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Analyst

Jason Seidl

TD Cowen · covers Industrials

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
34on tracked calls
Challenge rate
3%1 of 34 questions
Companies
7questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 34 of 34 questions from 7 companies

NSCNorfolk Southern Railway7 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
NSC company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

We've reached kind of the anniversary date of the announced merger, and I know there was a lot of share shift

Competitive DynamicsM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Mark George acknowledged early share losses being lapped and growth offsetting them in other areas.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I wanted to know where you stood with your discussions with customers on that

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ed cited constrained truck driver supply, demand firming, and high diesel prices making intermodal a compelling value proposition. Strong service product supports the outlook.

Is this a one-off? Or do you see, if this gets approved, replicating this in other regions?

Revenue GrowthInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ed confirmed the Jaguar partnership is part of a larger growth strategy focused on innovative deal structures. Plans to replicate in other high-density corridors.

Calendar 2025 Q4

do you guys still think that there's going to be a little bit of bleed of freight to some of that competitive environment that exists in the marketplace

Competitive DynamicsCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CEO confirmed approximately 1% revenue headwind from lapping September competitive losses, with potential for more in enhanced competitive environment. CMO highlighted new Louisville and Air, Massachusetts services as counteroffensives. CFO attributed CapEx reduction to asset efficiency and network fluidity gains enabling less equipment spending.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I wanted to focus a little bit sort of on your agility going forward to manage costs

Cost PressureMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO detailed cost levers across taxis, meals, overtime, IT efficiency, consultant controls, and administrative streamlining including prior year 9% headquarters RIF.

How should we think about head count overall as we sort of head into these uncertain times

Show response

CEO and CFO confirmed headcount expected flat vs Q4 exit, with controlled hiring at 83 locations matched to attrition and volume trends. Would trim faster if top-line pressures materialize.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Wanted to focus a little bit on the intermodal performance and the Merchandise trip plan compliance

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

COO acknowledged seasonal dip from hurricane and port disruptions but highlighted V-shaped recoveries and strong customer communication. CMO praised snap-back resilience.

ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line7 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 7 challenging
ODFL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

your competitors in their call talked about looking at the use of autonomous trucks for some of the linehaul operations

Innovation & R&DCompetitive DynamicsCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Direct answer framing autonomous linehaul as a standard return-on-investment question, noting dual-use tractors weaken the economics and citing regulatory hurdles.

Calendar 2026 Q1

can you help us frame up the impact in 1Q for both fuel as well as weather, so we could figure out sort of where in the range we might want to be?

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Adam gave detailed fuel indifference explanation, pointing to Q4-to-Q1 comparison showing bill count consistent, fuel up 10%, profitability consistent. Suggested Q1-Q2 2022 as comparison period.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how should we think about driver pay and dock order pay as we move throughout the year if some of your cautious optimism comes true

Labor MarketCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Marty confirmed employees are top stakeholder priority. Healthy raises continue. Benefits cost headwind expected, benefits at ~41% of salaries/wages in 2026 vs 42% in Q4. Discretionary 401(k) match up to 10% of net income. September remains typical timing for annual raises.

Calendar 2025 Q3

you guys obviously announced a GRI recently, it was 4.9%, I believe, equal to prior year. But the market feels like it's weaker this time around

ChallengingPricingDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Marty said no pushback on GRI. Applies to 25% of business (non-contract tariff). Contract business (~75%) renewed on rolling basis throughout the year. Cost-based approach accepted by customers.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I think you guys mentioned you expect losses on asset sales. Did I catch that correct?

Capital AllocationDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Selling 10-year-old million-mile day cabs with low resale value, unlike younger truckload equipment. Miscellaneous expenses at 90bp vs normal 50bp. No material tariff pull-forward feedback from customers.

