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Analyst

Joe Nolan

Longbow Research · covers Industrials, Technology, Consumer Cyclical, Basic Materials

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
24on tracked calls
Challenge rate
0%none of 24 questions
Companies
8questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 24 of 24 questions from 8 companies

GRMNGarmin7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
GRMN company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how to think about second half quarterly cadence on revenues, and just remind us on the timing of the upcoming contract

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Cliff confirmed back-half Auto OEM revenue will decline as BMW volumes peak, with the major Mercedes-Benz program launching in early 2027 and 2027 expected to return to growth.

Can you just talk about how to think about price cost as we move into the second half

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Cliff said a strategic memory inventory has shielded results year to date, with higher costs expected to hit in the back half and already in guidance. He noted broad component pressure from AI demand, managed via the same playbook as tariffs.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I know advanced wearables have been strong in recent quarters. And if you could just give any update on new user growth

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Cliff confirmed growth across both running and advanced wellness wearables. Convincing majority of registrations are new users with strong double-digit growth year-over-year.

Is it fair to expect a pretty comparable promotional environment compared to last year

Show response

Cliff confirmed comparable promotional activity to prior year. Broad product line is an advantage for retailers. Strong promotions planned, excited about Q4 holiday offering.

Calendar 2025 Q2

The marine market remains relatively soft, but you guys continue to deliver growth there

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Cliff noted market stabilizing despite uncertainty from tariffs and consumer sentiment. Garmin gaining share through unique innovation and differentiation in marine products.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I was wondering if there's going to be any sort of lag from mitigation actions if those maybe will have some impact on margins

Trade TariffsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Doug noted many moving parts in Q2 including timing of when tariffs take effect, existing inventory without tariffs, and mitigation rollout. Couldn't provide specific Q2 margin guidance.

In Marine, you mentioned the timing of promotions. If you could just provide any detail on that

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Cliff explained a major national retailer promotion shifted from Q1 to Q2 this year, causing the timing difference. Some dynamics expected to ripple into Q2.

AOSA. O. Smith6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
AOS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Could you just quantify the impact to the second half from higher tariffs?

Trade TariffsCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Anderson stated outright that the impact was not quantified, describing it only as a slightly higher headwind that the team intends to mitigate.

are you seeing higher price elasticity on the recent price increases relative to increases over recent years?

Show response

Lauber answered no on consumer elasticity, distinguishing it from the separate competitive pressure in the wholesale channel where volumes are down.

Calendar 2026 Q1

On the commercial water heater industry outlook coming down to flat now, is that really just a reflection of the regulatory change? Or is there any other moving pieces within that?

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed the DOE enforcement delay is the primary driver for reducing commercial volume outlook from mid-single-digit growth to flat.

in the second quarter, you'll be feeling the impact of higher steel and freight costs, but it sounds like you're not expecting to get price benefit until 3Q. So can you just walk through kind of ma...

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO laid out clear cadence: Q1 price-cost was positive, Q2 will see cost pressure ahead of mid-May price increase taking effect in Q3, with Q3-Q4 recovery from pricing.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what you're seeing with some of the other input costs and how those are moving directionally into the second half

Show response

Chuck confirmed non-steel, non-tariff input costs are up slightly YoY but stable, not expected to move up materially in H2.

the water treatment business had a good quarter overall. It sounds like retail business might still be a little weak there

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Steve expressed confidence in positioning after the retail deemphasis reset. Chuck clarified that retail decline is intentional strategy, and acquisition integration provides additional margin/growth levers.

SNASnap-on3 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 3 challenging
SNA company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

I know you guys don't provide guidance, but just thinking about that business' margins into 2025, just any of the moving parts there

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Pinchuk didn't give specific margin guidance but highlighted strong runway in profitable divisions (software, custom kits) and emphasized that RCI drove 100bp+ margin improvement across a great majority of RS&I businesses.

a strong quarter for the critical industries and for the torque tools business, you've invested in some capacity there. So I assume you're shipping against some backlog orders

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Pinchuk confirmed solid backlog (normalized after capacity expansion) and increasing demand for customized kitting, calling the business performance 'bananas' in the quarter.

did you talk about sell-in versus sell-through in the quarter?

