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Analyst
Jeff Kauffman
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).
- Questions
- 24on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 4%1 of 24 questions
- Companies
- 8questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 7with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 24 of 24 questions from 8 companies
PCARPaccar7 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
we have been speaking with some trucking companies that have said even now they still cannot really put in orders for Freightliners or Internationals
Show response
Feight confirmed PACCAR providing pricing clarity while some competitors cannot yet. Expects advantage to drive market share and margin through 2026.
How much of this do you feel is increased confidence in the environment versus maybe just increased clarity on what is going on with EPA
Show response
Feight attributed order strength to both: tariff/regulatory clarity plus improving freight fundamentals. Truckload carrier profitability still early.
Calendar 2025 Q3
in terms of the rebate amount, how is that going to compare when you're at full speed versus what you're costing out on the tariffs
Show response
Feight confirmed 232 will reduce tariff costs but declined to quantify net impact. Benefits shared across customers, suppliers, and PACCAR.
Calendar 2025 Q2
with the passage of the one big beautiful bill act and the R&D and CapEx, Depreciation acceleration
Show response
Feight confirmed customers engaging on bonus depreciation benefits. Poplawski added $300-400M cash tax benefit for PACCAR itself.
Calendar 2025 Q1
over 70% of the product in America is moved by trucks, is still going to be moved by trucks in the next three to five years
Show response
Feight emphasized structural demand: trucks move 70%+ of US freight, are wear-out items, and PACCAR expects share growth from best-in-class products.
Calendar 2024 Q4
are there other rulings that have been discussed, that would be risk worth thinking about in terms of its impact to PACCAR
Show response
Feight reframed risks as opportunities, highlighting local-for-local production as strong protection against tariffs.
The change in revenue per truck was down about 4.9. I think you mentioned that was price
Show response
Schippers confirmed roughly half of revenue per truck decline from FX, remainder from regional mix toward Europe/other markets.
CSXCSX Corporation4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
can you tell me about cash priorities for 2026? Are there projects that you have not been able to get to that are at the top of the list
Show response
Sean confirmed no major construction projects planned for 2026, promising continued capital discipline focused on safety, reliability, and returns. Reiterated consistent approach of opportunistic share repurchases and annual dividend review.
Calendar 2025 Q2
does that capture everything, the reroute miles, the lost revenue, the extra crews, the extra time
Show response
Sean confirmed $10M/month is all-in reroute cost with minimal lost revenue. Total 2025 impact $120-125M goes away in 2026 plus operational benefits from reopened routes.
Calendar 2025 Q1
if you were to try to put some circles around buckets of preship or some tariff accelerated related business you may have seen
Show response
Kevin estimated a couple of points of international intermodal growth from tariff pull-forward. Noted limited ability to truly pre-ship given manufacturing and shipping lead times.
Calendar 2024 Q4
can we try and quantify the savings on the other side
Show response
Sean said combined cost savings and initial growth opportunity will fully recover the roughly $100 million 2025 expense within a couple of years, with additional capacity beyond initial recovery.
UNPUnion Pacific Corporation4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
the volume environment feels pretty good. Some of this, as you mentioned, is customers can't find truck capacity
Show response
Rocker credited business wins and a strong service product beyond truck-capacity conversions, plus petrochemicals strength.
Calendar 2025 Q2
have you looked at the One Big Beautiful Bill and assessed how that might impact the opportunities and cash flow at the company
Show response
Jennifer quantified the bonus depreciation benefit at $250-300M incremental annual cash flow, plus continued investment tax credits and R&D credits.
Calendar 2025 Q1
what's different today than it was, say, three months ago when you gave us guidance that's kind of been a legitimate surprise
Show response
Jim identified tariffs as the main surprise, but noted carloads remain up across most categories and no consumer impact has materialized yet.
Calendar 2024 Q4
What elements of your traffic mix either have maybe a Canadian end to it that we might not see as obviously
Show response
Kenny emphasized the franchise's ability to serve multiple entry/exit points for the same commodities, avoiding specifics on vulnerable lanes.
