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Analyst
Stephen D'Ambrisi
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2025 Q1 – 2026 Q3 (7 quarters; questions recorded in 6).
- Questions
- 50on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 10%5 of 50 questions
- Companies
- 11questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 6with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right. See how we grade analysts on earnings-call questions.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 50 of 50 questions from 11 companies
PNWPinnacle West10 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 10 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
does the 2 to 3:1 kind of multiplier that you're seeing of new resources to committed load, does that hold
Show response
Geisler said queue customers would be additive to the IRP and ownership could rise toward 50-50, but did not address the multiplier directly.
Calendar 2026 Q2
is there timing or certain things ramping earlier? Or are you just really that far above
Show response
Cooper attributed the strength to a combination of data center ramp refinement, a broadening manufacturing ecosystem, and strong residential usage.
Can we use that prior $165 billion for greater than 1 gigawatt as like a rule of thumb
Show response
Geisler called it a fair directional assumption but noted energy intensity varies by fab and details are still being finalized with TSMC.
Calendar 2026 Q1
What drove that sizing? Is it more reflective of the near-term opportunity within the 20 gigawatts, or is it a function of available capacity at Desert Sun or gas capacity?
Show response
Ted explained sizing driven by available generation/transmission capacity (Desert Sun + interconnecting T). Process is repeatable: identify incremental infrastructure above organic needs, offer to queue, negotiate, then repeat with new capacity.
Calendar 2025 Q4
4Q looks like it's accelerating. Maybe there's some art versus science of weather normalization in a weak weather quarter. But can you just talk a little bit about what the sales growth trend looks...
Show response
Andrew noted residential outperformance driven by declining rooftop solar offset. 2026 guidance driven by known large customer ramps including TSMC fabs. Long-term 5-7% confidence strong given sophisticated customer forecasting.
to the extent it's back at the top end and outperformance by 50 basis points or 100 basis points, like what that means for like an EPS sensitivity.
Show response
Andrew provided rule of thumb: 1% residential growth = $25M+ gross margin (clustered around peak), 1% extra-high load factor = $5-10M (90%+ load factor across all hours). Operating leverage benefits from both.
Calendar 2025 Q3
does that $0.55 benefit scale linearly with the increase in transmission spending? Or is there something that's causing super normal growth in recoveries
Show response
Andrew confirmed proportionate scaling over time. Near-term could be lumpier as strategic projects take longer to build. Exploring sectionalized energization for longer lines to reduce regulatory lag.
I guess I would just step back and say it doesn't seem like the magnitude or mix is really that different given both years were 4% to 6% total, of which 3% to 5% was from large C&I. So can you just...
Show response
Andrew explained intra-year variability in large load customer ramp rates. Some customers testing vs ramping production. Long-term trajectory strong with raised 5%-7% guidance but year-to-year puts and takes exist.
Calendar 2025 Q1
if you have like a 14-month, 16-month -- 12-month, 14-month, 16-month time clock and you get rates effective on the 2024 Test Year, step up sometime at the end of 2026, is it possible to turn aroun...
Show response
Ted confirmed 2027 formula rate adjustment is the intent if case concludes in 2026. Designed as annual adjustment mechanism.
On the residential side, it looks like usage implied is down a lot and I just was wondering if that's noise or if you could talk a little bit about that. It sounds like maybe there was an accountin...
Show response
Andrew explained one-time procedural change in January to estimate unbilled revenues separately for extra high-load factor customers, creating a 1.9% offset. Underlying residential trends flat to slightly positive.
XELXcel Energy8 questions · 5 reporting periods · 4 of 8 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
In this most recent update, the rate base CAGR is down to about 5%.
Show response
Frenzel cited Colorado upside from the Large Load Tariff, the RFP and the SPARK award but gave no bill-impact figure.
is this something that you can replicate in other jurisdictions or extend
Show response
CFO said storage ITCs offset rate impacts in Minnesota and will be considered elsewhere, without committing to other states.
Calendar 2026 Q2
can you talk a little bit about in Minnesota, where the alternative use like environmental study is progressing.
