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Analyst

Jeff Kauffman

Citizens JMP Securities · covers Industrials

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
24on tracked calls
Challenge rate
4%1 of 24 questions
Companies
8questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 24 of 24 questions from 8 companies

PCARPaccar7 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
PCAR company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

we have been speaking with some trucking companies that have said even now they still cannot really put in orders for Freightliners or Internationals

Competitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Feight confirmed PACCAR providing pricing clarity while some competitors cannot yet. Expects advantage to drive market share and margin through 2026.

How much of this do you feel is increased confidence in the environment versus maybe just increased clarity on what is going on with EPA

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Feight attributed order strength to both: tariff/regulatory clarity plus improving freight fundamentals. Truckload carrier profitability still early.

Calendar 2025 Q3

in terms of the rebate amount, how is that going to compare when you're at full speed versus what you're costing out on the tariffs

Trade TariffsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Feight confirmed 232 will reduce tariff costs but declined to quantify net impact. Benefits shared across customers, suppliers, and PACCAR.

Calendar 2025 Q2

with the passage of the one big beautiful bill act and the R&D and CapEx, Depreciation acceleration

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Feight confirmed customers engaging on bonus depreciation benefits. Poplawski added $300-400M cash tax benefit for PACCAR itself.

Calendar 2025 Q1

over 70% of the product in America is moved by trucks, is still going to be moved by trucks in the next three to five years

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Feight emphasized structural demand: trucks move 70%+ of US freight, are wear-out items, and PACCAR expects share growth from best-in-class products.

Calendar 2024 Q4

are there other rulings that have been discussed, that would be risk worth thinking about in terms of its impact to PACCAR

Regulation PolicyTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Feight reframed risks as opportunities, highlighting local-for-local production as strong protection against tariffs.

The change in revenue per truck was down about 4.9. I think you mentioned that was price

Show response

Schippers confirmed roughly half of revenue per truck decline from FX, remainder from regional mix toward Europe/other markets.

CSXCSX Corporation4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
CSX company page →

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you tell me about cash priorities for 2026? Are there projects that you have not been able to get to that are at the top of the list

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Sean confirmed no major construction projects planned for 2026, promising continued capital discipline focused on safety, reliability, and returns. Reiterated consistent approach of opportunistic share repurchases and annual dividend review.

Calendar 2025 Q2

does that capture everything, the reroute miles, the lost revenue, the extra crews, the extra time

Capex InvestmentCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Sean confirmed $10M/month is all-in reroute cost with minimal lost revenue. Total 2025 impact $120-125M goes away in 2026 plus operational benefits from reopened routes.

Calendar 2025 Q1

if you were to try to put some circles around buckets of preship or some tariff accelerated related business you may have seen

Trade TariffsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Kevin estimated a couple of points of international intermodal growth from tariff pull-forward. Noted limited ability to truly pre-ship given manufacturing and shipping lead times.

Calendar 2024 Q4

can we try and quantify the savings on the other side

Capex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Sean said combined cost savings and initial growth opportunity will fully recover the roughly $100 million 2025 expense within a couple of years, with additional capacity beyond initial recovery.

UNPUnion Pacific Corporation4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
UNP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

the volume environment feels pretty good. Some of this, as you mentioned, is customers can't find truck capacity

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Rocker credited business wins and a strong service product beyond truck-capacity conversions, plus petrochemicals strength.

Calendar 2025 Q2

have you looked at the One Big Beautiful Bill and assessed how that might impact the opportunities and cash flow at the company

Regulation PolicyCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jennifer quantified the bonus depreciation benefit at $250-300M incremental annual cash flow, plus continued investment tax credits and R&D credits.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what's different today than it was, say, three months ago when you gave us guidance that's kind of been a legitimate surprise

MacroeconomicTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Jim identified tariffs as the main surprise, but noted carloads remain up across most categories and no consumer impact has materialized yet.

Calendar 2024 Q4

What elements of your traffic mix either have maybe a Canadian end to it that we might not see as obviously

ChallengingTrade TariffsDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Kenny emphasized the franchise's ability to serve multiple entry/exit points for the same commodities, avoiding specifics on vulnerable lanes.

