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Analyst

Michael Sullivan

Wolfe Research · covers Utilities

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
83on tracked calls
Challenge rate
6%5 of 83 questions
Companies
9questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 83 of 83 questions from 9 companies

DTEDTE Energy15 questions · 6 reporting periods · 2 of 15 challenging
DTE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I wanted to just ask on the Oracle load ramp just how you’re feeling on timing there given I think that’s kind of the

Cloud & AIRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Harris confirmed the fast ramp is on track, citing equipment deliveries, aerial imagery, and DTE team presence on the construction site.

just in terms of how to think about the next one is, is the Google deal like a good template?

Cloud & AICapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Harris declined to generalize, saying terms vary by ramp, and pointed to renewables and storage near-term with a dispatchable resource later per the IRP.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Any thoughts as to whether this still remains like a core business or would it be monetized at all?

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed Trading remains core but all non-utility businesses examined annually for shareholder value opportunities. No change imminent.

the $5 billion of CapEx for the 1 gigawatt Google deal, is that like a decent rule of thumb for future deals?

Cloud & AICapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO emphasized deals are bespoke in capital timing. Google has heavy renewables/storage plus baseload. Late-stage pipeline includes some at similar scale to Google. Each deal structured differently based on resource mix needs.

any more color you can provide on just the trading rent for the quarter

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO explained Q1 trading timing was expected and similar shaping occurred in 2023/2024. Contracted positions will flow back through year. Some tailwinds from 1-3 year hedged contracts continuing from 2025. Highly confident in full-year high-end guidance.

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you just square like the timing of when you think you can get new gas to serve some of these load opportunities?

Capex InvestmentCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CEO confirmed MISO queue positions and turbine deposits secured for Monroe replacement and potential data center load. IRP filing in Q3 will determine resource mix. CCS-capable CCGT needed for 24/7 dispatchable resource once Monroe retires.

are we potentially looking at another year of trading outperformance? Or any color you can give there?

MarginGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CFO noted some 1-3 year structured/hedged contracts carry favorability into 2026 providing tailwinds, but guidance remains at $50-60M. Strong 2025 performance ($114M) allowed flexibility leverage across the company.

remind us how much incremental equity as a percent of increased CapEx general rule of thumb?

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CFO confirmed ~40% equity funding ratio for incremental capital, varying by year based on timing of cash flows and tax credits.

Calendar 2025 Q3

the $2.5 billion for CCGT investment, I think you're building a 1.5 gigawatt plant. Is that the full amount? Or are you not capturing the full investment in the 5-year

Capex InvestmentCloud & AITranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CEO confirmed CCGT investment extends beyond 5-year plan into 2031.

I think in the past, you may have all pointed to more of like a 15% to 16% FFO to debt range and looks like now just 15%. Any color on what's going on there?

ChallengingCapital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO stated 15% provides adequate cushion over rating agency thresholds (13-14%); working with agencies to ensure comfort with financing plan and strong cash flows.

in 2030, when the 45Zs go away, what is it that pushes you to the high end? Or is there like some way you can continue to book those a year beyond the expiration?

Guidance ReliabilityRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO explained 2029 expense pull-forwards provide carryover flexibility into 2030 even after 45Z expiration, maintaining high-end positioning.

Calendar 2025 Q1

what are you seeing in terms of gas new build costs and timing? And are you considering at all potentially pushing out coal retirements

Regulation PolicyCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO noted potential Section 111D rescission would improve gas plant economics; coal plants ultimately must retire due to age but may get some near-term flexibility.

can you just remind us, do you have any battery storage in your plan and what we should be expecting in terms of potential cost pressures there

Trade TariffsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO confirmed battery storage in plan but not yet purchased, providing flexibility. Reiterated 80-85% of spend on services with 1-2% worst-case tariff impact.

Calendar 2024 Q4

over the duration of the plan, can you give us what rate base growth looks like?

Capex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CFO provided a clear quantification of rate base CAGR at approximately 8%.

if you strip that out of 2025, can you just talk about what's driving Vantage lower year over year off of 2024?

ChallengingMarginRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CFO explained Vantage YoY decline due to 2024 Ford project ITCs ($50M+) not repeating, with new project ITCs expected in 2026-2027.

