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Analyst

Rafe Jadrosich

Bank of America · covers Industrials, Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q2 (8 quarters).

Questions
41on tracked calls
Challenge rate
5%2 of 41 questions
Companies
5questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 41 of 41 questions from 5 companies

DHID. R. Horton14 questions · 8 reporting periods · 0 of 14 challenging
DHI company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

can you remind us the lag between when lumber prices move and when it shows up in your gross margin

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Bill said lumber price changes take two to three quarters to flow into delivered-home gross margin.

Calendar 2026 Q1

Can you talk about your exposure to land banking, maybe as a percentage of the option mix and then your ability to actually slow down the pace of the lot takedowns

InventoryCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Murray said land banking is mid-single-digit percent of lot portfolio. Most lots from third-party developers or Forestar. Have been working with developers to adjust takedown schedules.

can you help us at all with how we should think about the community count growth in the second half of the year

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Hansen said still up low double-digit YoY. Sales up 11% matching community count growth with no absorption decline, a positive sign. Expects moderation to mid-single-digit but timing uncertain.

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you compare the market today versus, say, a year ago in terms of the demand and inventory that's out there

Show response

Romanowski said more balanced inventory vs. a year ago. Encouraged by traffic and interest. Comfortable with community count, inventory position, and field teams heading into spring.

Is it flattening out now Or is there still opportunity to take more cost out

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Romanowski said still opportunity for stick and brick savings. Prior starts reduction was intentional to negotiate with trades and suppliers. Guide is flat but believes further reductions possible.

Calendar 2025 Q3

the delivery outlook seems like it's more second half weighted. Can you talk about like the starts pace and community count that you're assuming

Supply ChainDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Romanowski acknowledged starts need to increase materially from 14,600. Wheat said community count growth moderating to mid-to-high single digit but still up double digits currently.

Can you just tell us what the year-over-year increases on lot cost? And then what you'd expect that to be through 2026

Show response

Hansen said lot costs up 8% YoY per square foot with best case mid-single-digit and could remain high-single-digit as it takes time to flow through to closings.

Calendar 2025 Q2

If we were to sort of normalize for that, what are you seeing for sort of underlying lot cost and inflation and just given some of the softness in the market more recently

Cost PressurePricingTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Romanowski said near-term lot cost inflation expected to persist at mid-single-digit. Relief from any market softness would take several quarters to flow through to closings.

when you compare the performance in the larger markets that you operate versus some of the smaller markets, maybe where you have more private competition. Is there a big difference

Competitive DynamicsGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Romanowski said secondary markets with less public builder competition are showing better performance to plan this year than larger markets with more public builder competition.

Calendar 2025 Q1

you've pulled back on starts here and the market is a little bit softer. Have you seen any relief there on land

Cost PressurePricingTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

No relief in land costs despite softer market. Lot costs up 3% QoQ and 10% YoY. Still very difficult to bring communities online.

Is that just an improvement on delivery growth that will get you leverage? Or is that like if the market flow remains soft, you would reduce spending

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Near-term leverage from seasonal volume improvement in H2. Longer-term, market-level adjustments to overhead if volume weakness persists.

Calendar 2024 Q4

have you continued that pace of buyback quarter-to-date? And then how do we think about sort of the pace as we go through the year

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Repurchase pace continued into early Q2 given low stock price. No change in overall strategy, flexibility to accelerate on valuation dips.

Can you just run us in what that implies for the year-over-year trend? And then how do we think about that for the remainder of the year

Cost PressurePricingTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Lot costs up 10% YoY, 3% sequentially. Base case for continued low-to-mid single-digit sequential increases. YoY should moderate over next few quarters.

Calendar 2024 Q3

Can you talk about what you're anticipating for land inflation in the first quarter and then through 2025

Cost PressurePricingTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Lot cost inflation moderating from double-digit to high-single-digit, expected to reach mid-single-digit through FY2025.

BLDRBuilders FirstSource12 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 12 challenging
BLDR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

And then can you just talk about the inbound and outbound freight impact from higher diesel prices?