Show response
Van Abel gave a specific approval timeline of early 2027 and cited over $1 billion of customer benefits plus stakeholder and community support for the project.
the value or the potential to provide even longer-term capital or earnings forecasts.
Show response
Van Abel noted Xcel has published a 10-year plan before and will keep evaluating it, but declined to commit, offering only additional color beyond the 5-year plan.
Calendar 2026 Q1
what do you think that large loads do for earned returns or structural under-earning that you have in any of your jurisdictions as they come online
Show response
CFO acknowledged 50+ bps structural lag but framed large load growth as opportunity to drive better returns between rate cases and potentially extend rate case filing intervals.
Calendar 2025 Q4
I think it was the proposal was 2.1 gigs company-owned across a portfolio of 4.9 gigawatts. And so what does that look like in the you know, in the this tranching out
Show response
Tranche 1: ~1 GW approved including gas plant; Tranche 2: up to 1 GW company-owned solar+storage pending additional analysis; Tranche 3 timing unclear but likely H1; anything not approved shifts to follow-on IRP RFPs.
now that that combined bucket looks like it's doubling to almost six gigawatts. What does that mean for your sales growth
Show response
Sales impact primarily 2029-2030 and beyond due to ESA-to-energization timeline; extends capital investment and growth opportunities post-2030; holistic update at Q3.
Calendar 2025 Q3
it implies a pretty significant compression in earned ROEs, implied earned ROEs
Show response
~200bp delta between 11% rate base and 9% EPS growth typical at high-growth levels; no ROE compression expected.
SOSouthern Company6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
can you just frame is this 4 to 5 plus gigawatts of gen that we could put some type of, you know, capacity multiple on
Show response
Poroch validated the framing and volunteered a roughly $2 billion per gigawatt capital rule of thumb.
how do these finalizing gigawatts kind of filter into this RFP? And just, like, what is the timeline
Show response
Womack described the sequencing but deferred specifics to future contract finalization and an updated load forecast.
Calendar 2026 Q1
To the extent the ramps exceed minimum bills and come close to what is projected by hyperscalers, what does that mean for customer rates
Show response
CFO explained minimum bill as a call option on the network that recovers costs regardless of ramp rates, differentiating from variable pricing models.
How does that interplay with the 2 to 6 gigawatts, or the sizing of the RFP that you are currently working on?
Show response
CEO linked RFP sizing to load forecast updates from large load demand, highlighted repeat buyers and vertically integrated structure delivering results.
Calendar 2025 Q4
how big that could be and then what effectively you'd be looking for and your ability to potentially marry those expansions with some of your data center offtakers
Show response
Womack emphasized Southern Power's risk profile won't change, requires long-term contracts with creditworthy counterparties. Currently evaluating 6 brownfield sites in the Southeast for potential new gas development.
Can you just give us a little flavor on like what the all like energy plus capacity or how impactful that could be
Show response
Poroch provided a rule of thumb of around $20 to $25 a kilowatt month for recontracting rates, with opportunities rising through the portfolio as contracts come up for renewal.
EVRGEvergy5 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 5 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
if we take a step back and think about potentially what could be signed from the Tier 1 bucket in this year
Show response
Campbell confirmed at least one more ESA expected in 2026, said incremental load drives additional generation and meaningful capital, but did not quantify the exact amount.
any thoughts on providing a longer term, like you've seen some of your peers give capital plans
Show response
Campbell called it a fair point and committed to providing more specificity as the pipeline converts, but gave no firm timeline for longer-term disclosure.
Calendar 2025 Q4
can you just talk a little bit about what that means for steady-state equity needs for the company? Obviously, there's upside capital that we can talk about
Show response
Buckler explained FFO improvement eliminates 2030 equity need but acknowledged upside ESAs could bring incremental capital requiring reevaluation.
how many customers does that represent? Or how many sites? Just so that we can maybe -- any way we can get some type of idea
Show response
Campbell declined specific customer count but said next ESAs would be similar in size to the 4 announced, with bulk of impact in 2030 and beyond.
Calendar 2025 Q3
can you just talk about like effectively at a high level, what's left there, what the main sticking points are?
