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Analyst
John Godyn
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2025 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (4 quarters).
- Questions
- 49on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 8%4 of 49 questions
- Companies
- 16questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 4with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 49 of 49 questions from 16 companies
DALDelta Air Lines7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 2 of 7 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
On capacity, you guys used the phrase normalized capacity growth next year.
Show response
Ed said capacity will adapt to fuel and demand, likely tilting international, but gave no growth range.
I was hoping maybe you could just plug us into Delta's long term plan in Seattle and how you see this developing.
Show response
Joe said Delta will keep investing in Seattle capacity and premium products; Ed rejected a battle-for-Seattle framing.
Calendar 2026 Q2
why should we all have confidence that this inflection we are seeing is not a head fake
Show response
Edward framed the results as consistent with the multi-year decommoditization strategy and argued the consistency and alignment make it durable.
Calendar 2026 Q1
Is there anything you guys can just help us with kind of putting some bookends or some dimensions around back-half capacity growth, what the pivot points are?
Show response
Ed acknowledged the dynamic environment with fuel as the biggest decision variable. Joe specified targeting off-peak, edge-of-day, and red-eye flying which is 15-20% less valuable on a unit revenue basis. Ed added the best fuel recapture is not purchasing the fuel if the flying isn't profitable.
I'm curious if there's a point where it becomes more of a strategic question about the fleet plan, accelerating retirement, getting out of an aircraft type
Show response
Ed confirmed strategic fleet decisions are on the table with some retirement decisions possibly being pulled forward, but said it's too early to announce a new strategic direction.
Calendar 2025 Q4
is that the broader environment? Is that market share gains? Anything you can say to help us unpack that would be fantastic
Show response
Glen attributed the corporate acceleration primarily to the broader market recovering, with Delta at all-time high market share as a gradual year-over-year accumulation. Joe Esposito added the corporate environment is optimistic about future travel plans.
Are we in a situation where things need to accelerate even further and step even higher to get us to the high end of the annual guidance or even exceed it?
Show response
Ed said current momentum, if sustained, supports the guidance range. But cautioned it's only the second week of January and last year's volatility is a reminder to maintain some caution. Glen added the main cabin hasn't moved yet, and its inflection would be the driver to the high end.
GDGeneral Dynamics6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Do you feel like you guys are doing something special, obviously, executing well, but special
Show response
Danny credited supplier visibility into production plans rather than commenting on peers, and Phebe tied it to order momentum.
Maybe you can speak a bit about the sensitivity of that portfolio to extended CRs
Show response
Phebe said CRs are manageable absent extreme duration and pointed to Mission Systems' transformation plus GDIT's qualified pipeline.
Calendar 2026 Q1
Can you elaborate a bit more on combat systems and technologies just in light of the priorities proposed in the $1.5 trillion
Show response
Danny detailed transition period for combat vehicles with lower volumes on current tanks and Stryker but strong RDT&E support for M13 and next-gen programs. Technologies aligned in cyber, space, and mission systems.
maybe you could just kind of remind us what the appetite and the view on buybacks may be if you continue to execute well this year
Show response
Danny said GD is being cautious on buybacks in the current environment, only acquiring shares to cover dilution. Remains committed to dividends with 29 consecutive years of increases.
Calendar 2025 Q4
I wanted to keep digging into the trend in munitions. You had so many positive callouts in the prepared remarks. Obviously, we've seen a lot of growth in the weapon systems and munitions subsegment
Show response
Confirmed munitions demand signals manifesting in contracts with stores and inventories low requiring replacement, business typically runs 14-15% margins driven by operating leverage and learning curve cost control
with commercial aerospace productions volumes ramping, do you think there's any knock-on impact on Bizjet supply chain, whether it's demand for materials, subcomponents, labor
Show response
Novakovic stated labor is not a problem, acknowledged some suppliers have ramped more successfully than others with capacity and throughput constraints, but quality remains good and suppliers are investing in capacity expansion
TXTTextron5 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
talk about the customer reaction to that and talk about and elaborate on the very strong demand trends
Show response
CEO pointed to backlog quality and Oshkosh demand but explicitly withheld model-level delivery timing.
the direction of rotorcraft innovation arcs and kind of where you see that market going and how Bell is positioned?