WECWEC Energy Group15 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 15 challenging
WEC company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

give us some perspective on potential for data center pushback, whether it be moratoriums at the state level

Regulation PolicyDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Direct: acknowledged a candidate moratorium proposal and community filings, and countered with $100 million of customer savings and water-use facts.

as you think about the capital plan continuing to grow, does it still make sense to primarily lean on the ATM for that?

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Direct: reaffirmed the ATM and raised the cash-return-versus-AFUDC lever, while saying nothing is off the table.

Calendar 2026 Q1

is there any scenario where you think you can settle in that jurisdiction

Show response

Lauber acknowledged Illinois is historically hard to settle but happy with rider settlement progress. Expects annual rate case cadence as pipe retirement ramps.

What are kind of some of the options like in terms of conversions, further push outs

Capex InvestmentRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Lauber said coal units being evaluated for natural gas conversion following EPA rules. Units 7 and 8 pushed out to ensure reliability during new capacity build.

Calendar 2025 Q4

Is it possible they actually could lower rates for customers and maybe any sense of size you could give us on the upcoming Wisconsin rate case?

Show response

Confirmed data center customers pay corporate allocations, which spreads common costs across larger rate base. More benefit visible as assets enter service in 2028-2030.

Any chance you can settle these rate cases? And then also as it relates to the riders you just settled on, I mean, it seems like the bill credits and rate base reduction creates a little bit of a h...

Regulation PolicyCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Too early to discuss Illinois rate case settlement. Reaffirmed 7-8% long-term growth rate absorbs the settlement headwind. Incremental $1B from hyperscaler growth offsets impact.

Calendar 2025 Q3

are there any thresholds that eventually you run into at some point or still a lot of runway?

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Liu confirmed billions of dollars of capacity remaining for junior subs under both S&P and Moody's frameworks.

Is the delta there from 11% to 7%-8%? Is it all just equity dilution?

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Roughly 3% from equity dilution per Liu. Bespoke VLC assets at 14% of rate base by 2030.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Do you have the ability to push out any of your planned coal shutdowns any further? And then on the new build side, are you still thinking mostly CTs?

Capex InvestmentSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

First mention of combined cycle potential. Oak Creek coal units can't extend further; same interconnect needed for new CTs. Power of Future converting to gas.

The Q2 storm damage that you booked, just more color on that

Show response

Liu explained accounting entry taken for storm damage to Texas solar. Pursuing insurance recovery and capacity restoration.

how do we assess what you need tangibly to include it formally in your plan?

Show response

Confirmed Vantage will be in 5-year plan update. Also seeing strong residential growth with 4,000 housing starts in 2 counties.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Can you give us any sense there if that were to happen?

Regulation PolicyMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Liu explained lower tax rate would benefit customers through lower bills, modestly impact holding company tax shield, but increase rate base long-term.

just a little more color on where you're seeing the tariff impacts in your capital plan?

Trade TariffsCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Detailed breakdown: distribution domestically sourced, generation 50-60% labor. Solar panels and batteries are highest tariff exposure. Would notify regulators of cost increases.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Are we going to get into that like 4.5%, 5% range by next year? Is that still a fair assumption to work with?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Liu confirmed 4.5-5% sales growth target on track for late 2026, with LC&I already growing 1.9% and 11 of 16 sectors positive.

just the upside potential beyond the $2.1 billion. When would you anticipate getting some clarity on that?

Capex InvestmentRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Described dual track: ROFR legislation in H1 2025 or competitive bids also in H1. ROFR benefits both ATC and Wisconsin customers.

CMSCMS Energy11 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 11 challenging
CMS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

what specifically would enable starting to target the high end of ’27? Is it just getting through more of the year?

Guidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Maddipati declined to name specific levers, noting it is early for 2027 and that the range will be updated through the normal planning process later this year and into early next.

Is the $3 billion upside you spoke to in the plan and part of the long-term growth rate reaffirmation?

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Maddipati confirmed the $2 billion renewables and $1 billion distribution reliability opportunities sit outside the current plan and said the balance sheet flexibility from the NorthStar repositioning means equity would not necessarily be taken up to fund them.

