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Analyst

Joshua Chan

UBS · covers Industrials, Technology, Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).

Questions
48on tracked calls
Challenge rate
13%6 of 48 questions
Companies
4questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 48 of 48 questions from 4 companies

FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.14 questions · 7 reporting periods · 2 of 14 challenging
FIX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how much of the backlog increase was modular this quarter? And is it unusual to have a larger modular order in Q2

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Bill said modular had $510 million of bookings ahead of its burn and nothing was unusual beyond broad, consistent demand.

could you just talk about the duration of the backlog? You know, are you stretching out the order book?

Show response

Bill said modular is booking farther out while most construction burns over the next 18 to 24 months; they only take work they can perform.

Calendar 2026 Q1

what does that mean in terms of what you think about the durability of the cycle now that you're willing to kind of actually put your own money into the buildings?

Capex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Bill confirmed they require multiyear customer commitments at volume levels before building investments. This allows better pricing for customers while tightening relationships and ensuring payoff periods.

I was wondering if you can talk about the project pipeline. So basically, the future projects that could enter the backlog in the future

ChallengingDemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Brian confirmed pipelines are full coast to coast. Bill emphasized the paradigm shift: limitations are supply-driven not demand-driven. They're maintaining work selection discipline to protect margins.

Calendar 2025 Q4

there was an ice storm in a lot of the South and Southeast in Q1. So I just want to make sure that the operations kind of, you know, handled that well

Show response

CFO said ice storms are normal seasonal pattern for Q1. Nothing out of the ordinary. Commended northern workers for performing in challenging winter conditions.

do you feel like your subsidiaries still understand that? Do you feel like there is any push from them to take more jobs than you are comfortable with?

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CEO confirmed detailed labor projection process for each opportunity. Current backlog manageable with existing workforce capacity. No one pushing over their skis.

Calendar 2025 Q3

really over the last 2 quarters, you had these 2 consecutive $1 billion step-up in the backlog. And I was just wondering if anything is different

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO attributed it to a fantastic market with customers wanting early commitments. Work is with known companies doing repeat work they've done before.

would there be a preference to serving existing customer or I guess, demand for that? Or would there be a preference to kind of grow with other types of customers

Cloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO expressed clear preference for existing long-term partners over new customers. Added a new customer recently but existing relationships are the priority.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how do you think about the approach to choose projects between the different verticals? Because obviously, your technology is chosen more and more frequently

Competitive DynamicsCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO emphasized maintaining diversification across all sectors except commercial office. Training at all levels is crucial to address the market.

your workforce, their willingness to continue to work more, make more, but kind of keep working hard, and then what you're seeing on the recruiting front?

Show response

COO cited employer-of-choice strategy, internal staffing company for flex capacity, and cross-company labor sharing as key advantages.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what helped add to your backlog this quarter? And then also, how have you been continuing to add to the backlog and orders since the tariff announcement?

DemandTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

COO cited broad-based bookings with advanced tech and industrial leading. Large long-timeline projects provide good forward visibility.

how do you expect backlog to trend through the year, through the summer quarters?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CFO described typical seasonal pattern of Q1/Q4 backlog builds and Q2/Q3 burns due to higher revenue. Pipeline remains strong regardless.

Calendar 2024 Q4

could you just kind of help us contextualize the magnitude of strength in this Q4's gross margin? You know, was there anything unusual, any closeout benefits

Show response

Management confirmed Q4 margin strength was broad-based across the portfolio, not driven by any specific project closeouts.

the progress behind hiring people and the training of apprentices. How do you feel that's going relative to your demand outlook?

Show response

CEO highlighted constant recruiting, training programs at all levels, and Kodiak's temporary labor capability for managing peak demand.

CTASCintas13 questions · 7 reporting periods · 1 of 13 challenging
CTAS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

could you talk about kind of other areas of the cost structure, cotton, what you're seeing in terms of inflation

Cost PressureMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Todd acknowledged inflation exposure but said Cintas offsets it through supply chain and productivity rather than passing costs to customers; growth is volume-, not price-, driven.

you have a couple of quarters in a row of above 8% organic and kind of almost 9% this quarter

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Jim credited improvements across all three volume drivers, new business, retention, and cross-sell, with pricing neutral versus prior years.

Calendar 2026 Q2

was there anything onetime this quarter as well And maybe you can talk about any new products

Revenue GrowthProduct LaunchTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Todd contextualized the tough 18.5% prior-year comp but declined to detail product pipeline, citing competitive advantage; partial on products.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Does that imply that you can continue to perhaps repurchase stock as you desire even through this process

Capital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Buyback restrictions during UniFirst deal signing through shareholder vote. Q3 buybacks also limited by quiet period during negotiations. Will resume opportunistic approach once restrictions lifted.

how do you feel about your level of investments kind of exiting 2026 and into '27? Just thinking about how well funded do you think your growth initiatives are at this point

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

No material change in investment levels expected. Future looks incredibly bright. White space of 16-20 million businesses with 180 million workers in US and Canada. Immense opportunity requires continued investment.

