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Analyst

Todd Thomas

KeyBanc Capital Markets · covers Real Estate

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
38on tracked calls
Challenge rate
5%2 of 38 questions
Companies
5questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 38 of 38 questions from 5 companies

PSAPublic Storage14 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 14 challenging
PSA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you talked about the effort to grow, you know, both the lending platform and third-party management.

Capital AllocationRevenue GrowthGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Fisher explicitly declined to give public targets but confirmed accelerated growth across all three and described the lending flywheel benefits.

How big of an opportunity do you see this being for the company, just in light of the amount of development volume

M&ACapital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Boyle said the company is comfortable with near-term dilution for longer-term growth but gave no threshold on how much lease-up product it would add.

Calendar 2026 Q1

can you talk about measures to ensure NSA's operations during peak leasing season are intact—leasing, revenue management

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management confirmed immediate PSNext integration and rebranding plan for Q3 closing with $110-130M synergies and $0.35-0.50 accretion by 2028-2029

Would the pressure you anticipate on same store revenue growth in 2Q and 3Q—absent LA—still be there

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management acknowledged revenue growth will soften in Q2-Q3 across both coastal and Sunbelt markets due to prior-year comps

Calendar 2025 Q4

what's been the biggest constraint for acquisitions as you kind of look back over the last several years?

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Boyle identified buyer-seller expectation gaps as the biggest constraint. Not about lowering hurdles, about being better, faster, more data-driven and getting more off-market opportunities.

I'm just curious how the Board sees its oversight role evolving under 4.0 here, particularly with regard to capital deployment and capital allocation

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Russell described active Board succession planning. Boyle highlighted new investment committee chaired by Ron Spogli. Fisher detailed balance sheet at 4.2x debt-to-EBITDA with ~$1.5B capacity, $600M annual free cash flow, and potential for JV/dispositions.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Is there a lot more room there? Or do you feel you sort of rung out a lot of the efficiencies at this point

Innovation & R&DMarginCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Russell emphasized they've 'only just begun' on technology investments, noting 85% digital customer transactions from essentially 0% five years ago. Declined to quantify margin upside but said 'confident we're not done.'

First, what's the outlook for that pace to continue into 2026?

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Boyle expressed strong appetite for increased deal volume, noting improving debt markets support more active transactions. Russell added the balance sheet is well positioned.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I was wondering if you can discuss how the newer vintage projects are trending versus underwriting

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Tom confirmed recent development vintages tracking ahead of plan with 8% target yield on cost consistently hit or exceeded. Expects $300-$400M annual delivery pace going forward.

Are you seeing any indication of stabilization in those more challenged markets?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Joe identified Atlanta as most challenged; Dallas, Phoenix, Charlotte also watched closely. Florida markets showing good stabilization with revenue growth trends turning favorable.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what are you seeing in terms of development activity more broadly? And second, what does that mean for Public Storage

Capex InvestmentTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ryan noted national delivery growth at ~2% vs ~5% in 2019. PSA uniquely positioned to find opportunities in a challenging development environment with fewer competitors.

you mentioned move-in rate was down 8% in April. It seems like you picked up a little bit of occupancy though

Show response

Tom explained month-to-month variability in move-in rates is normal; the goal is to optimize revenue combining rate and volume.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you discuss trends across the Sunbelt and compare and contrast that to some of the coastal and more urban markets?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Joe and Tom highlighted Seattle, San Francisco, D.C. as improving markets, with Florida markets starting to inflect positively in Q4.

The impact that you're estimating there amounts to the 100 basis point negative impact on the same-store, on same-store revenue

Regulation PolicyPricingTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Tom clarified the 100bps impact is primarily from rent restrictions on existing customers, not occupancy loss. Impact accumulates through the year.

EXRExtra Space Storage12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 12 challenging
EXR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Do you see potential for move-in rents to move ahead year-over-year again in the back half of the year?

PricingRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Margolis redirected to the broader lever set rather than answering whether move-in rents turn positive in the back half.