Calendar 2026 Q1

is this something that can contribute in the next five years if you bring these over the finish line?

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rejji said load ramps start materializing around 2028 with material ramp in the next decade. Additional CapEx likely enters the next 5-year plan, but premature to say it would immediately increase EPS growth range. Job one is converting the opportunities.

is there any world where DIG can be used as a solution?

Capex InvestmentRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Garrick said DIG-to-utility transfer was attempted in the last IRP but affiliate transaction hurdles were too large. Current IRP will propose approximately 1.5 GW of net natural gas to replace Campbell 3 and 4 peaking units. IRP includes REP-approved renewables, batteries, and a growth scenario for data center interest.

Calendar 2025 Q4

What are your thoughts on just being able to get back to more frequent settlements

Show response

Garrick remains open to settlement but comfortable going full distance given constructive outcomes. Annual rate cases keep increases small and in line with inflation. Open to longer cycles with the right construct but nothing serious in discussions yet.

how much of an impediment has that been, if at all? And how much should we think about that as just like a gating factor

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Garrick said CMS has 140 years of community relationships and helps steer data centers to pro-investment areas. Moratoriums are short (30-180 days) and still allow progress. Cited Mason, Michigan lifting its moratorium ahead of schedule with new zoning for data centers.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how to think about how much incremental equity comes with each dollar of incremental CapEx as you get ready to refresh all that?

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Rejji confirmed the ~$0.40 equity per CapEx dollar sensitivity remains the working assumption. Downward pressure possible from tax credit monetization, strong cash flow from forward test year, PPA earnings at 9%, and hybrid capacity. Data center tariff provisions focused on protecting incumbent customers, not reducing equity needs.

Can we just get more of a feel for the time line of the ramp for some of these?

DemandSubscriber GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Garrick confirmed Q2 data center at late 2029/early 2030 for first electrons with ramp thereafter. The other 2 final-stage data centers are earlier in the 5-year window, and CMS can deliver from supply and infrastructure perspective.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how you're thinking about the risk of transferability potentially going going away

Regulation PolicyCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Rejji outlined offsets: $2-3B hybrid capacity, additional equity capacity, PPA financial compensation mechanism shifting from owned to contracted renewables. $700M+ transfers still in plan.

Calendar 2024 Q4

if weather is mild again for the second or third year in a row, are there more levers to pull on that front?

Capital AllocationMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Rejji confirmed additional liability management capacity remains, plus $3B of hybrid capacity under S&P's 15% threshold. Tools include tax planning, O&M, CE Way.

do you mind just maybe bridging us a little bit from the $3 billion CapEx increase to will you increase on the equity side

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Rejji bridged from 35-40 cents equity per dollar of CapEx, yielding ~$500M equity in 2025 stepping down in outer years as tax credit transfers ramp to $700M aggregate.

PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group11 questions · 5 reporting periods · 2 of 11 challenging
PEG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

on the rate case that you're about to file, any sense of size of rate increase? Or could it potentially be a decrease

ChallengingRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Ralph declined to disclose the rate case size, saying the intent was only to signal alignment with the state's EO1 timing.

Calendar 2026 Q1

just the next couple months here into the summer resets at the legislature—anything you expect or are focused on getting done between now and then?

Regulation PolicyPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

LaRossa noted affordability remains the key legislative topic, with possible resource adequacy solutions also under discussion. Monitoring for any introduced legislation.

any color you can give on the sharp move in PJM pricing and how you are thinking about that on both sides of the house?

Show response

Cregg explained BGS provides stability for utility bills; broader market pricing depends on load growth vs supply, expects tighter market ahead.

Any color on how much you are hedging into this in the out years?

Capital AllocationPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Cregg provided high-level hedging approach, near-fully hedged for prompt year, cascading off in out years, without specific percentages.

Calendar 2025 Q4

historically, the rate base kind of rebase of the CAGR has been a bit higher than we saw this past year

ChallengingCapex InvestmentRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Cregg explained PSEG has been growing 6-7.5% off an increasingly higher base for several years, which implies higher absolute dollar growth even if the percentage CAGR appears stable.

