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Analyst

John Freeman

Raymond James · covers Energy

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
45on tracked calls
Challenge rate
2%1 of 45 questions
Companies
5questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 45 of 45 questions from 5 companies

EXEExpand Energy13 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 13 challenging
EXE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you do have a little bit longer cycle times, which might push some of those Haynesville tills into next year

Capex InvestmentInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Josh Viets confirmed roughly 10 fewer tills this year, happy to float turn-in-lines into 2027 given soft demand.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how much of that can you all achieve with just those other 2 kind of buckets

Show response

Mike said approximately 50% from near-term optimization (premium markets and volatility monetization, which are intermingled) and 50% from longer-term demand facilitation (LNG, power, industrial). Near-term category already producing results.

I'm just making sure there's nothing changed in the way that you all sort of think about that relationship

Capex InvestmentMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Josh confirmed the heat map framework still drives decisions despite removal from deck. 3-5 year mid-cycle view still central. At current price outlook, 7.5 Bcf per day makes sense. Will be responsive to changing fundamentals as proven in 2024-2025.

Calendar 2025 Q4

it does look like the upside on production in the quarter was actually from the Appalachia region

Capex InvestmentPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Josh confirmed Appalachia upside was from reversing NE curtailments entering Q4, plus some weather-related Haynesville downtime from Winter Storm FERN ice in late January. Full year still expected to average approximately 7.5 Bcf per day.

you are a lot more focused, it appears, on the LCM type agreements as opposed to maybe long-term LNG supply agreements. Is that a fair characterization?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Mike rejected the characterization, saying all-of-the-above including LNG, manufacturing, and power. Chasing margin downstream. Need to be more aggressive because it is a super competitive space requiring hustle to get in the room.

Calendar 2025 Q3

would you anticipate a similar amount gets allocated to debt reduction next year

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Nick confirmed continued debt prioritization into 2026 but noted they did both in 2025, $1.2 billion debt reduction and $850 million shareholder returns. Has financial flexibility to allocate to shareholder returns in size when timing is right. More specific answers forthcoming as market conditions develop.

I'm just trying to get an understanding if that's sort of timing curtailment related? Are there efficiency gains?

Capital AllocationPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Josh explained Northeast Appalachia bears the brunt of seasonal curtailments due to demand weakness. Q3 and Q4 curtailments predominantly in Northeast. This is the primary driver of the CapEx reduction, not efficiency gains.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I guess I'm surprised that the kind of the coloring of that chart like hasn't changed at all since the start of the year

ChallengingCapital AllocationPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Nick and Chris Ayres explained the chart colors are relative rankings, not absolute values. Absolute free cash flow has increased but relative optimization across price levels has not shifted enough to change the heat map coloring. The $4/7.5 Bcf light green corresponds to approximately $3.1 billion 2026 free cash flow.

Does that reflect those kind of leading edge 2Q cycle times?

Capex InvestmentCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Josh confirmed full year guidance includes Q2 performance levels plus a modest additional learning curve improvement going forward.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is there any sort of additional either infrastructure or just sort of non-D&C spending that we should be aware of

Capex InvestmentSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Nick confirmed no incremental infrastructure spending needed. NG3 pipe capital fully spent with online expected year-end. Open to future opportunities like NG3 if attractive.

Is it fair to say that it looks like everything that you all kind of needed to achieve on a run rate basis is kind of there

Show response

Josh confirmed all synergy components are in place and performing. Team now focused on executing the full drilling program to realize aggregate dollar targets.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Where did the deferred TILs and the DUCs stand at year-end?

Show response

Josh quantified 55-60 deferred TILs and 50-60 DUCs remaining at year-end after 25 TILs brought online in Q4. DUC activation assumed ratable across 2025.

it doesn't look like there's like a material kind of increase that's needed on infrastructure spend. It looks like you'll can handle that

Capex InvestmentSupply ChainTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Josh confirmed no major infrastructure step-change needed to grow from 7.5 to 8+ Bcf/day, as combined entity is restoring volumes to pre-existing infrastructure capacity.

APAAPA Corporation12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 12 challenging
APA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Can you kind of clarify how much of that has actually been captured versus what still needs to be achieved

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Ben quantified captured savings across Permian, Egypt and North Sea and the interest-expense savings component.

how you all think about those allocation priorities going forward.

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Ben reaffirmed the at-least-60% return commitment and flagged heavier second-half buybacks.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how do oil versus gas prices influence the allocation of activity currently and into next year

Geographic ExpansionPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Christmann said gas price was geared to $75-80 Brent inclusive of infrastructure, and many discoveries required minimal infrastructure. Program staying ~50/50. Riney added they are agnostic between gas and oil at mid-cycle and actual marginal gas price on new volumes is higher than the $4.25 average.

should we assume, given that the next maturity is not until 2029 and those are not callable yet, that the majority of the free cash flow goes toward buybacks

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Christmann emphasized unprecedented times, commitment to 60% returns framework (71% cumulative since inception). Rodgers noted 75%+ returned to shareholders since Q4 2021, $3.2B in buybacks, $3.6B debt reduction. Being patient on deployment mix given conflict volatility. Decom raised $20M for additional Gulf wells.