Show response
CEO answered with specific installed-base evidence and named the V-280, V-247 and X-76 programs as positioning proof.
Calendar 2026 Q1
There's a lot of activity there and fuel prices have doubled. So on the aviation side, it's hard to believe that a doubling in fuel prices doesn't impact things
Show response
Atherton said no material impact observed from the conflict. Higher oil prices have both positive and negative correlations across the portfolio, positive for aviation and helicopter demand historically. Defense portfolio broadly supported by increased budget environment.
Calendar 2025 Q4
between Bell and systems, by the math, you guys have a lot of defense exposure. But more specifically, where do you think the points of leverage would be to the upside
Show response
Atherton highlighted Sentinel/hypersonics, XM-30 and Marine Corps Armed Reconnaissance Vehicle, MV-75 acceleration to full rate, and Ship-to-Shore as key leverage points across the defense portfolio in a higher budget environment.
In a world where the budget was higher, is that part of, you know, a guiding light for adding capabilities, accelerating growth in what you call high-quality areas of A&D
Show response
Atherton identified space as a key growth area for Textron, either with existing assets or through acquisitions. DoD leaning into space aligns with the company's thermal/hypersonic capabilities.
UALUnited Airlines Holdings4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
the industry structure is only as good as the least rational carrier, and the least rational carrier can be pretty
Show response
Kirby argued cost harmonization forces rational pricing regardless of individual carriers, plus brand-loyalty insulation.
Calendar 2026 Q1
If we could maybe get a little bit of geographic color kind of how pass-throughs are evolving in your opinion, internationally versus in the domestic market
Show response
Andrew surprised that international pass-through stronger than domestic. Changes in overseas pricing behavior unexpected. Mike noted foreign carrier Brent hedges don't cover crack spread widening, proving hedging is poor policy.
you're not expecting all the other carriers to slash capacity or something like that driving your pass-through. Is it safe to say that?
Show response
Andrew confirmed not counting on other airlines. Managing own capacity to achieve financial targets and double-digit margin next year independent of industry actions.
Calendar 2025 Q4
what you think equilibrium in the industry looks like
Show response
Scott outlined end state: ULCCs shrink to big leisure niche, 2 brand-loyal airlines (game is over), rest find profitable non-hub networks. Declined to discuss M&A. Whether consolidation helps or not, structure is inevitable.
BAThe Boeing Company3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
I was hoping that you guys could just paint the picture and illustrate the impact and contribution from BDS and BGS
Show response
CFO sized BDS at low single-digit billions of cash by end of decade but said BGS would not be a large incremental contributor, keeping the bulk at BCA.
Calendar 2026 Q1
BCA margins this year, next year, kind of how do you see the play-by-play evolution with so much going on
Show response
Malave provided clear BCA margin trajectory: sequential improvement through 2026, turning positive by mid-2027. Dependent on delivery volumes and cost base extensions from well-priced backlog.
Calendar 2025 Q4
It stands to reason that the normalized free cash flow figures out could be much higher, many billions higher than $10 billion
Show response
Malave said $10B is very attainable and potential supports above $10B. Requires certification completions, BCA rate ramps, BDS margin improvement, and continued BGS performance.
GEGE Aerospace3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Are we just structurally underappreciating the resilience of the business and its ability to compound value through complex macro backdrops
Show response
Culp defended the April decision to hold guidance amid uncertainty and pointed to demand resilience since.
Calendar 2026 Q1
if this fuel shock continues, retirements spike and, in particular, your CES margins would be at risk
Show response
Ghai addressed margin concern directly: services drop-through healthy with Q1 service margins up YoY, OE mix dilution is the real headwind. LEAP margins approaching CES levels by 2028 and 9X losses peak by 2028 support future expansion.
Calendar 2025 Q4
I'm just curious to what extent this momentum has carried through to start the year
Show response
Larry cited Delta and United speaking confidently about 2026, $190B backlog, LEAP share of cycles increasing, expanded workscopes, and pricing. Rahul added spare parts delinquency ended 2025 up 50% over 2024, 85% of Q1 spare parts already in backlog.
Show 10 more companies
LUVSouthwest Airlines3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
how much incremental investment it takes to replicate assets that are thought to be impossible to replicate
Show response
Bob argues the combination of network scale, cost efficiency, and service, layered on a transformed product, is what no competitor can replicate.
