Start 30 days free, no card. Full Pro access for a month, then decide. Start free

Back to analysts list

Analyst

Simeon Siegel

Guggenheim · covers Consumer Cyclical

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q3 – 2026 Q3 (9 quarters; questions recorded in 8).

Questions
14on tracked calls
Challenge rate
0%none of 14 questions
Companies
4questioned at least once
Reporting periods
8with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 14 of 14 questions from 4 companies

NKENIKE, Inc.6 questions · 5 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
NKE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q3

curious if you can speak to your confidence in these numbers and your thoughts on how much you've been able to learn

Guidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Denton said the range came from a bottoms-up business and financial plan review that pressure-tested trends, and that teams are accountable for delivering it.

any way to frame for us how large performance versus Sportswear and Jordan are in the U.S.?

Revenue GrowthDemandTranscript · FY2027 Q1 →
Show response

Hill credited Running, Global Football and Basketball for North America's 2% growth and strong sell-through, but did not size Performance vs. Sportswear/Jordan in the U.S.

Calendar 2026 Q1

any color you can share on DTC gross margins or just any way to think about the health of that channel

PricingCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q3 →
Show response

Elliott reframed DTC as one part of a balanced, integrated marketplace; Matt cited sequential Digital growth in North America, improvement in average retail discounts, higher NIKE app demand, and February's inflection to positive growth across all NA channels for the first time in two years.

Calendar 2025 Q4

the North America revenue growth it was just such a big number even before accounting for this large Classics reset

Revenue GrowthCost PressureTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Elliott cited running, global football, training, basketball (GT Future, AJ4 Black Cat largest Black Friday launch ever, AJ11 Gamma), and Jordan as NA growth drivers; Matt said wholesale unit growth creates meaningful supply chain and overhead leverage, demand creation will stay near 10% of revenue.

Calendar 2025 Q1

how are you going to balance the promotional, just like as you think about the presentation and bringing out promotions

Show response

Elliott said excess inventory will be cleared through NIKE value channels while digital and physical retail floor sets go full price, using running resets as a template.

Calendar 2024 Q3

revenues were down double-digits, but the gross margin still grew nicely this quarter.

MarginRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Friend declined to size the classic franchises but explained they carry attractive margins (especially via Digital), so trimming them in the Direct/Digital channels creates a transitory margin headwind.

ROSTRoss Stores4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
ROST company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

What percent of the growth in transactions at this point are coming from new acquisition versus that greater frequency of existing

DemandRevenue GrowthTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Conroy confirmed new customers were the primary driver of transactions but did not provide a specific split. Hartshorn added long-term model of double-digit EPS growth with 5% unit growth and 3-4% comp.

Calendar 2026 Q1

any way to frame how AUR has been looking at a category level

PricingCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Conroy said AUR increase was modest and disproportionately in home (tariff-affected). Other categories saw minimal AUR change. Gained confidence in ability to shift to slightly higher-priced goods. Sheehan split CapEx: ~1/3 each DCs and new stores, ~25% store maintenance, balance for tech.

Calendar 2025 Q2

what's the best way to think about what comp you need to leverage overall SG&A at this point

Show response

Hartshorn confirmed EBIT margin held flat on a flat comp this quarter but longer-term leverage point remains 3-4%. Said nothing notable about children's to call out.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Have you given any color on what the kind of brand penetration or the tweaking that you've done?

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

high

TJXTJX Companies2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
TJX company page →

Calendar 2026 Q1

I was curious if you have any thoughts yet on impacts that the uncertainty might have on the vendors and channel inventory going forward

Trade TariffsCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2026 Q4 →
Show response

Ernie said too early to predict vendor behavior with tariff changes but expects some vendors to adjust prices down if tariff relief comes. TJX model benefits from watching and reacting. On shrink, John noted 20bp annual improvements each of last 2 years back to pre-COVID levels. Wins going forward will be smaller but teams not taking foot off the gas.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Do you feel like you can buy backwards for all your product and be somewhat cost input-agnostic

Show response

Ernie explained retail-backwards buying is core to the model. John clarified the inventory hedge mark-to-market is a timing item that will offset when invoices are paid in Q2-Q3.

ULTAUlta Beauty2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
ULTA company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

how are you thinking about ticket versus transactions embedded within the full-year guide

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Paula noted Q1 ticket growth driven by higher ASP from category/brand mix and lower promo. Declined to forecast ticket/transaction split. Investment spend shifted to later quarters.

Calendar 2024 Q4

any further color you can share on how you're thinking about the broader competitive and promotional landscape over holiday?

Competitive DynamicsMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q3 →
Show response

Kimbell confirmed promotional intensity continuing but Q3 rates lower than Q2, with tent-pole event amplification improving effectiveness. Oyibo raised full-year operating margin and EPS reflecting Q3 performance.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
NKE NIKE, Inc.60%none of 6 questions
ROST Ross Stores40%none of 4 questions
TJX TJX Companies2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
ULTA Ulta Beauty2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • NKE
    NIKE, Inc. · 6 questions
    0%none of 6 questions
  • ROST
    Ross Stores · 4 questions
    0%none of 4 questions
  • TJX
    TJX Companies · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • ULTA
    Ulta Beauty · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q310%none of 1 question1
2024 Q420%none of 2 questions2
2025 Q110%none of 1 question1
2025 Q230%none of 3 questions3
2025 Q3No questions recorded——
2025 Q410%none of 1 question1
2026 Q130%none of 3 questions3
2026 Q210%none of 1 question1
2026 Q320%none of 2 questions1
  1. 2024 Q31 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  2. 2024 Q42 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 2 companies
  3. 2025 Q11 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  4. 2025 Q23 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
  5. 2025 Q3No questions recorded
  6. 2025 Q41 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  7. 2026 Q13 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 3 companies
  8. 2026 Q21 question · challenge rate 0% (none of 1 question) · 1 company
  9. 2026 Q32 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Margin6
  • Revenue Growth5
  • Pricing5
  • Demand3
  • Competitive Dynamics3
  • Cost Pressure2
  • Guidance Reliability1
  • Trade Tariffs1
  • Capex Investment1