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Analyst

Blayne Curtis

Jefferies · covers Technology

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters).

Questions
75on tracked calls
Challenge rate
8%6 of 75 questions
Companies
16questioned at least once
Reporting periods
9with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 75 of 75 questions from 16 companies

MCHPMicrochip Technology15 questions · 8 reporting periods · 2 of 15 challenging
MCHP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Is there any way to think about what pricing was as a tailwind in September?

Show response

Steve said the September pricing impact is small because increases take effect late in the quarter and customers pulled orders forward; the full effect lands in December.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I am curious how to think about OpEx for the fiscal year.

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Eric said OpEx rises ~$15M sequentially at the guidance midpoint as quarterly employee bonus programs return in the upcycle, but plans can be modulated each quarter.

is that the kind of growth you are seeing? And is there any headwind still in that segment that are going down?

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Eric and Brian declined to give data center percentages but cited huge YoY growth in the Data Center Solutions unit and strong digital power-control demand.

Calendar 2025 Q4

the other product revenue was up 18% sequentially. I think you said in the filing, was a license sale

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Steve highlighted memory strength as serial EEPROM competitors shift capacity to flash/NAND. Microchip gaining share with internally produced EEPROM. FPGA strong from A&D and industrial. Eric clarified licensing benefit won't repeat in March but still guiding 6.2% growth.

you are guiding kind of flat. I think if you calculate the inventory write-offs, like, five percentage points of a headwind

ChallengingMarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Eric explained the 100% gross margin licensing revenue not repeating in March is a headwind that offsets expected inventory reserve decline. Despite this, midpoint guidance shows improvement from 60.5% to 61%.

Calendar 2025 Q3

is that the right way to kind of add back that 4%, 5% headwind to the 58% that you just guided to

Show response

Steve confirmed the framework: as charges decline, gross margin improves dollar for dollar. Product gross margin at 67.4% is ahead of long-term 65% target. Eric noted inventory reserves never go to zero and there will eventually be a benefit from selling through previously written-off inventory.

I thought that the inventory charges were supposed to go away pretty sharply into the end of the fiscal year

ChallengingInventoryMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Steve explained charges persist because year-over-year sales have been negative, keeping the trailing 18-month sales comparator low. Starting December quarter, YoY growth turns positive, which should accelerate write-off reductions. The weak December quarter delayed progress.

Calendar 2025 Q2

You talked about lead times extending from 48%, 6% to 10%, 8% to 12%. Is that now or is that where you expect it to go

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Steve clarified lead time extensions are already occurring in pockets where lead frames, substrates, or subcontractor capacity are constrained. He urged customers to maintain 12-16 weeks of backlog.

Is the -- when you look at how you set the guide. Is it the level of turns you're looking for in the quarter the same? Or is it different

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Steve confirmed September backlog started higher than June and turns requirement is roughly the same, supporting confidence in guidance.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I'm just kind of curious your perspective if you think that's the right move or the wrong move

Trade TariffsCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Steve explained the China-for-China strategy needs rework because rules changed from assembly-based to fab-based origin. Communicating to Trump administration that rules incentivize moving out of U.S.

when things normalize, do you expect to get back to where you were pre-pandemic

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Steve argued competitors are closer to full recovery so Microchip should be gaining share from here. Expressed confidence in share gains.

Calendar 2024 Q4

can you walk us through the gross margin a bit? Because I think it stepped down more

Show response

Steve highlighted 53% trough gross margin is still above many competitors. Deferred detailed inventory depletion modeling to March 3 investor call.

when you said the company can outgrow the market, is that going to be a work in progress

Revenue GrowthInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Steve cited megatrend design wins outpacing non-megatrend and noted customer engineers are back to new designs after two years focused on shortage mitigation.

