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Analyst
Steve Wieczynski
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).
- Questions
- 65on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 8%5 of 65 questions
- Companies
- 6questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 8with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 65 of 65 questions from 6 companies
CCLCarnival15 questions · 8 reporting periods · 1 of 15 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
should we be thinking about the way you kind of start '27 and that negative yield cost spread as you sit here today?
Show response
Josh declined to comment on the 2027 starting yield-cost spread, saying only that it would fit the PROPEL algorithm.
is that 20% earnings growth still pretty realistic in your view?
Show response
Josh defended the PROPEL trajectory citing nearly 3% normalized yields amid a major geopolitical crisis and cost/consumption levers, while flagging fuel uncertainty.
Calendar 2026 Q2
is pretty much all of the 100-basis-point cut to yields just directly tied to The Middle East
Show response
Management confirmed the cut was concentrated in Europe and walked through the unexpectedly prolonged conflict.
Calendar 2026 Q1
wondering if you could maybe walk us through what you've seen from a booking perspective for both your North American and your EAA brands.
Show response
Weinstein reported no significant cancellation changes. Eastern Med affected more than Western Med or Northern Europe. Caribbean and Alaska volumes stronger. Overall well-booked with headroom.
is it fair to kind of assume that you guys feel pretty comfortable that you'll be able to absorb pretty much higher fuel prices over a longer period of time?
Show response
Weinstein confirmed PROPEL absorbs fuel variability over time, citing $650 million in annual consumption savings since 2019, exceeding the $500 million fuel spike.
Calendar 2025 Q4
if you could help us think a little bit more about the cadence over the last 3 quarters
Show response
Bernstein expected Q2-Q4 costs below full-year rate, with higher yield growth in the back half due to easier comps.
your ability to take pricing action right now in the Caribbean?
Show response
Weinstein confirmed Caribbean yields will be supportive but declined to isolate Caribbean pricing versus the overall 2.5% yield guidance.
Calendar 2025 Q3
is there anything you didn't mention that, you know, maybe you kinda behind the scenes that you guys are working on to help kinda mitigate some of those headwinds?
Show response
Weinstein listed multiple tailwinds: full-year Celebration Key, half-year Relax Away, OBR strength, no capacity growth, diversified portfolio strength, and loyalty program cash flow.
just wondering from a bigger picture perspective, maybe how you're feeling about next year versus back in June.
Show response
Weinstein confirmed positive outlook for 2026 and noted 2027 bookings were at an unprecedented record level for a thirteen-week window.
Calendar 2025 Q2
should we be thinking that they're probably won't be as much potential upside to your revised guidance
Show response
Weinstein acknowledged the back-half upside potential is not at the same level as December expectations due to macro turbulence, but not saying there is no upside.
maybe wondering if, you know, you can kinda walk us through kinda how those last three months look from a from a booking perspective.
Show response
Weinstein described a booking dip in April followed by sequential improvement in May and early June.
Calendar 2025 Q1
just wondering if you're seeing any, you know, we would call kind of material differences in bookings for 2026 by, you know, by brand.
Show response
Weinstein reported no concerning differences by brand in 2026 bookings, with record book position at higher prices.
if the consumer stays status quo, there's no change in onboard, close in remains strong, I'm guessing there's probably upside to your back half guidance.
Show response
Weinstein confirmed upside potential if close-in demand and onboard spending trends continue.
Calendar 2024 Q4
do you start to think about laying out another set of long-range financial targets
Show response
Weinstein confirmed new long-term targets will follow once SeaChange is met, and expressed preference for continuing the target-setting approach.
it seems like the approximate 4% yield guidance might end up being conservative when we have this same call a year from now
Show response
Weinstein noted the 4.2% yield guidance is driven by price, with a little occupancy. Declined to promise outperformance but acknowledged the team's ambition.
LVSLas Vegas Sands12 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 12 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
wondering if you could comment on your your peer group as well in terms of, you know, maybe what you’re seeing out there
Show response
Management said the competitive reinvestment environment is unchanged and pressure should ease as the market grows.
Calendar 2026 Q1
does that assume your competitors pull back so-called aggressively on promotions
Show response
Patrick said the $700M target assumes current competitive conditions, not a promotional pullback. It requires continued investment, right marketing programs, and some market growth.
is it fair to think that this sort of run rate of, let's call it, $600 million a quarter in Macao is probably the right way to think about the market for the foreseeable future
Show response
Patrick cautioned about seasonal softness in Q2 but said directionally they're in a solid place with continued growth from marketing and asset utilization improvements.