I wanted to also ask about the New York City settlement. I was just curious if there are any implications

Regulation PolicyCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Margolis sized the settlement, disputed the underlying claims, and said licensing requirements will apply industry-wide on an even playing field.

Calendar 2026 Q1

do you think the Sunbelt is sort of out of the woods here?

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Joe said it varies: Atlanta, Austin, Dallas, Miami, Phoenix significantly improved. SW Florida, Tampa, Houston still facing headwinds. LSI store performance now akin to EXR stores. Jeff added still relatively price-sensitive new customers in Sunbelt, not yet pushing double-digit rate growth.

Where did you see the wins or the outperformance?

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jeff cited Chicago, DC, Midwest and coastal markets as strongest, less supply pressure earlier = pricing power earlier = now flowing to revenue. Sunbelt markets also getting more traction. No specific tailwind beyond supply-driven fundamental improvement.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Do you expect to see those markets continue to perform or outperform in 2026?

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Joe attributed 2025 performance differences primarily to supply dynamics. Market performance is cyclical, broadly diversified portfolio smooths returns. Atlanta cited as example: years of double-digit growth now cycling to the other side.

Is the base case for guidance at the midpoint, is that currently sort of assuming a stronger first half and a moderating growth rate in the second half of the year

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Jeff characterized growth as gradual/steady with only 10-20bp seasonal variation. Cautioned against reading too much into H1/H2 cadence. High end is only 1.5% so the range is narrow.

Calendar 2025 Q3

First, what exactly was the catalyst for offering these strategic discounts?

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Joe positioned discounting as routine testing for long-term optimization, not Q3-specific reaction. Jeff noted gross ~6% and net ~5% in October (gap tightened significantly from Q3).

what percent of the portfolio had you rolled out or were you testing this discounting strategy on?

Show response

Jeff declined specifics citing competitive advantage but offered quantification: Q3 gross 6% net 3% (300bp gap); October gross 6%+ net 5%+ (much tighter). Joe added discounting wasn't sole reason for revenue guide change, rate flow-through also slower than expected.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I understand it takes a little time to flow through, but you also gained occupancy through June, you're still at 94.6% in July.

ChallengingRevenue GrowthPricingDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jeff explained net rental income was actually +20bp but offset by lower admin fees (lower rental volume due to high occupancy) and lower late fees (lower bad debt = healthy customer). These offsets are actually positive indicators.

I'm just curious if you can elaborate a little bit on pricing and that comment, sort of what kind of pricing adjustments you would like to see

Capital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Joe was clear on discipline: won't do sub-5 caps stabilizing in 5s. Meanwhile using bridge loans, JV restructuring, preferred investments as accretive alternatives.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you just flesh that comment out a bit in terms of what the revenue growth forecast is including, you know, maybe at the high and low end of the range in terms of occupancy gains

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Scott declined to give specific rate/occupancy splits, noting they model month-over-month improvements. Confirmed 120bp occupancy advantage expected to burn off through the year.

Is this a trend that you see becoming more widespread in other markets? And is there anything else in that 6% to 8% property tax budget outside of what you've mentioned

Show response

Scott explained reassessments lag revenue growth over past 5 years; hoping this is the tail end. Also noted LSI properties being reassessed contributed to higher property taxes.

REGRegency Centers7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
REG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

can you just discuss whether there is any geographic overlap across the banners there and if any, you potential formats

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Palmer corrected the premise, noting the analyst had confused Ahold's Giant with Albertsons; Roth said the only market overlap is Columbus, Ohio and called it de minimis.

Calendar 2026 Q1

can you talk about the cadence of starts during the balance of the year? And also discuss how yields are trending on new ground-up projects

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Nick emphasized starts will be lumpy and back-end weighted this year due to de-risking process (entitlements, pre-leasing, bids). Mike added spend guidance is ratable; starts growth sets up 2027+ deliveries. Yields firmly at 7%+ with no change in eyesight.

