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Analyst

Matthew McKellar

RBC Capital Markets · covers Consumer Cyclical, Real Estate

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters; questions recorded in 6).

Questions
21on tracked calls
Challenge rate
0%none of 21 questions
Companies
3questioned at least once
Reporting periods
6with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 21 of 21 questions from 3 companies

WYWeyerhaeuser10 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 10 challenging
WY company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

the steps you've actually taken to improve capacity around transportation for lumber

Supply ChainCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Devin said the market is only slightly better and still tight; WY self-help includes rail shifting, extra loading days, and taking on more customer transport management.

Calendar 2025 Q4

how those inventories would compare to where they'd normally be this time of year

InventorySupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Devin quantified modest elevation: mills carrying 8-10 days vs typical 7-8. Unlike Canada's very large decks, these can work through quickly with weather events or lumber demand pickup.

what kind of increase in prices or sawmill demand, however you'd like to frame it, that you'd need to see to create real tension

PricingSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Devin explained Western log markets are fundamentally tight. Log prices follow lumber with 1-2 month lag. Regulatory changes in Washington state around stream buffer zones may impact smaller landowners but not WY materially.

Calendar 2025 Q3

should that inventory destocking phenomenon be relatively short-lived in your view

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Devin attributed Japan softness to a regulatory change impacting smaller house permits causing a backlog. Expects normalization. Japanese customers well positioned vs European lumber on cost. Optimistic about medium-term opportunity.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Is it appropriate or attractive to allocate additional capital to wood products

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Dave Wold confirmed interest in Wood Products M&A. Have looked at deals in recent years and will continue evaluating. TRS increase from 20% to 25% provides additional capacity to grow manufacturing without jeopardizing REIT status.

are those all track into 2026 in terms of registration and sales

Innovation & R&DRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Devin confirmed some of the 6 pipeline projects expected to be issued in 2025, remainder early 2026. Building additional projects beyond current pipeline. Expects pipeline to grow year after year.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how do you think about the likely impact to timberland valuations over the medium term?

Trade TariffsMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Devin noted timberland is a very long-term asset class and investors think in decades, so near-term tariff uncertainty unlikely to impact valuations.

have you been intending to perform this maintenance in Q2 for some time? Or are you pulling forward any maintenance

Supply ChainMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Devin confirmed maintenance is planned well in advance with contractors and equipment scheduled. Not pulling forward any work based on market conditions.

Calendar 2024 Q4

I was wondering if you could just please expand on what's driving your expectations on cost there

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Dave Wold cited energy and resin cost increases despite continued strong operating performance and focus on maintaining cost structure.

How do you think about those portfolio integration benefits look like?

Capex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Devin highlighted fiber demand tensioning in the local market and logistics savings from co-located timberland ownership as key integration benefits.

IPInternational Paper9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
IP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I'd like to ask just how you're managing the downtime at Pine Hill with conditions as seemingly tight as they are.

Supply ChainGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Lance framed recovery as likely but early days; Andy covered the network workaround. Neither quantified the recovery amount inside the guide.

How do you think about what kind of supply response we see across the industry as that flows through?

Competitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Andy argued mill replacement costs have skyrocketed post-COVID, raising the return bar for new capacity, but conceded some movement is likely.

Calendar 2025 Q4

is the 2% outperformance versus the North American industry or expect in 2026 based solely on those customer wins you've seen so far

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

2% outperformance based entirely on already-won business, no major incremental wins needed. Future local wins would represent upside. National business on contract cycles so 2025 wins are now showing up in 2026.

Calendar 2025 Q3

Could you maybe just provide a bit of a perspective on the strategic rationale and high-level economics for the Riverdale conversion

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Riverdale conversion to lightweight containerboard at approximately $250M investment targeting near 20% returns. Enabled by Savannah closure which avoided $300M capital call and redeployed approximately 30 people to Riverdale.

Could you maybe refresh us on what kind of volume growth and volume performance versus market you've assumed in getting to the 2027 targets?

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Assuming 1-1.5% NA and 1-2% EMEA market growth. Europe has stronger secular trend from plastics-to-fiber substitution. $500M profit shortfall from market softness made 2027 target adjustment obvious rather than hoping for recovery.

Calendar 2025 Q2

at the Investor Day, I think you talked about exiting some nonstrategic export markets. Could you please just update us on how far along you are

Competitive DynamicsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Probably north of 50% through exiting the nonstrategic export portion. Bifurcating between commodity dumping ground exports and strategic exports where customers value IP's capabilities. Must be done thoughtfully to avoid stranding assets.

Is there an opportunity here to accelerate reinvestment in your mills while the demand backdrop is still a bit soft?

Capex InvestmentCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Silvernail sees mill reliability as gateway to broader financial performance, not just recovering the $150M. Pushing hard to accelerate but constrained by needing to exit nonstrategic assets first to fund reinvestment. Currently $30-50M off target.

Calendar 2024 Q4

are you able to provide any additional color on what kind of CapEx you're anticipating for that plant?

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Silvernail declined to give specific CapEx figure, deferred to Investor Day. Targeting approximately 20% cash-on-cash returns through integrated value chain.

are you anticipating pretty similar improvements in productivity? Does that change at all versus the first

MarginInnovation & R&DTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Silvernail expects similar results but acknowledged gains won't be linear across all locations. Current gains are from volume-mix matrix optimization rather than heavy CapEx.

SWSmurfit WestRock2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
SW company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

I was wondering if you could just elaborate whether these are opportunities to sort of improve your own assets and operations or more related to developments in the market

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Tony indicated opportunity is primarily commercial, selling more SBS through own integration rather than asset improvement, with a more subtle market approach than legacy WestRock employed.

Could you maybe just refresh us on your top focus items and most significant investments here as well as more broadly just what you're hoping to achieve in this region in 2025

Cost PressureGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Tony highlighted Brazil as biggest LatAm opportunity with strong assets and cost takeout already underway, Argentina as a fabulous business awaiting country stabilization, and convergence of legacy margins to the higher denominator.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
WY Weyerhaeuser100%none of 10 questions
IP International Paper90%none of 9 questions
SW Smurfit WestRock2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • WY
    Weyerhaeuser · 10 questions
    0%none of 10 questions
  • IP
    International Paper · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • SW
    Smurfit WestRock · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q460%none of 6 questions3
2025 Q120%none of 2 questions1
2025 Q240%none of 4 questions2
2025 Q330%none of 3 questions2
2025 Q430%none of 3 questions2
2026 Q1No questions recorded——
2026 Q230%none of 3 questions2
  1. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  2. 2025 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
  3. 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  4. 2025 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  5. 2025 Q43 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
  6. 2026 Q1No questions recorded
  7. 2026 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Supply Chain6
  • Competitive Dynamics5
  • Cost Pressure4
  • Demand4
  • Capex Investment4
  • Margin4
  • Pricing2
  • Capital Allocation2
  • Geographic Expansion2
  • Innovation & R&D2
Show all 16 topics
  • Revenue Growth2
  • Guidance Reliability1
  • Inventory1
  • M&A1
  • Trade Tariffs1
  • Macroeconomic1