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Analyst

John Godyn

Citigroup · covers Industrials, Technology

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2025 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (4 quarters).

Questions
49on tracked calls
Challenge rate
8%4 of 49 questions
Companies
16questioned at least once
Reporting periods
4with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 49 of 49 questions from 16 companies

DALDelta Air Lines7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 2 of 7 challenging
DAL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

On capacity, you guys used the phrase normalized capacity growth next year.

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Ed said capacity will adapt to fuel and demand, likely tilting international, but gave no growth range.

I was hoping maybe you could just plug us into Delta's long term plan in Seattle and how you see this developing.

Competitive DynamicsGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Joe said Delta will keep investing in Seattle capacity and premium products; Ed rejected a battle-for-Seattle framing.

Calendar 2026 Q2

why should we all have confidence that this inflection we are seeing is not a head fake

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Edward framed the results as consistent with the multi-year decommoditization strategy and argued the consistency and alignment make it durable.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Is there anything you guys can just help us with kind of putting some bookends or some dimensions around back-half capacity growth, what the pivot points are?

Competitive DynamicsCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ed acknowledged the dynamic environment with fuel as the biggest decision variable. Joe specified targeting off-peak, edge-of-day, and red-eye flying which is 15-20% less valuable on a unit revenue basis. Ed added the best fuel recapture is not purchasing the fuel if the flying isn't profitable.

I'm curious if there's a point where it becomes more of a strategic question about the fleet plan, accelerating retirement, getting out of an aircraft type

Capex InvestmentCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ed confirmed strategic fleet decisions are on the table with some retirement decisions possibly being pulled forward, but said it's too early to announce a new strategic direction.

Calendar 2025 Q4

is that the broader environment? Is that market share gains? Anything you can say to help us unpack that would be fantastic

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Glen attributed the corporate acceleration primarily to the broader market recovering, with Delta at all-time high market share as a gradual year-over-year accumulation. Joe Esposito added the corporate environment is optimistic about future travel plans.

Are we in a situation where things need to accelerate even further and step even higher to get us to the high end of the annual guidance or even exceed it?

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ed said current momentum, if sustained, supports the guidance range. But cautioned it's only the second week of January and last year's volatility is a reminder to maintain some caution. Glen added the main cabin hasn't moved yet, and its inflection would be the driver to the high end.

GDGeneral Dynamics6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
GD company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Do you feel like you guys are doing something special, obviously, executing well, but special

Supply ChainCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Danny credited supplier visibility into production plans rather than commenting on peers, and Phebe tied it to order momentum.

Maybe you can speak a bit about the sensitivity of that portfolio to extended CRs

Regulation PolicyRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Phebe said CRs are manageable absent extreme duration and pointed to Mission Systems' transformation plus GDIT's qualified pipeline.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you elaborate a bit more on combat systems and technologies just in light of the priorities proposed in the $1.5 trillion

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Danny detailed transition period for combat vehicles with lower volumes on current tanks and Stryker but strong RDT&E support for M13 and next-gen programs. Technologies aligned in cyber, space, and mission systems.

maybe you could just kind of remind us what the appetite and the view on buybacks may be if you continue to execute well this year

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Danny said GD is being cautious on buybacks in the current environment, only acquiring shares to cover dilution. Remains committed to dividends with 29 consecutive years of increases.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I wanted to keep digging into the trend in munitions. You had so many positive callouts in the prepared remarks. Obviously, we've seen a lot of growth in the weapon systems and munitions subsegment

Show response

Confirmed munitions demand signals manifesting in contracts with stores and inventories low requiring replacement, business typically runs 14-15% margins driven by operating leverage and learning curve cost control

with commercial aerospace productions volumes ramping, do you think there's any knock-on impact on Bizjet supply chain, whether it's demand for materials, subcomponents, labor

Supply ChainCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Novakovic stated labor is not a problem, acknowledged some suppliers have ramped more successfully than others with capacity and throughput constraints, but quality remains good and suppliers are investing in capacity expansion

TXTTextron5 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
TXT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

talk about the customer reaction to that and talk about and elaborate on the very strong demand trends

DemandProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CEO pointed to backlog quality and Oshkosh demand but explicitly withheld model-level delivery timing.

the direction of rotorcraft innovation arcs and kind of where you see that market going and how Bell is positioned?

Competitive DynamicsInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CEO answered with specific installed-base evidence and named the V-280, V-247 and X-76 programs as positioning proof.

