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Analyst
Sam Margolin
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2025 Q3 – 2026 Q2 (4 quarters).
- Questions
- 26on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 0%none of 26 questions
- Companies
- 8questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 4with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 26 of 26 questions from 8 companies
VLOValero Energy6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Is there anything changing on the feedstock side that affects your view of crude-throughput optionality?
Show response
Acknowledged the trend but explicitly declined to detail specific strategic projects.
And so the question is just, how are you thinking about growth opportunities within that?
Show response
Direct on project type and discipline, though no dollar figure for go-forward strategic spend beyond the historical range.
Calendar 2025 Q4
how much you think heavy crude globally has sort of been overvalued a refinery economics perspective
Show response
Randy noted that during 2025 differentials were so narrow that sweet vs sour was indifferent through Q2-Q3, but current levels firmly favor maximizing heavy and medium sour purchases to fill refineries and downstream units.
How much is inflation a factor with with the gated process and returns
Show response
Lane noted construction inflation has roughly doubled project costs (alky units from ~$300-400M to ~$600M), making it harder to clear return thresholds against forward price assumptions, and confirmed interest in M&A through a processing/trading arbitrage lens.
Calendar 2025 Q3
what looks like a fairly heavy schedule of capacity additions next year
Show response
Gary noted 460K bpd demand growth vs 415K bpd net additions for 2026, with many new facilities unable to reach nameplate and 1.5M bpd of Russian capacity offline.
we're like a year into TMX barrels sort of fully flowing. And I wonder if you could share any insights you have into the differential side
Show response
Gary noted TMX barrels mostly flow to Asia, but broader quality differentials are widening (WCS at 12%, Maya at 14% discount to Brent), with OPEC and Canadian barrels starting to reach U.S.
MPCMarathon Petroleum5 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
how you see growth potential on the refining side, you know, in the context of not only product shortages
Show response
Management stressed capital discipline: high-return reliability and yield projects, not market-timing bets.
Calendar 2026 Q1
your refining capital is directed to all these optimization projects and yield enhancements
Show response
CEO clearly delineated MPLX (mid-teens returns, nat gas/NGL focus) vs MPC refining (25% hurdle, yield optimization). No capital competition issue.
whether would ever want to participate in those end markets and leverage MPLX's growing exposure into that vertical
Show response
CEO and Rick described integrated value chain: MPC has natural gas short, MPLX supplies; commercial org optimizing through cogen and pipeline positions.
Calendar 2025 Q3
how much of the, I guess, abnormal jet to diesel relationship in the quarter, would you attribute to kind of unusual volatility
Show response
Rick called it unprecedented and inventory/supply-driven, lasting about 1-1.5 months; not structural. Demand hard data shows diesel/jet up modestly, gasoline flat, no slowdown.
It looks very much like the mid-cycle might be lifting higher based on kind of long-term capacity trends
Show response
Rick pointed to disproportionate crack responses to any disruption as evidence of structural tightness; strong diesel signals from over-the-road, containers, harvest; Russian drone attacks driving European diesel demand.
CVXChevron Corporation4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
Can you just talk about your available LNG position right now and optimization opportunities
Show response
Wirth explained Australian volumes are largely termed to Asia while West Africa and North America feed Europe; strong JKM/TTF. Direct.
Calendar 2026 Q1
has anything changed, or are you adjusting your operating posture within this highly volatile environment
Show response
Wirth said timing effects are expected in rising price environments and will reverse. Company focused on maintaining supply, directing crude to refineries in tight markets, managing counterparty risks.
Calendar 2025 Q4
given the cost and productivity structure of your operation there, feels like it's getting incrementally capital efficient to accelerate
Show response
Bonner confirmed Permian at $3.5B CapEx ahead of target. Drilling efficiency more than doubled since 2022. Extending efficiency to DJ, Bakken, and Argentina through consolidated shale organization. Focus remains on growing cash flow not production.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Can you elaborate a little bit on what drove the Permian result? And if you're seeing some better results in the field?
Show response
Wirth attributed strong result to continued efficiency gains with fewer rigs and spreads. No change to plans to moderate growth and focus on cash generation. More detail at Investor Day.
EQTEQT Corporation4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
could it develop kind of a unique deficit just given the fact that nobody else but you seems to be really focused on
Show response
Knop called the Zone 5 market one of the most lucrative in the continental US given LNG demand pull down Transco plus local Carolinas load, which is why EQT is building Southgate.
