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Analyst
Srini Pajjuri
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters; questions recorded in 8).
- Questions
- 41on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 12%5 of 41 questions
- Companies
- 10questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 8with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 41 of 41 questions from 10 companies
LRCXLam Research8 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 8 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
I'm just trying to get a sense of what your lead times are, and in case if there's more upside
Show response
Corrected the premise that upside bias remains, then explained how customers freed bottleneck capacity and said further 2026 upside is unlikely.
Are you expecting, I guess, China to recover in the next few quarters?
Show response
Reiterated the flat-to-slightly-up China view and disaggregated multinational versus indigenous customer trends within the 26% figure.
Calendar 2026 Q1
what you're seeing in terms of the demand environment in China
Show response
Doug said China WFE is flat to slightly up YoY but declining as percent of revenue as global multinationals grow faster; also noted broadening customer mix within China.
are you seeing any acceleration in terms of your services and spares business? Is this something structural in your view
Show response
Doug attributed spares/service strength to peak utilization, with EI and cobots layering incremental growth; Reliant reflects softer mature node spending offsetting partially.
Calendar 2025 Q4
The one point of WFE share that you gained, maybe if you could help us understand if it is coming primarily in foundry and logic or if you're seeing that across the board.
Show response
Tim said 2025 share gains came from both NAND and foundry logic. On 2026 revenue, Tim confirmed the message is they will expand SAM, gain share, and outperform WFE.
Calendar 2025 Q1
first, you know, we all know that advanced logic spending is coming back here. But if you could maybe parse it out
Show response
Tim cited gate all around, backside power, advanced packaging leadership, and emerging dry EUV resist as multiple billion-dollar technology inflections driving foundry strength.
Calendar 2024 Q4
on Moly B, I know you said several hundred million dollars of contribution. I'm just trying to reconcile
Show response
Tim framed Moly as a multi-year transition as customers move capacity to higher layer counts, with different intercept points but growing adoption over time.
Calendar 2024 Q3
What is the implied market share assumption when you say you're going to outperform WFE next year?
Show response
Management said gate-all-around, advanced packaging and backside power let Lam expand its served market and gain share, not just win replacement revenue.
KLACKLA Corporation7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
It looks like you're raising the WFE number to about 140 versus 135 to 140 at the Analyst Day
Show response
CFO described it as a small adjustment from 6 weeks ago but noted it translates into a little bit stronger view of 2026 for KLA, with 9 months remaining to provide updates.
I know you said it's fairly broad-based, but can you maybe parse it out by end market, memory versus logic
Show response
CFO expects 2027 to shift a few percent more toward memory versus this year's approximately 62% logic split. China expected to grow slower than WFE with flat spending levels.
Calendar 2025 Q1
how you're expecting, and two, demand to kind of fare? And if you can talk about where we are in the N2 cycle?
Show response
Bren quantified N2 at 40,000-50,000 wafer starts in year one with at least a doubling expected next year, indicating the cycle is early with strong continuation.
just curious to understand what the implications for semi PC intensities with?
Show response
Rick explained high NA drives more inspection needs because smaller features mean smaller defects matter more, with early high NA insertion expected to increase reticle check requirements.
Calendar 2024 Q4
how does the, I guess, PC intensity change as you go from N3 to N2?
Show response
Bren updated KLA's N2 share premium to 90-100 basis points above N3, up from the prior estimate of 75 basis points.
That is -- I think, implies at least in a mid-single-digit type decline. We haven't seen a decline in that business in a while
Show response
Bren clarified the Foundry/Logic mix is relatively consistent when looking at semiconductor customer systems, with some non-N2 customers in December not repeating in March.
Calendar 2024 Q3
in terms of the near-term upside you're seeing -- is that more coming from M3?
Show response
Higgins said 2H upside was M3-centric, with M2 shipments beginning this quarter and driving most of next year's growth.
INTCIntel Corporation6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
on the ASIC business, Dave, I think you said it doubled year-on-year
Show response
Dave disclosed ASIC run rate is north of $1 billion. Lip-Bu described it as purpose-built silicon leveraging Intel's unique CPU, packaging, and foundry assets with active customer engagements.
the yields are better than you expected and looks like they're improving further
Show response
Dave revealed that Lip-Bu's year-end yield target will likely be achieved by mid-year. Full pick margins expected decent by year-end but foundry-level margins need multiple quarters more.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Just wondering if that's still the target. And then, as we look forward to NovoLake, has the decision about, you know, internal versus external been made
Show response
Michelle confirmed 70% in-house target unchanged. Nova Lake will have product at both TSMC and Intel, but aggregate will have more Intel wafers than Panther Lake.