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you sort of flesh out a little bit for us sort of the impact that each of those had, like the improved run time versus a few incremental completions versus the moderate weather

Show response

Riney estimated roughly 1/3 each: virtually no weather downtime, earlier TILs cleaning up faster than expected, and phenomenal improvement in underlying run time. Christmann noted workover rigs got both holidays off because run times were so good.

the D&C per foot looks like it's continued to go lower on your '26 program

Cost PressureCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Riney confirmed continued progress: end of 2025 shallow wells under $500/ft in Midland and under $700/ft in Delaware. Declined to give exact 2026 breakdown by basin on the call, directed to follow-up with IR team.

Calendar 2025 Q3

any more that you all could sort of give specifics on just to see that big of an improvement, both on the realized savings as well as the sort of run rate targets

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Christmann cited G&A and Permian capital as two main drivers. Went from $60M in-year in February to $300M now. Rodgers added: incremental $50-100M for 2026 will come primarily from G&A and LOE rather than capital.

how we should think about that relative to the $65 million you're spending this year

Show response

Christmann said 2026 will be a light exploration year. Potential for building ice roads in Alaska late next winter and possible Suriname exploration wells late in year, but overall light.

Calendar 2025 Q2

do you have a time line for achieving that target? And maybe if you could provide some details on the plan and whether or not divestitures might be used

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Rodgers said 3-5 years at mid-cycle pricing, potentially 1-2 years if prices are higher. Plan is through organic FCF generation with 40% of FCF directed to debt reduction. No intention to use further divestitures.

would this sort of indicate that there might be a shift to a larger percentage of the total CapEx budget being allocated to Egypt

Geographic ExpansionCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Christmann provided extensive context on 3 decades of oil focus now pivoting to gas. Henderson outlined prospective Paleozoic plays in western acreage, AG Basin gas targets, and underexplored eastern acreage. Riney noted they can now pursue best prospects regardless of hydrocarbon type.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Would you all plan to go down to six rigs is -- do I think of it as that's slightly left in all

Show response

Christmann confirmed they believe 6 rigs can hold production flat and expects to sustain that well into 2026 based on further efficiency gains.

do we just think of it as that original sort of time line you all showed last quarter, it just got pulled forward

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Christmann confirmed savings are being pulled forward and expects the $350M target will be raised at a later date. In-year capture went from $60M to $130M.

DVNDevon Energy9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
DVN company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

what's sort of embedded in the $1 billion target versus what would potentially serve as upside

Cost PressureInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Clay said gross potential exceeds $1B but they will hold the target until synergies flow through the financials, emphasizing credibility and transparency.

Calendar 2026 Q1

am I thinking about it right that now that you have the benefit of that, the bucket that took the longest in optimization may not have to take as long for these synergy buckets?

M&AInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Clay confirmed flywheel effect from existing business optimization work should accelerate synergy capture, particularly in production; Trey added tailwinds from AI and data-driven culture carry through.

Should we assume that is going to remain robust as you work to complement both companies' positions in the Delaware?

Capex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

John Raines confirmed robust ground game continuing; added 100+ net locations since last year predominantly in Delaware; Q1 acquisition capital ~$150M (90% Delaware) including lease sale wins.

Calendar 2025 Q4

does that mean that there's potential that you all could ultimately exceed that kind of $1 billion target

MarginInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Clay said target unchanged but culture shift means wins beyond $1B are expected; optimization is now permanent operating philosophy, not a program with an end date.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Landbridge announced a produced water pore space agreement with you all starting in 2Q '27. It looks like you are getting out ahead of what could potentially be an issue

Supply ChainRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

John described comprehensive water strategy: 25-40% to recycle, WaterBridge JV, super system in NM, strategic third-party offloads.

Do you all have a similar agreement in place?

PricingCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jeff said no power purchase agreement yet but it's an option; Devon hasn't fully electrified Texas facilities so demand is lower.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how important the reinvestment rate is when you all come up with budgets. There are some of your peers that kind of target a reinvestment rate

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Clay said reinvestment rate is monitored but not the singular budgeting target; capital allocation within assets is primary.

you're expecting $50 million of capital related to multiple land trades in the Delaware that's going to impact over 30 wells

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Clay explained trades are ongoing ground game focused ahead of drill bit; real $250M swing from original budget after accounting for speed gains.