Calendar 2026 Q1
Are there going to be any immediate returns with the start-up of those projects, whether it's in sales mix and realizations or costs that we can expect
Show response
Jeremy indicated no direct near-term returns correlation with Q2 peak growth spending, just operational lumpiness in large-scale combo development.
Calendar 2025 Q3
should we expect basis hedging to really be reduced and deemphasized just given what your capabilities are now
Show response
Jeremy disclosed basis hedging reduced from ~90% historically to far less for 2026+; curtailments effectively serve as a natural basis hedge by withholding gas during price dislocations.
I wonder if that's the catalyst to change pricing structure around gas supply deals. Utilities are comfortable with variable pricing maybe the hyperscalers directly would prefer something a little ...
Show response
Toby said hyperscalers prefer simplicity, fixed rate per kWh, which creates opportunities for EQT to add cash flow durability through structured pricing; turbine orders sometimes looking for homes.
COPConocoPhillips2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
any friction or points of conflict in taking that position as the as the leader in regular dividend growth
Show response
O'Brien addressed it directly, citing a structurally falling breakeven and the buyback lowering the absolute dividend burden as enabling top-quartile growth.
Calendar 2025 Q4
could we ask you to decompose that progression a little bit and maybe at least frame where the range of LNG contribution
Show response
Andy O'Brien decomposed the trajectory: 2026 driven by OpEx/CapEx savings, 2027-2028 driven significantly by LNG (NFE, Port Arthur, NFS) with revenue plus CapEx rolloff. COP longer Henry Hub gas than LNG, $400M sensitivity per $1 on HH vs $200M on LNG.
OXYOccidental Petroleum2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
do you think there's an opportunity to maybe rebase that business in any way
Show response
Richard said midstream's core purpose is ensuring delivery of Oxy's product, with upside from marketing beyond equity volumes.
how you've managed to kind of make this change and focus on different zones
Show response
Babatunde cited Delaware secondary-bench development about 40% higher than the industry average, with activity expanded to the mid-40s.
Show 2 more companies
PSXPhillips 662 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
maybe just your latest thoughts on CPChem both strategically after this slate of projects you have come online
Show response
Mark cited $845M PSX share of CPChem EBITDA in 2025 downturn. Needs ~20M metric tons of rationalization globally to reach 85% utilization. US running at 90% vs Asia Pacific and Europe at ~65%. Expects 5-7M tons to come offline in Asia in 2026-2027.
the question is how you are gonna frame that on the spending side
Show response
Don described organic flywheel of gas plant every 12-18 months plus additional fractionators, supplemented by lower-capital optimization projects across pipes and terminals. Kevin noted Western Gateway not in current projections, adding further post-2027 growth potential.
XOMExxonMobil1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
insofar as some of the reversal of the timing effects is related to execution wins within the business
Show response
Darren explained timing is accounting mismatch: long physical, short paper derivatives. Rising prices create negative timing effects that reverse as physicals settle. Neil confirmed underlying optimization consistently delivers positive earnings. Additional press release disclosure provided to show underlying value.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| VLO Valero Energy | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| EQT EQT Corporation | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| XOM ExxonMobil | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- VLOValero Energy · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- MPCMarathon Petroleum · 5 questions0%none of 5 questions
- CVXChevron Corporation · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- EQTEQT Corporation · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- COPConocoPhillips · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- OXYOccidental Petroleum · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- PSXPhillips 66 · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- XOMExxonMobil · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q3 | 7 | 0%none of 7 questions | 4 |
| 2025 Q4 | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions | 4 |
| 2026 Q1 | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions | 4 |
| 2026 Q2 | 8 | 0%none of 8 questions | 6 |
- 2025 Q37 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 4 companies
- 2025 Q46 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 6 questions) · 4 companies
- 2026 Q15 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 5 questions) · 4 companies
- 2026 Q28 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 8 questions) · 6 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Competitive Dynamics9
- Capital Allocation7
- Capex Investment7
- Supply Chain6
- Demand5
- Pricing5
- Macroeconomic3
- Geographic Expansion2
- Innovation & R&D2
- Revenue Growth2
Show all 12 topics
- Cost Pressure1
- Cloud & AI1