Start 30 days free, no card. Full Pro access for a month, then decide. Start free
Analyst
Tim Anderson
Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2025 Q3 (4 quarters).
- Questions
- 28on tracked calls
- Challenge rate
- 39%11 of 28 questions
- Companies
- 11questioned at least once
- Reporting periods
- 4with questions
These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.
How to read these numbers
Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.
Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.
No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.
Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.
Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.
Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.
Questions asked
Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.
Showing 28 of 28 questions from 11 companies
BMYBristol Myers Squibb6 questions · 3 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
are you still looking at very late 2020s relative to what you may have been forecasting, say, a year ago
Show response
Chris declined to give long-term guidance specifics but reiterated focus on shallow/short trough and exiting decade with growth. Emphasized commercial execution, pipeline, and financial flexibility.
Do you think investors read too much into those comments that Summit had made
Show response
Chris avoided directly addressing specific prior comments. Redirected to broad focus on execution across commercial, pipeline, and financials.
Calendar 2025 Q1
Can we expect you to revisit this at some point? I know on trough guidance, you've said end of the decade
Show response
Chris declined long-term guidance, stating philosophical focus on annual accountability. Committed to shortening trough depth through pipeline acceleration and BD.
Any color you can share in which particular brands Bristol has transfer pricing arrangements in place
Show response
David deflected, noting transfer pricing is tax-law driven and should not be confused with tariff exposure. Declined to name specific brands.
Calendar 2024 Q4
you've suggested trough earnings would really be in the very late 2020s. And to me, it felt like maybe 2028, 2029
Show response
Chris confirmed general trough timing but declined long-term guidance, emphasizing actions to mitigate depth and duration.
the revenue guidance for '25 is about $1 billion less than consensus in as much as you've looked at consensus
Show response
David noted $500M FX headwind not in consensus closes most of the gap. Minor differences driven by legacy portfolio declines.
LLYLilly (Eli)4 questions · 4 reporting periods · 1 of 4 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q3
What is Lilly picking up on this? And whatever that level of discount ends up being, would you agree that it quite likely has a direct impact on pricing of Lilly's own products in 2027
Show response
Ilya noted IRA price only applies to sema in Part D starting 2027 and that Medicare Part D is a small proportion of Lilly volume. Emphasized tirzepatide's head-to-head superiority as foundation for value-based discussions. Dave added distinction between single-acting and dual/triple-acting GLP-1 categories.
Calendar 2025 Q2
Canadian generics are just a replacement for that compounding channel, and they'll keep that headwind alive even if compounders get shut down
Show response
Ilya pointed to strong vial performance (1M+ TRx in Q2, 20% of overall TRx) and 65% share of new therapy starts as evidence Zepbound competes well even with compounders/generics.
Calendar 2025 Q1
of covered lives today, what percent of payers are having this one of one approach?
Show response
Patrik said one-of-one is rare in obesity today. Noted strong net switch momentum to Zepbound and plans to continue executing across PBMs, Medicaid, and self-pay.
Calendar 2024 Q4
Does the 2025 guidance require acceleration? Or can you get the scripts just continue on the same trajectory and the slope of that line doesn't change?
Show response
Lucas directly confirmed guidance assumes continuation of 2024 TRx trajectory, not acceleration.
ABBVAbbVie3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 2 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
There have been investor fears that this next round of negotiations will be worse than last year, so Trump can make his mark
Show response
Rob Michael declined to comment on Vraylar negotiations (prices public in November) but highlighted Venclexta now exempt from IRA via expanded orphan drug exemption in One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Jeff Stewart characterized GLP-1 impact on aesthetics as net neutral, with potential filler tailwind offset by macro issues.
Calendar 2025 Q1
do you think there's any basis in reality for that? I know you'll say it shouldn't happen, but that doesn't mean that it will potentially happen
Show response
Jeff Stewart acknowledged DTC reform uncertainty but noted ability to pivot to disease awareness and other channels. Roopal Thakkar said no mechanisms ruled out for obesity combinations.
Calendar 2024 Q4
what are your expectations for how obesity drugs are going to impact this business? You could argue that the surge in use of products
Show response
Carrie Strom acknowledged GLP-1s are a near-term headwind for higher-priced fillers via share-of-wallet competition but a long-term tailwind through new patient activation at aesthetics practices.
MRKMerck & Co., Inc.3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 3 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
can you just remind investors the biggest offsets that you see today for how losing a product
Show response
Rob itemized $50B+ opportunity set ($25B oncology, $15B cardiometabolic, $5B HIV, $5B immunology, plus Animal Health) but declined to commit to a specific trough year.
Calendar 2025 Q1
I want to ask about long-term guidance, Rob. It was something I asked last quarter. I wanted to ask again
Show response
Rob again deferred on formal long-term guidance, citing the $50 billion plus pipeline opportunity as the framing.
Calendar 2024 Q4
when can we expect Merck will be in a position to talk about longer-term forward-looking guidance
Show response
Rob deferred on long-term guidance and emphasized pipeline proof points over quantified targets.
PFEPfizer3 questions · 3 reporting periods · 0 of 3 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
Any color you can provide such as how those discussions are lining up with what you expected before those negotiations begin?
Show response
Bourla noted both products lose patent in 2027, making NPV impact minimal; legally unable to disclose negotiation specifics.
Calendar 2025 Q1
If sector-specific tariffs come through, do you think that's likely to be through the 232 investigation route?