Calendar 2024 Q3

it sounded like last quarter you were hopeful of some green shoots. You said they were uneven

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Ganesh identified A&D and AI data center as consistent areas of strength while noting December quarter headwinds from holidays and extended customer shutdowns.

on OpEx over the next couple of quarters here. I had thought that you had some pay cuts that would kind of come back in

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Eric confirmed salary restoration adding ~$8M sequentially and expects further increase in March from full-quarter effect.

ONON Semiconductor9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 9 challenging
ON company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you mentioned lead times were extending. I was wondering if you could kind of give us a context of what that means.

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Thad quantified lead times extending from ~27 to ~32 weeks with orders inside lead time and escalations, signaling a healthy demand environment.

Calendar 2025 Q4

you're walking away from $90 million a quarter over two quarters. Is that a positive or a negative for gross margin?

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Trent said exits are neutral to gross margin today since business is near corporate average. Exiting because of margin pressure and pricing pressure ahead. No headwind to utilization.

Thoughts about growth in that segment for '26.

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

El-Khoury bullish on AI DC but not guiding specifically. Trent added Q1 AI DC revenue expected to grow high teens percentage-wise, indicating trajectory.

Calendar 2025 Q3

is there a way to think about as we try to layer on that growth, how it impacts those two buckets?

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Trent clarified AI data center inside four walls is in Other. Energy storage and infrastructure supporting data centers is in Industrial.

how you're thinking about this guide, which is down 1%. Do you feel like that is a more normal range for you? Or do you think you're undershipping the market?

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Trent said Q4 guide is in line with normal seasonality. Auto and industrial both down low single digits. Other bucket up mid-to-high single digits. Seasonal patterns are positive sign.

Calendar 2025 Q2

it kind of came in the high end of the range in June, kind of what's your expectation for [ disti ] in the September guide?

Show response

Trent expects disti inventory to stay around 10 weeks, within 9-11 week sweet spot. No material change expected.

I thought you said the 5% was the end-of-life products, and that's what you've been saying for a while. So maybe you could just walk me through

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

El-Khoury said ISG shifting from volume human-vision to high-value machine vision for ADAS. Trent clarified $50-100M ISG exit is inclusive of 5% total, not incremental.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I'm just kind of curious if you can just talk about March demand by geography and auto?

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

El-Khoury said all regions expected down, with Q4 growth driven by China. Recovery depends on consumer confidence after Chinese New Year vehicle inventory clears.

how much of that is in terms of the guidance for March, are you planning on some of that delta coming out in March

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Trent clarified exit would happen gradually over multiple quarters, market-dependent. Would keep the business if margins remain healthy.

ALABAstera Labs, Inc. Common Stock7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
ALAB company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you could talk about the drivers within Aries, and then as you look to kind of the next generations of AI servers

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management credited Gen 5 durability plus Gen 6 higher attach at 64 Gbps and new inference use cases, and expects the retimer cycle to continue into Gen 7.

Calendar 2026 Q1

in terms of the Scorpio ramp, I know last quarter you talked about it being 20% of revenue.

Revenue GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO said Scorpio becomes the largest product line by year-end with high-radix configs layering in the second half and X exceeding P.

Calendar 2025 Q4

one of the biggest debates still is the acceptance of UA Link for these next-gen designs.

Competitive DynamicsProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Management cited AWS and AMD public UA Link endorsements for 2027 and framed NVLink Fusion revenue as comparable to a switch opportunity.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you give us a little bit more color as to what drove the beat and what changed during the quarter?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO attributed the beat to breadth across all three product lines and successful customer deployments versus conservative guidance.

Calendar 2025 Q2

as you look to September, you have $15 million of growth, how to think about areas for Scorpio

Revenue GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CFO said P-Series volume launched ahead of plan and continues to grow, with X-Series high-volume in 2026, exceeding 10% of revenue for the year.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Can you walk us through the progression of scale up in your participation and kind of can you maybe set some timing?

Product LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Management framed scale-up as a rich near-term Aries/Scorpio X opportunity dovetailing into a multibillion-dollar UALink opportunity.