Show response
Campbell clarified Kansas LLPS has a unanimous settlement with KCC decision expected same day; Missouri has a partial settlement with year-end decision expected.
ETREntergy4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
any additional, I guess, one near-term slot that you’ve secured and then any thought to
Show response
Fontan said no new turbine/plant-island equipment added since Investor Day; ETR holds ~7.5 GW, the low end of its 10-17 GW opportunity, and continues to monitor.
you talk about where that process sits for you guys and how you expect Entergy Corporation to potentially participate
Show response
Marsh said ETR is building over 1,000 miles of transmission and is working with MISO on southern load pockets, reshaping long-range transmission planning.
Calendar 2026 Q1
If I try to back into what that means from a, you know, incremental load from data centers, it seems like it's only 400 MW or 450
Show response
Kimberly explained the load ramp is back-loaded since CCCTs don't come online until 2030-2031, but minimum bills provide revenue during construction.
Calendar 2025 Q3
Can you talk a little bit more about the alternative financing agreements that you guys are using
Show response
CFO clarified 2029 addition is biggest piece of delta, not alternate financing. Alternative financing aligns cash outflow with asset in-service timing. More detail at EEI. CEO noted all 19.5 GW projects targeting COD by 2032.
WECWEC Energy Group4 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
Can you just talk maybe at a high level about how much of the acreage that relates to?
Show response
Partial: Microsoft has not disclosed acreage; management estimated southeastern Wisconsin could reach 4.5-5 gigawatts in total.
talk about whether it's within WEPCO or WPS, the service territory, or any color on just what that could look like
Show response
Deflected: said locations in both territories are being considered and declined to say more.
Calendar 2025 Q4
to the extent you do move forward with replacing the Point Beach PPA with generation, do you have interconnect generation interconnect agreements? Or slots in the MISO queue
Show response
Expressed confidence in ability to replace Point Beach power by 2030 and 2033 but declined to share specifics on interconnect agreements or MISO queue positions.
Calendar 2025 Q3
do you think that getting the VLC tariff through the Public Service Commission will help potentially broaden the customer base?
Show response
Listed competitive advantages: location, transmission capability, cooler climate, no natural disasters. VLC tariff praised by customers for transparency.
Show 5 more companies
DUKDuke Energy3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q1
signing this 2.7 gigawatts, even if it's in the tail end, looks like it would be upside to what was kind of laid out
Show response
Sideris said the 2.7 GW moves load up to the IRP high case level, already contemplated in planning. Exploring more frequent load forecast updates given dynamic environment.
Calendar 2025 Q4
the footnote said that it is gross of minority interest investments and or minority investments. And so just with the impact of the DEF transaction
Show response
Brian clarified net rate base CAGR is 8.8% after minority interest but noted Brookfield proceeds offset holdco interest expense. The gross presentation is consistent with past practice.
Can you just level set us on what amount of data center load growth is embedded in the 3% to 4% enterprise load growth
Show response
Brian said residential/existing customers are about a third of 3-4% growth, with two-thirds from economic development, of which data centers are now 75% by 2030 (up from 50%).
LNTAlliant Energy3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
maybe you'd be utilizing tax credits a little more upfront, and then the load ramps in later
Show response
Robert said CapEx is already aligned with the ramp; the accelerated QTS ramp lifts revenues in 2027-2028 and preserves tax credits to help extend the rate stay-out.
Calendar 2026 Q1
what is a typical build time for a CT
Show response
Barton confirmed CT build time of approximately three to four years, consistent with the 2031 in-service target for the new CT contract.
can you talk about what that does in Iowa for your ability to potentially stay out longer than the five years you have agreed to
Show response
Durian described incremental load as incrementally beneficial to rate stay-out but declined a definitive timeframe. Revenue from data centers minus generation costs creates margin shared with existing customers. Load ramp pace is key variable.
NINiSource3 questions · 2 reporting periods · 1 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q3
once all of these projects are largely ramped in 2032, there is still, you know, continued significant step ups into
Show response
Operator introduced Steven with RBC Capital Markets. Pointed to customer ramps in 2030-2032 and falling financing needs, but cautioned against reading the bar chart precisely.