Cost PressureSupply ChainMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Beckmann held the full-year fuel headwind, split inbound through cost of goods sold and outbound through SG&A, and cited a 20% rise in surcharge pass-through.

On the market share commentary, I think you said you held share in the second quarter.

Competitive DynamicsDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Jackson gave a qualitative answer and flagged it as an emotional rather than data-driven read on optimism fading through the quarter.

Calendar 2026 Q1

You are above the sort of target, the long-term target leverage range, but you bought back $300 million. Can you just talk about that decision and strategy going forward?

ChallengingCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO walked through capital deployment priority stack: balance sheet first, then core investment, then M&A, then buybacks. Opportunistic purchase during Middle East-driven dip.

could you just help us understand how you handle sort of higher diesel costs and some of the inflation.

Cost PressurePricingTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

CFO confirmed diesel passed through via surcharges and embedded pricing. Both inbound and outbound fuel costs not insignificant. Evaluating closely.

Calendar 2025 Q3

I'm wondering if you could sort of just remind us on what you saw in terms of market share through the year

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CFO detailed share analysis: Q3 flat to slightly up, YTD flat after structural adjustments. Starts down ~5% lag basis vs 8% sales decline. CEO sees this as evidence of approaching bottom.

on a year-over-year basis, has been down by more than lumber over the last few quarters. That spread, is that just the different end market exposure

Show response

CFO attributed to multifamily lapping hitting both truss and now millwork. CEO added pressure across the board from deleverage of value-add facilities. EWP also facing headwinds.

Calendar 2025 Q2

your EBITDA margin is 300 basis points above where you were in 2019. It'd be helpful if you could just talk about like how much of that is mix, productivity, scale?

MarginCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO attributed improvement to value-add mix shift (M&A and organic) and continuous improvement culture. Both factors considered durable and real.

if starts stay where we are today for the extended period of time just because of the macro, are there levers that you could pull from a cost perspective?

Cost PressureCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO noted 70% variable SG&A already adjusting, some fixed cost chunks available. Maintaining strategic vision while managing near-term. Equilibrium forming on share and margin.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is that more on the commodity side or manufactured products? And is that -- are you seeing that broad-based across the country?

Competitive DynamicsPricingTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CEO explained commodities were attacked first, other categories followed more slowly. Regional differentiation based on utilization and competitive intensity.

it implies second half growth over the first half, which is a little bit stronger than what you've done sort of historically. Can you just talk about some of the assumptions

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

CFO attributed to normal seasonality, multifamily stabilization, and acquisition contributions in back half. Not assuming a ramp or market recovery.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you just talk about how big that is today as a percentage of either EBITDA or revenue? What is the margin profile of install

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CFO confirmed install at 16-17% of sales (~$1.7B), margins in line with installed product categories, with many opportunities to expand.

at the 2023 Investor Day, some of the long-term targets you laid out, you were assuming 4% market outgrowth from share gains

Competitive DynamicsRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

CEO acknowledged Investor Day targets are a long putt. Share gains in 2025 are modest, centered on digital with focus on defending existing share.

MASMasco8 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 8 challenging
MAS company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

what's sort of the offset that's letting you hold the full year plumbing revenue guide?

ChallengingRevenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Pointed to first-half plumbing up low single digits net of the investments as the basis for holding the full-year guide.

were they contemplated in the previous guidance? And are they associated with any specific opportunities

Guidance ReliabilityCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Confirmed plainly that the investments were not in prior guidance and were an opportunistic use of the refund.

Calendar 2026 Q1

how much would you attribute to just broader consumer resilience and the category holding up relative to your market share outperforming

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Jon attributed beat to both category resilience and share gains, with share gains likely the larger contributor. All channels contributing, firing on all cylinders.

can you talk about what the copper price is embedded in guidance for the second half of the year

Cost PressureMarginTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Rick declined specific copper assumption but indicated late-2025 levels as reasonable baseline. $6+/lb represents a headwind. Taking proactive cost reduction, efficiency, and pricing actions to mitigate. Volatile environment requires ongoing monitoring.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how much of that of the impact is being like in your P&L today? And how do we think about that going forward