Calendar 2024 Q4

as Scorpio ramps, how that mix shifts and what the impacts are shape of gross margins for this year

MarginProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CFO gave a clear margin path, ~74% in H1 trending toward the 70% long-term model depending on hardware mix.

LRCXLam Research7 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
LRCX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I'm kind of just curious what you're seeing like for like pricing, in the industry and you.

Show response

Explicitly refused the like-for-like pricing question and redirected to the general gross margin driver list.

in terms of just your CapEx plans and in terms of adding this back-end capacity

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Gave a specific CapEx intensity range and emphasised lab investment and footprint densification over raw capacity adds.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I wanted to just understand the strength in Reliant, you know, with China down. Is that multinational?

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Tim confirmed Reliant strength came from both multinational and China customers. On NAND shape, Doug said it's probably a little bit second-half weighted.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Maybe I had it wrong. I was you didn't really answer last quarter, but I thought the strength that you highlighted for September was going to be multinational spending in China.

ChallengingDemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Doug clarified that September China strength was driven by domestic Chinese customers while multinationals stayed relatively steady quarter-over-quarter.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Obviously, AI is super strong. I think there's a lot of concerns about maybe some inventory in the HPM side.

Show response

Tim cited only 7% of DRAM bits being HBM in 2025 as evidence of a long runway, with Akara conductor etch winning in an expanding DRAM market.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Just kind of curious your conversation with customers. I mean, there's some sense people think, hey. They'll pull in ahead of tariffs.

Trade TariffsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Tim said customers are not rethinking plans given the short timeframe since tariff announcements, with most investments being multiyear technology-driven commitments.

Calendar 2024 Q3

Just kind of curious the timing that you'll see those upgrades.

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Management framed the NAND upgrade tailwind as a 2025 story without pinning timing within the year, pending better visibility early next year.

AVGOBroadcom Inc.6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
AVGO company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

has any XPUs decided to use your Singapore capacity? And how does that fit into that supply picture you put together?

Supply ChainCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Hock confirmed the Singapore substrate fab deploys starting fiscal 2027 and addresses a key supply bottleneck, but the answer was brief.

Calendar 2026 Q2

I think there is a lot of concern about share within that customer.

Competitive DynamicsCloud & AITranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Hock affirmed a very substantial dollar commitment and conceded some source diversity at Google, but gave no specific value.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Just clarification, Hock, on the greater than $100 billion. I think you said AI chips. I just want to make sure you're clarifying the difference between the ASICs and networking

Guidance ReliabilityCloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Hock confirmed >$100B refers to silicon content, XPUs, switch chips, DSPs, in 2027.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I just wanted to with the follow-on order as well as the fifth customer, can you just maybe describe how you're gonna deliver those? Is it an XPU, or is it a rack?

Competitive DynamicsInnovation & R&DCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Hock confirmed customer four (Anthropic) is a full system sale including Broadcom's networking components, certified final system, not chip-only.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I'm just kind of curious your visibility or the timing in terms of when you might be shipping a switched Ethernet scale-up network to your customers?

Competitive DynamicsCloud & AIInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Hock said scale-up is rapidly standardizing on Ethernet for Broadcom's hyperscale customers.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I thought I heard you say that AI networking revenue was 76% of networking. I just couldn't get that math right

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Hock confirmed both XPUs and networking were growing, with networking stronger in H2 FY2024 and new 3nm XPUs ramping in H2 FY2025.

COHRCoherent, Inc.5 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
COHR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Can you just talk about where you are seeing the demand, how broad that is?

DemandProduct LaunchRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Jim said OCS applications are widening from scale-out to scale-up, which led Coherent to double its TAM to over $4 billion, with demand stronger than 6-12 months ago.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I just want to better understand the tailwinds. You called out 6-inch as being the biggest driver

MarginInnovation & R&DProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Anderson confirmed more of the 6-inch benefit is ahead, and that 1.6T is also beneficial to gross margin as new data rates typically carry better margins early in lifecycle.