Calendar 2026 Q1

There's a lot of activity there and fuel prices have doubled. So on the aviation side, it's hard to believe that a doubling in fuel prices doesn't impact things

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Atherton said no material impact observed from the conflict. Higher oil prices have both positive and negative correlations across the portfolio, positive for aviation and helicopter demand historically. Defense portfolio broadly supported by increased budget environment.

Calendar 2025 Q4

between Bell and systems, by the math, you guys have a lot of defense exposure. But more specifically, where do you think the points of leverage would be to the upside

Regulation PolicyRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Atherton highlighted Sentinel/hypersonics, XM-30 and Marine Corps Armed Reconnaissance Vehicle, MV-75 acceleration to full rate, and Ship-to-Shore as key leverage points across the defense portfolio in a higher budget environment.

In a world where the budget was higher, is that part of, you know, a guiding light for adding capabilities, accelerating growth in what you call high-quality areas of A&D

M&AInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Atherton identified space as a key growth area for Textron, either with existing assets or through acquisitions. DoD leaning into space aligns with the company's thermal/hypersonic capabilities.

UALUnited Airlines Holdings4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
UAL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

the industry structure is only as good as the least rational carrier, and the least rational carrier can be pretty

ChallengingCompetitive DynamicsCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Kirby argued cost harmonization forces rational pricing regardless of individual carriers, plus brand-loyalty insulation.

Calendar 2026 Q1

If we could maybe get a little bit of geographic color kind of how pass-throughs are evolving in your opinion, internationally versus in the domestic market

PricingGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Andrew surprised that international pass-through stronger than domestic. Changes in overseas pricing behavior unexpected. Mike noted foreign carrier Brent hedges don't cover crack spread widening, proving hedging is poor policy.

you're not expecting all the other carriers to slash capacity or something like that driving your pass-through. Is it safe to say that?

Show response

Andrew confirmed not counting on other airlines. Managing own capacity to achieve financial targets and double-digit margin next year independent of industry actions.

Calendar 2025 Q4

what you think equilibrium in the industry looks like

Competitive DynamicsM&ATranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Scott outlined end state: ULCCs shrink to big leisure niche, 2 brand-loyal airlines (game is over), rest find profitable non-hub networks. Declined to discuss M&A. Whether consolidation helps or not, structure is inevitable.

BAThe Boeing Company3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
BA company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I was hoping that you guys could just paint the picture and illustrate the impact and contribution from BDS and BGS

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

CFO sized BDS at low single-digit billions of cash by end of decade but said BGS would not be a large incremental contributor, keeping the bulk at BCA.

Calendar 2026 Q1

BCA margins this year, next year, kind of how do you see the play-by-play evolution with so much going on

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Malave provided clear BCA margin trajectory: sequential improvement through 2026, turning positive by mid-2027. Dependent on delivery volumes and cost base extensions from well-priced backlog.

Calendar 2025 Q4

It stands to reason that the normalized free cash flow figures out could be much higher, many billions higher than $10 billion

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Malave said $10B is very attainable and potential supports above $10B. Requires certification completions, BCA rate ramps, BDS margin improvement, and continued BGS performance.

GEGE Aerospace3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 3 challenging
GE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Are we just structurally underappreciating the resilience of the business and its ability to compound value through complex macro backdrops

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Culp defended the April decision to hold guidance amid uncertainty and pointed to demand resilience since.

Calendar 2026 Q1

if this fuel shock continues, retirements spike and, in particular, your CES margins would be at risk

ChallengingMarginMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Ghai addressed margin concern directly: services drop-through healthy with Q1 service margins up YoY, OE mix dilution is the real headwind. LEAP margins approaching CES levels by 2028 and 9X losses peak by 2028 support future expansion.

Calendar 2025 Q4

I'm just curious to what extent this momentum has carried through to start the year

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Larry cited Delta and United speaking confidently about 2026, $190B backlog, LEAP share of cycles increasing, expanded workscopes, and pricing. Rahul added spare parts delinquency ended 2025 up 50% over 2024, 85% of Q1 spare parts already in backlog.

Show 10 more companies
LUVSouthwest Airlines3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
LUV company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how much incremental investment it takes to replicate assets that are thought to be impossible to replicate

Competitive DynamicsCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Bob argues the combination of network scale, cost efficiency, and service, layered on a transformed product, is what no competitor can replicate.