Calendar 2025 Q1

you mentioned a little that you're seeing a little bit of a pull forward. I was wondering if you could put some numbers behind that

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Adam couldn't confirm pull-forward quantitatively but noted 4.8% sequential March acceleration was strongest since early 2022. Equipment CapEx $190M (was $225M), total CapEx includes $210M real estate and $50M IT.

Calendar 2024 Q4

you guys talked about tonnage being down 7.1% here in January, but, you know, it's obviously been all over the news about the really bad winter weather

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Marty acknowledged weather impact but said most revenue comes back within days. Gave optimistic tone noting warm weather returning.

CSXCSX Corporation6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
CSX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you mentioned sort of your spot Intermodal business. Maybe you could remind us the percent of the total that is?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Maryclare said spot intermodal is a small portion of the domestic book but has accelerated, and noted SMX/CPKC growth week over week with added lanes expected to drive further growth into next year.

Calendar 2026 Q1

What else is sort of on track for the remainder of the year that will help productivity and obviously push margins?

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Mike highlighted cross-functional productivity: engineering efficiency, intermodal terminal expansion at Fairburn, network streamlining in Chicago.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how long do natural gas prices have to stay elevated until we see a flow through on the volume side

Show response

Mary Claire said power demand and nat gas prices support domestic utility coal volumes. Watching whether scheduled plant closures get delayed and how much can be supported by producers. Expressed optimism on domestic utility opportunity.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you talk a little bit about the marketing agreement with the BNSF sort of how we should think about the build as you move through 2026

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Kevin confirmed data centers as a key driver of coal demand alongside a more favorable political and regulatory environment for utilities. On intermodal partnerships, said initiatives started last year are now materializing with more in the pipeline.

Calendar 2025 Q2

How should we think about sort of trip plan compliance for 3Q, given that you had a rough start to 2Q

Supply ChainRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Mike confirmed expectation to exceed prior TPC levels, especially after project completions. Joe said July TPC encouraging in heavy vacation period. STB had zero customer complaints about Q1 challenges.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if you take a look at the international trade, the booking numbers are down pretty drastically. So there could be a shift coming your way soon

Show response

Kevin said bidding season largely complete with limited pricing upside for remainder of year. Stronger domestic mix vs international would be RPU positive. Lots of moving parts being managed.

UNPUnion Pacific Corporation6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
UNP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

How much ability do you have to take on additional freight without sort of adding much in the way of head count

Capex InvestmentLabor MarketTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Gehringer emphasized using latent capacity in existing train starts first and adding people in a volume-variable way.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I wanted to sort of dive deeper into your commentary on business development

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Kenny detailed 20 new construction projects closed in Q1 with a strong pipeline, mostly carload-focused with emphasis on expanding customer origins and destinations.

Calendar 2025 Q3

How should we think about your ability to sort of directionally change domestic intermodal yields if sort of the market starts to inflect on the truckload side

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Jennifer confirmed market-based domestic intermodal pricing gives direct uplift when trucks improve. On ag, export RPU varies by length of haul with PNW routes favorable but Mexico routes slowing cycle times. Kenny noted structural network transformation with new services and ramps.

Calendar 2025 Q2

can you talk about sort of the market that's out there for the rail industry in terms of how much business you think is available to access

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Kenny noted the strong service product enables exploring new interline opportunities, while Jim emphasized customer focus and efficient network operations.

Calendar 2025 Q1

You guys did a pretty good job of managing sort of salaries, wages, and benefits per employee in one Q. Wondering how we should think about that line item

Labor MarketCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Jennifer maintained the 4% full-year cost per employee guidance despite Q1 only being up 2%, citing upcoming July wage increase and Smart-TD conductor negotiations.

Calendar 2024 Q4

if we do get that tariff on February 1, sort of what are the expectations on volume

Trade TariffsDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management emphasized preparedness and franchise diversification rather than giving specific volume impact estimates, noting origins may shift but demand persists.

