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Analyst
Andrew Didora
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).
- Questions
- 35on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 11%4 of 35 questions
- Companies
- 7questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 8with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 35 of 35 questions from 7 companies
DALDelta Air Lines15 questions · 8 reporting periods · 2 of 15 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
why CASM-ex just kind of continues to deviate from that low single digit target as we end the year here?
Show response
Erik named three drivers (operational investment, capacity discipline, revenue-related costs) but did not quantify them as asked.
How should we think about capacity and that type of I am sorry. How should we think about CASM that type of environment?
Show response
Erik committed to capacity discipline and managing for margin but gave no CASM figure for a higher-fuel scenario.
Calendar 2026 Q2
should we be expecting a better sequential improvement internationally because of that dynamic
Show response
Joe confirmed sequential international improvement due to the longer booking curve and detailed Transatlantic, Pacific, and Latin trends.
Calendar 2026 Q1
I think you've been highlighting some of these pilot recovery issues certainly lingering here into 2Q. I guess how do you fix that?
Show response
Dan acknowledged the pilot recovery issues will take time to work through the summer. Intensive summer operations with weather will highlight the challenges, but they expect to make progress through the summer and into the back half.
We would think this pass-through should continue to accelerate in that scenario. Is that a fair way to think about it?
Show response
Ed confirmed the goal is full fuel recapture. Given the magnitude of the snap-up, it will take more than one quarter but the recapture percentage should increase materially into summer.
Calendar 2025 Q4
When you look at the drivers of this free cash flow generation year in, year out, much of this comes from these ancillary businesses versus the core airline?
Show response
Dan confirmed loyalty and premium have an outsized impact on free cash flow given their margin profiles. MRO and cargo are too small to move the needle materially relative to the core airline.
Any step up in CapEx coming over the next few years, maybe particularly because of the new Boeing order from this morning?
Show response
Ed said CapEx will remain disciplined around the ~$5B range. Emphasized the most tangible shareholder return is free cash flow generation, and delevering creates more return opportunities. No plans for a growth spurt.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Obviously, RASM down 7% in 3Q. I know you spoke about a step function change happening here, but I doubt you're expecting to get back to flat in 4Q. But maybe could you speak to how Atlantic perfor...
Show response
Glen candidly acknowledged the Transatlantic underperformance was partly self-inflicted from holding out for higher fares, partly the spring booking window coinciding with tariff fears, and partly the structural seasonal shift. Plans for 2026: earlier main cabin booking, flatter summer capacity.
curious if you'd be willing to rank your geographies by margin performance thus far in 2025 and, you know, maybe how you expect that change, if at all, heading into 4Q in 2026
Show response
Glen declined to rank beyond domestic vs. international, noting the two have converged. Said they will compete domestically and internationally against each other for higher returns in 2026.
Calendar 2025 Q2
how should we think about the deployment of future cash flow, particularly in respects to a buyback here?
Show response
Ed confirmed $1B buyback shelf filed but priority remains debt repayment. Expects to exercise buyback over the three-year shelf life. Recently announced 25% dividend increase.
you mentioned on TV this morning that you see the consumer pullback starting to wane here. What are the biggest data points that you see driving it today? And can you potentially, you know, quantif...
Show response
Ed cited improving consumer confidence from spring lows, strong wealth accumulation by core $100K+ household cohort, and market recovery. Glen added Delta had its highest July cash sales day in its 100-year history yesterday.
Calendar 2025 Q1
in a recessionary environment, can you maybe talk to maybe how the different demand cohorts have performed maybe Corporate Premium, Main Cabin
Show response
Glen noted premium is at its highest-ever share of revenue and has proved more resilient, with no cracks visible yet. Lower-end main cabin is where challenges concentrate.
when we look at the 2Q schedules, are those set right now? Should we expect any changes there? And then second, just on the back half cuts
Show response
Glen confirmed Q2 largely intact with trimming starting in August concentrated in Southeast where schools return earlier, not waiting for Labor Day.