Calendar 2025 Q4
what factors do you think are kind of continue to hold that segment of the market back
Show response
Grant observed base mass spend per head declining since COVID with no recovery in lower-value segments. He deferred to analysts to speculate on macro drivers.
should we consider the margins we saw in the fourth quarter a pretty good run rate, at least for the foreseeable future
Show response
Patrick framed Macao as a low-30s margin business given current mix. Base mass recovery would lift margins; overweighting to VIP rolling would tighten them.
Calendar 2025 Q3
how you're thinking about room rates not only maybe now and your ability to still take price there, but maybe how you're thinking about room rates once your additional capacity comes online
Show response
Rob was blunt that room ADR is irrelevant, selling a room for $2,000 is a failure. The goal is to comp rooms to high-value gaming customers who drive $3B+ top line.
if most of that was tied pretty much directly to your change in marketing strategy or if that was just something else
Show response
Patrick attributed margin decline to a mix of reinvestment strategy and higher costs. Revenue growth through volume leverage is the path to improved margins.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Has that changed your internal return assumptions for IR2 at this point
Show response
Patrick said formal model adjustments haven't been made given IR2 is years from opening, but the quarter validates the quality of the market and long-term investment thesis.
Calendar 2025 Q1
has this kind of changed your view around that at all
Show response
Patrick described Singapore's government-driven high-value tourism strategy as a structural tailwind that LVS has invested alongside for 15 years.
is that something, Rob, that kind of keeps you awake at night? Or do you view your relationship with China in very, very good standing
Show response
Rob firmly rejected the concern, citing LVS's 20-year relationship with Beijing, Sheldon's legacy, and the distinction between Macao SAR and Mainland China.
Calendar 2024 Q4
just wondering if you guys have some sort of estimate on what the potential impact, from his visit was on your properties, during that time frame
Show response
Patrick declined to quantify the impact but acknowledged a noticeable effect, pivoting to optimism about 2025 positioning with all assets back in inventory.
have you seen any changes in the promotional activity from your competitors in the market in anticipation of that property coming back online
Show response
Patrick acknowledged persistent intense competition but emphasized LVS discipline and focus on long-term asset-driven strategy rather than short-term promotional battles.
WYNNWynn Resorts11 questions · 6 reporting periods · 2 of 11 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
wondering if you can help us quantify a little bit more, maybe how bad hold actually was
Show response
Wieczynski pressed for quantification of Las Vegas July hold; management declined, saying it won't get further into Q3 than already disclosed.
wondering if there have been any material changes to the way you're underwriting that asset now.
Show response
Wieczynski asked whether the $600 million budget increase changed UAE underwriting; management said returns stay healthy and the investment thesis is unchanged.
Calendar 2026 Q1
any color you can provide on maybe how that visitation translated into GGR from your perspective?
Show response
Holiday was good. Drop up year-over-year. Emphasized Wynn not levered to mass visitation, it's about who, not how many. Felt good about the holiday period.
what does Enclave do or not do to Wynn Macau?
Show response
No cannibalization. Table allocation managed weekly. Beyond peak events, plenty of table capacity at Wynn Palace, especially with expanded Chairman's Club. Wynn Macau serves different purpose.
Calendar 2025 Q4
would you give any kind of high-level view on kind of where you guys are booked at this point?
Show response
Booking pace good for CNY. Chairman's Club opening will delight best customers. Acknowledged capacity constraints on base mass side during peak periods but does not affect highest-value segment.
is it safe to say those margins would have been pretty close to the 31.5% margin that was posted in the fourth quarter of '24?
Show response
Management put normalized Q4 Macau margins at approximately 30%, below the analyst's estimate of 31.5%. Reflects structural cost increases from Gourmet Pavilion and cost of living.
Calendar 2025 Q3
wondering what you think kind of drove that unusual pattern, meaning folks, especially the higher-end folks stayed away, then they came back
Show response
Management acknowledged unusual Golden Week cadence (heavier volumes toward tail end and after holiday). Causation was all-of-the-above. One event not yet a trend. Will think more flexibly about hosting/booking strategy for CNY and May Golden Week.
wondering if that was more around promotions. Just trying to figure out if you guys had to promote more to drive stability around volumes
Show response
Management firmly denied promotional pressure in Boston. Two macro trends: growing database in concentric circles and labor costs working against each other. Business remains very stable with margin bouncing based on hold and volumes.
Calendar 2025 Q2
do you feel like some of those assumptions might end up being somewhat conservative?
Show response
Management noted projections assumed multiple competitors; being sole operator introduces conservatism. Market GGR estimates range to $8B (vs their $3-5B). Strong regional receptivity to project.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Can you maybe help us think about, you know, how you're, you know, how you're thinking about the cost structure for, you know, for Macau this year
Show response
Management declined OpEx per day guidance but noted day-to-day cost management and potential lumpiness from non-gaming programming, while emphasizing strong overall cost discipline.
how you're thinking about Balancing the buyback versus, you know, with this with this stock here in the the low eighty
Show response
Management said they can pursue buybacks and development simultaneously given liquidity position, noting new project capital spend is years away while buyback opportunity exists now.
