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Analyst

Anthony Paolone

JPMorgan · covers Real Estate

Period: Reporting periods mapped to calendar 2024 Q4 – 2026 Q2 (7 quarters).

Questions
55on tracked calls
Challenge rate
4%2 of 55 questions
Companies
9questioned at least once
Reporting periods
7with questions

These figures cover the whole profile: every tracked question, all reporting periods.

How to read these numbers

Challenge rate is the share of questions that pushed back, pressed for specifics or questioned management’s assumptions. It describes how questions were asked on the calls tracked here; it does not measure whether any view turned out to be right.

Rounding. Rates are rounded to whole percentages, so a small share can show as 0% even when some questions were challenging. The count beside each rate is exact; “none of N questions” means no question was challenging.

No questions recorded. “—” means there is nothing to calculate: no questions were recorded for that period on the calls tracked here. It does not mean there was no activity.

Fewer than 3 questions. A company-level rate is withheld when fewer than 3 questions were recorded for that company; the questions are still counted everywhere else.

Small samples. Profiles with fewer than 10 questions are marked Limited sample.

Reporting periods. Questions are grouped by the calendar quarter each company’s fiscal reporting period maps to, not by the date of the call. Periods without a calendar mapping are listed separately under their fiscal label.

Questions asked

Grouped by company, most questions first. Open a company to read its questions, newest reporting period first.

Showing 55 of 55 questions from 9 companies

CBRECBRE Group14 questions · 7 reporting periods · 0 of 14 challenging
CBRE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

on BOE, you maybe update us on your thinking as it relates to margins in that business for the year?

Show response

Giamartino volunteered that most of the BOE margin improvement is a fleet amortization reclassification, leaving about 20 basis points of underlying gain.

My first question relates to just capital priorities. And the second half of the year and what is in guidance

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Giamartino confirmed M&A remains the first priority with buybacks filling in, and stated no incremental deployment is in the second-half guide.

Calendar 2026 Q1

wondering if you can get into a little bit more of your thinking into how much of that maybe was pulling forward stuff you thought would happen later in the year versus just outright strength

Revenue GrowthGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Emma broke down the guidance raise: development profits pulled forward had no impact on guidance, 1/3 from Q1 outperformance, and 2/3 from raising remainder-of-year expectations in advisory and BOE despite tougher H2 comps.

Can you talk about how much is, say, industrial data center office and so forth? And just the prospects of that -- you mentioned the $900 million

Capex InvestmentCloud & AITranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Bob described pipeline concentrated in industrial, multifamily, and data center land, with dozens of data center sites under control. Expects relatively steady monetization stream but acknowledged lumpiness and power/entitlement challenges.

Calendar 2025 Q4

whether you see any long-term diminution in that just in terms of overall space needs and perhaps also in areas like appraisal

Innovation & R&DDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Bob saw no near-term office demand risk from AI, noting companies across all sectors using office space to attract and support talent. On appraisals, cited APAC automation model where lower per-appraisal revenue was offset by radically higher volume.

I think there's a comment in the deck about OMSR net MSR gains and a change there. Can you -- is that in the guidance

Guidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Emma confirmed OMSR change and data center PM reclassification not yet in guidance. Historical restatements will be provided before Q1 results but won't change growth rates.

Calendar 2025 Q3

can you maybe comment on the M&A pipeline, especially given the free cash flow? And also whether that had any impact on not buying back stock in the quarter

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Emma reiterated capital allocation priorities and confirmed shares are viewed as undervalued. Declined to comment on specific M&A targets but emphasized focus on resilient, secularly favored businesses.

Do you feel like anything got pulled forward from the fourth quarter, or perhaps how we should think about when or in what business lines do comps start to get more challenging

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Emma denied significant pull-forward, then walked through each segment: leasing tough comps continue in Q4, sales strong but Q4 2024 was +35% vs Q3's +14%, and Project Management faces a 30% SOP comp in Q4.