I think for a while now, you all have had in your slide deck over the forecast period 90% regulated earnings. Is that still true

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Cregg said the mix could shift modestly if power prices rise but no major change expected. LaRossa added that the PTC floor functions like a regulated return, so nuclear risk profile is quasi-regulated even below the threshold.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what are the other options if that weren't to move forward? And then we saw kind of next door in Pennsylvania, one of your peers doing kind of a JV

Regulation PolicyCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

LaRossa firmly ruled out return to merchant generation. Without legislative change, PSEG is left with the PJM process, which has not attracted new baseload generation in New Jersey.

any numbers around those 2 items you can give us

Regulation PolicyCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Cregg said the main benefit was preserving existing PTC protections. Bonus depreciation applies only to the unregulated piece with limited capital, providing modest help.

Calendar 2025 Q1

just wanted to get your thoughts on the governor's challenge of the previous PJM auction results

Regulation PolicyMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

LaRossa said political leaders asking questions is expected after such a spike. Cregg added they are not aware of anything problematic but the investigation is reasonable.

do you think the short-term solutions are sufficient enough to kind of tamp down some of the political rhetoric here

Regulation PolicyCost PressureTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

LaRossa acknowledged 5-6 year turbine lead times, emphasizing that decisions need to be made now. Current law prohibits PSEG from building generation; legislative change is the prerequisite.

is regulated generation in New Jersey the only solution that's being considered? Or are there any other bills

Regulation PolicyCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

LaRossa outlined three paths: rate-based generation, incenting competitive generation, or importing via new wires. PSEG positioned to participate in all three scenarios.

NRGNRG Energy9 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 9 challenging
NRG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

if you could just elaborate a little more on what you're looking at on the funding side of things

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Bruce said the base case funds the project on balance sheet, extending the 3x leverage target to 2029; a partner could free capacity to increase buybacks.

Calendar 2026 Q1

to hit the 2029 COD, what we need to do in terms of equipment procurement for this year?

Cloud & AICapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Gaudette confirmed need for deal closure in 2026 for 2029 COD but declined specifics. Identified infrastructure interconnections and gas infrastructure as remaining work items rather than economics.

the pace of buybacks was pretty quick year-to-date. Anything to read into that? I know a chunk of it was the direct transaction with LS

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Chung said they were opportunistic on buybacks when stock was undervalued. Plan remains $1 billion but would deploy extra cash flow toward repurchases if available.

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you maybe just frame that up between like the test, the VPP, some of the other things? What are kind of the core drivers?

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Bruce Chung outlined: $750M organic growth plan (50% Smart Home, 50% C&I/retail), all 3 TEF plants, 445MW data center deals. 80/20 organic vs buyback split.

Any sense of timing there just in terms of what you're going to do, particularly with the RBA going on in the background

Capex InvestmentCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Rob Gaudette noted engineers assessing both the 1GW uprate plus additional 25-50MW incremental clips across other assets for the RBA.

Calendar 2025 Q2

how you're thinking about the cadence of updating your outlook, should we be thinking about like Q3 as a stand-alone update

Guidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Management plans standalone NRG update at Q3, with combined LS Power update expected at year-end or Q1 call after close.

any more color on maybe why the load ramp is a little bit slower than maybe we would think for something in Texas?

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Rob Gaudette explained the deal involves edge-type modular data centers that ramp in smaller increments versus hyperscaler 100MW clips.

Calendar 2024 Q4

the eighty-twenty framework that holds through this full period, like, even beyond twenty-nine when you're doing

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management expects 80/20 to hold for next 3 years but acknowledged capital allocation may evolve in the 2027-2029 ramp period.

can you give us a sense of this GV agreement, the new builds you're gonna do there, how the cost compares to the brownfields

Capex InvestmentMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management indicated GEV/Kiewit builds at $1,500-2,000/kW market rate, expecting to significantly exceed posted hurdle rates.

AESAES Corporation8 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 8 challenging
AES company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you give us a sense of how much lag you're seeing in Ohio today and then what that can move to in a 3-year forward test year world?