I'm just curious as to why Q2 is tracking a little bit weaker. And then as we look out to the next few quarters
Show response
Michelle said Q1 hyperscaler strength was partly pull-in that won't repeat in Q2. Acknowledged margin and ASP pressure from share stabilization efforts. Strong demand for older-gen server parts exceeds supply.
Calendar 2024 Q4
is it pretty set in stone that you are bringing it back for sure? Or do you have any flexibility
Show response
Michelle confirmed Panther Lake stays on 18A, but Nova Lake will have compute tiles both inside and outside. Each product generation evaluated independently on process fit.
do you think you can get there with mostly internal wafers? Or do you need external customers as well?
Show response
Dave said breakeven target is primarily based on internal wafer volumes shifting to higher-margin EUV, with small external customer assumption. External wins could accelerate timeline.
AMATApplied Materials5 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
when do you see panel-level packaging becoming mainstream? And, you know, compared to your current position
Show response
Gary cited >70% packaging growth this year, strong hybrid-bonding technology and adjacent steps, and significant panel revenue growth next year without a timing forecast.
Calendar 2025 Q2
if you could talk to the sustainability of the NAND growth and what exactly is driving it
Show response
Brice clarified most NAND spending is technology upgrades not capacity additions, driven by low 20s percent bit demand growth. Customers don't change upgrade plans based on utilization changes.
Calendar 2025 Q1
when you say below normal, are you expecting China to recover to, like, 30% level that you previously communicated
Show response
Brice reaffirmed 30% as long-term China revenue share with Q2 at 26%. Gary emphasized ICAPS is still the largest market with China the largest country within it, expecting capacity additions every year.
Calendar 2024 Q4
as I look out to the next, I guess, fiscal year, I'm just trying to understand how to think about overall DRAM growth
Show response
Brice reiterated two-thirds foundry/one-third memory WFE split and strong current DRAM market but declined to make a specific FY2025 DRAM call.
there is definitely some optimism about tech transitions and in particular, molyb transitions
Show response
Brice explained NAND has been primarily an upgrade market since high shrink rates deliver needed bit density without new wafer starts, but Q1 shows slight uptick.
MRVLMarvell Technology4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
as we go from scale out to scale up, you mentioned 3 different I guess, you know, ESUN, NVLink, and also UALink
Show response
Murphy called $1B scale-out switching milestone significant from near-zero 5 years ago; noted scale-up switching is a bigger greenfield opportunity with no established market share, representing pure upside not in current forecasts.
can you give us a little bit more color as to which of these is the biggest or how to think about the contributions
Show response
Murphy confirmed FY28 custom growth split remains roughly equal thirds across existing XPU, XPU-attached programs, and new tier-1 XPU ramp, with all three buckets sizing up from prior expectations.
Calendar 2025 Q2
can you speak to your market share as we go from 800 to 1.6 t and also, you know, the potential impact from any technology transition such as LPO
Show response
Murphy sees no fundamental market share shift through 1.6T transition. First to market at both 5nm and 3nm 1.6T. LPO viewed as incremental for scale-up. Distribution inventory very low with strong sell-through.
Calendar 2024 Q4
I'm just curious if there is any update on customer C, how the progress has been
Show response
Confirmed Customer C remains the largest opportunity of the three, tracking well with strong mutual support. Custom silicon opportunity set continues to gain momentum each quarter. Unchanged from AI Day except increased overall confidence.
SWKSSkyworks Solutions4 questions · 2 reporting periods · 2 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
So I’m just trying to understand what changed in the past couple of months that’s giving you this confidence.
Show response
Answered specifically: Phase 3 is the final SAMR stage and two jurisdictions remain, while flagging regulatory uncertainty.
You talked about consumer being a little softer. That makes sense. I’m just curious as to how big consumer market is
Show response
Identified consumer IoT as the drag but explicitly declined to size it, saying no further breakout is given.