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings10 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
the decision to essentially start to hold price now moving forward and willing to let that occupancy kind of drift a little bit?
Show response
Management said Q4 load factors are down 200-300 bps by balancing yield, and confirmed 2028 as the first normalized year.
Calendar 2026 Q1
can you help us think what would get you to the, you know, the down five versus the down three?
Show response
CFO quantified ~1.5 points of the range as load reduction but framed the width as reflecting teams still being built out.
Calendar 2025 Q4
how you address these capacity overhangs moving forward
Show response
Chidze acknowledged timing was premature and lacked a cohesive cross-functional plan, but expressed long-term confidence in the Caribbean strategy.
that seems somewhat conservative even with your deployment headwind
Show response
Kempa explained Europe and Alaska are also pressured beyond Caribbean, with Europe facing open-jaw itinerary issues and Alaska seeing mid-single-digit industry capacity increases.
Calendar 2025 Q3
it seems like there would be maybe a good bit of upside to your charting the course EPS targets
Show response
Kempa reiterated confidence in CTC targets without explicitly confirming upside, noting it's early with more Caribbean bookings being closer-in.
Calendar 2025 Q2
what have you guys done for 2026 in terms of changing the European deployments
Show response
Management detailed a modest European deployment reduction with shorter itineraries for 2026, noting the company is at optimal booked position for 2026 Europe specifically.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Can you maybe help us think about what bookings have looked like for the Norwegian brand versus the luxury brands
Show response
Sommer clarified all three brands showed similar patterns with Europe softness, and the Oceania promotion was routine marketing packaging, not incremental discounting.
is the difference in the yield guidance now versus back in February that challenges
Show response
Sommer specified 2-3 weeks of choppiness in April with recovery starting, and emphasized maintaining 4.5-4.7% price increases YoY as a deliberate strategy.
Calendar 2024 Q4
is there a potential upside to that 3.5% number based on maybe a little bit higher load factors plus on board
Show response
Sommer declined to signal upside, reiterating confidence in the 3.5% guide as achievable.
you've got a handful of ships that are now in, let's call it, that 25 to 30 years age range
Show response
Management said ships can reach 35+ years and no retirements are imminent, though January debt restructuring now enables vessel disposals.
RCLRoyal Caribbean Group10 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
have you seen any impact from the uptick in promotions and if that has started to impact your ability to take price
Show response
Jason confirmed Europe headwinds prevented a back-half yield raise and said differentiated ships and destinations insulate Caribbean pricing from competitor promotions.
Calendar 2026 Q1
wondering what gives you the confidence the fourth quarter could grow that much
Show response
Jason confirmed Q4 yield strength driven by strong book position at strong rates, easier comps, and minimal Mediterranean exposure in Q4. Acknowledged Q2/Q3 moderation but expressed confidence in underlying demand.
Calendar 2025 Q4
if you could, could you walk us through maybe what you're seeing today in the Caribbean, maybe more so, you know, whether it's by brand, whether it's by itinerary
Show response
Jason pushed back on Caribbean oversupply concerns, reporting strong demand across all three brands with pricing higher than last year. Confirmed 2.5% midpoint yield fits within 2-4% moderate growth framework. Noted Caribbean total revenue growing double digits in 2026. China redeployments created minor yield headwind.
Calendar 2025 Q3
So Jason, you mentioned that '26 EPS is going to start with the $17 handle, and it seems pretty clear that '26 bookings, demand pricing all look pretty solid at this point
Show response
Jason confirmed the formula framework for 2026 with moderate yield, anemic cost growth, and sizable EPS growth. Noted below-the-line noise from fuel compliance costs, global minimum tax, and destination depreciation. Emphasized strong balance sheet enabling opportunistic buybacks.
Calendar 2025 Q2
if close-in demand stays as strong as what you've seen recently, and it sounds like given the feedback that you guys have gotten from your customer base
Show response
Jason confirmed continued close-in patterns would mean better H2 results but couldn't quantify. Emphasized 30%+ YoY earnings growth as testament to finding opportunities.
should we think that 2028 could see earnings growth at least in line with your Perfecta targets
Show response
Jason pointed to 2028 as a significant step-up in earnings power from Perfect Day Mexico, Beach Clubs, river expansion from 2 to 4 ships, plus uncontemplated buybacks.
Calendar 2025 Q1
can you maybe help us think about how you would attack using lowering pricing versus other tools in order to stimulate demand
Show response
Jason emphasized price integrity as the leading principle, with promotional tools as secondary. 2026 book position in line with last year on a percent basis at higher prices.
if there was going to be some pressure from your customer base, do you think the low end of your guidance is now set low enough
Show response
Jason noted the guide is conservative by not flowing Q1 outperformance into H2, and that at 86% booked for the year they have good visibility with normal cancellation rates.
