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Analyst

Jim Salera

Stephens · covers Consumer Defensive, Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).

Questions
39on tracked calls
Challenge rate
8%3 of 39 questions
Companies
5questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 39 of 39 questions from 5 companies

HSYHershey Company (The)13 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 13 challenging
HSY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Can you just give us some color on where your brands sit on the price ladder relative to peers in that category?

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Salera asked where Hershey's salty brands sit on the price ladder amid category price cuts; Kirk cited a disciplined, competitive premium position. Direct.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I just wonder if there might be a concern of some overlap, if somebody stocked up on Hershey

ChallengingDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Kirk dismissed cannibalization concern, citing portfolio breadth with different brands for each occasion. Customers are key collaborators. Good cadence between events.

I'm wondering if you can offer some detail around the retail execution, given there's a much higher frequency

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Kirk described demand creation paired with retail execution. Customers supportive of activations that bring more retail theater and shopper engagement to stores.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Are you able to quantify how much of an incremental uplift we should see from kind of that more filled calendar

Revenue GrowthCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Kirk didn't quantify specifically but noted uplift reflected in top-line guidance. Olympics first tentpole starting this weekend. Brands expected by consumers at major cultural moments. Always-on approach with salty and sweet brands together.

the overall percentage of your portfolio that is exposed to SNAP dollars and maybe how you're thinking about those changes in 2026

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Kirk noted 12 states approved for SNAP waivers, only 2 implemented so far. Early data noisy with winter storms complicating. Proactively working with customers and consumers. Manageable headwind factored into outlook.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Can you just walk us through what are kind of the driving factors there

Revenue GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Kirk cited permissible/premium positioning across portfolio. SkinnyPop refresh, Dot's pretzel leadership, Pirate's Booty opportunity in $4.5B puffs category. Multipack expansion and cross-portfolio innovation.

any commentary you could provide on innovation and to the extent that you can maybe point us in a direction for 4Q

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Kirk confirmed innovation pipeline across all three brands: Dot's, SkinnyPop, and Pirate's Booty. Momentum continuing into 2026 with exciting launches planned.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you just speak to what you're seeing there that's allowing you to deliver kind of above category trends

Revenue GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Michele cited permissible positioning, continued household penetration upside, new marketing (Jennifer Aniston, SkinnyPop), exclusive flavors, PPA expansion, and Reese's filled pretzels cross-portfolio innovation.

Are you able to leverage some of the innovations that you have and kind of package that together in sort of kind of an innovation-centric multipack offering

Product LaunchCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Michele confirmed cross-portfolio multipacks in market with consumer insight work to optimize combinations. Significant upside ahead in multipack distribution.

Calendar 2025 Q1

are you able to quantify what percentage of your sales are purchased with SNAP dollars

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Michele noted only 2% of SNAP purchases are candy, below soda, salty snacks, desserts. HSY ahead on ingredient changes: already removed propylparaben and Red Dye No. 3. Sweets portfolio most exposed to additive rules.

do you get a sense that when they're putting together the planograms that they kind of have an eye towards maybe favoring products

Regulation PolicyCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Michele acknowledged possible planogram benefit but noted retailers always focus on velocity and productivity first.

Calendar 2024 Q4

is that often incremental space that you didn't have before or is it kind of swapping pieces of the chocolate for sweets

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Michele confirmed sweets expansion is incremental distribution opportunity given HSY's underdeveloped position, also benefiting seasonal portfolio.

can you maybe talk about innovation on the non-chocolate portion of the portfolio and how that'll play into some of the advertising efforts

Product LaunchInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Michele outlined strong sweets pipeline: JR Freeze Dried launch, Sour Strips distribution expansion, plus unannounced innovation later in year.

DRIDarden Restaurants11 questions · 7 reporting periods · 2 of 11 challenging
DRI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

The low single-digit guidance for commodity inflation for beef seems pretty favorable

ChallengingCost PressureGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Raj separated Darden's supply-chain outperformance from external factors and said beef is tracking in line with the low-single-digit plan. Direct.