CHRWC.H. Robinson3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
CHRW company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

What pivots do you think are necessary from where you are today to accommodate the types of growing environment

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Dave reiterated the grow-share-plus-expand-margins strategy and said the company is still in early innings but gave no specific operational pivots.

Calendar 2025 Q2

What new opportunities are you seeing for the company that maybe weren't as visible 6 to 9 months ago

Innovation & R&DCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Management emphasized agentic AI as next frontier. CFO noted technology improvements drive both productivity and market outgrowth, not just margin expansion.

Calendar 2025 Q1

can you kind of talk through some of the scenario planning that you've done or the scenario you see and how that could potentially affect the forwarding division

Trade TariffsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Management highlighted diversification from Trans-Pacific (35% to 25% of GF volume) and increased customs activity. Customers leaning on Robinson for supply chain scenario planning.

ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
ODFL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

I was just wondering if you could give us a little bit more color on weight per shipment

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Adam explained weight improvement is more widgets per pallet, industrial freight is heavier than retail, currently around 1,490-1,500 lbs vs 1,600 lbs in strong markets, with potential for positive revenue per shipment spread.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I was just kind of curious what you're seeing on the equipment side in terms of quoting activity from the OEs in the wake of some of the tariff changes?

Cost PressureTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Adam acknowledged ongoing equipment cost inflation, per unit price significantly higher than 10 years ago. 10-year tractor lifecycle means replacement costs compound. But cost per shipment inflation managed to 3.5-4% average over 10 years through efficiency gains and technology. Team leverages business process improvements to offset inflationary pressures.

Calendar 2025 Q3

kind of where is it a little weaker to drive the tonnage down the way it is and kind of which buckets are performing a little bit better

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Retail down ~4%, industrial slightly worse. 3PL business (~1/3 of revenue) under some pressure from mode consolidation and dynamic pricing by competitors. Weight per shipment down 2.3% indicating weaker orders.

CMICummins1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
CMI company page →

Calendar 2025 Q1

was currency translation a good guy, a bad guy? Can you give us an idea of magnitude?

Show response

Smith confirmed near-neutral FX impact (<$10M) due to natural hedges and derivatives. Power Systems ASP driven by mix shift toward larger data center gen sets.

Show 2 more companies
FDXFedEx1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
FDX company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

You still have about $450 million of that to go and two quarters to do it. Can you give us an idea of kind of how that's gonna weigh

Cost PressureCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Dietrich confirmed overwhelming majority of remaining non-GAAP costs relate to Freight separation, with smaller portions from fiscal year calendar change and ongoing business optimization.

UPSUnited Parcel Service1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
UPS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

If we look out 3 to 5 years, where do you think capital spend should settle?

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Dykes gave a specific run-rate as a percentage of revenue; Tome confirmed it is structurally lower because the network build-out is complete.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
PCAR Paccar70%none of 7 questions
CSX CSX Corporation40%none of 4 questions
UNP Union Pacific Corporation425%1 of 4 questions
CHRW C.H. Robinson30%none of 3 questions
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line30%none of 3 questions
CMI Cummins1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
FDX FedEx1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
UPS United Parcel Service1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • PCAR
    Paccar · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • CSX
    CSX Corporation · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • UNP
    Union Pacific Corporation · 4 questions
    25%1 of 4 questions
  • CHRW
    C.H. Robinson · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • ODFL
    Old Dominion Freight Line · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • CMI
    Cummins · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • FDX
    FedEx · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • UPS
    United Parcel Service · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q4425%1 of 4 questions3
2025 Q150%none of 5 questions5
2025 Q240%none of 4 questions4
2025 Q330%none of 3 questions3
2025 Q440%none of 4 questions3
2026 Q110%none of 1 question1
2026 Q230%none of 3 questions3
  1. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 25% (1 of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 5 companies
  3. 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  6. 2026 Q11 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  7. 2026 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand9
  • Trade Tariffs7
  • Competitive Dynamics5
  • Capital Allocation4
  • Capex Investment4
  • Regulation Policy4
  • Cost Pressure3
  • Pricing3
  • Margin2
  • Fx2
Show all 14 topics
  • Macroeconomic2
  • Revenue Growth1
  • Innovation & R&D1
  • Supply Chain1