Trade TariffsMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Rick confirmed vast majority of tariff cost hits in H2, with Q3 including $15M from 145% China window (hopefully onetime). $270M annualized is the go-forward run rate, subject to geopolitical changes.

are you -- is the plan to fully mitigate in 2026? And then of those, you listed a few things that you're shifting supply chain pricing

Trade TariffsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Rick confirmed goal of full dollar + margin offset but declined to commit to 2026 timeline specifically. Will provide 2026 expectations on February call. Sourcing footprint is largest lever but takes time.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what did you see in terms of what you saw in terms of sell-through in the second quarter? And like what drove the improvement

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Rick confirmed strong underlying demand beyond pre-buy effect, particularly in e-commerce and trade channels. Expects continued market outperformance.

can you just give some more color on like what the exposure there is by country

Trade TariffsSupply ChainTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Rick declined country-level exposure detail beyond China $450M. The $70M non-China covers reciprocal tariffs plus steel/aluminum across the diversified sourcing base.

PHMPulteGroup6 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
PHM company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

How do we think about the starts versus closings cadence in the second half of the year

Show response

Management said spec reduction is essentially complete and starts will link more tightly to sales as BTO grows.

The debt to cap at 12%, obviously, it's pretty low. What would you have to see to bring that higher

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Management said capital needs drive leverage decisions and it sees no argument for more debt in the current environment.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you talk about where you are in terms of finished specs per community today and where you want that to be

Show response

Marshall quantified finished specs at ~2 per community vs ideal ~1.2. Expects to normalize in 2026 while increasing build-to-order sales mix.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Can you talk about when that would potentially start to flow through your P&L and on the actual cost side?

Cost PressureCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Marshall outlined typical 12-18 month lag from land savings to P&L impact: 6-9 month development cycle plus 4-month construction, so savings today benefit late 2026.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Just can you talk about from a regional perspective were there meaningful differences with the incentive level?

PricingGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Marshall declined to provide regional incentive breakdown, redirecting to earlier buyer-group discussion. Company does not disclose incentives at regional level.

Can you just talk about how you would expect that to trend sort of through '25 or maybe even to '26, like the land that you're contracting today

Cost PressureCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Marshall noted raw land price stabilization but continued pressure from horizontal development wages and materials. 85%+ of development managed internally.

ALLEAllegion1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
ALLE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

how do you think about kind of quantifying the prebuy relative to the sell-through rate there?

Show response

Wagnes said retail inventories were normal and resi strength reflected true consumer demand in electronics rather than stocking, and flagged a tough Q3 comp.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
DHI D. R. Horton140%none of 14 questions
BLDR Builders FirstSource128%1 of 12 questions
MAS Masco813%1 of 8 questions
PHM PulteGroup60%none of 6 questions
ALLE Allegion1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • DHI
    D. R. Horton · 14 questions
    0%none of 14 questions
  • BLDR
    Builders FirstSource · 12 questions
    8%1 of 12 questions
  • MAS
    Masco · 8 questions
    13%1 of 8 questions
  • PHM
    PulteGroup · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • ALLE
    Allegion · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q310%none of 1 question1
2024 Q460%none of 6 questions3
2025 Q140%none of 4 questions2
2025 Q270%none of 7 questions4
2025 Q370%none of 7 questions4
2025 Q420%none of 2 questions1
2026 Q1617%1 of 6 questions3
2026 Q2813%1 of 8 questions5
  1. 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  3. 2025 Q14 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 4 questions) · 2 companies
  4. 2025 Q27 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  5. 2025 Q37 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  6. 2025 Q42 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
  7. 2026 Q16 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 3 companies
  8. 2026 Q28 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 5 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Cost Pressure14
  • Demand9
  • Competitive Dynamics9
  • Pricing8
  • Margin7
  • Inventory5
  • Revenue Growth5
  • Supply Chain4
  • Capital Allocation4
  • Geographic Expansion3
Show all 15 topics
  • Trade Tariffs3
  • Guidance Reliability2
  • Capex Investment2
  • Macroeconomic1
  • Credit1