Calendar 2026 Q2

You have implied flat to modestly positive traffic in 2027. We've seen a sustained period of negative traffic

ChallengingDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Raj said the baseline assumes a flat industry and Darden relies on superior execution to keep taking share.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how much of that is incremental frequency from existing guests

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Raj confirmed roughly 60-65% from increased frequency, 35-40% from new guests. Both contributing to traffic growth.

Are you seeing consumers who forego buying beef at the grocery store then showing up at LongHorn

DemandCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Rick noted consumers prefer restaurant steak when home prices are high to avoid risk of ruining an expensive cut. LongHorn's below-$50k cohort growing, possibly related.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Is there any way for us to maybe match that up with the outperformance in fine dining

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Rick attributed LongHorn success to years of strategy execution. Below $50k consumers growing at LongHorn possibly due to grocery/restaurant beef price disparity. Fine dining trends improving but not yet at 'feel great' level.

if you could give us the comp components for Olive Garden breaking out particularly mix and traffic

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Raj provided OG breakdown: traffic 1.7% + catering 1.1% = 2.8%, pricing 2.6%, some negative mix offset by Uber fees. Higher income growth, pullback below $50k.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Is that something that we could see maybe in a more limited fashion at LongHorn as well

Innovation & R&DPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rick confirmed lighter portions is an OG-focused test for now. Other brands may learn from OG and implement if it makes sense for them.

I was hoping you could give us a breakdown on LongHorn, just the comp split between traffic and ticket

Revenue GrowthPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Raj provided LongHorn breakdown and pricing outlook: Q2 pricing 100bp below inflation at Darden level, gap expected to narrow through year. Gap cut in half by Q3, narrower by Q4.

Calendar 2025 Q2

any comments you can offer on promotional cadence

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Rick declined to detail FY2026 plans for competitive reasons but noted OG can react to any environment. Marketing testing at Cheddar's with connected TV having good impact.

Can you give the breakout of traffic and ticket of Olive Garden for the quarter

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Raj broke down OG: pricing 2.7%, catering +70bp, Uber fees +40bp, positive mix ~1%, underlying traffic ~2% (closer to 3% adjusting for catering). BOTO not margin-dilutive.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you just kind of parse out which driving, the continued strengths there, maybe relative to some of the other trends we've seen in casual

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Rick attributed success to years of food quality and execution investments, resulting in record steaks grilled correctly scores.

CPBCampbell Soup Company9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
CPB company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

what we should expect on pricing given some of the competitive dynamics you just highlighted. Is there still opportunity for modest net price realization in the back half of the year?

Show response

CFO confirmed positive net price realization continues in H2 but moderating due to broth and Rao's investments. CEO guided M&B consumption approximately -1% to 0% in H2, down from strong Q2 holiday period. Rao's Q2 consumption of 14.5% was disproportionately holiday-driven; full-year high single digits still expected.

Calendar 2025 Q4

has Goldfish lost households or have you seen consumption frequency step back among existing households

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed Goldfish household penetration stable with buy rate as the issue. Outlined four-pronged recovery strategy: brand messaging/awareness, innovation (including Goldfish pretzel), price-pack architecture for value at key moments, and omnichannel execution. Cited back-to-school multipack success as proof point.

Calendar 2025 Q3

your brands' household penetrations are kind of flat to slightly increasing in certain areas. That would obviously imply that the volume pressure is more from either a frequency or a mix

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CEO acknowledged buy rate softness as the issue, outlined brand support and innovation to lift frequency. Cited price-pack architecture (Goldfish multi-packs for back-to-school), distribution expansion, and Rao's continued household penetration growth as specific buy-rate catalysts.

Can you just give us any thoughts around, you mentioned choppiness with Rao's, any particular quarter we should think about

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CFO guided Q1 FY2026 Rao's will lap strong pro forma growth from Q1 FY2025 with promotional shifts from Q1 into Q2. H2 will lap the SAP-driven Q3 timing benefit and Q4 reversal, creating more favorable YoY comparisons.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Are you guys able to shift more production to Alma, or do you guys have any sense of what the capacity is there

Trade TariffsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO outlined mitigation levers: strategic inventory management, supplier partnership with La Regina, alternative sourcing, and product cost optimization. Did not specifically address Alma capacity.

what percentage of your portfolio do you kind of view as being under this, you know, better-for-you, splurge-worthy umbrella

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CEO framed it as surgical evolution rather than portfolio reset. Highlighted chips already in better-for-you (Kettle, Cape Cod, Late July), pretzel dual-brand strategy working, and M&B premium/mainstream mix well-positioned.