Calendar 2024 Q4
the domestic schedule is showing kind of high single-digit growth in 2Q. I guess, obviously, relatively high to the 3% to 4% full-year outlook
Show response
Glen provided capacity shape: Q1 ~4.5-5%, Q2 schedules not yet finalized and will come in a couple points, June-August lowest growth, more off-peak growth later.
How should we think about your growth across the Atlantic this year? Will it be system average above or below
Show response
Glen confirmed transatlantic capacity slightly above system average, with schedules largely in place and only minor tweaks expected.
UALUnited Airlines Holdings9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 9 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
As we think about modeling your free cash flow the next few years, what year do you see as sort of peak CapEx
Show response
Leskinen anchored on free-cash-flow conversion targets rather than a specific peak-CapEx year; direct on framework.
Calendar 2026 Q1
you had stepped it up this time last year in all the market volatility, but 1Q this year, very similar to the last few quarters. Just curious your thoughts
Show response
Mike said balancing buyback opportunism with investment-grade commitment. Proud of unsecured offerings in Q1. Committed to investment grade in all scenarios.
Just diving into cost a little bit more on the maintenance side. Just trying to think about how this kind of trends
Show response
Mike confirmed CASM-ex moves inversely with capacity cuts. Sooner flights are cut, more costs variabilize. United has unique opportunities to fight maintenance cost expansion through gauge and global procurement.
Calendar 2025 Q3
How should we read into this decline in the ATL? Does this speak to just the strong pricing that you're seeing?
Show response
Andrew confirmed strong ATL reflects booking momentum, booked slightly ahead into Q4. Business traffic at all-time highs in recent weeks.
why did you grow so much in Latin America in 3Q when it seems like the RASM performance certainly didn't warrant it
Show response
Andrew acknowledged disappointment. Expects elevated competitive capacity in Mexico/Central America for ~2 more quarters. Non-core non-Houston flying will be removed. Houston franchise to hold ground.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Any kind of color you can provide on what you're seeing there? Any specific geographies or industry verticals driving this?
Show response
Andrew emphasized broad-based business recovery across all hubs and verticals, with non-New York business almost as strong as the New York rebound.
Why do we not see more of this capacity, call it, discipline more in the first half of the year or in other off-peak periods?
Show response
Andrew explained leisure/spill carriers naturally push utilization harder in peak summer to offset low off-peak usage, then cut when margins deteriorate.
Calendar 2025 Q1
you mentioned the cost performance in your prepared remarks, really impressive here in 1Q. You know, I would imagine it's hard to do much better than that going forward
Show response
Mike acknowledged Q1 benefited from maintenance timing but expects meaningfully better full-year CASM-ex than January expectations.
Calendar 2024 Q4
can you help frame the growth opportunity over the next few years, as these investments come online
Show response
Andrew signaled loyalty revenue growth targeting above 12% in 2025, with Kinective Media intending to double media sales next year.
LUVSouthwest Airlines5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Can you help us with some of the inputs that underpin that particularly kind of CASM in 4Q?
Show response
Tom gives directional color on fuel-curve mechanics and fleet-transaction timing but declines a firm 4Q CASM figure.
Calendar 2025 Q4
if you could give us any color on kind of how you're thinking about load factor, particularly here into 1Q. Obviously, you're coming off a pretty low base last year
Show response
Andrew redirected to revenue maximization philosophy including ancillary calculus. Bob emphasized no victory lap, corporate headcount will be down again in 2026, and the company is pressing harder on costs and efficiency after the first corporate layoff proved the company can move faster with more agility.
Calendar 2025 Q3
your fuel guidance on -- in this environment was a little bit surprising. I know it's been volatile, but also West Coast crack spreads have been high
Show response
Tom disclosed ~30% West Coast and ~50% Gulf Coast fuel exposure. Bob emphasized sustainable cost discipline as the best insurance against fuel, macro, or shutdown uncertainty, fuel efficiency improvements, back-office automation, and broad operational efficiency programs across every department.
