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Analyst

Vince Ciepiel

Cleveland Research · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
14on tracked calls
Challenge rate
14%2 of 14 questions
Companies
2questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 14 of 14 questions from 2 companies

RCLRoyal Caribbean Group9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 2 of 9 challenging
RCL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

do you think cruise bookers are becoming desensitized to the situation?

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Jason said geopolitical events mainly affect 3-6 month bookings tied to airfare visibility and reiterated that the consumer is resilient and prioritizes experiences.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Could you maybe comment on how you think new hardware, and you have Star, Xcel contribution, Paradise Island

Revenue GrowthCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jason emphasized all sources contribute to yield growth, like-for-like, Star annualization, Legend delivery, and destination ramp-ups. Europe yields will still be strong, just below initial expectations. Mediterranean headwinds are considered one-time with tailwinds into 2027.

Calendar 2025 Q3

The first half was up, I think, closer to 5%. Second half looks on track for 2.5% or maybe something a little bit north of that

ChallengingRevenue GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jason attributed the step-down to ship delivery timing across quarters creating harder/easier comps and suggested looking at yield on a yearly basis as the best way to evaluate the business against the moderate growth formula.

Calendar 2025 Q2

any big picture thoughts on just the conviction level of getting to 35, 40 ships, river capacity to do so

Product LaunchCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jason expressed high conviction in river expansion with ship design well-baked and destinations globally identified. Focus is on accelerating deployment, not whether to proceed.

is that $5 billion like a good annual number to use for '26 and '27 and a similar mix of non-newbuild and new build

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Naftali noted 2026/2027 have only one ship delivery each vs two this year, with destination CapEx varying by year. Emphasized excess cash flow after CapEx for shareholder returns.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what you see out in the marketplace. You have new leadership across all three major cruise lines going through, what potentially might be some choppy waters

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Jason pushed back on reports of choppiness, citing rational industry behavior focused on capturing share from land-based vacation rather than competing within cruise.

Just thoughts as you balance what you're seeing on the macro front with returning capital versus shoring [ph] up the balance sheet

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Naftali reaffirmed investment-grade balance sheet, strong liquidity, continued strategic investment per Perfecta, competitive dividend, and opportunistic buybacks.

Calendar 2024 Q4

the number of passengers you think Perfect Day Mexico could eventually support

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Michael Bayley projected Perfect Day Mexico volume will far exceed CocoCay's 3.5M guests, driven by Icon-class ships and the Texas/Gulf Coast market.

Maybe you could comment on relating to share wallet, repeat booking behavior, crossover between brands

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Jason said the cross-brand loyalty program has been 'grossly successful' with significantly more repeat guests than planned, making the ecosystem stickier.

NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
NCLH company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

if you could comment on what you've seen in bookings more recently in terms of the cadence over the last few months

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CFO pointed to improvement from the semi-annual sale; CEO called any conflict impact marginal, not material.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Could you just talk in more detail on review scores, guest impression?

Capex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO said guest satisfaction improved dramatically with phase one, but the primary monetizing activities open late summer and should drive incremental yields.

Calendar 2025 Q4

has there been anything encouraging, discouraging, that when you kind of look at the more recent trend line

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Kempa noted organizational changes are underway with positive green shoots emerging, but acknowledged more time is needed to turn the ship.

Calendar 2025 Q3

the core trend line that you're seeing in like-for-like, any way to describe it

Revenue GrowthPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Sommer confirmed ~50% booked for 2026 with book position supporting low-to-mid-single-digit yield growth algorithm.

Calendar 2024 Q4

what percentage of capacity do you envision stopping there in 2026? And any way to frame up the potential yield benefit

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management confirmed 1M guests (30% of total) visiting GSC in 2026 but declined to quantify yield benefit, calling it premature.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
RCL Royal Caribbean Group922%2 of 9 questions
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings50%none of 5 questions
  • RCL
    Royal Caribbean Group · 9 questions
    22%2 of 9 questions
  • NCLH
    Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q430%none of 3 questions2
2025 Q1250%1 of 2 questions1
2025 Q220%none of 2 questions1
2025 Q3250%1 of 2 questions2
2025 Q410%none of 1 question1
2026 Q120%none of 2 questions2
2026 Q220%none of 2 questions2
  1. 2024 Q43 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  2. 2025 Q12 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 1 company
  3. 2025 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
  4. 2025 Q32 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q41 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  6. 2026 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  7. 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand6
  • Capex Investment4
  • Revenue Growth4
  • Macroeconomic3
  • Competitive Dynamics3
  • Product Launch2
  • Capital Allocation2
  • Guidance Reliability1
  • Pricing1
  • Geographic Expansion1