I wanted to ask about scale-across just becoming a big talking point. You called it out in the comm business

Revenue GrowthDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Anderson described broad-based demand across pump lasers, ZR/ZR+ transceivers, line cards, amplifiers, and systems, with LTAs in place. Multi-rail expected to layer on top starting first half calendar 2027.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Is there a way to think about how much that is still capacity constrained? And is there anything beyond EMLs that is constrained

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jim confirmed EMLs are primary constraint. Significant improvement Q1 to Q2 with still some constraint. InP supply expected to improve sequentially throughout next calendar year from both internal and external sources.

you're doubling capacity, but it takes time to get your lasers in and qualified. So -- is there a way to think about the timing?

Capex InvestmentSupply ChainTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jim clarified all InP is for internal consumption, not sold externally. Qualification for line expansion is straightforward once initial production qualified. Customers motivated to accelerate qualification.

Show 10 more companies
MRVLMarvell Technology5 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
MRVL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I wanted to ask about specifically the CXL opportunity alongside accelerators. How real is that opportunity

Innovation & R&DDemandTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Murphy confirmed CXL is a real and growing opportunity, with XPU-attach on track to exceed $1B; noted memory architecture concerns driving additional CXL adoption beyond original forecasts.

Calendar 2026 Q1

is that custom business growing 30% this year? I just want to figure out the base that you're going to double. And can you talk about that second major XPU customer

Cloud & AIRevenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Murphy clarified FY2027 custom growth is above the 20% prior guide but not significantly enough to give a new number. Confidence in second XPU customer driven by product milestone visibility, detailed manufacturing plan alignment, and capacity corridor reserved for FY2028 that is materially higher than indicated. Called the plug very reasonable with significant upward bias.

Calendar 2025 Q4

you did file an 8-K and it says you graded Amazon a warrant for 1 million shares to buy photonic fabric

Cloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Murphy confirmed AWS warrant extension adds photonic fabric as new product category alongside AI custom and networking. Highlighted $2 billion earnout target through end of FY2029 and strong AWS support in acquisition press release.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I'm curious if that's still the right level. And when you look at these next generations, I'm glad you're involved with all those

Show response

Murphy confirmed custom gross margins in expected range. Higher-IP products outside XPU carry higher margins. Meintjes emphasized all programs driving accretive operating margin with significant leverage.

Calendar 2024 Q4

You've talked in the past, I think, about getting back to maybe $2 billion-plus run rate

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Confirmed $2B run rate goal with recovery accelerating faster than expected. Combined enterprise/carrier grew 4% in Q3, guided mid-teens in Q4 vs prior expectation of double-digits. Carrier growth driven by new base station L2 processor socket. Still shipping below end market consumption.

KLACKLA Corporation4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
KLAC company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

from a supply chain perspective, how long would it take to Prep for a $300 billion WFP market? And can you just talk

Supply ChainCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

CEO named optical components as the gating item and gave a concrete 12 to 24 month capacity lead time, plus 2029-and-beyond supplier agreements.

just talking about visibility, I know you do not give RPO anymore. I am just kind of curious if there is a way you

Guidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Disclosed a specific backlog figure ahead of the 10-Q and tied it to the second-half and 2027 outlook.

Calendar 2025 Q3

was that always the plan to have DRAM up this much? Or have things been pulled in?

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Bren confirmed increased urgency from DRAM customers on timing driven by HBM pricing dynamics, with all top 3 customers expected to increase investment. Rick added memory may now be the component in shortest supply after packaging was addressed.

Calendar 2024 Q3

a low single-digit growth, it just seems low. So, I'm just kind of curious, one, I think your numbers

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Higgins clarified KLA has not issued a 2025 WFE forecast, only updated its 2024 WFE view to the high-$90 billion range from the mid-90s.