Calendar 2025 Q2

if the comps get a lot harder as we go into the back half of the year, or if any demand you think was maybe pulled forward

DemandCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Bob confirmed comps do get tougher but emphasized broadening demand beyond gateway markets, driven by return-to-office momentum and corporate focus on workspace quality.

potential synergies that you're working on in BOE. And just curious if you can give us any additional context on order of magnitude

Show response

Bob declined to quantify synergies as they haven't been modeled internally yet, but declared them expected to be significant across procurement, building engineering, and information systems.

Calendar 2025 Q1

is it just the pipeline that you say you have? Or how do we kind of look at that

Revenue GrowthCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Bob emphasized the combined Turner & Townsend platform with 15,000 professionals has much better market coverage than before, especially in the US where T&T was underpenetrated.

what's been changing over the last few weeks, whether it's a more wait and see, whether deals have been canceled

Trade TariffsMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Bob gave detailed color by segment: capital raising pulled back to plan, some corporate project delays, but office leasing largely unaffected due to scarcity dynamics.

Calendar 2024 Q4

your guidance around a more muted sort of recovery there versus kind of what you're seeing right now today

Capital AllocationMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Emma acknowledged cautious positioning given rate uncertainty but noted 20% US sales growth in early 2025 and strong financing recovery.

How much of the growth in SOP that you expect there is from like, say, revenue versus some margin expansion

Revenue GrowthMarginTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Emma gave a clear breakdown: low double-digit revenue growth plus margin expansion on top, directly addressing the split.

AREAlexandria Real Estate Equities13 questions · 6 reporting periods · 0 of 13 challenging
ARE company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

do you have a sense as to what the lease economics are going to look like versus prior leases

Show response

Marc said 2027 roll economics are not baked into this year's guidance. Portfolio spot mark-to-market is around 6% above market on average, with pressure on rents relative to expiring leases baked into current-year guidance.

What would you need to have to continue to move forward with those outside of, say, like a pre-lease

Show response

Marc said it depends on the category; for land in the 2026-2027 milestone buckets, decisions hinge on the ability to add near-term value, and projects may be paused or flipped into the disposition program if not.

Calendar 2026 Q1

are there any other items that you think right now are impacting the demand for space

DemandRegulation PolicyTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Joel identified four pinch points: NIH turmoil (easing with 15% ruling), FDA daily shock effects, inability to finance without data/milestones (zero public biotech leases unprecedented), and China competitive effect with capital flowing there for faster/cheaper development.

I just was hoping to understand that a bit better

Show response

Joel explained 421 Park Drive is a state-of-the-art lab where several floors were sold as condos to a major Boston institution. NIH 15% limitation halted institutional demand, but the court ruling should restart interest. Office for Longwood Medical Center is a fallback option.

Calendar 2025 Q3

do you all have taxable net? Like do you need to pay a dividend? Or do you have the ability to just keep cash

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Marc confirmed a dividend is required. Joel added 'And we intend to.'

the remaining like 1.3 million square feet expiring next year, are those likely to stay

Show response

Marc distinguished between the 1.2M sqft of known vacates and the remaining 1.3M sqft which are normal-course expirations still too early to call.

does this bring back the prospect of using capital just for your stock here? Or are the development needs just going to be great enough

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Marc acknowledged attractive buyback price but prioritized finishing construction commitments as the first call on capital.

Calendar 2025 Q2

is that still planned to be the case? And two, which bucket in your disclosure does that come out of

Show response

Marc confirmed the $1.4B turning off is part of the broader $3B future land bank disclosure, with April 2026 as the weighted-average milestone date.

if we were to put those aside and think about sort of the remaining portfolio over the course of the year. Did you mention that occupancy will be down 2%

Show response

Marc outlined the bridge from 90.8% to year-end guidance, combining pickup from selling vacant assets plus normal leasing activity.

Calendar 2025 Q1

do you feel like that that emerged or did things just change quite a bit in the last few months

Show response

Joel said demand signals remain positive and unchanged, asking analysts to stay tuned for news in coming weeks, but nothing concrete delivered yet.

How do you feel capital markets are holding up? How do you get comfortable that the stuff that's in process will make it through and close

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Joel and Peter outlined multiple buyer pools including residential developers, owner-users, private equity, and sovereigns with appetite for different quality tiers.