Regulation PolicyRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Steve outlined two-track Ohio strategy: existing rate case settlement expected near-term with new rates Q1 2026, plus filing under new 3-year forward structure later this year for rates in 2027.

any more detail you can give us on the PPAs that you signed in the quarter, whether it be location or resource type?

DemandCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Andres disclosed 650 MW was with Meta and all 1.6 GW was data center customers. Skewed towards solar plus batteries overall. Declined to provide specific project locations.

any further evolution in your thoughts in terms of new gas plant build for data centers have conversations progressed there at all?

Show response

Andres confirmed AES will build gas if customers request it, noting 10 GW of gas currently in operation, but will react to customer requirements rather than proactively pushing gas.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Wanted to just ask on where we stand on the longer-term asset sale target. Are you still shooting for that 3.5 billion? Where are we against that?

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Steve reported $3.4B of $3.5B target achieved. Remaining $500M through 2027 from Vietnam sale, smaller thermal portfolio sales, operating renewable partnerships, and potential technology portfolio.

Do you all have any view on kind of when this starts to take shape in the Reconciliation Bill? Feels like things starting to come to a head a little bit

Show response

Andres reported constructive Hill meetings. Expects reconciliation before August recess with pragmatic outcome. Safe Harbor seen as critical to maintaining credibility of US programs.

Calendar 2024 Q4

on just interest rates. I think you have a couple of parent maturities coming up. Should we think of those as derisked from a sensitivity standpoint, or what are you embedding there in terms of refi

CreditMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Steve confirmed refis are nearly fully hedged with no additional interest exposure. Maturities in July and January will be addressed 3-6 months in advance.

The 5% to 7% EBITDA CAGR, can you get in that range in 2026 off of 2023, or are we really looking to 2027 to really get in there?

ChallengingRevenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Steve confirmed 2026 will hit the CAGR trendline with low-teens EBITDA growth, driven by accelerated cost restructuring. 2025 growth muted by Brazil exit and Warrior Run headwinds.

Any chance we can get that on an EBITDA basis? Just trying to think about when you had the Analyst Day, you said coal was like a $750 million roll-off. What does that look like now through 2027?

Capital AllocationCost PressureTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Steve quantified that roughly a third of the $750M coal EBITDA (~$250M) may continue beyond 2027, a meaningful change from the prior full-exit plan.

Show 3 more companies
EVRGEvergy6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
EVRG company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

maybe if you could just give us a sense of potential to settle the Missouri case this year?

Show response

Campbell noted positive settlement track record, with Missouri Metro settlement conferences scheduled for September. Missouri West expected to file late 2026/early 2027 with rates above inflation near-term but manageable long-term.

how important is visibility into ultimately having a hyperscaler offtaker?

Show response

Campbell described hyperscaler visibility as important but not the only path, noting LLPS requires all customers to meet credit and collateral requirements including letters of credit if no investment-grade parent.

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you give us any sense of incremental load growth, what does that do for CapEx and earnings? And then how much of incremental CapEx needs to be financed with equity?

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Buckler cited 50-50 debt-equity rule of thumb for incremental capital, with Campbell noting next ESAs would be similar in size to the 4 announced.

are you assuming the like 80% minimum bill level or the full ramp? Or is that basically what the range is between those two?

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Campbell explained first 2 years are modeled at 80% minimum for conservatism, then expected case from year 3 onward.

Calendar 2024 Q4

How do we think about that matching up with the economic development pipeline you show on slide seven? Like, how much of the load is covered by the generation projects

Capex InvestmentDemandTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Campbell detailed that 1.1 GW of load expected by end of 2029 from both actively building and finalizing categories, with generation capacity planned to serve it.

Can you maybe just give a sense of timeline for that to get passed and likelihood there, and then also if it does, what it actually means for your plan?

Show response

Campbell expressed confidence SB 4 will pass, describing it as transformative for enabling CWIP, PISA expansion, and streamlined generation resource processes.

VSTVistra Corp.6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
VST company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Should we just think about that as kind of netting out to a similar place or any kind of upward or downward bias around that range

Guidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Moldovan said the strong start positions 2026 at or above the midpoint and that 2027 would trend toward the lower end of the maintained range as ERCOT forwards are meaningfully lower, partly offset by PJM, hedging, and the nuclear PTC; Cogentrix and Meta remain excluded and could add roughly $700 million.