AMATApplied Materials3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
AMAT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

I want to ask on NAND. It doubled in the quarter, obviously off small base.

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Brice confirmed strong percentage NAND growth off a small base this year, but said NAND will be a slower grower in the out year versus logic, DRAM and packaging.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I think you said 54% for systems, I mean, it had kind of popped up to that level

Show response

Brice confirmed modest overall gross margin improvement driven by an increasingly valuable product portfolio, tempered by customer mix headwinds as China share declines.

I'm just kind of curious on OpEx, obviously, you're seeing a bigger growth path. So I would expect you to ramp up OpEx

Cost PressureInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Brice highlighted controlled Q1 OpEx with ~6% sequential growth in Q2 as they fund EPIC-related projects, but committed to growing spending more slowly than revenue.

AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 2 of 3 challenging
AMD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

do you think that the older products will stay around longer?

Supply ChainCompetitive DynamicsInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Lisa explained Turin crossed 50% of revenue, Genoa still strong but Milan declining. Customers prefer newer products for performance, cost, and power efficiency.

I was a little surprised that SG&A is kind of outpacing R&D. I was just kind of curious

ChallengingCost PressureCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jean confirmed R&D will grow faster than SG&A for the full year. Lisa added that SG&A investments in enterprise servers, commercial PCs, and mid-market are paying off with share gains.

Calendar 2024 Q4

it seems for your commentary kind of the sequential growth kind of slows for the next kind of three quarters. So I just want to understand the why.

ChallengingRevenue GrowthCloud & AITranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Lisa Su framed the 1H pause as a product transition, with MI350 driving the re-acceleration; said training is the next priority beyond AMD's strong inference position, with ASIC discussions ongoing.

ADIAnalog Devices2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
ADI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

curious how to frame the opportunity for ATE, and I don't know if you're willing to break out how big that was.

Revenue GrowthCloud & AITranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Jeff Ambrosi said ATE plus data center is 20% of ADI with strong multiyear tailwind, but declined to break out the ATE dollar figure.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I actually kind of wanted to ask about the plans outsourced versus in-source. So obviously, pre-pandemic, you're leaning more towards external

Supply ChainCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Vince explained 2x+ internal capacity expansion focused on 180nm+ nodes for industrial/auto, with external foundry partnerships for finer nodes, and new 300mm capacity at TSMC Japan.

CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
CRDO company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

I just wanted to ask about the timing on 1.6T SerDes, but also just the design traction

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Bill framed AECs as part of the pluggable transceiver market and set 1.6T timing: some 2H FY27 contribution, larger in FY28; no specific figures.

Calendar 2026 Q2

maybe just speak to some of the lumpiness that you have seen in the past

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

CFO gave the Q4 mix (34%/27%/16%/10%), said this quarter's variability was not huge, and reiterated expectations for increasing diversification in FY27.

INTCIntel Corporation2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
INTC company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

When you say yields are in a good spot and improving, is there a way to think about where those 18A yields are versus the successful product that you've seen in your history

MarginInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Dave said 18A yields adequate for supply but not yet accretive to cost structure, needs all of 2026 to reach margin-accretive levels. 14A off to even better start than 18A at same maturity point in terms of performance and yield.

I had 2. Just on the CapEx, I think you reiterated $18 billion, but I think you spent, I guess, less than I was modeling in Q3. So is that really still the number?

Capex InvestmentInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Dave confirmed $18B with small error bar. 18A not at peak supply until end of decade, a long-lived node with continued investment over time. No significant near-term capacity increases expected.

NXPINXP Semiconductors2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
NXPI company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

is the cyclical tailwind slowing? And I guess maybe you can look at the different markets and if you feel differently about them

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Rafael acknowledged Industrial and IoT was above robust seasonality, auto slightly better. Sees elements of a soft up cycle from inventory normalization and company-specific drivers. Slightly more optimistic than last quarter.

it might be a record. I'm just kind of curious the drivers behind that

Show response

Rafael attributed mobile strength to seasonal moves (Q3+Q4 together) and customer-specific strength in secure wallet and custom analog.