Calendar 2025 Q4

is development activity poised to increase? Do you see the competitive landscape changing at all for new development starts more broadly

Competitive DynamicsCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Nick acknowledged growing competition and demand but emphasized it's coming off a very low base. Regency doing large portion of national development. Expects upward trajectory but still very limited vs overall supply.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Do you expect a further contribution from the SNO pipeline in 2026?

Revenue GrowthCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Mike confirmed 200 bps leased-commenced gap will compress in 2026. Redevelopment contribution of 100+ bps expected to repeat. Full details in February.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Do you have any rights to participate in future developments or future acquisition opportunities with the sellers

M&ACapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Nick confirmed they acquired all existing retail in the master plan. Growth rate expected north of 3% from mark-to-market and small redevelopments (Rite Aid, CVS vacancies).

Calendar 2025 Q1

has there been any change at all in the timeline to get lease deals done? Whether you're seeing any slowdown at all in the decision-making process?

Show response

Alan provided hard data showing April 2025 new leasing activity exceeded April 2024, with no translation from macro volatility into leasing metrics.

Calendar 2024 Q4

do you see any material changes in spreads, either newer renewal spreads and perhaps you can provide you know, some color on how that that they might trend

Show response

Alan highlighted new leasing GAAP spreads above 30% in Q4 and retention historically at 70-75%, with deliberate cycling of underperformers.

PLDPrologis3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
PLD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

can you comment a little bit on the competition you’re seeing and whether competition has really changed at all

Competitive DynamicsM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Arndt explained the low going-in cap rate as below-market in-place rent in SoCal and South Florida; Letter reiterated a total-return focus.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Do you expect market rent growth to persist just given where conditions are at this point in the cycle? And then I know you touched on SoCal, but can you share a little bit more detail on that market

Show response

Chris emphasized stability over growth, said too early for broad-based sustained rent growth. Dan reinforced SoCal's 24M consumer base and supply constraints, expects it to trail by 2-3 quarters.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Can you talk about the cadence of stabilizations during the year

Capex InvestmentGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Arndt said stabilization pipeline detailed in supplemental by year but not by quarter. Spec business typically leasing up between seven and nine months with long term average seven. Recent years slightly longer with expectation to tighten as market conditions improve. Build-to-suits come online immediately at project completion. On speculative side timing subject to when leasing achieved.

VICIVici Properties2 questions · 1 reporting period · 1 of 2 challenging
VICI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

does that create a greater sense of urgency around reaching a broader portfolio solution?

ChallengingM&APricingTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Pitoniak declined a timetable, pointing to the roughly 12-month completion window signalled for the Caesars transaction as the gating factor.

I was wondering if you could provide some additional detail around the loan modification in the quarter.

Show response

Wasserman gave the size (3% of the loan portfolio), the concessions granted and received, and confirmed it is separate from the Q4 2025 nonaccrual loan.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
PSA Public Storage140%none of 14 questions
EXR Extra Space Storage128%1 of 12 questions
REG Regency Centers70%none of 7 questions
PLD Prologis30%none of 3 questions
VICI Vici Properties2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • PSA
    Public Storage · 14 questions
    0%none of 14 questions
  • EXR
    Extra Space Storage · 12 questions
    8%1 of 12 questions
  • REG
    Regency Centers · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • PLD
    Prologis · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • VICI
    Vici Properties · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q450%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q130%none of 3 questions2
2025 Q2520%1 of 5 questions3
2025 Q350%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q460%none of 6 questions4
2026 Q160%none of 6 questions4
2026 Q2813%1 of 8 questions5
  1. 2024 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  3. 2025 Q25 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  4. 2025 Q35 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  6. 2026 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  7. 2026 Q28 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 5 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Pricing10
  • Competitive Dynamics10
  • Demand10
  • M&A9
  • Revenue Growth8
  • Capex Investment8
  • Capital Allocation7
  • Geographic Expansion3
  • Guidance Reliability3
  • Regulation Policy2
Show all 16 topics
  • Credit2
  • Innovation & R&D1
  • Margin1
  • Cloud & AI1
  • Trade Tariffs1
  • Cost Pressure1