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Analyst

David Paz

Wolfe Research · covers Utilities

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
28on tracked calls
Challenge rate
0%none of 28 questions
Companies
9questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 28 of 28 questions from 9 companies

PPLPPL Corporation8 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
PPL company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

On the newbuild cost range you gave, I may have missed the exact range. Can you remind me what that is? And then more importantly, can you tell me what you're seeing now in the market?

Show response

Sorgi confirmed PPL building at ~$2,200/kW on existing sites in KY. Pure greenfield elsewhere can reach $2,500+. Existing infrastructure provides economies of scale.

What was the reason that didn't make the cut here on the deal given the tax credits and OBB, it seems -- was it cost related?

Regulation PolicyCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Sorgi explained battery was traded for Mill Creek 2 life extension in settlement negotiations. Filed without prejudice so can refile if load materializes, more a deferral than cancellation.

on the '25 guide, can you explain it might be a little nuance. But what you're saying now sizing at least at least midpoint versus, I think, before, you had upper half

Guidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Bergstein clarified no change: 'at least midpoint' has always been the 2025 language; 'upper half' refers to long-term 6-8% growth rate through 2028.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how should we think about the earned return on that socialized cost? Is that just to formulate rate?

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Sorgi confirmed socialized grid upgrades earn the FERC formula rate ROE of approximately 10%.

once you hit 1 or 2 announcements all essentially prompt others to follow suit shortly thereafter. Is that still kind of the mindset

Show response

Sorgi clarified the snowball effect comment was more Kentucky-specific; PA already has massive interest (50-60GW) driven by speed-to-market, land, water, and transmission capacity.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Do you have a rough estimate of what the dollar per kilowatt is? Are they a ballpark or Mill Creek fives

Show response

Vince deferred to CPCN filing but indicated costs similar to Mill Creek 5.

what are what are you embedding for Kentucky and Pennsylvania in your long-term outlook

Regulation PolicyMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Joe declined specific ROE assumptions but confirmed reasonable estimates with some regulatory lag expected between rate cases.

When you said expect to be linear, is that fair to say each year you expect to be on the upper half of that range

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Joe and Vince clarified: 7% in 2025 (last stay-out year), then upper half once normal rate case cycle resumes.

AEEAmeren7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
AEE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

Do you anticipate the remaining 1.2 gigawatts of construction agreements to begin ramping in your current period by 2030

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management confirmed some sales growth from the remaining 1.2 GW could occur within the five-year period after ESA conversion and data center construction, but ramp rates are confidential.

What about the one gigawatt of wind in your plan by year-end 2030? I think at least in your IRP you have all the permits there, zoning. Any issues with that

Innovation & R&DCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management indicated wind timing is adjustable within the portfolio mix, with solar potentially substituting for wind in the five-year period while maintaining long-term interest in wind resources.

would you view any generation spend in your five-year period to be additive to the $32 billion, or as you get incremental opportunities would you displace CapEx

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management expects incremental generation spend to be additive to the $32 billion plan, with costs for large-load generation borne by those customers through Senate Bill 4 tariff.

Calendar 2025 Q3

if you can elaborate on the regulatory and political engagement you have there and then touch on how those conversations might look in Illinois

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Lyons acknowledged community concerns around water, noise, and rates, but emphasized the tariff is designed per SB4 to ensure data center customers pay fair cost of service.

how should we think of the $5 billion increase in your 10-year capital plan pipeline as we sit here today, is that back-end loaded?

Show response

Moehn said the increase reflects multiple drivers: generation firming (back-end loaded), grid reliability, and technology investments. More detail coming in February.

Calendar 2025 Q1

as you stand today, do you see your EPS growth in the second half of your planning period towards that upper end of 6% to 8%

Show response

Lyons reaffirmed upper-end growth expectation in back half of plan, citing Q1 progress on data centers, SB4, rate settlement, and financings.

Calendar 2024 Q4

do you see any specific headwinds that puts you below the midpoint, say, next year in 2026 before that sales growth kicks in?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Lyons pushed back directly, saying no specific headwinds exist for 2026, clarifying his earlier comments were about timing of acceleration not underperformance.

DUKDuke Energy3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
DUK company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

Did you say that you could still reach the top half of 5% to 7% in 2028? Reflecting just the minimum takes.

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Harry confirmed top-half growth achievable on minimum takes alone. Existing tariffs protect signed ESAs from any future large-load tariff changes in North Carolina.