Calendar 2024 Q4

how much of that is related to projects that are kind of in process versus ones that you might want to start

Capex InvestmentCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Marc confirmed $1.2B of $1.75B construction spend is active projects. Joel deferred further buyback color to Q1 update.

I think you alluded to the first quarter here going to or trending toward having a really strong leasing picture. I was wondering, if you could give a little bit more color on that

Show response

Joel deferred detailed Q1 leasing color to the next call, providing only a high-level comment that activity is diversified across segments.

VICIVici Properties10 questions · 5 reporting periods · 1 of 10 challenging
VICI company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

I think one of the Cain loans has an initial maturity that's perhaps next month

CreditCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

CFO directly stated repayment unlikely; loan will roll into broader construction syndicate Cain is assembling, with timing TBD but team focused on timely completion.

can you go through some of the bigger buckets of investments and give us a sense as to where you're more or less active

M&AGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

COO highlighted sports infrastructure and live entertainment as key growth verticals. Noted Wasserman's new role focused on nongaming/experiential, and millennial/Gen Z willingness to spend on live entertainment.

Calendar 2025 Q3

if I could ask more directly on Caesars, given the comments from them around the regional assets

Show response

CEO confirmed same framework as past situations: collaborative evaluation of portfolio positioning with focus on win-win outcomes, noting they have time but don't want it as a distraction.

can you talk about maybe like how often lease amendments come up? And if they do, how you approach those conversations?

CreditCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

CEO emphasized track record of getting after challenges since inception, including helping tenants exit assets. COO noted advantage of having only 14 tenants for deeper strategic dialogue.

Calendar 2025 Q2

I think you had about $7 million of transaction costs. It just seemed a bit high for a quarter that was fairly quiet

ChallengingCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CFO explained write-off of pursuit costs from prior quarters for deals that didn't close, indicating active pipeline even without announced transactions.

if you wanted to bring it up to, say, 10% of the balance sheet or something, do you think there are good opportunities out there

Capital AllocationCreditTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

CEO acknowledged more credit opportunity than real estate transaction opportunity currently, while emphasizing careful capital cadence management for earnings flow.

Calendar 2025 Q1

I was wondering if you could talk about what the pipeline has looked like lately in the face of just the macro volatility

Show response

CEO acknowledged volatility dampening M&A animal spirits which drives demand for VICI's capital; COO noted things don't change quickly quarter to quarter in their spaces.

how much in committed capital for various projects and loans, etc, is not in the guide, because there's not a draw schedule

Guidance ReliabilityCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

About $130M of committed capital in guidance comprising Great Wolf Northeast, Homefield, Kalahari, and North Fork. Acknowledged 'a lot' more outside guidance without precise number.

Calendar 2024 Q4

Any comments on where you think cash yields would be right now for some of the various buckets that you're looking at

PricingCompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Limited visibility on Strip pricing due to lack of recent trades; regional has somewhat more clarity from trading activity.

just wondering if you could talk about kinda what deal flow looked like in 2024 and what it looks like currently in contrast to maybe in prior years

M&ACompetitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Management directly acknowledged limited deal flow but pivoted to development funding as alternative growth path with compelling yields.

ORealty Income7 questions · 4 reporting periods · 0 of 7 challenging
O company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

I was wondering what a wholly owned acquisition yield needs to look like for it to be interesting.

Capital AllocationPricingTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Roy said the required yield varies by geography but targets ~150bps of spread over the cost of permanent financing.

Calendar 2026 Q1

any sense as to, like, how much of that is likely going to be debt? And then of the rest, like how we should think about your share

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Roy could not provide a specific debt/equity split, noting it is opportunistic with some debt investments expected to convert to equity ownership over time.

is it likely that you'll just sell stakes in existing assets? Or will that be used to go out and buy new assets?

Capital AllocationM&ATranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Roy confirmed new Apollo capital goes to new investments, not selling existing assets. Proof of concept now complete with SEC and rating agency endorsement.