Calendar 2026 Q1
you were pivotal and central to the [indiscernible] deal many years ago. I feel like there must be learnings from that
Show response
Bob outlined three tests from the AirTran experience: financial synergies must paper out, regulatory approval must be achievable (not too much overlap), and the combination must be good for customers, adding geographies, network, or products. Southwest has always been pro-competition, pro-consumer.
Calendar 2025 Q4
What is literally in that number and what isn't? It sounds like there's a low expectation of the ancillaries coming in, but it's not like you have 0
Show response
Bob emphasized initiatives are now the core business, not a separate overlay. All run rates from 2025 implementations plus assigned seating launch are baked in. Andrew noted focus is on capacity reallocation within current footprint rather than aggressive growth, redeploying to markets with higher profitability waterline.
NOCNorthrop Grumman3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
what is your overall broad assessment of demand for space as it relates to defense
Show response
Kathy called national security space one of the strongest areas of both US budget and NOC growth, expected to reach about 15% of revenues.
Calendar 2025 Q4
you guys will be putting up the largest organic growth on the 10% comp this year. So the two year over year rate is gonna be quite dramatic
Show response
Warden confirmed strong exit rate from 2026 carries momentum into 2027. Space business with strong 2025 book-to-bill expected to ramp top line in 2026 and carry into 2027.
I wanted to revisit the quarterly cadence in inorganic growth. I I think I I heard you say that it's going to accelerate throughout the year
Show response
Warden explained Q1 profile driven by material timing not recurring from Q4 and only 61 working days (lowest quarter). Growth accelerates through year similar to 2025 cadence.
RTXRTX Corporation3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
I wanted to just spend a second on the international opportunity in defense.
Show response
Calio pointed to NATO budgets rising toward 3.5%, large European orders, 48% international backlog and co-production deals as multi-year tailwinds.
Calendar 2026 Q1
it feels like perhaps guidance is even a bit conservative. Maybe you could just revisit the outlook a bit and the shape of the year and how you see it playing out
Show response
Mitchill confirmed $350M of the $500M raise came from Raytheon Q1 strength. Margins at 12.2% with $32M YoY productivity improvement. Will revisit again in July as supply chain performance continues.
Calendar 2025 Q4
Which one do you think has the most scope for exceeding guidance based on the demand signals that you're seeing recently?
Show response
Mitchill highlighted Collins transformation driving cost out, Raytheon seeing ~$25M more YoY productivity (after $160M each of past 2 years), Pratt growing GTF with improving pricing. All three have margin potential over next several years converting to cash.
HWMHowmet Aerospace2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
there seems to be an argument to continue leaning into M&A. And I wanted to take your temperature there
Show response
John signaled more buybacks in 2027 than 2026 and openness to further bolt-on M&A around the ~$2 billion range, while ruling out anything 'mega large' near term.
Calendar 2025 Q4
How you're thinking about M&A versus buybacks. And with M&A, we saw the consolidated aerospace manufacturing deal, which was a bit larger.
Show response
Plant said Howmet can do it all: record CapEx, $1.8B CAM acquisition, Bruner acquisition, and larger 2026 buyback than 2025. Balance sheet at 1x leverage provides capacity for all priorities.
LDOSLeidos2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
how you're balancing growth investments versus M&A versus repurchases?
Show response
Bell described a balanced capital-allocation approach, noting M&A targets are expensive while Leidos's valuation is not, so he would not lean into high-priced M&A now; capital intensity normalizes near 1.5%.
Calendar 2026 Q1
I wanted to revisit the shape of the year and the comments about kind of revenue and margins around the shape of the year
Show response
Cage clarified Q1 may include some pull-forward from Q2. Q2 likely similar to Q1 or small step down in run rate and profitability. Step function growth building in Q3 and Q4 as new program wins start and award activity picks up, carrying momentum into 2027. Bell added the lumpiness is not dimming the full-year outlook.
LHXL3Harris2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
I wanted to ask about SMS and CSD. And I'm reminded of a very cool chart you guys had at the Investor Day
Show response
CEO provided detailed segment-level color on SMS growth drivers including ISR, space, and maritime, confirming strong pipeline and reaffirming guidance.