I want to ask a little more on the Helix platform and just how you see that playing out

Show response

Burke described Helix as additive, extending Vistra's channel to evaluate more deals across existing and new assets with a simpler customer solution; the incremental $500 million is milestone-gated to align interests, and Helix can fund powered-shell/land capital Vistra's shareholders would not want to.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Do you think about that as precluding you at all from doing any other deals in the interim? And any market power issues

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Burke confirmed Lotus does not preclude further M&A. Has headroom in major PJM markets and ERCOT. Expects to evaluate future opportunities as they arise.

Is that specifically referring to Comanche Peak? Or are there other opportunities?

Show response

Burke confirmed year-end update expectation applies across fleet, not just Comanche Peak. Working on front-of-meter and co-located deals across portfolio.

Calendar 2024 Q4

what should we think about the likelihood of the cap four proposal passing for the capacity auction

Regulation PolicyCloud & AITranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Burke expressed confidence in cap/floor approval for next two auctions. On SB6, flagged the remote disconnect switch as most concerning provision to data center customers, who see it as unusual and unique to Texas.

the forward outlook and maybe why the decision to continue to mark off of November curves

PricingGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Burke and Moldovan explained the cadence issue, once they move the number, market expects ranges. Prefer to give formal 2026 guidance on Q3 call. Strong signal that $6B+ is conservative.

FEFirstEnergy2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
FE company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

Is that an evolution in your thought process? And would that be something like similar to what PPL, Blackstone announced

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Tierney clarified this is not an evolution, they discussed regulated-risk-profile generation previously. Won't be merchant generator.

Are you mainly looking at building new dispatchable generation yourself? Or would you consider buying something that someone else may be developing

Show response

Tierney open to all options but focused on WV integrated investment where regulatory framework is most supportive.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
DTE DTE Energy1513%2 of 15 questions
WEC WEC Energy Group150%none of 15 questions
CMS CMS Energy110%none of 11 questions
PEG Public Service Enterprise Group1118%2 of 11 questions
NRG NRG Energy90%none of 9 questions
AES AES Corporation813%1 of 8 questions
EVRG Evergy60%none of 6 questions
VST Vistra Corp.60%none of 6 questions
FE FirstEnergy2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • DTE
    DTE Energy · 15 questions
    13%2 of 15 questions
  • WEC
    WEC Energy Group · 15 questions
    0%none of 15 questions
  • CMS
    CMS Energy · 11 questions
    0%none of 11 questions
  • PEG
    Public Service Enterprise Group · 11 questions
    18%2 of 11 questions
  • NRG
    NRG Energy · 9 questions
    0%none of 9 questions
  • AES
    AES Corporation · 8 questions
    13%1 of 8 questions
  • EVRG
    Evergy · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • VST
    Vistra Corp. · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • FE
    FirstEnergy · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q41513%2 of 15 questions7
2025 Q1100%none of 10 questions5
2025 Q2140%none of 14 questions6
2025 Q3714%1 of 7 questions3
2025 Q4138%1 of 13 questions6
2026 Q1140%none of 14 questions6
2026 Q21010%1 of 10 questions6
  1. 2024 Q415 questions · challenge rate 13% (2 of 15 questions) · 7 companies
  2. 2025 Q110 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 10 questions) · 5 companies
  3. 2025 Q214 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 14 questions) · 6 companies
  4. 2025 Q37 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q413 questions · challenge rate 8% (1 of 13 questions) · 6 companies
  6. 2026 Q114 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 14 questions) · 6 companies
  7. 2026 Q210 questions · challenge rate 10% (1 of 10 questions) · 6 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Capex Investment26
  • Regulation Policy26
  • Capital Allocation21
  • Demand14
  • Cloud & AI12
  • Guidance Reliability11
  • Revenue Growth8
  • Margin7
  • Pricing5
  • Cost Pressure4
Show all 17 topics
  • Competitive Dynamics3
  • Macroeconomic3
  • Credit2
  • M&A2
  • Supply Chain2
  • Trade Tariffs2
  • Subscriber Growth1