Calendar 2024 Q3
it is slightly below your normal seasonality I think historically you have done kind of high-single-digits in December
Show response
Kris confirmed large customer business tracking normally. Below-seasonal guidance driven by broad markets sequential growth being less than anticipated three to six months ago.
how big auto, industrial and IoT and infrastructure businesses are individually and also you talked about some inventory on the infrastructure
Show response
Kris provided granular broad markets mix: 40-50% Edge IoT, 35-40% networking/infra/cloud, 20-25% industrial/auto. AI data center traction with timing solutions but traditional cloud muted.
Show 4 more companies
ARMArm Holdings3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
given the pressure on the bill of materials do you anticipate or are you seeing any impact in terms of the adoption of CSS and V9
Show response
Rene said no pushback on CSS pricing from BOM concerns. Time-to-market value and the risk of missing first shipment windows on 3nm and 2nm designs far outweigh royalty cost considerations. Jason attributed Q4 low-teens royalty guidance to seasonality and lapping an unusual MediaTek release, not memory constraints.
Calendar 2025 Q1
can you speak to the royalty growth by end market, where you're seeing strength
Show response
Jason detailed broad strength: smartphones +30%, client business similar, infrastructure accelerating into high double digits with networking recovering. IoT bottomed but recovery timing unclear.
Calendar 2024 Q3
I think that accounted for about 10% of your mix in the last 12 months.
Show response
Rene pointed to Graviton, Azure Cobalt and Google Axion general availability plus NVIDIA Grace and 50-60% better power efficiency vs x86 as accelerating data center adoption.
ALABAstera Labs, Inc. Common Stock2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
Is it primarily the units? Or is it PCIe six transition? And then or is it new customers?
Show response
Management said PCIe 6 transition and cabled smart-cable-module applications drive Aries growth, with copper/optical coexisting for years.
Calendar 2025 Q1
is there any, I guess, software or is it related to the Blackwell Ultra? Or some other hardware component
Show response
Management said hyperscalers customize racks to fit existing data centers, hardware, software and supply chain, ramping in H2.
AVGOBroadcom Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
on your 2026 expectation, are you assuming any meaningful contribution from the 4 prospects that you talked about?
Show response
Hock said FY26 outlook excludes prospects (customers only) and networking mix should normalize to <30% of AI rather than 40%.
WDCWestern Digital1 question · 1 reporting period · 1 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2024 Q3
I'm looking at your Flash ASPs being down 6% on a blended basis. But on a like-for-like basis, it's only down 4%.
Show response
Questioned why blended Flash ASP fell more than like-for-like despite rising eSSD mix; management explained it as mix-related, direct.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| LRCX Lam Research | 8 | 13%1 of 8 questions |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | 7 | 14%1 of 7 questions |
| INTC Intel Corporation | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| AMAT Applied Materials | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions |
| MRVL Marvell Technology | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| SWKS Skyworks Solutions | 4 | 50%2 of 4 questions |
| ARM Arm Holdings | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| WDC Western Digital | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- LRCXLam Research · 8 questions13%1 of 8 questions
- KLACKLA Corporation · 7 questions14%1 of 7 questions
- INTCIntel Corporation · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- AMATApplied Materials · 5 questions0%none of 5 questions
- MRVLMarvell Technology · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- SWKSSkyworks Solutions · 4 questions50%2 of 4 questions
- ARMArm Holdings · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- ALABAstera Labs, Inc. Common Stock · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- AVGOBroadcom Inc. · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- WDCWestern Digital · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q3 | 6 | 33%2 of 6 questions | 5 |
| 2024 Q4 | 8 | 25%2 of 8 questions | 5 |
| 2025 Q1 | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions | 6 |
| 2025 Q2 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q3 | No questions recorded | — | — |
| 2025 Q4 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 3 |
| 2026 Q1 | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions | 3 |
| 2026 Q2 | 6 | 17%1 of 6 questions | 3 |
| 2026 Q3 | 1 | 0%none of 1 question | 1 |
- 2024 Q36 questions · challenge rate 33% (2 of 6 questions) · 5 companies
- 2024 Q48 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 5 companies
- 2025 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies
- 2025 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q3No questions recorded
- 2025 Q43 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
- 2026 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
- 2026 Q26 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 3 companies
- 2026 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand20
- Revenue Growth16
- Competitive Dynamics13
- Innovation & R&D9
- Capex Investment6
- Cloud & AI5
- Macroeconomic3
- Product Launch2
- Pricing2
- Geographic Expansion2
Show all 16 topics
- Supply Chain1
- M&A1
- Regulation Policy1
- Margin1
- Guidance Reliability1
- Inventory1