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Analyst
Mig Dobre
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q3 (8 quarters).
- Questions
- 22on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 9%2 of 22 questions
- Companies
- 5questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 8with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 22 of 22 questions from 5 companies
PHParker Hannifin9 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
I'm curious if your circumstances are different and whether or not we should be planning for maybe a little more CapEx
Show response
Explained CapEx ran ~2% historically and is now 2.5% with capacity already added; credited Kaizen/lean output gains for keeping needs below peers, no step-up beyond the guide.
Calendar 2026 Q1
You have not really called out what has been going on in the Middle East in any way that was material
Show response
Jennifer addressed both directly: Middle East has very small direct revenue and no material demand impact. On tariffs, teams are managing with no expected earnings impact, citing 25+ years of price-cost discipline.
the incrementals on the industrial side looked a little bit lower than what we have seen of late
Show response
Jennifer denied any pricing lag. Lower incrementals driven by stronger OEM growth in off-highway and transportation, plus weather-related disruptions in North America. Still achieved Q3 record margin for North America.
Calendar 2025 Q3
The orders there were quite good and, frankly, better than what I would guess. A little bit of update in terms of what you're seeing in various geographies
Show response
Jenny explained international orders are choppy with one-time long-cycle orders not repeating. EMEA flat to slightly positive with slow industrial recovery. Asia positive low single digit. Mining recovery in EMEA noted.
Calendar 2025 Q2
If we annualize that, we end up with something just under $31 of EPS. And what's interesting in my observation here is that going back over the past decade
Show response
Todd explained seasonal sales split of 48/52 first/second half means Q4 is always the strongest. Q1 has compensation timing headwinds. Every Q1 guide number would still be a Q1 record.
Calendar 2025 Q1
How do these orders actually get to convert to revenues? What's kind of the time cycle here? And related to this
Show response
Jenny confirmed positive industrial growth expected in FY2026. Provided color on order drivers: NA positive 2nd consecutive quarter, international accelerated on energy/power gen, aero backlog grew to $7.3B.
I sort of do wonder how you think about the risks that you might have on the cost side, whether it's tariff or any other costs related to this backlog
Show response
Jenny outlined three mitigation buckets: pricing actions, supply chain actions, and Win Strategy cost reductions. Expressed confidence in full mitigation.
Calendar 2024 Q4
how your own thinking has evolved around this issue. What are you hearing from customers in terms of how they're preparing to deal with tariffs
Show response
Jenny highlighted Parker's local-for-local model built over the past decade, supply chain leadership tools, and no need for major realignment.
Is there anything to call out here in terms of some of these end markets bearing maybe higher margins versus the segment average
Show response
Jenny said no mix concerns within industrial verticals. Todd added distribution has a more positive margin profile but nothing out of line with normal periods.
CATCaterpillar Inc.6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
the aftermarket, the service component of the business will scale up over time?
Show response
Dobre asked how Power & Energy aftermarket/services will scale; Creed said the growing installed base creates major services opportunities, mostly beyond 2030.
Calendar 2026 Q1
Your comments on orders being the strongest since 2012 really kind of stood up
Show response
Joe noted the RI segment now includes rail (not apples-to-apples to 2012). Slightly negative Q1 pricing was due to timing of older order deliveries. Autonomy and technology investment has outsized margin impact given RI's smaller relative size. Expects margins to improve through the year.
Calendar 2025 Q4
can you comment a little bit about what's happening in some of the other segments
Show response
Creed highlighted order strength across all three segments not just P&E. CI had one of best order quarters ever from returning seasonal patterns and merchandising program success. RI had best order quarter since 2021 driven by heavy construction in North America and copper mining in South America. For long-dated P&E orders frame agreements have inflationary indices and non-frame agreements have escalators beyond twelve months.
Calendar 2025 Q3
how much of this do you think is simply a function of the various incentives
Show response
Creed said CI outperformance due to strategy and merchandising programs. Heading into 2026 with great dealer inventory position and momentum. Pricing follows normal annual process with each segment in different position. E&T much different than CI competitively. Tariff mitigation limited to no-regrets actions so far with longer-term supply chain changes requiring investment and certainty. Confident will manage tariffs over time but taking measured approach.