CHRWC.H. Robinson3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
What pivots do you think are necessary from where you are today to accommodate the types of growing environment
Show response
Dave reiterated the grow-share-plus-expand-margins strategy and said the company is still in early innings but gave no specific operational pivots.
Calendar 2025 Q2
What new opportunities are you seeing for the company that maybe weren't as visible 6 to 9 months ago
Show response
Management emphasized agentic AI as next frontier. CFO noted technology improvements drive both productivity and market outgrowth, not just margin expansion.
Calendar 2025 Q1
can you kind of talk through some of the scenario planning that you've done or the scenario you see and how that could potentially affect the forwarding division
Show response
Management highlighted diversification from Trans-Pacific (35% to 25% of GF volume) and increased customs activity. Customers leaning on Robinson for supply chain scenario planning.
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
I was just wondering if you could give us a little bit more color on weight per shipment
Show response
Adam explained weight improvement is more widgets per pallet, industrial freight is heavier than retail, currently around 1,490-1,500 lbs vs 1,600 lbs in strong markets, with potential for positive revenue per shipment spread.
Calendar 2025 Q4
I was just kind of curious what you're seeing on the equipment side in terms of quoting activity from the OEs in the wake of some of the tariff changes?
Show response
Adam acknowledged ongoing equipment cost inflation, per unit price significantly higher than 10 years ago. 10-year tractor lifecycle means replacement costs compound. But cost per shipment inflation managed to 3.5-4% average over 10 years through efficiency gains and technology. Team leverages business process improvements to offset inflationary pressures.
Calendar 2025 Q3
kind of where is it a little weaker to drive the tonnage down the way it is and kind of which buckets are performing a little bit better
Show response
Retail down ~4%, industrial slightly worse. 3PL business (~1/3 of revenue) under some pressure from mode consolidation and dynamic pricing by competitors. Weight per shipment down 2.3% indicating weaker orders.
CMICummins1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q1
was currency translation a good guy, a bad guy? Can you give us an idea of magnitude?
Show response
Smith confirmed near-neutral FX impact (<$10M) due to natural hedges and derivatives. Power Systems ASP driven by mix shift toward larger data center gen sets.
Show 2 more companies
FDXFedEx1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
You still have about $450 million of that to go and two quarters to do it. Can you give us an idea of kind of how that's gonna weigh
Show response
Dietrich confirmed overwhelming majority of remaining non-GAAP costs relate to Freight separation, with smaller portions from fiscal year calendar change and ongoing business optimization.
UPSUnited Parcel Service1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
If we look out 3 to 5 years, where do you think capital spend should settle?
Show response
Dykes gave a specific run-rate as a percentage of revenue; Tome confirmed it is structurally lower because the network build-out is complete.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| PCAR Paccar | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions |
| CSX CSX Corporation | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| UNP Union Pacific Corporation | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions |
| CHRW C.H. Robinson | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| CMI Cummins | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| FDX FedEx | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| UPS United Parcel Service | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- PCARPaccar · 7 questions0%none of 7 questions
- CSXCSX Corporation · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- UNPUnion Pacific Corporation · 4 questions25%1 of 4 questions
- CHRWC.H. Robinson · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- CMICummins · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- FDXFedEx · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- UPSUnited Parcel Service · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q1 | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions | 5 |
| 2025 Q2 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 4 |
| 2025 Q3 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q4 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 3 |
| 2026 Q1 | 1 | 0%none of 1 question | 1 |
| 2026 Q2 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 3 |
- 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
- 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
- 2025 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
- 2026 Q11 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
- 2026 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand9
- Trade Tariffs7
- Competitive Dynamics5
- Capital Allocation4
- Capex Investment4
- Regulation Policy4
- Cost Pressure3
- Pricing3
- Margin2
- Fx2
Show all 14 topics
- Macroeconomic2
- Revenue Growth1
- Innovation & R&D1
- Supply Chain1