channels.

Are you seeing -- is this kind of a clear inflection now? Is it fair to say that

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Maria confirmed Lyric is resonating with strong client adds and pipeline building; expected to contribute to bookings this year but still early days to scale and dent overall financials.

Calendar 2024 Q3

Any signal in that, that we should take whether that's the company willing to be more acquisitive

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Don confirmed M&A philosophy unchanged: seeking additive acquisitions in tight adjacencies with recurring revenue models. Largest deal by absolute dollars but company is much bigger now.

what was the evolutionary or revolutionary moment that led to the rebranding now

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Maria positioned Lyric as a market-ready, human-centric platform with flexible workflows and GenAI capabilities, noting strong analyst reviews and pipeline growth post-HR Tech launch.

NOWServiceNow9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
NOW company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

is that a matter of timing? Is that some headline coming in from the M&A? Or is that the company ramping up sales

Show response

Gina said it was all three drivers, with some inherited sales staff from M&A and hiring ahead of the ramping security and risk business.

Calendar 2026 Q1

what are the top 1 or 2 near-term priorities is it integrating the M&A? Is it driving adoption of the AI business?

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Bill outlined priorities: revenue acceleration via AI, margin expansion toward Rule of 60, SBC reduction to single digits. Gina said M&A integration is #1 priority with new CSO Krishna Gidwani.

What have NRR trends look like maybe to the first quarter, just as we as we reconcile that incremental

Subscriber GrowthRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Gina declined to give quarterly NRR, said trends are stable. Deferred detail to Financial Analyst Day. Noted budget for AI coming from labor savings and point solution consolidation.

Calendar 2025 Q4

should we take that as maybe we won't see Armis-sized deals going forward? Or just maybe help us get some clarity on how we should think about the M&A in 2026.

Innovation & R&DCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Bill emphatically stated no large M&A on roadmap and no more white spaces needed for security platform vision. Acknowledged rapid succession of Moveworks/Armis/Veza caused market concern. Gina said Armis expects ~100bp subscription revenue contribution and up to 50bp OM headwind in 2026, absorbed by 2027.

Calendar 2025 Q3

are you seeing that the broader sales organization and the partner base that Kash just mentioned is getting better at selling the AI solutions and it's being less of a top-down driven sale?

Show response

Bill confirmed AI selling is now standard across the organization. 55x growth in assists since May, 1,700 customers live, and every employee has an AI learning journey with credentialing. 90% of IT, customer service and HR processes done by agents internally.

how should we think about the prudence that you factored in? Is it different from what you were thinking, let's call it, 90 days ago?

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Gina acknowledged incremental prudence versus 90 days ago due to government shutdown impacting procurement timelines. But emphasized Q3 federal grew over 30% YoY and demand is strong, timing concern only, not demand concern.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is the framework still going to be as you do larger deals to still rewrite them into the code base, or is there any change in maybe the not just the size or scale of M&A, but the approach

Innovation & R&DCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Amit confirmed no rewrite planned, both Moveworks (70% of customers already use ServiceNow) and Logik.ai have existing integrations. Architecture evolution and roadmap optimization will happen naturally over time.

Calendar 2024 Q4

What have you observed from the early cohorts of customers. How many ended up getting into a level where it required the consumptive element? And maybe just help us think about how that will impact...

Show response

Gina acknowledged extra token consumption has not been significant to date but explained agentic AI requires many more assists per task, which will drive the consumption hockey stick. Amit reinforced that each agentic call requires many assists.

I'm just curious if we've been getting feedback from either early customers or those that were in the pipeline that there is a budget constraint or a tough decision as being having to be made, and ...

MacroeconomicCloud & AITranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Bill provided a general narrative about agentic AI creating fundamental business model reinvention and 1:5 ROI ratio, but did not cite specific customer budget shift examples, instead framing the opportunity philosophically.

TWLOTwilio Inc.6 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
TWLO company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how much of that is new customer acquisition and onboarding with them lighting it up versus existing customers expanding

Show response

Thomas said Voice AI strength is broad-based, with self-serve Voice up over 50%, but gave no split between new and existing customers.

Calendar 2025 Q4

And as you think about 2026, which of those do you think is the earlier opportunity that will ramp?

Show response

Khozema gave no cohort split but said enterprises are the big spenders and likely carry the day; Thomas added large ISVs embedding voice.

Calendar 2025 Q3

How should we think about maybe sales and marketing going forward and maybe a sneak peek at 2026

MarginLabor MarketTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Thomas cited AI assistants handling most inbound leads and many service tickets, but gave no 2026 sales and marketing outlook.

is it more customers that you have existing relationships with on the messaging side that are exploring voice AI

Cloud & AISubscriber GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Thomas said it is a balance: existing enterprise accounts expanding into voice, and new self-serve customers, where voice grew 40%.

Calendar 2025 Q1

To what extent did the macro dynamics in early April, so early second quarter

Show response

Asked by Billy Fitzsimmons on for Samad Samana. CFO said data by country, industry and customer through April show no macro slowdown.

it's been a little over two years since we saw this level of active customers added quarter-over-quarter

Subscriber GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Asked by Billy Fitzsimmons on for Samad Samana. CRO credited accelerating self-serve, AI startups building voice apps, and new larger direct customers.

SHOPShopify2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 1 of 2 challenging
SHOP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you just help us understand that if a Shopify merchant has these alternative channels where they're checking out, how the monetization still works and if the economics change?

ChallengingRevenue GrowthCloud & AITranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Harley clarified that agentic checkout uses Shopify storefronts with identical economics. Emphasized Stripe partnership deepening and UCP becoming industry standard.

Calendar 2025 Q1

do you have any ability to map where they're currently sourcing from and how much through tariff exposure that they have?

Trade TariffsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Harley acknowledged varied tariff exposure across merchants but could not quantify sourcing data. Highlighted that more than half of US buyers have incomes exceeding $100,000 as insulation.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
PAYX Paychex138%1 of 13 questions
ADP ADP128%1 of 12 questions
NOW ServiceNow90%none of 9 questions
TWLO Twilio Inc.60%none of 6 questions
SHOP Shopify2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • PAYX
    Paychex · 13 questions
    8%1 of 13 questions
  • ADP
    ADP · 12 questions
    8%1 of 12 questions
  • NOW
    ServiceNow · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • TWLO
    Twilio Inc. · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • SHOP
    Shopify · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q340%none of 4 questions2
2024 Q440%none of 4 questions2
2025 Q180%none of 8 questions5
2025 Q240%none of 4 questions2
2025 Q3825%2 of 8 questions4
2025 Q440%none of 4 questions3
2026 Q1520%1 of 5 questions3
2026 Q250%none of 5 questions4
  1. 2024 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  2. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  3. 2025 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  4. 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q38 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 4 companies
  6. 2025 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  7. 2026 Q15 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  8. 2026 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Revenue Growth13
  • Demand13
  • Guidance Reliability8
  • M&A7
  • Cloud & AI7
  • Pricing5
  • Product Launch5
  • Competitive Dynamics5
  • Labor Market4
  • Macroeconomic3
Show all 18 topics
  • Subscriber Growth3
  • Innovation & R&D3
  • Capital Allocation2
  • Cost Pressure2
  • Margin2
  • Regulation Policy1
  • Trade Tariffs1
  • Supply Chain1