Calendar 2025 Q2
how did you get comfortable with these new targets, particularly in a much more difficult macro and at a time when you're going through a pretty significant brand revamp
Show response
Tom framed the new framework as balancing strength and efficiency within investment grade guardrails. The initiatives create incremental free cash flow that enables capital returns. Emphasized the framework provides investor transparency on capital allocation guardrails during the transformation.
Calendar 2025 Q1
any color you can provide on how you think about liquidity targets right now in this environment, just how we should think about minimum cash right now
Show response
Tom confirmed ~$4B cash target with the paydowns and remaining $1.5B buyback bringing them right to that mark. Highlighted $16B+ in unencumbered aircraft assets and laser focus on initiative-driven incremental EBIT as the source of future optionality.
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
how do you think about your deployment strategy next year as it relates to just your overall booking strategy?
Show response
CFO said no broad strategic changes, only a marginal one-to-two point shift between quarters.
Calendar 2025 Q3
how long do you think it takes to change that the way you describe it the brand familiarity with families
Show response
Sommer estimated Regent is already repositioned, Oceania about two-thirds along, and NCL should reach target by mid-2026.
RCLRoyal Caribbean Group2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
how do you think of rolling in new hedges in this high fuel environment
Show response
Naftali outlined methodical hedging approach across multiple years. On costs, management emphasized maintaining spread between yield and cost growth, leveraging technology and supply chain efficiencies without impacting guest experience.
Calendar 2025 Q3
I just wanted to touch on the bond deal quickly to finance the Celebrity Xcel. Obviously, not a usual way to finance a ship, but certainly makes sense given the rate differential
Show response
Naftali explained the unsecured market offered lower cost and longer tenure (10-year vs 6-year average ECA). Fitch upgraded to BBB and S&P moved outlook to positive. All future ship deliveries will maintain committed ECA financing as backstop with option to tap unsecured market.
CCLCarnival1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
embedded in your 3Q net yield guidance, should we be factoring in flat year over year occupancy
Show response
Management guided to roughly flat Q3 occupancy, below the original expectation of a modest gain, given the circumstances.
Show 1 more company
HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
I guess what kind of receivables balance you kind of anticipate growing to over. Through that time frame?
Show response
The answer described the retained-origination structure and fee streams but gave no receivables balance target, redirecting to a separate HDFS investor call.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| DAL Delta Air Lines | 15 | 13%2 of 15 questions |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings | 9 | 11%1 of 9 questions |
| LUV Southwest Airlines | 5 | 20%1 of 5 questions |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Group | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| CCL Carnival | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- DALDelta Air Lines · 15 questions13%2 of 15 questions
- UALUnited Airlines Holdings · 9 questions11%1 of 9 questions
- LUVSouthwest Airlines · 5 questions20%1 of 5 questions
- NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- RCLRoyal Caribbean Group · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- CCLCarnival · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc. · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q1 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q2 | 5 | 20%1 of 5 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q3 | 7 | 29%2 of 7 questions | 5 |
| 2025 Q4 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2026 Q1 | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions | 4 |
| 2026 Q2 | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions | 5 |
| 2026 Q3 | 2 | 50%1 of 2 questions | 1 |
- 2024 Q43 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q14 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q25 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q37 questions · challenge rate 29% (2 of 7 questions) · 5 companies
- 2025 Q43 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2026 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
- 2026 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
- 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 50% (1 of 2 questions) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand11
- Cost Pressure10
- Margin9
- Capital Allocation9
- Geographic Expansion5
- Competitive Dynamics5
- Pricing3
- Guidance Reliability2
- Revenue Growth2
- Capex Investment2
Show all 15 topics
- Credit2
- Macroeconomic2
- Supply Chain2
- Labor Market1
- Subscriber Growth1