Calendar 2025 Q4

on the incremental margins, I think both Q1 and Q2 were within your longer-term range, but maybe towards the lower end. So any way to think about how that kind of transpires in the second half

Show response

Q2 incrementals 27% vs tough 49.7% comp. H1 FY2025 was 44.3% creating tough comparison. Full-year implies 29-30% ex-asset sale. H2 implies 30-33%, moving toward high end of range.

Usually, you see those in stronger economic time. So maybe could you talk about how you're able to achieve strong retention rates even in these types of climate

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Retention driven by execution, culture as competitive advantage, value proposition, and technology making it easier for customers and employee partners. Culture shines brighter in uncertain environments.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I noticed that on the EPS guidance, it's a little wider at this juncture of the year than it was last year at this time. Is there any color regarding that

Guidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Management dismissed significance of wider range. Incrementals at 25-35% target, margin expansion implied. Range allows for long-term investments while improving margins.

as you look at the different verticals within your business, are you seeing customers behave differently in some of the more stressed verticals

Show response

No behavior change across verticals. Healthcare, hospitality, education, and state/local government all performing well and consistently.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I just wonder if you could comment on the prospects of M&A kind of going forward and how the pipeline of the bolt-ons look at the moment

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Pipeline active but timing unpredictable. Balanced capital allocation strategy unchanged: reinvest, M&A, dividends, opportunistic buybacks.

As you look into your different cost buckets kind of going into 2026, you know, material, labor, your fleet, anything to highlight in terms of the trajectory

Cost PressureTrade TariffsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Inventory built ahead of tariffs. 90% dual sourced. Amortization provides visibility. Culture of positive discontent drives process improvements.

Calendar 2024 Q4

as compared to the scenario where you would have held your top-line guidance, the top end of your top-line guidance, like what did not happen

ChallengingRevenue GrowthPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO attributed guidance narrowing to pricing returning to historical levels. But workday-adjusted growth of 7.3%-8.6% remains strong.

fire, obviously it grew 10% this quarter that's really strong. But I guess in prior quarters it had been above that

Show response

Management said no issues with fire business, just tougher comps. Expects continued double-digit growth going forward.

ITGartner12 questions · 7 reporting periods · 3 of 12 challenging
IT company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I was wondering if you could make a comment about the ex-Fed selling environment.

DemandMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Gene Hall said the ex-Fed selling environment is mixed, with some areas improving and others worsening, and reiterated expectations for acceleration over time.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you talk about the drivers behind that 12%? I mean, obviously, revenue growth, at least currently is not probably at that level

ChallengingGuidance ReliabilityCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Craig said three drivers: CV/revenue reacceleration, margin expansion, and significant share buybacks. Over last 12 months, repurchased approximately $2.4-2.5 billion of stock reducing share count significantly.

How do you think about the year-over-year selling environment comparison as we kind of go through the rest of the year

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Gene said it depends on how the world evolves. March delays are closing in April with escalated decisions still getting approved. Craig emphasized they're adapting sales and service teams to be successful in any environment.

Calendar 2025 Q4

could you just talk about what drove these kind of more longer-term type actions and kind of how you're thinking about those actions

M&AInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Gene said they concluded the world will remain more disrupted permanently, so they focused on core BTI business and driving engagement. Digital Markets didn't fit that vision. Staff changes were about repositioning skills for the transformation, not cost cuts.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Could you just kind of compare the environment now to like a normal year or last year

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Gene described environment as better than earlier in 2025 but worse than prior year. Craig added Q4 is by far the largest new business quarter and sales teams are motivated to finish strong.

for the ones that are not math, which ones are you more or less confident in standing here at this point

Guidance ReliabilityRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Craig said they have high confidence across all four reacceleration categories. Noted the more speculative ones (operational adaptations) already started showing benefit in Q3. Same big 4 categories as prior quarter.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what's your level of conviction that this is really tariff related versus clients just pulling back and blaming tariffs

ChallengingTrade TariffsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Gene cited their deal-level tracking system showing tariff-affected industries performing much worse than non-tariff industries. Craig added they're providing incremental color, not attributing everything solely to tariffs.