Calendar 2025 Q3

how much revenue, like annualized revenue do you kind of give up taking the lease term right now

Capital AllocationDemandTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Roy argued termination NPV exceeded remaining rent collection, citing ability to sell vacant, recycle capital, and solve client optimization problem.

maybe just give us a little bit more color around maybe what kinds of assets you see them going after

Competitive DynamicsTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Roy described competition ranging from low-cap industrial with growth to higher-yield retail across credit spectrum, primarily in one-off market not large-scale deals.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Has much changed in terms of the flow and pipeline just in recent weeks or the last couple of months

Capital AllocationMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Roy confirmed no change in deal flow, preferring to raise guidance only with signed contracts rather than extrapolate Q1 momentum.

I think last quarter, you said 75 basis points for the year. And so I was wondering kind of what of that you think you've used

Show response

Pong confirmed $6M Q1 bad debt versus 75bp full-year guide, trending lighter but maintaining conservative unidentified cushion.

BXPBXP, Inc.6 questions · 6 reporting periods · 1 of 6 challenging
BXP company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

if you think out over the next couple of years and if the momentum in Northern California generally just persists

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Handed to the regional head, who named a new downtown development consultant assignment and the 4th and Harrison site as future options.

Calendar 2026 Q1

whether it's really incremental demand above and beyond what would be normal or if it kind of goes to this idea that only 20% of the demand is coming from stuff outside of AI

ChallengingCloud & AIDemandTranscript · FY2026 Q1 →
Show response

Doug differentiated current AI demand from prior tech titan expansion (Google, Meta, etc. which have stopped growing in SF). New companies like Databricks, Perplexity, Decagon, Snowflake are driving absorption. Rod noted 20 requirements over 100K sq ft (3.3M sq ft) vs 12 a year ago. Traditional tenants stable, not downsizing.

Calendar 2025 Q4

can you maybe talk in a little bit more detail about how you're tracking that, if you think that, perhaps, it's cannibalizing other types of space

Show response

Owen said AI more likely to dislocate repetitive/support jobs not resident in premier workplaces. Rod noted SF tenant demand is ~8M sq ft with 36% from AI. Hilary said Anthropic seeking 250-450K sq ft in NYC and 360 Park Avenue South tenants are AI-powered. Doug concluded both job displacement and growth in BXP's markets can be true simultaneously.

Calendar 2025 Q3

just any risk around or confidence level around a couple of hundred basis points of pickup in occupancy you've outlined

DemandGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q3 →
Show response

Doug noted only 3.8M sq ft of expirations over next 2 years (~7% of portfolio), expects ~50% retention. 1M sq ft/quarter velocity supports 200bp occupancy gain by end-2026 and another 200bp by end-2027. No tenant over 150K sq ft expires in next 2.5 years.

Calendar 2025 Q2

Where do you want that to be? And I know you have time before you have to spend some of this money. But I guess why wait

CreditCapital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Mike confirmed mid-6s to mid-7s target leverage. Expects 290 Binney delivery mid-2026 to provide substantial EBITDA, plus occupancy improvement and $600M asset sales will naturally deleverage over 18-24 months.

Calendar 2025 Q1

Can you talk about your West Coast leasing activity and what you're seeing there as it relates to strengths and weaknesses by either tenant type or submarket

DemandGeographic ExpansionTranscript · FY2025 Q1 →
Show response

Rod noted AI companies now occupy over 5M sq ft in SF with unfamiliar names still emerging. Law firms and financial firms driving Embarcadero Center activity. Silicon Valley slightly slower but larger requirements surfacing.

UDRUDR, Inc.2 questions · 2 reporting periods · 0 of 2 challenging
UDR company page →

Calendar 2026 Q2

Could you guys speak to the new JV with Carmel? It came about in a unique way from MetLife

M&ACapital AllocationTranscript · FY2026 Q2 →
Show response

Asked by an associate on for Tony. Toomey explained the Upper West Side rationale but kept future expansion to an opportunistic one-off basis.

Calendar 2025 Q4

talk about you're expecting long term from this book How much of an earnings contributor you're expecting it to be

Capital AllocationGuidance ReliabilityTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Dave confirmed DPE book declining 10-25% in 2026 as investments mature. Shifted from development mez to recaps at 75% LTV with no extension options. Market increasingly competitive. Will continue assessing vs other capital uses including buybacks.