Calendar 2025 Q2
how much of this tariff drag you think you will be able to mitigate
Show response
Creed said too uncertain to call anything permanent with many levers available and all options on table. Too early to discuss 2026 given how much changed in one quarter. Framed outlook positively noting great operational performance momentum and raised top-line outlook building into next year. Bonfield reiterated focus on profitable growth and growing absolute OPACC dollars with volume versus price tradeoffs to be managed.
Calendar 2024 Q4
how you see this segment revenue and margin progressing sequentially
Show response
Bonfield said normally CI sees Q1 benefit from dealer inventory builds of about $1 billion last two years but expects significantly less in Q1 2025. Underlying sales to users broadly same first half to second half and down slightly for full year. Price impacts first half with about $300 million per quarter in CI. Q4 will see favorable volume offset as dealer inventory change normalizes.
ITWIllinois Tool Works4 questions · 2 reporting periods · 2 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
being able to get your organic growth back to that 4%, 5-plus percent range is really the thing that at this point seems to be needle moving
Show response
Michael said PLS running above normal 50bps maintenance rate due to Specialty repositioning. Welding and Food Equipment are near 0 PLS. Can't manage PLS from corporate, it's integral to 80/20 front-to-back.
when you sort of look at your comments for delivering above normal incremental margins, how reliant are you on PLS
Show response
Chris said incrementals driven by portfolio quality and business model execution, not just PLS. Organic growth and margins go hand in hand at 35-40%+ incrementals. Path to 30% by 2030 is through operating leverage, not cost cuts.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Have you -- at any point in time through the quarter, maybe actually felt an economic effect from this tariff uncertainty
Show response
Chris acknowledged a brief freeze in one segment shipping to China from US during peak tariff angst. Has since freed up with mitigation plans now in place. Over 90% produce-where-we-sell mitigates direct impact.
is there an argument to be made for taking a more aggressive approach at this point in a cycle
Show response
Michael said capital allocation is optimized: internal investment first, attractive dividend, ~$1.5B buybacks. M&A remains selectively aggressive. Chris cited MTS as model acquisition.
DEDeere & Company2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
Do you think there is a chance that we see demand being pulled forward here in 2027?
Show response
Asked via associate Peter Kalo; management said it is too early to tell whether the 2028 EU CAP change pulls demand forward or delays it.
Calendar 2026 Q2
you have incremental headwinds from other types of tariffs that bring you back to the $1.2 billion?
Show response
Josh Beal clarified the $1.2B is unchanged ongoing tariff expense, with the $272M refund netting it to ~$900M this year. Acknowledged rising inflation but noted more favorable comps in back half. Brent added pricing is also more favorable in H2.
URIUnited Rentals1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
is this record time utilization condition just specific to your business
Show response
Matt said it is both, URI's scale and tools give a premium, but industry-wide supply-demand is also driving higher time utilization.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| PH Parker Hannifin | 9 | 0%none of 9 questions |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works | 4 | 50%2 of 4 questions |
| DE Deere & Company | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| URI United Rentals | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2025 Q1 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 1 |
| 2025 Q2 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q3 | 4 | 50%2 of 4 questions | 3 |
| 2025 Q4 | 1 | 0%none of 1 question | 1 |
| 2026 Q1 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 2 |
| 2026 Q2 | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions | 4 |
| 2026 Q3 | 1 | 0%none of 1 question | 1 |
- 2024 Q43 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2025 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
- 2025 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q34 questions · challenge rate 50% (2 of 4 questions) · 3 companies
- 2025 Q41 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
- 2026 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
- 2026 Q24 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 4 companies
- 2026 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Demand9
- Margin8
- Trade Tariffs7
- Revenue Growth5
- Pricing3
- Supply Chain2
- Cost Pressure2
- Competitive Dynamics2
- Guidance Reliability2
- Capex Investment1
Show all 13 topics
- Regulation Policy1
- Capital Allocation1
- M&A1