Calendar 2025 Q1

could you maybe walk us through what you're assuming for the consumer recovery in the back half of the year

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO outlined Q3 similar to Q2 environment, stabilization expected by Q4. Goldfish focus on three pillars: promotional support, marketing/messaging, innovation launches, and price-pack architecture for proper entry price points.

Calendar 2024 Q4

are there any learnings that you can take from Rao's to apply to other parts of the portfolio where maybe you could have a premium or better-for-you

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO emphasized true quality differentiation as the key lesson, noting application to other premium brands in occasions like holiday entertaining where quality points of difference are clear.

is the industry just taking kind of, let's say, a more tactical approach on promo and just being less broad-based than in the past

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed promotional environment remains constructive with no deep discounting. Noted volume on promo moving up but expects stabilization as snacking categories begin to cycle.

CELHCelsius Holdings, Inc.4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
CELH company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I think the decline in core brand CELSIUS in 2Q/3Q is probably greater than expectations.

Revenue GrowthDemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management guided to a gradual Q4 build rather than a snapback, declined to give specific magnitude and deferred sequencing detail to the next call.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how should we think about the pacing of that through the back half of the year

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Salera asked about Alani's back-half pacing and household penetration; Langhans guided to continued solid growth against tougher comps, citing Witch's Brew and Winter Wonderland LTOs, direct.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is there any formats or retailers where Alani Nu actually performs better than the core CELSIUS brand?

Competitive DynamicsM&ATranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Fieldly cited ~15% crossover / limited cannibalization and distribution whitespace for Alani in convenience, Amazon, and foodservice, but gave no format-level split.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Should we kind of expect the legacy Celsius brand to grow in line with the category

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management conceded a slow Q1 start on promotion timing but leaned on 2025 innovation; qualitative rather than quantified.

CMGChipotle Mexican Grill2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
CMG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you could give us some incremental color on the LTO contribution to the frequency uplift that you're seeing.

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Adam declined LTO specifics but said promotions drive hundreds of basis points of transaction lift, most sustaining and lifting AUVs over time.

do you find the guests that gravitate towards the higher protein offerings are existing Chipotle guests?

Product LaunchDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Scott said protein LTOs bring in first-time guests whose lifetime value rises materially, while existing guests visit more often for new options.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
HSY Hershey Company (The)138%1 of 13 questions
DRI Darden Restaurants1118%2 of 11 questions
CPB Campbell Soup Company90%none of 9 questions
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc.40%none of 4 questions
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • HSY
    Hershey Company (The) · 13 questions
    8%1 of 13 questions
  • DRI
    Darden Restaurants · 11 questions
    18%2 of 11 questions
  • CPB
    Campbell Soup Company · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • CELH
    Celsius Holdings, Inc. · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • CMG
    Chipotle Mexican Grill · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q460%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q140%none of 4 questions3
2025 Q270%none of 7 questions4
2025 Q360%none of 6 questions3
2025 Q450%none of 5 questions3
2026 Q1520%1 of 5 questions3
2026 Q2520%1 of 5 questions4
2026 Q31100%1 of 1 question1
  1. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  2. 2025 Q14 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
  3. 2025 Q27 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q36 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q45 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  6. 2026 Q15 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  7. 2026 Q25 questions · challenge rate 20% (1 of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  8. 2026 Q31 question · challenge rate 100% (1 of 1 question) · 1 company

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand24
  • Competitive Dynamics13
  • Product Launch12
  • Revenue Growth11
  • Pricing5
  • Innovation & R&D3
  • Regulation Policy3
  • Cost Pressure2
  • Guidance Reliability2
  • Capex Investment1
Show all 13 topics
  • Trade Tariffs1
  • Supply Chain1
  • M&A1