Show 3 more companies
AVBAvalonBay Communities1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
AVB company page →

Calendar 2025 Q4

the series of initiatives and announcements coming out of the White House to prompt more for-sale housing activity

Regulation PolicyMacroeconomicTranscript · FY2025 Q4 →
Show response

Sean discussed White House housing initiatives, noting limited near-term impact on apartment fundamentals given ongoing homeownership affordability gap.

INVHInvitation Homes1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
INVH company page →

Calendar 2025 Q2

you guys had another quarter of pretty strong dispositions at very low cap rates. Can you talk about just how much more of those you think you could do

Capital AllocationTranscript · FY2025 Q2 →
Show response

Dallas explained selling older California homes in high 3s/low 4s and reinvesting at 6 caps in brand-new homes. Slightly on high side of acquisition guide due to good opportunities. Measured on sell timing.

VMRKVivmark Residential1 question · 1 reporting period · 0 of 1 challenging
VMRK company page →

Calendar 2024 Q4

Can you maybe give us a sense as to where private market is right now in terms of IRRs, where thinking is for NOI growth

Capital AllocationCapex InvestmentTranscript · FY2024 Q4 →
Show response

Alex described a frozen market with ~5% cap rate targets and ~7.5% IRR expectations, but the 4.5% 10-year treasury creating hesitation.

Challenge rate by company

Every company this analyst questioned, most questions first. A company-level rate is shown from 3 questions; below that it is withheld.

CompanyQuestionsChallenge rate
CBRE CBRE Group140%none of 14 questions
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities130%none of 13 questions
VICI Vici Properties1010%1 of 10 questions
O Realty Income70%none of 7 questions
BXP BXP, Inc.617%1 of 6 questions
UDR UDR, Inc.2—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
AVB AvalonBay Communities1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
INVH Invitation Homes1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
VMRK Vivmark Residential1—Rate withheld: fewer than 3 questions
  • CBRE
    CBRE Group · 14 questions
    0%none of 14 questions
  • ARE
    Alexandria Real Estate Equities · 13 questions
    0%none of 13 questions
  • VICI
    Vici Properties · 10 questions
    10%1 of 10 questions
  • O
    Realty Income · 7 questions
    0%none of 7 questions
  • BXP
    BXP, Inc. · 6 questions
    17%1 of 6 questions
  • UDR
    UDR, Inc. · 2 questions
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • AVB
    AvalonBay Communities · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • INVH
    Invitation Homes · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions
  • VMRK
    Vivmark Residential · 1 question
    —rate withheld: under 3 questions

Activity by reporting period

Questions recorded for each calendar quarter that companies’ reporting periods map to (not the call date), with the challenge rate for that period. Periods inside the range with no questions are shown as “No questions recorded”.

Questions by calendar reporting period
Calendar periodQuestionsChallenge rateCompanies
2024 Q470%none of 7 questions4
2025 Q190%none of 9 questions5
2025 Q2813%1 of 8 questions5
2025 Q3100%none of 10 questions5
2025 Q470%none of 7 questions5
2026 Q1714%1 of 7 questions4
2026 Q270%none of 7 questions5
  1. 2024 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  2. 2025 Q19 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 9 questions) · 5 companies
  3. 2025 Q28 questions · challenge rate 13% (1 of 8 questions) · 5 companies
  4. 2025 Q310 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 10 questions) · 5 companies
  5. 2025 Q47 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 5 companies
  6. 2026 Q17 questions · challenge rate 14% (1 of 7 questions) · 4 companies
  7. 2026 Q27 questions · challenge rate 0% (none of 7 questions) · 5 companies

Topics

Topics tagged on this analyst’s questions.

  • Capital Allocation21
  • Demand14
  • M&A8
  • Capex Investment7
  • Competitive Dynamics7
  • Credit6
  • Guidance Reliability5
  • Macroeconomic5
  • Revenue Growth4
  • Pricing3
Show all 16 topics
  • Geographic Expansion3
  • Margin3
  • Cloud & AI3
  • Regulation Policy2
  • Innovation & R&D1
  • Trade Tariffs1