Calendar 2024 Q4
one of those key differences is the fact that the operators in river need berthing rights to get access to certain ports
Show response
Jason confirmed orders and berthing rights are already in place. Silversea river expansion will follow after Celebrity establishes the engine.
you talked about 14 handle comment, and probably to us that could have easily been a 15 handle without these headwinds
Show response
Jason confirmed $0.65 headwind math implies north of $15 underlying, no buybacks in guide, and highlighted strong cost performance as a positive surprise.
MGMMGM Resorts7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
have you seen that translate into your into growth in your database?
Show response
Hornbuckle quantified it: half the package participants are new to MGM against a market running under 15% first-time visitors, which he called startling and promising.
it seems like the promotional environment, you know, over there continues to be pretty intense.
Show response
Feng reframed away from reinvestment to a product, service and events package, and reaffirmed the mid-twenties to high-twenties margin band, but did not quantify promotional spend.
Calendar 2026 Q1
do you think it's going to be possible to grow Vegas EBITDA this year? I mean, you obviously kind of talked about the second quarter and you feel pretty good there. But the first quarter obviously ...
Show response
Bill reiterated growth expectation by year-end but tempered modestly given macro uncertainty. Midweek value customer (Luxor/Excalibur) still challenging but represents only 6% of EBITDA. Weekend performance fine across portfolio.
wondering if you could maybe expand on that a little bit more? And maybe help us understand if you're involved in that process
Show response
Bill confirmed active involvement with Gary Fritz on LVCVA board. Have 4 million sq ft of own convention space. Google and Cisco coming for summer. Yes, there are other groups like CON/AGG globally to pursue. Some conventions are politically tied to current host cities, making poaching complex.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Just wondering how you view the rest of your regional assets at this point, meaning would any of the remainders be for sale?
Show response
Jonathan said remaining 7 regional properties are market leaders. Bill added 5 of 7 dominate 25-47% of their markets. Important as BetMGM omnichannel locations. New York long-term TBD given recent withdrawal. No immediate appetite to sell more.
are you seeing a major difference in the booking patterns for that FIT visitor between your different properties
Show response
Corey said luxury booking patterns unchanged from historical norms. Core and legacy properties booking differently with some demand shifting from under-30-day window to further out.
Calendar 2025 Q2
I was just wondering if you guys have done anything to kind of stimulate that FIT improvement
Show response
Bill said not cutting resort fees or panicking. Luxury pricing maintained. Value properties need work. Occupancy down 3-4 points but preserving ADR. Leaning into casino database driving slot win growth.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| CCL Carnival | 15 | 7%1 of 15 questions |
| LVS Las Vegas Sands | 12 | 0%none of 12 questions |
| WYNN Wynn Resorts | 11 | 18%2 of 11 questions |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings | 10 | 10%1 of 10 questions |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Group | 10 | 0%none of 10 questions |
| MGM MGM Resorts | 7 | 14%1 of 7 questions |
- CCLCarnival · 15 questions7%1 of 15 questions
- LVSLas Vegas Sands · 12 questions0%none of 12 questions
- WYNNWynn Resorts · 11 questions18%2 of 11 questions
- NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings · 10 questions10%1 of 10 questions
- RCLRoyal Caribbean Group · 10 questions0%none of 10 questions
- MGMMGM Resorts · 7 questions14%1 of 7 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 10 | 0%none of 10 questions | 5 |
| 2025 Q1 | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions | 4 |
| 2025 Q2 | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions | 6 |
| 2025 Q3 | 10 | 0%none of 10 questions | 6 |
| 2025 Q4 | 9 | 0%none of 9 questions | 5 |
| 2026 Q1 | 10 | 20%2 of 10 questions | 6 |
| 2026 Q2 | 8 | 25%2 of 8 questions | 6 |
| 2026 Q3 | 2 | 50%1 of 2 questions | 1 |
- 2024 Q410 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 10 questions) · 5 companies
- 2025 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 4 companies
- 2025 Q28 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies
- 2025 Q310 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 10 questions) · 6 companies
- 2025 Q49 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 5 companies
- 2026 Q110 questions · challenge rate 20% (2 of 10 questions) · 6 companies
- 2026 Q28 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 6 companies
- 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand25
- Guidance Reliability17
- Competitive Dynamics16
- Revenue Growth15
- Pricing13
- Margin10
- Macroeconomic7
- Capex Investment6
- Geographic Expansion5
- Cost Pressure4
Show all 15 topics
- Capital Allocation4
- Product Launch2
- M&A1
- Trade Tariffs1
- Fx1