Start 30 days free, no card. Full Pro access for a month, then decide. Start free
Analyst
Timm Schulze-Melander
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).
- Questions
- 21on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 10%2 of 21 questions
- Companies
- 5questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 7with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 21 of 21 questions from 5 companies
ARMArm Holdings10 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
what are the things that dictate the timing of R&D cost in the P&L?
Show response
Jason answered directly that the shortfall was tool utilization such as emulation and cloud spend, not headcount, and guided OpEx to grow mid-single-digit percentage quarter-on-quarter.
is there a concern or is it possible or probable that you get into a kind of golden screw type situation
Show response
Rene answered directly that there is no single point of failure and expressed confidence in partner capabilities and upside capacity.
Calendar 2026 Q1
I just want to check that I heard you right that you anticipate 100% attach rate of Arm CPU with those accelerators you mentioned?
Show response
Rene clarified he expects the vast majority, not necessarily 100%, of accelerator-paired CPUs to be Arm. Cited Google's 80% performance improvement from switching to Arm host processors.
could you just give us some help in terms of the shape of how you expect royalty revenues to kind of flow through the year?
Show response
Jason guided to roughly 20% royalty growth for FY2027, with licensing 60/40 back-end weighted. OpEx will grow sequentially each quarter, with incremental margin improvement by year-end.
Calendar 2025 Q4
how should we think about SRAM SRAM at the edge, some of these different memory and what they could mean for your business
Show response
Rene said Arm is highly involved in research on SRAM and alternative memory technologies to address increasing AI compute demands under constrained power and battery budgets. Power efficiency is a continuous focus given expanding AI workloads on battery-powered devices.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Can you maybe just talk about the shape of what that revenue opportunity looks like on a sort of 1-, 3- and 5-year view
Show response
Rene declined specific forecasts but said compute demand is greater now than at the January Stargate announcement. Power infrastructure is the primary constraint on realizing the opportunity.
I think you also said that you already have royalty revenues associated with that
Show response
Jason explained the early royalty was from an existing CSS customer upgrading to gen-2. Close partnership on gen-1 allowed gen-2 adoption within months of technology delivery, faster than expected.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Just maybe a bit more color on the royalty progression through calendar '25, if you could, please
Show response
Jason outlined sequential shape: Q1 strong, flattish into Q2 (seasonally lower), then 10-15% sequential growth in each of the last two quarters.
Calendar 2024 Q4
is there anything that's sort of structurally changing in terms of the complexity of your client agreements
Show response
Jason said no structural change. Larger deals naturally take longer due to board approvals, but the dynamics are the same as prior year.
Can you maybe just talk a little bit more specifically about FY '26 and kind of what momentum
Show response
Jason deferred FY26 guidance to next quarter but reiterated mid-20% royalty growth target. Emphasized CSS is an even larger growth driver than v9 alone.
ASMLASML Holding4 questions · 2 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
about installed base management. If I look at the 3Q guide, the full year guide, looks like there's about a EUR 400 million decline sequentially in the fourth quarter.
Show response
Roger said the sequential shape is mostly upgrade-business tapering from the 1H peak, offset by continued EUV service growth as more tools come out of warranty, and the step isn't as draconian as the rounded 20% figure implies.
could you share what are the milestones that are still needed for your customers to cross before we can be more confident about when volume manufacturing begins
Show response
Christophe said High NA imaging and overlay performance are validated; the remaining gating factor is tool maturity, can the system run without major interruptions so customers can trust repeatable HVM performance. Work continues heavily through this year and next.
Calendar 2025 Q1
in terms of the order backlog, could you give us some color what proportion is priced ex works? And maybe what proportion of the backlog is ASML responsible for custom fees, delivery duty paid, etc.?
Show response
Roger said ASML is typically the importer but that contractual terms drive actual tariff pass-through, and ASML believes cost should be allocated fairly across the value chain rather than sit with ASML.
will we expect any of those tools to rev rec this year or is the High NA rev rec entirely 5000s?
Show response
Roger confirmed 5200 tools are part of the five High NA revenue recognitions planned for 2025, alongside remaining 5000-series rev recs.
AMATApplied Materials3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
why we have kind of a reasonable shot here in China and maybe why that doesn't exist in logic/foundry leading edge
Show response
Brice clarified the China forecast is more intuition-based (digestion after elevated spending) than hard visibility. On leading-edge, noted the multi-year visibility built since COVID has degraded as customers delay commits in the uncertain environment.
Calendar 2025 Q2
what is Applied's appetite for risk for maybe trying new things, new technologies to serve that market
Show response
Gary emphasized Applied's deep customer visibility reduces technology risk, with co-innovation engagements even with customers' customers. Revenue grew 4 times in packaging over 5 years with continued strong growth expected.
Calendar 2025 Q1
you mentioned advanced packaging and you referenced volume orders from multiple leading-edge customers
Show response
Gary noted packaging revenue spans all architectures including HBM. Brice explained the $674M tax asset revaluation was due to renewed Singapore incentive rates making the deferred asset less valuable.
KLACKLA Corporation3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
could you just paint some color around to what extent that already bakes in high NA engagements or whether that would be an upside to your outlook for '26?
Show response
Bren clarified the 2026 outlook is driven by continuing the N2 ramp across the customer base, with high NA not a material factor in that time frame, leaving it as potential upside.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Could you just help us maybe with a bit of the gross profit bridge, pretty flat revenues but a really decent impact on gross margin?
Show response
Bren explained the sequential margin improvement was driven by higher-value product mix within systems, not volume leverage.
you talked about the service business basically being the sort of source potential tariff impact to margins
Show response
Bren explained service tariff exposure stems from KLA being the importer of parts under contract obligations, with potential mitigation through pricing strategy and shifting to ex-works transactions.
LRCXLam Research1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q1
Maybe you could just give us a little bit of color on the spares just kind of how that was tracking sequentially
Show response
Doug said spares are doing well with utilization trending favorably, while the NAND upgrade vs new equipment split will become more balanced over time.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| ARM Arm Holdings | 10 | 10%1 of 10 questions |
| ASML ASML Holding | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions |
| AMAT Applied Materials | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| LRCX Lam Research | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 1 |
| 2025 Q1 | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions | 5 |
| 2025 Q2 | 3 | 33%1 of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q3 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q4 | 1 | 0%none of 1 question | 1 |
| 2026 Q1 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 1 |
| 2026 Q2 | 2 | 50%1 of 2 questions | 1 |
- 2024 Q42 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
- 2025 Q17 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 5 companies
- 2025 Q23 questions · challenge rate 33% (1 of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q41 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
- 2026 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
- 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Revenue Growth9
- Innovation & R&D8
- Margin5
- Product Launch3
- Cloud & AI3
- Competitive Dynamics2
- Demand2
- Trade Tariffs2
- Cost Pressure1
- Supply Chain1
Show all 13 topics
- Capex Investment1
- Macroeconomic1
- Capital Allocation1