Calendar 2025 Q4
what the revenue outlook for RemainCo LHX RemainCo might look like over the next couple of years
Show response
Kubasik emphasized portfolio strength in space, airborne, maritime. Bedingfield added LHX agility enables faster growth capture if $1.5T defense budget materializes.
LMTLockheed Martin2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
give people confidence in the revenue growth outlook from here, the possibility of accelerating revenue growth
Show response
Jim grounded revenue confidence in sustained F-35 demand and a $156-per-year production rate, with Evan adding backlog-to-contract conversion color.
Calendar 2026 Q1
What is that impacting the competition for talent? How is that impacting contracting
Show response
Taiclet welcomed competition and new entrants. Cited 4% voluntary turnover vs 8-10% industry average. Emphasized venture fund backing 120+ companies, expanding to $1 billion capacity, and golden opportunity for contracting transformation.
TDYTeledyne Technologies2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
when we see all these strong demand trends in defense, is that going to translate immediately? Like can you maybe just talk about the short-cycle elements of your portfolio a little bit more?
Show response
Mixed, some orders 2-4 year duration, some shorter cycle. 9-10% organic defense growth is healthy. $4.6B backlog will translate to revenue. Government cycles tedious even with urgent need. Won't overpromise like peers claiming 20% growth.
when you think about the amount of new kind of industrial compounders, industrial roll-ups, companies focused on finding niche highly engineered products, et cetera, it definitely feels a little mo...
Show response
75 acquisitions over 25 years. Competition acknowledged but Teledyne benefits from conglomerate breakups (carve-outs). Concern is prices, not competition per se. AI/data center spending diverting competitor capital.
HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
how to think about shipbuilding margins through the remainder of the year, just by quarter
Show response
Kastner pointed to the full-year guide for margin cadence and detailed 2026 milestones (LPD 30, CVN 79, SSN 800) but gave no quarter-by-quarter margin figures.
SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
you could talk a bit more about the CapEx outlook across the segments
Show response
Bret guided the next two quarters to a similar CapEx level, framing AI-compute capex as fast-payback (near COGS-like) versus long-lived launch-infrastructure assets.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| DAL Delta Air Lines | 7 | 29%2 of 7 questions |
| GD General Dynamics | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| TXT Textron | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions |
| BA The Boeing Company | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| GE GE Aerospace | 3 | 33%1 of 3 questions |
| LUV Southwest Airlines | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| NOC Northrop Grumman | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| RTX RTX Corporation | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| HWM Howmet Aerospace | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- DALDelta Air Lines · 7 questions29%2 of 7 questions
- GDGeneral Dynamics · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- TXTTextron · 5 questions0%none of 5 questions
- UALUnited Airlines Holdings · 4 questions25%1 of 4 questions
- BAThe Boeing Company · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- GEGE Aerospace · 3 questions33%1 of 3 questions
- LUVSouthwest Airlines · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- NOCNorthrop Grumman · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- RTXRTX Corporation · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- HWMHowmet Aerospace · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Show all 16 companies
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| LDOS Leidos | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| LHX L3Harris | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| LMT Lockheed Martin | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| TDY Teledyne Technologies | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| HII Huntington Ingalls Industries | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- LDOSLeidos · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- LHXL3Harris · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- LMTLockheed Martin · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- TDYTeledyne Technologies · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp. · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q4 | 15 | 7%1 of 15 questions | 11 |
| 2026 Q1 | 16 | 6%1 of 16 questions | 12 |
| 2026 Q2 | 16 | 13%2 of 16 questions | 14 |
| 2026 Q3 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 1 |
- 2025 Q415 questions · challenge rate 7% (1 of 15 questions) · 11 companies
- 2026 Q116 questions · challenge rate 6% (1 of 16 questions) · 12 companies
- 2026 Q216 questions · challenge rate 13% (2 of 16 questions) · 14 companies
- 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand16
- Revenue Growth15
- Competitive Dynamics14
- Margin9
- M&A7
- Guidance Reliability6
- Capital Allocation5
- Geographic Expansion4
- Regulation Policy3
- Macroeconomic3
Show all 17 topics
- Capex Investment3
- Innovation & R&D3
- Cost Pressure3
- Supply Chain2
- Pricing2
- Product Launch1
- Labor Market1