Calendar 2024 Q4

if, you know, gas prices remain strong, maybe improve further from here, if there'd be any potential kind of shift in the plan to certain assets

PricingCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Jeff said gas upside comes from associated gas; oil projects remain highest-return priority across basins.

FANGDiamondback Energy9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
FANG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

that first full quarter of continuous pumping over 21 hours of average pumping time per day

Innovation & R&DCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Danny framed a realistic path toward 24-hour pumping and 5,000 feet/day, with equipment-redundancy trade-offs.

Calendar 2026 Q1

can you just give us a rough idea of kind of how that looks now with the new plan?

Show response

Starting at ~200 DUCs, drawing down then backfilling. Need high-hundreds/~200 DUC carry for 5 frac crews (1.5 quarters ahead per crew). Adding 20-30 wells for year within original guidance.

is there like a reinvestment rate that you all just want to stay below regardless of kind of the commodity environment?

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO pivoted from reinvestment rate target to capital efficiency as priority. Keeping 5th frac crew running consistently vs letting it go ensures efficiency. Learning from basin history.

Calendar 2025 Q4

You all had a really nice improvement in your leading edge completed feet per day at 4,500

Innovation & R&DCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Danny said continuous pumping removes the biggest NPT (well swapping), enabling shorter stage testing at no extra cost. Kaes noted tangential benefits beyond raw footage improvement.

tariffs have been pretty topical of late. Have you all secured or maybe locked in the pricing on all steel-related products for the '26 program

Trade TariffsCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Danny explained casing reprices quarterly on an index; tubing procured at longer lead times opportunistically. Section 232 tariff relief needed for casing inflation to reverse; activity levels are the swing factor.

Calendar 2025 Q2

One of the majors has recently sort of highlighted some pretty ambitious targets for kind of dramatically improving kind of oil recovery rates in the Permian

Innovation & R&DCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Kaes was supportive of technology developments while noting Diamondback's Slide 9 shows they are both a cost AND technical leader in basin development.

Calendar 2025 Q1

you all would still probably wait until you're in a $65, $70 world before you'd want to put your foot on the accelerator

MacroeconomicGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Kaes confirmed the $70+ threshold for re-acceleration regardless of cost improvements, emphasizing patience given supply and demand uncertainty.

y'all did highlight what you've seen in terms of the impact on kind of your steel-related products with the tariffs on casing being up 12% since last quarter, but we're able to lower your Midland b...

Cost PressureTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Danny and Travis credited drilling execution and expected service cost deflation as the primary offsets to tariff-driven casing inflation.

Calendar 2024 Q4

is there anything that's sort of at a one-time in nature related to either kind of Double Eagle or Endeavor transactions

Capex InvestmentM&ATranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Kaes identified $60M midstream CapEx from EDS and $60-70M of one-time environmental CapEx, both expected to decline.

EOGEOG Resources2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
EOG company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

Are you sort of or, I guess, dialed in on a specific sort of spacing? Or is testing still a big part of what you're doing

Innovation & R&DCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Keith explained spacing varies 600-1000 feet depending on geology. Southern areas with thinner pay but better frac barriers may support wider spacing. Continuously incorporating new data rather than using set designs.

Do you all start to take maybe a harder look at divestitures just as a way to unlock value

Capital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Ezra confirmed ongoing portfolio review and noted active divestiture history over the past decade. Suggested portfolio is already well high-graded without committing to specific plans.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
EXE Expand Energy138%1 of 13 questions
APA APA Corporation120%none of 12 questions
DVN Devon Energy90%none of 9 questions
FANG Diamondback Energy90%none of 9 questions
EOG EOG Resources2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • EXE
    Expand Energy · 13 questions
    8%1 of 13 questions
  • APA
    APA Corporation · 12 questions
    0%none of 12 questions
  • DVN
    Devon Energy · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • FANG
    Diamondback Energy · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • EOG
    EOG Resources · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q460%none of 6 questions4
2025 Q180%none of 8 questions4
2025 Q2714%1 of 7 questions4
2025 Q340%none of 4 questions2
2025 Q470%none of 7 questions4
2026 Q180%none of 8 questions4
2026 Q250%none of 5 questions4
  1. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
  2. 2025 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 4 companies
  3. 2025 Q27 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q34 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  6. 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 4 companies
  7. 2026 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Capex Investment19
  • Cost Pressure11
  • Capital Allocation11
  • Innovation & R&D8
  • Pricing6
  • M&A5
  • Margin4
  • Supply Chain3
  • Geographic Expansion2
  • Competitive Dynamics2
Show all 17 topics
  • Revenue Growth2
  • Macroeconomic2
  • Trade Tariffs2
  • Demand1
  • Credit1
  • Regulation Policy1
  • Guidance Reliability1