Calendar 2026 Q2
can you just explain what you mean by that and/or what would be required like across the system?
Show response
Luhrs explained the look beyond 9 GW is normal preplanning across land, zoning, transmission and fuel supply, not a signal of pipeline constraint.
roughly how much of the ask from a capital standpoint was federally mandated spending?
Show response
Anderson declined to disclose the state or mechanism breakdown but asserted confidence in recovery mechanisms for 2026 and 2027 CapEx and earnings guidance.
AEEAmeren2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2026 Q2
the large dispatchable item that you have that's maybe outside the 2030 plan would be the 2.1 gas combined cycle.
Show response
Marty said the 2.1 GW combined cycle (targeted 2031) cannot be accelerated; near-term flexibility comes from solar, batteries, fuel cells and peaking assets.
Calendar 2025 Q3
if there's any legislative priorities that you guys are advancing or if there's anything we should be legislative topics that you think will be pertinent
Show response
Moehn declined to preview specific bills, noting prefiling begins December 1 and any developments would be constructive and balanced.
DDominion Energy2 questions · 1 reporting period · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q4
Is there a reason why that falls into like, outer years? Is that just, like, changes in, I do not know, I guess, CI scores or something
Show response
McFarland confirmed new GREET model in 2026 suggests CI score degradation vs 2025. Not backward-looking so 2025 bookings not at risk. Adjusted CI scoring for 2026+ with 5-9c range around 7c midpoint.
what are the positives that are enabling you to grow 6% and then just, like, effectively why maybe those do not recur in '27
Show response
McFarland explained 2026 is a catch-up year from biennial and SC rate relief. 2027 has no double-outage benefit (8-10c) but gearing up for next rate case cycle. SC lag catches up. Impact of next rate case shows in 2028.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| PNW Pinnacle West | 10 | 0%none of 10 questions |
| XEL Xcel Energy | 8 | 50%4 of 8 questions |
| SO Southern Company | 6 | 0%none of 6 questions |
| EVRG Evergy | 5 | 0%none of 5 questions |
| ETR Entergy | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| WEC WEC Energy Group | 4 | 0%none of 4 questions |
| DUK Duke Energy | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| LNT Alliant Energy | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| NI NiSource | 3 | 33%1 of 3 questions |
| AEE Ameren | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- PNWPinnacle West · 10 questions0%none of 10 questions
- XELXcel Energy · 8 questions50%4 of 8 questions
- SOSouthern Company · 6 questions0%none of 6 questions
- EVRGEvergy · 5 questions0%none of 5 questions
- ETREntergy · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- WECWEC Energy Group · 4 questions0%none of 4 questions
- DUKDuke Energy · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- LNTAlliant Energy · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- NINiSource · 3 questions33%1 of 3 questions
- AEEAmeren · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q1 | 2 | 0%none of 2 questions | 1 |
| 2025 Q2 | No questions recorded | — | — |
| 2025 Q3 | 7 | 14%1 of 7 questions | 6 |
| 2025 Q4 | 13 | 0%none of 13 questions | 7 |
| 2026 Q1 | 8 | 13%1 of 8 questions | 6 |
| 2026 Q2 | 14 | 14%2 of 14 questions | 8 |
| 2026 Q3 | 6 | 17%1 of 6 questions | 4 |
- 2025 Q12 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 2 questions) · 1 company
- 2025 Q2No questions recorded
- 2025 Q37 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 6 companies
- 2025 Q413 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 13 questions) · 7 companies
- 2026 Q18 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 6 companies
- 2026 Q214 questions · challenge rate 14% (2 of 14 questions) · 8 companies
- 2026 Q36 questions · challenge rate 17% (1 of 6 questions) · 4 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Capex Investment21
- Demand20
- Regulation Policy14
- Revenue Growth10
- Cloud & AI6
- Capital Allocation5
- Guidance Reliability4
- Competitive Dynamics4
- Margin4
- Geographic Expansion3
Show all 12 topics
- Pricing2
- Supply Chain2