SNDKSandisk Corporation2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
SNDK company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Any perspective on where high bandwidth flash fits into that?

Innovation & R&DCloud & AITranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Goeckeler clarified HBF is not a substitute for enterprise SSDs but a way to bring more to inference differently. Tiering architecture from a quarter ago is being deployed.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how you're gonna handle OpEx. You know, I think the percentage of revenue is now in half

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CFO confirmed 75% of OpEx is R&D, current OpEx levels are sustainable, with tax rate expected to hover around 14-15% on an ongoing basis as Malaysian loss carryforwards are consumed.

TXNTexas Instruments1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
TXN company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

Is this now the way to think about it? You'll keep it flat until you see a more robust recovery in the top line

Show response

Rafael confirmed flat to down inventory target at $4.8B with very low obsolescence risk. Comfortable with levels but focused on sustainability of capital allocation.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
MCHP Microchip Technology1513%2 of 15 questions
ON ON Semiconductor911%1 of 9 questions
ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock70%none of 7 questions
LRCX Lam Research714%1 of 7 questions
AVGO Broadcom Inc.60%none of 6 questions
COHR Coherent, Inc.50%none of 5 questions
MRVL Marvell Technology50%none of 5 questions
KLAC KLA Corporation40%none of 4 questions
AMAT Applied Materials30%none of 3 questions
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.367%2 of 3 questions
  • MCHP
    Microchip Technology · 15 questions
    13%2 of 15 questions
  • ON
    ON Semiconductor · 9 questions
    11%1 of 9 questions
  • ALAB
    Astera Labs, Inc. Common Stock · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • LRCX
    Lam Research · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions
  • AVGO
    Broadcom Inc. · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • COHR
    Coherent, Inc. · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • MRVL
    Marvell Technology · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • KLAC
    KLA Corporation · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • AMAT
    Applied Materials · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • AMD
    Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. · 3 questions
    67%2 of 3 questions
Show all 16 companies
CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
ADI Analog Devices2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
INTC Intel Corporation2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
NXPI NXP Semiconductors2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
SNDK Sandisk Corporation2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
TXN Texas Instruments1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • ADI
    Analog Devices · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • CRDO
    Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • INTC
    Intel Corporation · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • NXPI
    NXP Semiconductors · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • SNDK
    Sandisk Corporation · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • TXN
    Texas Instruments · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q340%none of 4 questions3
2024 Q4813%1 of 8 questions6
2025 Q140%none of 4 questions3
2025 Q2911%1 of 9 questions7
2025 Q31414%2 of 14 questions9
2025 Q4911%1 of 9 questions7
2026 Q1128%1 of 12 questions8
2026 Q2110%none of 11 questions9
2026 Q340%none of 4 questions4
  1. 2024 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2024 Q48 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 6 companies
  3. 2025 Q14 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  4. 2025 Q29 questions · challenge rate 11% (1 of 9 questions) · 7 companies
  5. 2025 Q314 questions · challenge rate 14% (2 of 14 questions) · 9 companies
  6. 2025 Q49 questions · challenge rate 11% (1 of 9 questions) · 7 companies
  7. 2026 Q112 questions · challenge rate 8% (1 of 12 questions) · 8 companies
  8. 2026 Q211 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 11 questions) · 9 companies
  9. 2026 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand29
  • Revenue Growth24
  • Margin15
  • Cloud & AI15
  • Competitive Dynamics13
  • Innovation & R&D10
  • Product Launch9
  • Capex Investment9
  • Supply Chain8
  • Cost Pressure6
Show all 17 topics
  • Guidance Reliability5
  • Inventory4
  • Pricing2
  • Regulation Policy2
  • Trade Tariffs2
  • Capital Allocation1
  • Geographic Expansion1