Calendar 2025 Q3

that's durable into the 30s at that same level off of the, I guess, '27. Is that the way to think about it?

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Harry confirmed top-half growth is expected to be durable into the 2030s as economic development projects come online and system investment continues.

could you remind me what is the advanced pipeline -- sorry, the pipeline look like for large-load?

Show response

Harry declined to quantify advanced-stage pipeline specifics but said Duke's is as big or bigger than any peer. Focus is on converting prospects into signed ESAs from credible counterparties.

AEPAmerican Electric Power2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
AEP company page →

Calendar 2025 Q1

are you seeing any delays? Is there a specific shaping that you may have talked about previously that's playing out in terms of just back end loaded

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Fehrman confirmed 23% commercial growth target remains on track. Load additions are steady, supported by take-or-pay contracts with firm payment terms.

will this change any type of schedule of deployment for the remaining one gig?

Innovation & R&DRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Two Ohio projects (100MW) will proceed as planned. Remaining 900MW is optional and being marketed to customers in other states. No obligation to purchase.

DDominion Energy2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
D company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

on your assumption for earned returns in your outlook. Are you projecting any lag over the period

Regulation PolicyMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ridge detailed DEV earning near allowed returns via riders but disclosed South Carolina under-earning of 100-200 basis points during rate case cycles. Declined to share specific assumptions.

Does any of that include any incremental spend on your interest in summer [ 2 or 3 ]

Show response

Ridge definitively confirmed Dominion is not participating in V.C. Summer and no capital in the plan is related to it.

EIXEdison International2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
EIX company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

should we anticipate that being spread out over the '29 to '32 GRC or upfront

Show response

CFO confirmed post-2028 spending timing to be determined with next GRC filing. Will clearly delineate rate base vs non-rate base components when available.

do you anticipate backfilling that roughly? I think it's $2 billion -- $2.3 billion of CapEx

Capex InvestmentRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO clarified $500-700M of SB 254 capital in current CapEx plan but excluded from rate base. Remainder to be spent after 2029 in next GRC cycle.

Show 3 more companies
ESEversource Energy2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
ES company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

just switching gears to your parent and other drag. Is it fair to say that the first half of this year is a good indicator or a good run rate

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

John said the parent segment is roughly flat year over year and a reasonable steady-state model, with taxes the main swing factor.

I just wanted to confirm on equity. So your now with Aquarium done and everything and all the orders you got in place

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

John confirmed the $800M-$1.1B equity range through 2030 excludes any FERC refund beyond the booked 15-month amount, and no further 2026 equity issuances.

ETREntergy1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
ETR company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

what level of flexibility do you have in the equipment delivery period

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CEO expressed strong confidence in turbine utilization timeline. Customers want faster delivery if possible. If ESAs aren't signed before payment milestones, reimbursement agreements from customers expected.

PCGPG&E Corporation1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
PCG company page →

Calendar 2025 Q1

Can you just remind me please on any IRA related items in your outlook such as any transferability assumptions

Show response

CFO confirmed limited direct IRA exposure, no utility-owned solar or storage under construction. Some PPA exposure from solar and battery projects under development.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
PPL PPL Corporation80%none of 8 questions
AEE Ameren70%none of 7 questions
DUK Duke Energy30%none of 3 questions
AEP American Electric Power2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
D Dominion Energy2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
EIX Edison International2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
ES Eversource Energy2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
ETR Entergy1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
PCG PG&E Corporation1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • PPL
    PPL Corporation · 8 questions
    0%none of 8 questions
  • AEE
    Ameren · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • DUK
    Duke Energy · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • AEP
    American Electric Power · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • D
    Dominion Energy · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • EIX
    Edison International · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • ES
    Eversource Energy · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • ETR
    Entergy · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • PCG
    PG&E Corporation · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q460%none of 6 questions3
2025 Q160%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q230%none of 3 questions1
2025 Q360%none of 6 questions3
2025 Q420%none of 2 questions2
2026 Q130%none of 3 questions1
2026 Q220%none of 2 questions1
  1. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  3. 2025 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 1 company
  4. 2025 Q36 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q42 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  6. 2026 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 1 company
  7. 2026 Q22 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Capex Investment10
  • Demand8
  • Revenue Growth7
  • Regulation Policy7
  • Guidance Reliability4
  • Capital Allocation3
  • Innovation & R&D2
  • Cloud & AI2
  • Margin2
  • Credit1
Show all 11 topics
  • Supply Chain1