Show response
Bourla outlined 232 national security focus, distinguished friendly vs adversary countries, expressed cautious optimism from productive discussions with administration.
Calendar 2024 Q4
How is Pfizer looking at its BD efforts in this regard, either partnership or acquisition, that could bring you one or more assets
Show response
Baum agreed obesity requires multiple modalities and delivery devices, confirmed active evaluation of portfolio opportunities, but gave no specifics on targets or timelines.
BIIBBiogen2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 1 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q1
how are you seeing the market parse out between your product and Lilly's Kisunla
Show response
Chris noted choice depends on patient profile and physician preference. Emphasized no switching observed and the priority for both companies is expanding the total market beyond 12,000-13,000 patients.
Calendar 2024 Q4
how much does the Royalty Pharma deal take out of the R&D line in 2025, specifically?
Show response
Mike confirmed $200M dollar-for-dollar R&D expense reduction in 2025 guidance. Chris noted it is a one-off model but useful for spreading risk across more pipeline assets.
Show 5 more companies
GILDGilead Sciences2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 2 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q1
On Descovy, how much will lenacapavir for PrEP cannibalize? Could US Descovy sales go ex-growth as soon as 2026
Show response
Johanna confirmed switch from daily orals will be the primary source of lenacapavir patients. Estimated current PrEP population at 400-450K with potential for exponential growth over next decade.
Calendar 2024 Q4
concerns sometimes start to build whether consensus could be too high relative to what the product could actually deliver
Show response
Johanna addressed ramp concerns directly, noting 75% access by 6 months and 90% by 12 months, with injectable requiring specialty pharmacy and buy-and-bill model setup.
JNJJohnson & Johnson2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q1
a big concern by investors is how that might alter wrap in transfer pricing structures
Show response
Wolk declined to discuss transfer pricing for competitive reasons. Duato reiterated the $55B US investment plan and tax policy advocacy.
Calendar 2024 Q4
with STELARA facing biosimilars, I'm wondering if it might play out like how it has with AbbVie
Show response
Taubert highlighted TREMFYA differentiation in IBD, subcu induction flexibility, strong UC launch, and confirmed appropriate pricing investment for access.
AMGNAmgen Inc.1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2024 Q4
why can't that be a very significant product for you guys as the only seller into that large market, right, for the next few years? It seems like it could get to a $1 billion-plus-type sales level.
Show response
Gordon declined product-specific guidance but confirmed strong launch momentum as the sole EYLEA biosimilar. Griffith added context about 100% FDA approval rate and $10 billion cumulative biosimilar sales.
MRNAModerna1 question · 1 reporting period · 1 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2024 Q4
why wouldn't the next-gen COVID product be included in guidance at this point, given that the PDUFA date is not very far away, end of May
Show response
CFO dismissed regulatory concern framing, saying exclusion reflects lesson learned from 2024 about guiding on unapproved products.
REGNRegeneron Pharmaceuticals1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
Calendar 2025 Q2
is there a closer relationship between those CEOs and Trump. I know Lilly and Pfizer have been tomorrow logo a lot
Show response
Schleifer denied having unique policy insights despite the President knowing his first name from the COVID antibody cocktail. Agreed Europeans are not paying their fair share of innovation but said he has no special visibility into MFN implementation details.
Challenge rate by company
Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.
| Company | Questions | Challenge rate |
|---|---|---|
| BMY Bristol Myers Squibb | 6 | 17%1 of 6 questions |
| LLY Lilly (Eli) | 4 | 25%1 of 4 questions |
| ABBV AbbVie | 3 | 67%2 of 3 questions |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 3 | 100%3 of 3 questions |
| PFE Pfizer | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions |
| BIIB Biogen | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| GILD Gilead Sciences | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| JNJ Johnson & Johnson | 2 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
| MRNA Moderna | 1 | —Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions |
- BMYBristol Myers Squibb · 6 questions17%1 of 6 questions
- LLYLilly (Eli) · 4 questions25%1 of 4 questions
- ABBVAbbVie · 3 questions67%2 of 3 questions
- MRKMerck & Co., Inc. · 3 questions100%3 of 3 questions
- PFEPfizer · 3 questions0%none of 3 questions
- BIIBBiogen · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- GILDGilead Sciences · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- JNJJohnson & Johnson · 2 questions—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- AMGNAmgen Inc. · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
- MRNAModerna · 1 question—rate withheld: under 3 questions
Activity by reporting period
Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.
| Calendar period | Questions | Challenge rate | Companies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q4 | 11 | 27%3 of 11 questions | 10 |
| 2025 Q1 | 9 | 56%5 of 9 questions | 8 |
| 2025 Q2 | 5 | 60%3 of 5 questions | 5 |
| 2025 Q3 | 3 | 0%none of 3 questions | 2 |
- 2024 Q411 questions · challenge rate 27% (3 of 11 questions) · 10 companies
- 2025 Q19 questions · challenge rate 56% (5 of 9 questions) · 8 companies
- 2025 Q25 questions · challenge rate 60% (3 of 5 questions) · 5 companies
- 2025 Q33 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 3 questions) · 2 companies
Topics
Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.
- Competitive Dynamics11
- Guidance Reliability8
- Pricing7
- Regulation Policy7
- Revenue Growth5
- Innovation & R&D4
- Demand4
- Trade Tariffs3
- Product Launch2
- Macroeconomic1
Show all 13 topics
- Capex Investment1
- Capital Allocation1
- M&A1