FDXFedEx4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
FDX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

we've just had 2 good industrial index numbers for the first time in forever. And I'm assuming that as you come to the

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

John Smith deferred detailed outlook to Freight Investor Day on April 8, where long-term targets for revenue, profit, and operational metrics will be shared. Highlighted safety focus, revenue quality, and strong internal/external leadership team.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Wanted to just parse out between sort of B2B and consumer. It sounded like a lot of the pressure was on the B2B side still

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Carere confirmed no B2B improvement. May consumer strength was largely from pipeline onboarding rather than confirmed pull-forward. Subramaniam emphasized operating leverage visible even with B2C-driven growth.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I was wondering is that due to sort of maybe shifts in the weather pushing some freight from quarter-to-quarter

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Dietrich cited expanded sales force, improved service, and back-office focus as drivers of LTL confidence. Carere noted USPS service challenges and pricing are helping FedEx from an acquisition perspective.

Calendar 2024 Q4

How long are these agreements for? And also, what about anything on the bundle side between the two companies?

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Brie clarified that while most small customers are bundled, the majority of Freight volume is on independently negotiated contracts renegotiated annually, reducing separation risk.

JBHTJ.B. Hunt2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
JBHT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

have you seen any impacts from, at least early on, from the Montgomery decision

Regulation PolicyCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Nick said more carriers migrated to JBHT's platform with no added risk exposure; Brad Hicks tied record dedicated pipeline partly to the ruling.

Calendar 2024 Q4

that was $700 million to $900 million, that implies either 4% growth or over 30% growth

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

John Kuhlow explained $600M-$700M is replacement CapEx, with the range driven by DCS growth success. Wider range reflects early-year uncertainty on Dedicated wins.

Show 1 more company
UPSUnited Parcel Service2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
UPS company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

Can you maybe give us some more color on that? In terms of how much of your network is going to be equipped with that by the end of the year and sort of how we think about that helping margins over...

Innovation & R&DCompetitive DynamicsCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Nando confirmed USPS Groundsaver network operational by end of January 2026. Density matching algorithms expanded to 500 feet proximity in some cases, down to 100 feet or exact address match. Dual labeling enables packages to be read through both UPS and USPS networks. Carol highlighted DDU access as new capability not available a year ago that ensures high service levels.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what does that do to volumes when your customers are drawing down inventories? And number two, how long do you think they have

DemandSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Carol noted larger retailers have 30-60-90 day inventory buffer while smaller retailers have less. 95% of international customers maintaining current business models.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
NSC Norfolk Southern Railway70%none of 7 questions
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line714%1 of 7 questions
CSX CSX Corporation60%none of 6 questions
UNP Union Pacific Corporation60%none of 6 questions
FDX FedEx40%none of 4 questions
JBHT J.B. Hunt2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
UPS United Parcel Service2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • NSC
    Norfolk Southern Railway · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • ODFL
    Old Dominion Freight Line · 7 questions
    14%1 of 7 questions
  • CSX
    CSX Corporation · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • UNP
    Union Pacific Corporation · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • FDX
    FedEx · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • JBHT
    J.B. Hunt · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • UPS
    United Parcel Service · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q450%none of 5 questions5
2025 Q170%none of 7 questions6
2025 Q240%none of 4 questions4
2025 Q3333%1 of 3 questions3
2025 Q440%none of 4 questions4
2026 Q160%none of 6 questions5
2026 Q250%none of 5 questions5
  1. 2024 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  2. 2025 Q17 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 6 companies
  3. 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q33 questions · challenge rate 33% (1 of 3 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  6. 2026 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 5 companies
  7. 2026 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand16
  • Competitive Dynamics14
  • Cost Pressure6
  • Capex Investment5
  • Revenue Growth5
  • Labor Market4
  • Pricing4
  • Innovation & R&D3
  • Regulation Policy2
  • Margin2
Show all 15 topics
  • Supply Chain2
  • Capital Allocation2
  • Macroeconomic2
  • M&A1
  • Trade Tariffs1