Calendar 2026 Q1

you were pivotal and central to the [indiscernible] deal many years ago. I feel like there must be learnings from that

Competitive DynamicsM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Bob outlined three tests from the AirTran experience: financial synergies must paper out, regulatory approval must be achievable (not too much overlap), and the combination must be good for customers, adding geographies, network, or products. Southwest has always been pro-competition, pro-consumer.

Calendar 2025 Q4

What is literally in that number and what isn't? It sounds like there's a low expectation of the ancillaries coming in, but it's not like you have 0

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Bob emphasized initiatives are now the core business, not a separate overlay. All run rates from 2025 implementations plus assigned seating launch are baked in. Andrew noted focus is on capacity reallocation within current footprint rather than aggressive growth, redeploying to markets with higher profitability waterline.

NOCNorthrop Grumman3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
NOC company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

what is your overall broad assessment of demand for space as it relates to defense

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Kathy called national security space one of the strongest areas of both US budget and NOC growth, expected to reach about 15% of revenues.

Calendar 2025 Q4

you guys will be putting up the largest organic growth on the 10% comp this year. So the two year over year rate is gonna be quite dramatic

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Warden confirmed strong exit rate from 2026 carries momentum into 2027. Space business with strong 2025 book-to-bill expected to ramp top line in 2026 and carry into 2027.

I wanted to revisit the quarterly cadence in inorganic growth. I I think I I heard you say that it's going to accelerate throughout the year

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Warden explained Q1 profile driven by material timing not recurring from Q4 and only 61 working days (lowest quarter). Growth accelerates through year similar to 2025 cadence.

RTXRTX Corporation3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
RTX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I wanted to just spend a second on the international opportunity in defense.

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Calio pointed to NATO budgets rising toward 3.5%, large European orders, 48% international backlog and co-production deals as multi-year tailwinds.

Calendar 2026 Q1

it feels like perhaps guidance is even a bit conservative. Maybe you could just revisit the outlook a bit and the shape of the year and how you see it playing out

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Mitchill confirmed $350M of the $500M raise came from Raytheon Q1 strength. Margins at 12.2% with $32M YoY productivity improvement. Will revisit again in July as supply chain performance continues.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Which one do you think has the most scope for exceeding guidance based on the demand signals that you're seeing recently?

Guidance ReliabilityMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Mitchill highlighted Collins transformation driving cost out, Raytheon seeing ~$25M more YoY productivity (after $160M each of past 2 years), Pratt growing GTF with improving pricing. All three have margin potential over next several years converting to cash.

HWMHowmet Aerospace2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
HWM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

there seems to be an argument to continue leaning into M&A. And I wanted to take your temperature there

Capital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

John signaled more buybacks in 2027 than 2026 and openness to further bolt-on M&A around the ~$2 billion range, while ruling out anything 'mega large' near term.

Calendar 2025 Q4

How you're thinking about M&A versus buybacks. And with M&A, we saw the consolidated aerospace manufacturing deal, which was a bit larger.

Capital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Plant said Howmet can do it all: record CapEx, $1.8B CAM acquisition, Bruner acquisition, and larger 2026 buyback than 2025. Balance sheet at 1x leverage provides capacity for all priorities.

LDOSLeidos2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
LDOS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how you're balancing growth investments versus M&A versus repurchases?

Capital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Bell described a balanced capital-allocation approach, noting M&A targets are expensive while Leidos's valuation is not, so he would not lean into high-priced M&A now; capital intensity normalizes near 1.5%.

Calendar 2026 Q1

I wanted to revisit the shape of the year and the comments about kind of revenue and margins around the shape of the year

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Cage clarified Q1 may include some pull-forward from Q2. Q2 likely similar to Q1 or small step down in run rate and profitability. Step function growth building in Q3 and Q4 as new program wins start and award activity picks up, carrying momentum into 2027. Bell added the lumpiness is not dimming the full-year outlook.

LHXL3Harris2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
LHX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

I wanted to ask about SMS and CSD. And I'm reminded of a very cool chart you guys had at the Investor Day

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO provided detailed segment-level color on SMS growth drivers including ISR, space, and maritime, confirming strong pipeline and reaffirming guidance.

Calendar 2025 Q4

what the revenue outlook for RemainCo LHX RemainCo might look like over the next couple of years

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Kubasik emphasized portfolio strength in space, airborne, maritime. Bedingfield added LHX agility enables faster growth capture if $1.5T defense budget materializes.