I'm sure you're aware of the narrative that AI could be having some sort of impact on the demand of your services

ChallengingCloud & AICompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Gene responded that pipeline is the best demand indicator and it's up at robust double-digit rates. Longer closing times are due to purchasing process escalation, not reduced demand. Technical difficulties cut off initial answer.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I was wondering if you could talk about the selling environment outside of federal

MacroeconomicDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Gene distinguished between tariff-impacted companies (slower decisions, extended cycles) and unaffected ones (business as usual). Pipeline robust but decisions slower.

how are you thinking about your cost structure going forward because you clearly raised the guidance despite lowering the revenues

MarginCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Craig described slight belt tightening while preserving growth investments. Not slamming brakes; investing in areas that drive future growth.

Calendar 2024 Q4

with tech vendors seemingly getting better this year, can we roll out negative NCVI in Q1

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Craig declined to guide on Q1 NCVI, emphasizing prudent planning and dynamic environment. Deferred update to April/May.

I noticed that the GTS wallet retention improved nicely this quarter. So I wonder if any change you've noticed there in terms of selling

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Gene attributed improvement to better execution rather than market conditions.

ROLRollins, Inc.9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
ROL company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

does it make sense to you that the consumer would slow down only on the digital side, but not the other side?

Show response

Management explained digital skews to reactive problem-solving demand, while door-to-door and homebuilder channels sell preventive protection.

Calendar 2026 Q1

what is it that you think you could change about something that has been this way for a little while?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jerry cited Fox Pest Control improving residential retention by 5 percentage points in 3 years by partnering with HomeTeam best practices. Sees improving retention as an opportunity to accelerate organic growth. More details planned for May 14 Investor Day.

by what month does everything kind of normalize and then you kind of move past the slowness

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jerry said typically end of March to mid-April; this year demand popped by the first week of March which was favorable. Phone call volumes provide real-time signal. Ken added they were fortunate March conditions were favorable earlier than usual.

Calendar 2025 Q4

is that a potential concern when it comes to spring selling season?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ken acknowledged weather is always a factor but emphasized recurring and ancillary growing north of 7% provides confidence. Team is engaged and focused on making hay when weather cooperates, including working weekends.

So is it true that the West and the South are basically the non-impacted regions grew at a

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Ken confirmed West and South performed to plan in Q4 but could not exceed plan enough to offset Eastern/Midwest weakness. Some Texas/South Central and Tennessee areas got more impact in January.

Calendar 2025 Q2

does that reinforce your confidence for the rest of the year in terms of the kind of here how you're thinking about sort of the sales records

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jerry cautioned 1 month doesn't make a trend but saw nothing to pause confidence through Q3. Ken added every service line's June growth was accretive to the quarterly rate.

would you consider as we kind of roll into July here, given the strength that you're seeing in the backlog that the weather has kind of pretty much normalized

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Jerry cited Southeast (Carolinas to North Florida), South Central to Texas as hardest hit. By first week of June, demand recovered strongly with business carrying into July.

Calendar 2025 Q1

as you make these investments what's kind of your strategy in picking up new accounts? I assume you're going to have to displace existing competitors.

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Jerry emphasized defined territories, vertical knowledge, strong sales management processes, and scale as competitive advantages. Cold calling and feet on street expand presence.

could you just kind of bridge us? Are there any other pieces there between Orkin and the onetime, how the 10% gets to 7%

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Ken clarified the ~10% recurring was across all brands, not just Orkin. Gap to 7% total organic is from weaker one-time fumigation/commercial work, exacerbated by 1 fewer day.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc.1414%2 of 14 questions
CTAS Cintas138%1 of 13 questions
IT Gartner1225%3 of 12 questions
ROL Rollins, Inc.90%none of 9 questions
  • FIX
    Comfort Systems USA, Inc. · 14 questions
    14%2 of 14 questions
  • CTAS
    Cintas · 13 questions
    8%1 of 13 questions
  • IT
    Gartner · 12 questions
    25%3 of 12 questions
  • ROL
    Rollins, Inc. · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q4617%1 of 6 questions3
2025 Q160%none of 6 questions3
2025 Q2825%2 of 8 questions4
2025 Q360%none of 6 questions3
2025 Q4714%1 of 7 questions4
2026 Q1825%2 of 8 questions4
2026 Q250%none of 5 questions4
2026 Q320%none of 2 questions1
  1. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q16 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  3. 2025 Q28 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 4 companies
  4. 2025 Q36 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q47 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  6. 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 25% (2 of 8 questions) · 4 companies
  7. 2026 Q25 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
  8. 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Demand23
  • Revenue Growth18
  • Competitive Dynamics8
  • Macroeconomic6
  • Guidance Reliability6
  • Cost Pressure3
  • Capital Allocation3
  • M&A3
  • Margin3
  • Trade Tariffs3
Show all 16 topics
  • Cloud & AI3
  • Capex Investment2
  • Labor Market2
  • Product Launch1
  • Innovation & R&D1
  • Pricing1