Show response

Pinchuk confirmed sell-in and sell-through were approximately matched, indicating no meaningful inventory build or drawdown at the van level.

ALLEAllegion2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
ALLE company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

price/cost remained modestly positive in the quarter. Just your view into the second half and what you're seeing with some of the different cost buckets

Cost PressurePricingTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Mike avoided giving detail on individual cost buckets but confirmed pricing and productivity will cover inflation and investment in totality.

with the tariff surcharges, have you seen any sort of demand elasticity related to that

Show response

John confirmed no demand elasticity from surcharges. Project activity remains strong in non-res short-lead-time book-and-ship environment.

MASMasco2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
MAS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

is there enough pricing put through right now to maintain price cost neutrality into the second half of the year?

PricingCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Split the answer by segment: Plumbing price cost positive, Decorative Architectural neutral, consistent with prior guidance.

Could you just talk about what you're seeing in some of your international markets?

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Named Hansgrohe and Axor momentum in Europe and Germany against China softness; asked by an associate on for David McGregor.

VMCVulcan Materials Company2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
VMC company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

just in some of the other verticals, like warehouses, manufacturing and commercial, if you could just talk about backlogs and demand

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ronnie noted warehousing green shoots from a low base, manufacturing projects shipping in Illinois, energy-related and LNG projects in Texas. Data centers remain fastest growing category but energy build-out is encouraging.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I was just hoping you could break it down in some of your key markets and give any detail on how fiscal year '26 DOT budgets look

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Tom said all top 10 DOTs are up for FY26. Highway starts up 17% in Vulcan states vs 5% in other states. Only 40% of IIJA funds spent so far.

Show 2 more companies
HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
HOG company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

I wanted to touch on your outlook for some of your international end markets, if you could provide any detail there.

Geographic ExpansionDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Asked by an associate on for David MacGregor. Root reviewed 2024 by region and guided international to broadly flat with slight Asia growth.

SWKStanley Black & Decker1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
SWK company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

Can you just talk about plans to invest in growth in the Craftsman and Stanley brands? And just how you expect to see share gains there and margin improvement in these brands in 2026

Capital AllocationCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Hallinan outlined incremental $75-100M brand investment in 2026, funded by SG&A efficiencies elsewhere. Capital allocation biased towards share repurchases post-CAM. Nelson described largest-ever Craftsman NPD launch cycle and Stanley product refresh, expecting both brands to inflect into growth in 2026.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
GRMN Garmin70%none of 7 questions
AOS A. O. Smith60%none of 6 questions
SNA Snap-on30%none of 3 questions
ALLE Allegion2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
MAS Masco2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
VMC Vulcan Materials Company2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
SWK Stanley Black & Decker1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • GRMN
    Garmin · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • AOS
    A. O. Smith · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • SNA
    Snap-on · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • ALLE
    Allegion · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • MAS
    Masco · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • VMC
    Vulcan Materials Company · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • HOG
    Harley-Davidson, Inc. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • SWK
    Stanley Black & Decker · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q440%none of 4 questions2
2025 Q120%none of 2 questions1
2025 Q250%none of 5 questions3
2025 Q330%none of 3 questions2
2025 Q410%none of 1 question1
2026 Q130%none of 3 questions2
2026 Q260%none of 6 questions3
  1. 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  2. 2025 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
  3. 2025 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
  4. 2025 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q41 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  6. 2026 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  7. 2026 Q26 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand14
  • Cost Pressure6
  • Competitive Dynamics6
  • Pricing5
  • Margin4
  • Revenue Growth3
  • Trade Tariffs2
  • Geographic Expansion2
  • Regulation Policy2
  • Capital Allocation1
Show all 12 topics
  • Capex Investment1
  • Inventory1