LMTLockheed Martin2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
LMT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

give people confidence in the revenue growth outlook from here, the possibility of accelerating revenue growth

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Jim grounded revenue confidence in sustained F-35 demand and a $156-per-year production rate, with Evan adding backlog-to-contract conversion color.

Calendar 2026 Q1

What is that impacting the competition for talent? How is that impacting contracting

Labor MarketCompetitive DynamicsInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Taiclet welcomed competition and new entrants. Cited 4% voluntary turnover vs 8-10% industry average. Emphasized venture fund backing 120+ companies, expanding to $1 billion capacity, and golden opportunity for contracting transformation.

TDYTeledyne Technologies2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
TDY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

when we see all these strong demand trends in defense, is that going to translate immediately? Like can you maybe just talk about the short-cycle elements of your portfolio a little bit more?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Mixed, some orders 2-4 year duration, some shorter cycle. 9-10% organic defense growth is healthy. $4.6B backlog will translate to revenue. Government cycles tedious even with urgent need. Won't overpromise like peers claiming 20% growth.

when you think about the amount of new kind of industrial compounders, industrial roll-ups, companies focused on finding niche highly engineered products, et cetera, it definitely feels a little mo...

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

75 acquisitions over 25 years. Competition acknowledged but Teledyne benefits from conglomerate breakups (carve-outs). Concern is prices, not competition per se. AI/data center spending diverting competitor capital.

HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
HII company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how to think about shipbuilding margins through the remainder of the year, just by quarter

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Kastner pointed to the full-year guide for margin cadence and detailed 2026 milestones (LPD 30, CVN 79, SSN 800) but gave no quarter-by-quarter margin figures.

SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
SPCX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

you could talk a bit more about the CapEx outlook across the segments

Show response

Bret guided the next two quarters to a similar CapEx level, framing AI-compute capex as fast-payback (near COGS-like) versus long-lived launch-infrastructure assets.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
DAL Delta Air Lines729%2 of 7 questions
GD General Dynamics60%none of 6 questions
TXT Textron50%none of 5 questions
UAL United Airlines Holdings425%1 of 4 questions
BA The Boeing Company30%none of 3 questions
GE GE Aerospace333%1 of 3 questions
LUV Southwest Airlines30%none of 3 questions
NOC Northrop Grumman30%none of 3 questions
RTX RTX Corporation30%none of 3 questions
HWM Howmet Aerospace2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • DAL
    Delta Air Lines · 7 questions
    29%2 of 7 questions
  • GD
    General Dynamics · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • TXT
    Textron · 5 questions
    0%none of 5 questions
  • UAL
    United Airlines Holdings · 4 questions
    25%1 of 4 questions
  • BA
    The Boeing Company · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • GE
    GE Aerospace · 3 questions
    33%1 of 3 questions
  • LUV
    Southwest Airlines · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • NOC
    Northrop Grumman · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • RTX
    RTX Corporation · 3 questions
    0%none of 3 questions
  • HWM
    Howmet Aerospace · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
Show all 16 companies
CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
LDOS Leidos2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
LHX L3Harris2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
LMT Lockheed Martin2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
TDY Teledyne Technologies2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp.1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • LDOS
    Leidos · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • LHX
    L3Harris · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • LMT
    Lockheed Martin · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • TDY
    Teledyne Technologies · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • HII
    Huntington Ingalls Industries · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • SPCX
    Space Exploration Technologies Corp. · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2025 Q4157%1 of 15 questions11
2026 Q1166%1 of 16 questions12
2026 Q21613%2 of 16 questions14
2026 Q320%none of 2 questions1
  1. 2025 Q415 questions · challenge rate 7% (1 of 15 questions) · 11 companies
  2. 2026 Q116 questions · challenge rate 6% (1 of 16 questions) · 12 companies
  3. 2026 Q216 questions · challenge rate 13% (2 of 16 questions) · 14 companies
  4. 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand16
  • Revenue Growth15
  • Competitive Dynamics14
  • Margin9
  • M&A7
  • Guidance Reliability6
  • Capital Allocation5
  • Geographic Expansion4
  • Regulation Policy3
  • Macroeconomic3
Show all 17 topics
  • Capex Investment3
  • Innovation & R&D3
  • Cost Pressure3
  • Supply Chain2
  • Pricing2
  • Product Launch1
  • Labor Market1