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Analyst
Jordan Lyonnais
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q1 (6 quarters).
- Questions
- 20on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 0%none of 20 questions
- Companies
- 5questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 6with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 20 of 20 questions from 5 companies
AXONAxon Enterprise Inc.8 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 8 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
On Dedrone, how you guys are going to market for it. How is it different than your other products?
Show response
CSO said U.S. state/local is direct sales, other markets use various channels. Dedrone opens doors across all 4 customer segments more broadly than any prior product. FedRAMP will help Fusus in federal ecosystem deployments.
Calendar 2025 Q4
what do you worry about could go wrong?
Show response
Rick identified two risks: (1) a privacy/data handling misstep could have outsized negative consequences; (2) customers will expect continued value delivery as AI makes technology development cheaper. Axon must keep earning its way up the value chain with new products, not just raising prices.
Calendar 2025 Q3
How should we think about margin mix going forward? And then two, Rick, for the time that you spend in Europe, what are the timing items that you're seeing on D drone sales? To NATO countries?
Show response
Brittany said gross margin is product mix driven, software tailwinds offset by hardware. Delivered 25% EBITDA margin commitment despite tariffs and R&D investments. Company delivering 55%+ against Rule of 40. Josh emphasized profitability remains important. On Dedrone NATO, Brittany said it's the most consistent product across federal, state/local, and international. Won't go market-by-market but demand is real across all segments; US state/local slowest due to regulatory issues but pent-up demand exists.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Could you guys just give an update on Fusus' FedRAMP status? And then for Dedrone, what is your strategy to start playing a more meaningful role in DoD counter drone programs
Show response
Jeff confirmed Fusus has met all FedRAMP requirements and is operating with customers knowing compliance, just awaiting final committee checkmark. Josh declined to share DoD strategy publicly but said they'll be ready when opportunities emerge.
Calendar 2025 Q1
the FY '26 Skydio budget called out a $44 billion increase for DHS. How are you guys thinking about that across verticals
Show response
Josh identified border security as key focus, drones, counter-drone, and real-time video. Rick added real-time translation will be hugely beneficial for Border Patrol encounters.
is there anything else that has to get done on the federal side. So things can move quicker. I don't know if Fusus was FedRAMP certified yet
Show response
Jeff confirmed Fusus passed the auditor recommendation stage for FedRAMP and is in final certification. Brittany noted federal assumptions in guidance are conservative, these opportunities would be upside.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Could you guys talk about how you're approaching your go-to-market with Skydio and SkySwap program and how that's been going so far
Show response
Josh praised the partnership and product-market fit. Rick gave extensive detail on Skydio's autonomy advantage, autonomous DFR at ~25% the cost of manual DJI deployment when including human labor.
if you're DEA or Border Patrol, can they just go through you to buy the Skydio drone and you guys will put on your kit
Show response
Josh confirmed deals can go through either Axon or Skydio contracting. Jeff added that customers increasingly see the Fusus + Skydio + Axon combination as unmatched for DFR capability.
TDYTeledyne Technologies6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
On the growth that you guys called out for space, can you give us a sense if that is related to Golden Dome? And then two, just for the FY '27 budget request, the $70 billion that they want for dro...
Show response
Won substantially all SDA tranche programs. Well positioned for Golden Dome. CapEx up 35% QoQ investing in capacity. R&D up $10M in Q1. Cautious on budget realization ('asking is one thing, getting is another').
Calendar 2025 Q3
On the 737 rate increase step-up, how are you guys thinking about that into 4Q and next year given the comments on some destocking?
Show response
George responded. Destocking expected through most of 2026. Strong demand and large 2026 delivery order received, but no near-term revenue uplift from rate increase. OEM sales declining offset by aftermarket growth.
do you guys have any concerns about critical minerals availability specifically for the sensor products for FLIR?
Show response
Some exposure acknowledged but proactively mitigated. Not expected to affect near-term operations.
Calendar 2025 Q2
is it the driver for you guys is really just the camera systems you'll sell to everybody versus your own drone products?
Show response
Both own drones (Black Hornet, R1 weaponized drone) and sensor supply. Santa Barbara makes $200M+ in cooled/uncooled IR sensors enabling $800M of downstream Teledyne revenue. Sells to competitors, non-competitors, defense and non-defense. Volume drives margin through cost spread.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Could you guys talk a little bit about what you're expecting in our Aerospace and Defense segment or FLIR with the U.S. FY '26 budget moving to $1 trillion and also European rearmament
Show response
European defense revenue $447M in 2024 (including Qioptiq/Micropac). European budgets expected to grow from $500B to $800-900B over 5 years. Manufacturing footprint in UK, Sweden, Iceland, Denmark, Netherlands supports domestic content requirements. U.S. defense growing across unmanned, EW, and components.
Calendar 2024 Q4
On the defense outlook, the 4% organic growth, how much of that is conservative? Just when we look at outlays being up 26% from FY'23 to '24, I would expect the momentum to continue.
Show response
FLIR defense expected +6% in FY2025 after +9% in Q4. Unmanned systems, EW, and EO/IR favored regardless of program outcomes. Bullish on defense positioning but uncertain on specific program approvals.
GRMNGarmin4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
what the size is of the defense and government markets and if that contributed to the gains in the quarter
Show response
Cliff said defense/government is a smaller part of the overall business. Products are sold on a commercial off-the-shelf basis with some light customizations, using the same platforms as commercial.
Calendar 2025 Q3
was there any greater driver of the growth that you saw between OEM and aftermarket
Show response
Cliff said both OEM and aftermarket were comparable and very strong. OEM benefiting from long backlogs, aftermarket from resilient consumer behavior in aircraft equipping.
How should we think about the growth going into next year and until the BMW -- or sorry, the two 2027 contracts start up
Show response
Cliff acknowledged 2026 could see revenue pressure as legacy programs wind down and BMW peak adoption is anniversaried. New program expected to come online in back half of 2026.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Could you guys talk a little bit more about MyLabs? What you're seeing the opportunity is
Show response
Cliff explained MyLabs specializes in timing for competitive events. Opportunity to integrate Garmin device training data with official race timing for a dynamic, comprehensive experience.
HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2024 Q4
On the initiatives that you guys are working on for hiring, what's changed versus what you guys have been doing for the past couple of years
Show response
Kastner described shift from broad entry-level hiring to targeting experienced shipbuilders, aided by congressional anomaly funding and wage increases. Welcomed DOGE efficiency focus.
TDGTransDigm Group1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
do you guys have a target or an idea of how much you would like to see your PMA business grow?
Show response
Mike said they don't target an overall PMA percentage of TransDigm revenue. Standard 5-year LBO model targeting 20% IRR. PMA expected to grow slightly above market but not explosively.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| AXON Axon Enterprise Inc. | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions |
| TDY Teledyne Technologies | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| GRMN Garmin | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| HII Huntington Ingalls Industries | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| TDG TransDigm Group | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- AXONAxon Enterprise Inc. · 8 questions0%none of 8 questions
- TDYTeledyne Technologies · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- GRMNGarmin · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- TDGTransDigm Group · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q1 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q2 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q3 | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q4 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 2 |
| 2026 Q1 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 3 |
- 2024 Q44 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q35 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q42 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
- 2026 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand10
- Regulation Policy9
- Competitive Dynamics4
- Geographic Expansion3
- Revenue Growth3
- M&A2
- Guidance Reliability2
- Product Launch2
- Supply Chain2
- Innovation & R&D2
Show all 14 topics
- Capex Investment1
- Margin1
- Cloud & AI1
- Labor Market1